Sensitivity to Changes in Excess Health Care Cost Growth "Fiscal year" "Baseline, with -1 percent excess growth" Baseline "Baseline, with +1 percent excess growth" "Alternative, with -1 percent excess growth" Alternative "Alternative, with +1 percent excess growth" 2018 77.8% 77.8% 77.8% 77.8% 77.8% 77.8% 2019 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 79.3% 79.3% 79.3% 2020 80.8% 80.8% 80.8% 81.0% 81.0% 81.0% 2021 82.0% 82.0% 82.0% 82.4% 82.4% 82.4% 2022 83.9% 83.9% 83.9% 84.5% 84.5% 84.5% 2023 85.6% 85.6% 85.6% 86.4% 86.4% 86.4% 2024 87.3% 87.3% 87.3% 88.2% 88.2% 88.2% 2025 89.4% 89.4% 89.4% 90.6% 90.6% 90.6% 2026 91.2% 91.2% 91.2% 93.0% 93.0% 93.0% 2027 92.6% 92.6% 92.6% 95.6% 95.6% 95.6% 2028 94.7% 94.7% 94.7% 98.8% 98.8% 98.8% 2029 96.2% 96.2% 96.2% 101.5% 101.5% 101.5% 2030 98.3% 98.3% 98.3% 104.5% 104.5% 104.5% 2031 100.2% 100.3% 100.4% 107.5% 107.6% 107.7% 2032 102.3% 102.4% 102.7% 110.7% 110.9% 111.1% 2033 104.5% 104.7% 105.4% 114.0% 114.4% 114.9% 2034 106.8% 107.1% 108.2% 117.6% 118.3% 119.1% 2035 109.2% 109.7% 111.4% 121.4% 122.5% 123.6% 2036 111.6% 112.4% 114.7% 125.4% 126.9% 128.5% 2037 114.1% 115.2% 118.3% 129.6% 131.6% 133.7% 2038 116.7% 118.2% 122.1% 133.9% 136.5% 139.3% 2039 119.3% 121.4% 126.2% 138.5% 141.7% 145.2% 2040 122.0% 124.6% 130.4% 143.2% 147.2% 151.5% 2041 124.6% 127.9% 134.8% 148.0% 152.8% 158.0% 2042 127.2% 131.2% 139.3% 152.8% 158.5% 164.7% 2043 129.7% 134.5% 143.9% 157.5% 164.2% 171.5% 2044 132.2% 137.8% 148.6% 162.2% 169.9% 178.4% 2045 134.6% 141.2% 153.4% 166.8% 175.6% 185.4% 2046 136.9% 144.5% 158.2% 171.4% 181.4% 192.6% 2047 139.3% 147.9% 163.4% 176.1% 187.4% 200.1% 2048 141.6% 151.4% 168.6% 180.8% 193.4% 207.7% 2049 143.9% 154.9% 174.0% 185.4% 199.5% 215.5% 2050 146.1% 158.4% 179.4% 190.0% 205.6% 223.5% 2051 148.2% 161.9% 185.0% 194.5% 211.7% 231.6% 2052 150.3% 165.5% 190.7% 199.0% 217.9% 239.8% 2053 152.4% 169.0% 196.5% 203.5% 224.2% 248.2% 2054 154.4% 172.6% 202.5% 208.0% 230.4% 256.8% 2055 156.4% 176.2% 208.6% 212.4% 236.8% 265.6% 2056 158.4% 180.0% 215.0% 217.0% 243.4% 274.8% 2057 160.5% 183.8% 221.6% 221.6% 250.1% 284.2% 2058 162.5% 187.7% 228.3% 226.2% 256.9% 293.8% 2059 164.5% 191.6% 235.2% 230.8% 263.8% 303.7% 2060 166.5% 195.6% 242.3% 235.4% 270.7% 313.7% 2061 168.5% 199.6% 249.6% 240.0% 277.7% 324.0% 2062 170.4% 203.7% 257.0% 244.6% 284.8% 334.5% 2063 172.3% 207.8% 264.6% 249.2% 292.0% 345.3% 2064 174.2% 212.0% 272.3% 253.7% 299.2% 356.2% 2065 176.0% 216.2% 280.2% 258.3% 306.5% 367.4% 2066 177.9% 220.4% 288.4% 262.8% 313.9% 378.9% 2067 179.7% 224.7% 296.7% 267.4% 321.4% 390.6% 2068 181.5% 229.0% 305.1% 271.9% 329.0% 402.5% 2069 183.3% 233.4% 313.8% 276.5% 336.7% 414.7% 2070 185.0% 237.9% 322.6% 281.0% 344.4% 427.1% 2071 186.7% 242.3% 331.7% 285.6% 352.2% 439.9% 2072 188.4% 246.9% 340.9% 290.1% 360.1% 452.8% 2073 190.1% 251.4% 350.3% 294.6% 368.1% 466.1% 2074 191.8% 256.0% 359.9% 299.2% 376.2% 479.6% 2075 193.4% 260.6% 369.7% 303.7% 384.3% 493.4% 2076 194.8% 265.1% 379.4% 307.9% 392.2% 507.1% 2077 196.2% 269.5% 389.2% 312.1% 400.1% 520.9% 2078 197.5% 274.0% 399.1% 316.2% 408.0% 534.9% 2079 198.8% 278.4% 409.2% 320.3% 416.0% 549.2% 2080 200.0% 282.9% 419.4% 324.3% 424.0% 563.7% 2081 201.1% 287.3% 429.8% 328.3% 432.1% 578.5% 2082 202.2% 291.8% 440.3% 332.2% 440.1% 593.4% 2083 203.2% 296.2% 451.0% 336.1% 448.2% 608.6% 2084 204.2% 300.6% 461.8% 340.0% 456.3% 624.1% 2085 205.1% 305.1% 472.8% 343.7% 464.5% 639.7% 2086 205.9% 309.5% 483.9% 347.5% 472.6% 655.6% 2087 206.7% 313.9% 495.1% 351.2% 480.8% 671.7% 2088 207.6% 318.5% 506.9% 355.1% 489.4% 688.6% 2089 208.5% 323.3% 519.0% 359.0% 498.2% 705.9% 2090 209.4% 328.0% 531.2% 362.9% 507.0% 723.5% 2091 210.2% 332.8% 543.7% 366.8% 515.8% 741.4% 2092 211.0% 337.6% 556.4% 370.7% 524.8% 759.6% 2093 211.8% 342.4% 569.2% 374.5% 533.7% 778.2% URL: https://www.gao.gov/americas_fiscal_future?t=fiscal_forecast | TXT Last Updated: 03/11/2020