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Potential of LoAD Ballistic Missile Defense System for Protecting the MX Missile System

C-PSAD-81-2 Published: Nov 12, 1980. Publicly Released: Nov 12, 1980.
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Highlights

Under the Strategic Arms Limitation Talks II Treaty (SALT II), the possibility exists for an increased threat to U.S. land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM) by the Soviet Union. To offset additional increases in this threat, the initial MX system could be expanded by deploying more MX missiles and shelters. If the threat continues, the Department of Defense (DOD) could either expand the MX system and defend the existing MX missiles with a ballistic missile defense system. To provide the option for defending U.S. intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM), the Army is conducting a preprototype demonstration of a ballistic missile defense system called the low-altitude defense (LoAD) system. The program's goal is to provide the capability for deploying LoAD soon after the preprototype demonstration is completed. Deploying LoAD would require terminating or modifying the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, which sharply limits the United States' and the Soviet Union's development and deployment of ballistic missile defense systems.

Recommendations

Matter for Congressional Consideration

Matter Status Comments
Congress should evaluate the Army's plans for developing LoAD and determine whether it concurs with the Army's plans for developing LoAD to meet a less severe threat than it may actually face.
Closed
Please call 202/512-6100 for additional information.

Recommendations for Executive Action

Agency Affected Recommendation Status
Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense should determine whether the assessment of the responsive threat to the LoAD's performance has used appropriate assumptions. GAO believes that the Army used and inappropriate assumption leading to the erroneous conclusion that LoAD would not be adversely affected by the threat.
Closed
Please call 202/512-6100 for additional information.

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Arms control agreementsDefense contingency planningDefense procurementIntercontinental ballistic missilesBallistic missile defenseProcurement policySystems designSystems evaluationWeapons research and developmentWeapons systems