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GAO-03-223R: 

United States General Accounting Office: 
Washington, DC 20548: 

December 6, 2002: 

Congressional Committees: 

Subject: New Markets Tax Credit: Status of Implementation and Issues 
Related to GAO’s Mandated Reports: 

The New Markets Tax Credit (NMTC) Program provides a credit against 
federal taxes for up to $15 billion of investments made in low-income 
communities. The NMTC Program is part of a federal initiative that 
includes such programs as the Renewal Communities Program that are 
designed to provide tax and regulatory relief to economically 
distressed communities. The Community Renewal Tax Relief Act of 2000 
that authorized the tax credit also mandated that we audit and report 
on the NMTC Program in January 2004, 2007, and 2010.[Footnote 1] This 
report describes the status of our work toward developing a methodology 
for evaluating the NMTC Program. Our objectives are to provide 
information about (1) the NMTC Program, including its goals, its 
design, and progress in implementing the program, and (2) our mandated 
review of the program, including the potential scope of the review and 
how the program may be evaluated for effectiveness and compliance. 

To meet these objectives, we reviewed congressional and relevant 
executive branch documents to determine the goals and design of the 
NMTC Program and interviewed congressional staff to determine the scope 
of our legislatively mandated review. We also cosponsored with the 
Treasury Department’s Community Development Financial Institutions 
(CDFI) Fund a conference of experts to review methods for evaluating 
the program’s effectiveness and compliance on the part of program 
participants. We conducted our work from January 2001 through July 2002 
in accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards. 

From August 29 through November 4, 2002 we briefed your offices on the 
results of our work. This report transmits the material from those 
briefings.[Footnote 2] 

Results: 

The goals of the NMTC Program are not stated explicitly in the 
legislation that authorizes the program. However, according to 
congressional supporters of the legislation, the program’s goals are to 
direct new business capital to low-income communities, facilitate 
economic development in these communities, and encourage investment in 
high-risk areas. Although the legislation authorizing the NMTC Program 
requires that the investments be made in businesses and communities 
that meet certain eligibility standards, it does not specify that the 
investment be new capital, that performance measures be established to 
show that investment leads to economic development, or that the 
investment be in high-risk areas within eligible communities. Although 
not required by the legislation, the CDFI Fund includes some criteria, 
among those that it uses in its application process for allocating
credits, which reflect these program goals.[Footnote 3] 

The NMTC Program is structured as follows. The CDFI Fund, which 
administers the application and allocation procedures of the NMTC 
Program under authority delegated by the Secretary of the Treasury, 
allocates shares of the total available tax credit to “community
development entities” (CDEs) through a competitive application 
process.[Footnote 4] In return for the tax credit, investors supply 
capital to the CDEs, which, in turn, invest the capital in qualified
businesses operating in low-income communities. The tax credit, which 
may be claimed over 7 years, equals about 30 percent in present value 
terms of the amount invested. The NMTC Program is in the initial stages 
of its implementation. The CDFI Fund has not yet made its first credit 
allocations, but it has provided guidance for CDEs applying for the 
credit allocations and set up a process for reviewing the applications. 
The $15 billion of investment qualifying for the credit will be made 
available over 7 years, in annual increments that range from $1.5 
billion to $3.5 billion. Towards the end of 2002 or the beginning of 
2003, the CDFI Fund plans to announce its decisions for the 2002 
allocation round concerning which CDEs receive allocations and how much 
they receive. The CDFI Fund is also working on plans to monitor the 
CDEs’ compliance with agreements that the CDEs reach with the CDFI Fund
concerning how the allocations of qualified investment will be used and 
to evaluate the program’s effectiveness in promoting investment and 
economic development.[Footnote 5] 

The legislation mandating that we audit and report on the NMTC program 
did not specify the scope of our review. After consulting with 
congressional staff, we concluded that potential topics for our review 
could include an evaluation of the program’s effectiveness in promoting
investment and economic development in low-income communities and an 
evaluation of compliance with the program’s requirements in terms of 
its vulnerability to waste, fraud, and abuse. 

An evaluation of the program’s effectiveness presents some significant 
difficulties. A criterion for judging the program’s effectiveness is 
the extent to which NMTC investment and economic development in the 
communities receiving the investment would not have occurred if the tax 
credit program did not exist. The impact, if any, of the credit on
investment and development is difficult to determine because it is 
difficult to know what program participants and others who invest in 
low-income communities would have done if the program did not exist. A 
further difficulty for an effectiveness evaluation is that the NMTC 
Program is very small relative to economic activity within the total 
geographic area eligible for the credit. The $15 billion of potential 
new investment – over 7 years – may be too small to have a measurable 
impact in a target area that the CDFI Fund estimates could include 35 
percent of the U.S. population and 40 percent of the land area. 

Several methods have been developed that address some of the 
difficulties present in effectiveness evaluations. For example, 
statistical methods use control or comparison groups in an effort to 
determine what program participants would have done if the program did 
not exist. However, all of these methods have significant limitations. 
Because of these limitations, definitive conclusions about the 
effectiveness of the NMTC Program may not be possible. Nevertheless, it 
may be possible to provide evidence that is consistent or inconsistent 
with the program’s effectiveness, such as data on whether or not 
investors receiving the credit had made similar investments in low-
income communities in the past. In our future reports on the NMTC 
program, we will provide detailed descriptions of the methodology, or 
combinations of methodologies, that we determine are most appropriate 
for our audit objectives. 

The evaluation of program compliance requires determining the extent to 
which (1) the investors are claiming only the credits that they are 
entitled to, (2) the CDEs are conforming to statutory requirements 
relating to the timing of their investments, (3) the businesses 
receiving investment are qualified to participate in the program, and 
(4) the CDEs are conforming to the terms of the agreements reached with 
the CDFI Fund concerning how the allocations of qualified investment 
will be used. The evaluation of compliance will be complicated by the 
fact that different types of participants (investors, CDEs, and 
businesses) are involved at different levels of the program, and two 
agencies within Treasury (the Internal Revenue Service and the CDFI 
Fund) will have responsibility for administering, monitoring and 
enforcing compliance. Namely, the Internal Revenue Service is 
responsible for monitoring compliance with provisions of the tax code 
concerning the timing of investment and the businesses qualified to 
receive investment. The CDFI Fund is responsible for administering the 
application and allocation procedures of the NMTC Program (including
both CDE certification and competitive NMTC allocations), and 
monitoring compliance with the terms of the NMTC allocation agreements. 

Factors that affect the difficulty of evaluating compliance will 
include whether coordination between the Internal Revenue Service and 
the CDFI Fund is sufficient to detect ineligible credit claimants and 
whether sufficient data will be developed for the CDFI Fund to properly
monitor the CDEs and for the CDEs to monitor the businesses that 
receive the investment. A further complication is that the requirement 
for compliance data from participants will need to be balanced with the 
possible disincentives for participation that might arise from 
increased record keeping. The CDFI Fund is currently working on plans 
to monitor compliance with allocation agreements and to evaluate the 
effectiveness of the program in promoting investment and economic 
development. 

At this time, we expect our report in January 2004 likely will cover 
the status of the NMTC Program, but will not evaluate overall program 
effectiveness and compliance. At the time of this first mandated 
report, the NMTC Program will be only partially implemented and will not
have been in operation long enough to permit such an evaluation. The 
report will likely provide descriptive information on the program’s 
implementation, such as how much has been invested, where it has been 
invested, and the types of businesses that received the investment. The 
report will also likely identify any significant issues that have arisen
concerning compliance, administration, or the design of the credit. 

Agency Comments and Our Evaluation: 

In a memorandum dated December 2, 2002, the Director of the CDFI Fund 
provided comments on our draft correspondence. The Director suggested 
that we add certain additional details regarding how the NMTC program 
should be evaluated and regarding difficulties that may arise when 
applying the methodologies that we discussed in the correspondence. He 
also made suggestions for clarifying the respective roles and 
responsibilities of the CDFI Fund and the Internal Revenue Service in 
administering the program, and monitoring and enforcing compliance. We 
modified the correspondence as appropriate. 

The Director also suggested that the NMTC Program should be evaluated 
in comparison with other federal programs with similar goals, such as 
the Empowerment Zone and Renewal Communities Programs. We expect that 
our future reports will deal chiefly with the NMTC Program because it 
is sufficiently different in structure and scope from these other 
programs to make comparison difficult. However, we are also mandated by 
the Community Renewal Tax Relief Act of 2000 to audit and report on the 
Empowerment Zone and Renewal Communities Programs in the same 
timeframes as our NMTC reports. 

We are sending copies of this report to the Secretary of the Treasury; 
the Director, Community Development Financial Institutions Fund; and 
other interested parties. We will also make copies available to others 
on request. The report is also available on GAO’s homepage at 
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov]. 

This report was prepared under the direction of Jim Wozny. Other major 
contributors were Kevin Daly and Larry Korb. If you have any questions 
about this report, please contact Jim Wozny or me on (202) 512-9110. 

Singed by: 

Michael Brostek: 
Director, Tax Issues: 

Enclosure: 

[End of letter] 

Congressional Committees: 

The Honorable Max Baucus: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Charles E. Grassley: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Senate Committee on Finance: 

The Honorable John F. Kerry: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Christopher S. Bond: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship: 

The Honorable Paul S. Sarbanes: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Phil Gramm: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs: 

The Honorable William M. Thomas: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Charles B. Rangel: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
House Committee on Ways and Means: 

The Honorable Donald A. Manzullo: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Nydia M. Velázquez: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
House Committee on Small Business: 

The Honorable Michael G. Oxley: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable John J. LaFalce: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
House Committee on Financial Services: 

The Honorable Richard H. Baker: 
Chairman: 
The Honorable Paul E. Kanjorski: 
Ranking Minority Member: 
Subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance and Government Sponsored 
Enterprises: 
House Committee on Financial Services: 

[End of section] 

Enclosure: 

Briefing to the Staff of the Committees of Jurisdiction: 
August 29 through November 21, 2002: 
[Slide Presentation] 

New Markets Tax Credit: 
Status of Implementation and Issues Related to GAO’s Mandated Reports: 

Objectives, Scope, and Methodology: 

Objectives: 

* To provide information on the New Markets Tax Credit (NMTC) Program, 
including: 

- the goals and design of the program and; 

- the progress in implementing the program. 

* To provide information on our legislatively mandated review of the 
program, including: 

- the potential scope of the review; 

- how the NMTC Program may be evaluated for effectiveness; 

- how the program may be evaluated for compliance; 

- the likely objectives of our report in 2004. 

Scope and Methodology: 

* We reviewed congressional and relevant executive branch documents to 
determine the goals and design of the NMTC Program. 

* We interviewed congressional staff members to determine the scope of 
our legislatively mandated review of the program. 

* We co-sponsored with the Treasury Department’s Community Development 
Financial Institutions (CDFI) Fund a conference of experts to review 
methods for evaluating the program’s effectiveness and for ensuring 
compliance on the part of program participants. 

NMTC Program Goals: 

* According to congressional supporters of the NMTC, the program goals 
are to: 

- direct new business capital to low-income communities; 

- encourage investment in high-risk areas, and; 

- facilitate economic development in low-income communities. 

* The NMTC requires that qualifying investments be stock or similar 
equity interest in, or loans to, businesses in low-income communities, 
or financial services provided to businesses and residents in low-
income communities. 

* The NMTC does not specifically require that the investment be new 
capital, that the investment be in high-risk areas within eligible 
communities, or that performance measures be established to show that 
the investment leads to economic development. 

Design of the Credit: 

* The NMTC Program provides a credit against federal taxes for 
investments in low-income communities. 

* The credit is taken over 7 years at the rate of 5 percent of the 
investment in each of the first 3 years and 6 percent of the investment 
in each of the final 4 years. 

* The maximum amount of investment that qualifies for the credit is $15 
billion, distributed over 7 years with annual caps that range from $1.5 
billion to $3.5 billion. 

- According to administration projections made in 2000, the $15 billion 
in private investment will have a tax revenue cost of $4.5 billion over 
10 years. 

* Community development entities (CDEs) that have been certified by the 
Treasury Department’s CDFI Fund compete to receive shares of the total 
amount of credit that the CDFI Fund has to distribute. 

* The CDEs that succeed in gaining allocations of tax credits can offer 
them to the taxpayers who provide the CDEs with capital. 

* The CDEs use the capital to make investments in businesses in low-
income communities. 

* The credit can be recaptured from the taxpayer by the Internal Revenue
Service if: 

- the CDE ceases to be certified; 

- the taxpayer’s equity interest in the CDE is redeemed, or; 

- substantially all of the funds received by the CDE for tax credits are
not used to make qualified investments during the 7 year period. 

Figure: Design of the Credit Flowchart: 

[See PDF for image] 

This figure is a flowchart of the design of the credit. The following 
data is depicted: 

CDFI Fund (Department of Treasury): Non-compliance reporting; 
Flows to: Internal Revenue Service. 

CDFI Fund (Department of Treasury): Allocation of Credits; 
Certification of CDE; 
Flows to: CDE. 

CDE: Loans, investment capital, services; 
Flows to: Qualifying businesses. 

CDE: Tax Credits; 
Flows to NMTC Investor. 

NMTC Investor: Investment capital; 
Flows to CDE. 

NMTC Investor: Tax return (with Form 8874); 
Flows to: Internal Revenue Service. 

[End of figure] 

Credit Program Implementation: 

* The CDFI Fund has provided guidance for CDEs applying for credit
allocations and has set up a process for reviewing these applications. 

* The Internal Revenue Service has also issued temporary regulations 
that include guidance on what investments qualify for the credit and 
what events will trigger a recapture of the credit. 

* The $15 billion in investment that qualifies for the credit will be 
made available in the following increments: 

Year: 2001–02; 
Amount: $2.5 billion. 

Year: 2003; 
Amount: $1.5 billion. 

Year: 2004-05; 
Amount: $2.0 billion per year. 

Year: 2006-07; 
Amount: $3.5 billion per year. 

* The CDFI Fund plans to announce 2001-2002 allocation decisions 
towards the end of 2002 or the beginning of 2003. 

* The CDFI Fund is working on plans to monitor compliance with 
agreements that the CDEs reach with the CDFI Fund concerning how the 
allocations will be used and to evaluate the effectiveness of the 
program in promoting investment and economic development. 

* The Internal Revenue Service has responsibility for monitoring 
compliance with provisions of the tax code concerning the timing of 
investment and whether businesses that receive the investment are 
qualified. 

Scope of the Mandated Study: 

* The legislative mandate for our periodic reviews of the NMTC Program 
did not specify the scope of the review. 

- The mandate requires that we audit and report on the NMTC program by 
January 2004, 2007, and 2010. 

* According to the congressional staff that we consulted, potential 
topics for the review include an evaluation of: 

- the effectiveness of the program in promoting new investment and 
economic development in low-income communities and; 

- compliance with the program’s requirements, that is, the extent to 
which the program may be subject to waste, fraud, and abuse. 

Effectiveness Evaluation: 

Criteria for Determining Effectiveness: 

We found no guidance in the legislation for establishing criteria for 
evaluating the effectiveness of the credit. According to a conference 
of experts that we cosponsored with the CDFI Fund, potential criteria 
could include: 

* The extent to which investment in NMTC assets is new investment. 

- New investment means investment that would not have occurred in low-
income communities without the tax credit and investment that is not 
simply shifted from other low-income communities. 

* The extent to which the investment produced economic development in 
the low-income communities. 

- Economic development includes the direct effect of growth in 
businesses receiving investment and indirect “multiplier” effects on 
economic growth in the low-income communities. 

Factors Affecting the Evaluation: 

The effectiveness of economic development programs is usually difficult 
to determine because it is difficult to know what program participants 
and others who invest in low-income communities would have done if the 
program did not exist. 

* In the case of the NMTC, it is difficult to determine: 

- What investors would have done with their capital if the program did 
not exist. 

- Whether NMTC investment recipients would have been able to obtain 
capital from other sources. 

- Whether the recipients’ businesses would have grown more slowly if 
they had not been able to obtain capital from other sources. 

- Whether the communities would have had less economic development due 
to slower business growth. 

The effectiveness of economic development programs may also be 
difficult to measure when the program is small relative to total 
economic activity within the geographic area of interest. 

* The CDFI Fund estimates that eligible communities include 32 percent 
of the U.S. population and nearly 40 percent of the land area. 

* The $15 billion in potential new investment is likely to be too small 
relative to this target area to have an effect on economic development 
that is large enough to be measured accurately. 

* Even if the evaluation is limited to low-income communities receiving 
NMTC investment, the amount of investment is likely to vary across 
these communities and may be too small to have a measurable effect. 

* The program’s effect on economic development may have to be evaluated 
through its effect on such factors as sales or employment growth in 
businesses receiving investment. 

Methods for Determining Effectiveness: 

Methods for determining the effect of the tax credit on investment and 
economic growth include: 

* Statistical methods that compare investors, businesses, and low-
income communities that participate in the program with a comparison or 
“control” group of nonparticipants. 

* Survey methods that directly question a sample of investors and 
businesses that participate in the program about the effect of the 
credit on their investment and business decisions. 

* Case study methods that examine in detail information about a few 
investors and businesses that participate in the program. 

Statistical Methods: 

The advantages of statistical methods are that: 

* they can provide precise, quantifiable estimates of the credit’s 
effect on the amount of new investment and the rate of economic growth 
of businesses and communities receiving the investment and; 

* the estimates can be generalized to all program participants. 

The disadvantage of the statistical methods is that they may be 
difficult to apply because: 

* randomly selecting control groups would require excluding investors,
businesses,or communities from the credit program, and; 

* identifying appropriate comparison groups would require a great deal
of information about individual investors, businesses, and communities. 

Statistical methods may be difficult to apply because: 

* There is likely to be little or no data available from standard
research databases on: 

- the investments and other characteristics of NMTC and non-NMTC 
investors; 

- employment, sales, and other economic characteristics of businesses 
that receive NMTC investment and those that do not; 

- total investment in low-income communities that receive the NMTC 
investment and those that do not. 

Statistical methods may also be difficult to apply because: 

* non-NMTC investors and businesses have little incentive to provide 
the information in response to surveys and reporting requirements, and; 

* record keeping requirements would reduce the incentive to participate 
in the program. 

Survey Methods: 

The advantages of survey methods are that: 

* the survey responses can be generalized to the population of all 
program participants and; 

* surveys require information from only a sample of program 
participants. 

The disadvantages of survey methods are that: 

* the information from the survey may not be reliable because: 

- survey respondents may have an incentive not to respond truthfully 
and; 

- survey respondents may not be able to give accurate answers to all 
questions. 

* the method does not provide precise, quantifiable estimates of the 
credit’s effect. 

Case Study Methods: 

The advantages of the case study methods are that: 

* information is required from only a few program participants; 

* the information can be checked for its reliability, and; 

* a considerable amount of detailed information could be collected. 

The disadvantages of the case study methods are that: 

* findings cannot be generalized to the population of all program 
participants and; 

* the method does not provide precise, quantifiable estimates of the 
credit’s effect. 

Limitations of an Effectiveness Evaluation: 

* Because each method for assessing effectiveness has significant
disadvantages, definitive conclusions about the effectiveness of the
NMTC program may not be possible. 

- The methods may not establish that the NMTC causes new investment or 
economic development. 

* However, the methods may provide evidence that is consistent or 
inconsistent with the program being effective in attracting new capital 
or promoting economic growth. For example: 

- evidence consistent with attracting new capital would be finding that 
investors receiving tax credits had not made similar investments in low-
income communities in the past, while; 

- evidence inconsistent with attracting new capital would be finding 
that they had made such investments. 

Criteria for Determining Compliance: 

According to the experts that we consulted, potential compliance 
criteria could include: 

* the extent to which the investors are claiming only the credits that 
they are entitled to; 

* the extent to which the CDEs are conforming to the statutory 
requirements concerning the amount and timing of their investments in 
low-income communities; 

- the CDEs must invest substantially all of the funds in qualifying low-
income community investments within 1 year. 

* The extent to which businesses receiving investment from the CDEs 
qualify for the credit. 

- Qualifying businesses must have at least 50 percent of gross income, 
40 percent of tangible property, and 40 percent of services in low-
income communities. 

* The extent to which the CDEs are conforming to allocation agreements
reached with the CDFI Fund. 

Factors Affecting the Evaluation: 

Factors that affect the difficulty of evaluating compliance include: 

* Multiple responsible agencies; 

- Whether coordination between IRS and the CDFI Fund will be
sufficient to detect ineligible claimants. 

* Record keeping costs; 

- The need for compliance data will have to be balanced with the
disincentives from increased record keeping burden. 

* Multiple levels of monitoring: 

- Whether sufficient data will be collected, maintained, and reported 
by; 
- the CDEs to the CDFI Fund to properly monitor the CDEs’ compliance 
with investment requirements and; 
- the businesses’ to the CDEs for the CDEs to monitor businesses’
compliance with eligibility standards. 

Plans for Monitoring Compliance: 

The CDFI Fund’s planned approach to monitoring compliance may include: 

* using electronic reporting tools; 

* relying on self-certifications from CDEs with appropriate level of 
background documentation; 

* providing CDEs guidance on monitoring compliance and developing 
standards for data collection and retention, and; 

* using some on-site auditing. 

Likely Objectives of our 2004 Report: 

Because the NMTC Program will be only partially implemented in 2004, 
our report will not evaluate overall program effectiveness and 
compliance. The report likely will cover the status of the NMTC 
Program, including: 

* any significant issues that have arisen concerning compliance, 
administration, or the design of the credit and; 

* information on: 

- who is investing in NMTC assets; 

- how much is invested; 

- where the investment occurs, and; 

- what types of businesses receive the investment. 

[End of enclosure] 

Footnotes: 

[1] P. L. 106-554. 

[2] See the enclosure for details. 

[3] The applicants, who receive scores based on information that they 
supply in a competitive application process, can score up to 25 points 
in a category called “community impact” where the reviewer considers, 
among other things, the extent to which the applicant (1) targets 
particularly economically distressed communities; (2) has the active 
participation of community representatives in designing and 
implementing its business plan; and (3) can show a demonstrable 
community development and economic impact. They can also score up to 25 
points in the following categories: “business strategy” where the 
reviewer considers factors like prior performance providing similar
kinds of products and services; “capitalization strategy” where the 
reviewer considers factors like whether the applicant has secured 
investor commitments; and “management capacity” where the reviewer 
considers factors like management’s prior experience investing in low-
income communities. Under the business strategy category, applicants 
may score an additional 5 points by demonstrating a record of 
successful investment in disadvantaged communities or businesses and an 
additional 5 points by intending to invest in businesses unrelated to 
the applicant. 

[4] The CDEs, which must be certified by the CDFI Fund, are domestic 
corporations or partnerships with a primary mission of serving or 
providing capital to low-income communities or individuals. Eligible
CDEs could include, for example, community development banks or venture 
funds, community development corporations, and New Markets Venture 
Capital companies among others. 

[5] The NMTC allocation agreements, which contain the terms and 
conditions of the NMTC allocation, may specify the amount of the 
allocation, the approved uses of the allocation, the approved areas in
which the proceeds of the investment may be used, the CDE’s schedule 
for obtaining capital from investors, and the CDE’s reporting 
requirements. 

[End of section] 

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