Specific Technological Assumptions Affecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' 1995 Employment Projections
OCE-85-2: Published: May 20, 1985. Publicly Released: May 20, 1985.
Additional Materials:
- Full Report:
Contact:
GAO found that BLS uses five interdependent economic models to generate its employment projections which include: (1) a labor force model; (2) a macroeconomic model; (3) an industry activity model; (4) an industry labor demand model; and (5) an occupational labor demand model. During the course of the process, BLS makes subjective adjustments to the parameters of these models and resulting projections to incorporate information about technology, productivity, and other trends and performs a number of iterations to ensure that the results of the models are internally consistent. In making the projections, BLS uses both general and technology-related assumptions, and the technology-related assumptions concern both the anticipated rates of development and the anticipated rates of dispersal of new technologies throughout industries. BLS projections for employment in 40 occupations with the largest projected job growth from 1982 to 1995 range from an increase of about 16 percent for typists to about 85 percent for computer systems analysts. In addition, GAO found that BLS maintains an extensive amount of internally developed resource information and uses external documents to develop these assumptions; however, it is not possible to determine the quantitative effect of any specific assumption on the BLS final employment projections.
Oct 19, 2020
Fair Labor Standards Act:
Observations on the Effects of the Home Care RuleGAO-21-72: Published: Oct 19, 2020. Publicly Released: Oct 19, 2020.
Jun 22, 2020
-
Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act:
Additional DOL Actions Needed to Help States and Employers Address Substance Use DisorderGAO-20-337: Published: May 21, 2020. Publicly Released: Jun 22, 2020.
Apr 14, 2020
-
Job Corps:
DOL Should Provide Greater Transparency in Communicating Its Rationale for Closure DecisionsGAO-20-240R: Published: Apr 14, 2020. Publicly Released: Apr 14, 2020.
Feb 14, 2020
-
National Mediation Board:
Additional Actions Needed to Fully Implement Prior GAO Recommendations and Improve Agency Management and OversightGAO-20-236: Published: Feb 14, 2020. Publicly Released: Feb 14, 2020.
Feb 10, 2020
-
National Weather Service:
Information on Contractor Selection and Work Performed for Its Operations and Workforce Analysis ProjectGAO-20-271R: Published: Jan 30, 2020. Publicly Released: Feb 10, 2020.
Sep 9, 2019
-
Job Corps:
Actions Needed to Improve Planning for Center Operation ContractsGAO-19-326: Published: Aug 8, 2019. Publicly Released: Sep 9, 2019.
Apr 10, 2019
-
Priority Open Recommendations:
Department of LaborGAO-19-395SP: Published: Apr 3, 2019. Publicly Released: Apr 10, 2019.
Apr 9, 2019
-
Military Spouse Employment:
Participation in and Efforts to Promote the My Career Advancement Account ProgramGAO-19-320R: Published: Apr 9, 2019. Publicly Released: Apr 9, 2019.
Apr 8, 2019
-
Workforce Automation:
Better Data Needed to Assess and Plan for Effects of Advanced Technologies on JobsGAO-19-257: Published: Mar 7, 2019. Publicly Released: Apr 8, 2019.
Mar 28, 2019
-
Employment and Training Programs:
Department of Labor Should Assess Efforts to Coordinate Services Across ProgramsGAO-19-200: Published: Mar 28, 2019. Publicly Released: Mar 28, 2019.
Looking for more? Browse all our products here
Explore our Key Issues on Employment
Explore our other Key Issues here
