F-35 Joint Strike Fighter:
Observations on Program Progress
GAO-15-429T: Published: Apr 14, 2015. Publicly Released: Apr 14, 2015.
What GAO Found
GAO’s ongoing work on the F-35—Joint Strike Fighter—program shows that the program has continued to experience development and testing discoveries over the past year, largely due to a structural failure on the F-35B durability test aircraft, an engine failure, and more test point growth due to software challenges than expected. Together, these factors have resulted in delays to the program’s test schedule. In addition, the F-35 engine reliability is not improving as expected and will take additional time and resources to achieve reliability goals. With flight testing of more complex software and advanced capabilities still ahead, additional technical discoveries during testing and subsequent design changes are likely. At the same time, the Department of Defense (DOD) plans to significantly increase production rates over the next 5 years. Increasing production while concurrently developing and testing creates risk and could result in additional cost growth and schedule delays.
Manufacturing progress has continued despite mixed supplier performance. The aircraft contractor delivered 36 aircraft as planned in 2014; however, none of these were delivered with warfighting capabilities. However, the labor hours needed to manufacture an aircraft and the number of major design changes have continued to decline over time. Supplier performance has been mixed, and late deliveries could pose risk to the program's plans to increase production. The contractors are taking steps to address these issues.
Cost and affordability challenges for the F-35 persist. To execute its current procurement plan, the F-35 program will need to request and obtain, on average, $12.4 billion annually in acquisition funds for more than two decades. From fiscal years 2015 to 2019, DOD plans to increase development and procurement funding for the F-35 from around $8 billion to around $12 billion, an investment of more than $54 billion over that 5-year period. This funding reflects the U.S. military services’ plans to significantly increase annual aircraft procurements from 38 in 2015 to 90 in 2019. Annual U.S. procurements peak at 120 aircraft in 2022, and will require between $14 and $15 billion annually for nearly a decade. It is unlikely DOD will be able to sustain such a high level of annual funding and if required funding levels are not reached, the program’s procurement plan may not be affordable.
Why GAO Did This Study
With estimated acquisition costs of nearly $400 billion, the F-35 Lightning II—also known as the Joint Strike Fighter—is DOD's most costly and ambitious acquisition program. The U.S. portion of the program will require annual acquisition funding of $12.4 billion on average through 2038 to complete development and procure a total of 2,457 aircraft. GAO’s prior work has found that the program has experienced significant cost, schedule, and performance problems.
In 2009, Congress mandated that GAO review the F-35 acquisition program annually for 6 years. This testimony focuses on GAO’s April 2015 report regarding the F-35 program's (1) development and testing progress, (2) manufacturing and supplier performance, and (3) cost and affordability.
In order to conduct the work on which this statement is based, GAO reviewed and analyzed the latest available manufacturing, testing, and performance data; program test plans; and internal DOD analyses; and interviewed DOD, program, and engine and aircraft contractor officials.
What GAO Recommends
GAO is not making recommendations today, but has made a recommendation for DOD to conduct an affordability analysis of the program’s current procurement plan that reflects various assumptions. DOD concurred with this recommendation.
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