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entitled 'Multifamily Rural Housing: Prepayment Potential and Long-
Term Rehabilitation Needs for Section 515 Properties' which was 
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United States General Accounting Office: 
GAO: 

Report to the Chairwoman, Subcommittee on Housing and Community 
Opportunity, Committee on Financial Services, House of Representatives: 

May 2002: 

Multifamily Rural Housing: 

Prepayment Potential and Long-Term Rehabilitation Needs for Section 515
Properties: 

GAO-02-397: 

United States General Accounting Office: 
Washington, DC 20548: 

May 10, 2002: 

The Honorable Marge Roukema: 
Chairwoman, Subcommittee on Housing and Community Opportunity: 
Committee on Financial Services: 
House of Representatives: 

Dear Madam Chairwoman: 

Nearly 450,000 elderly and other households depend on federal 
assistance to live in multifamily rural rental properties that were 
constructed with subsidized federal loans. With an average income of 
$8,105 in 2001, over 90 percent of these households are at or below 50 
percent of the median income in the areas where they are located. 
Because the properties were built in areas when and where privately 
financed housing units, affordable by lower income households, were 
not considered economically feasible, the U.S. Department of 
Agriculture's (USDA) Rural Housing Service (RHS) has made direct loans 
with subsidized interest rates as low as 1 percent available to 
developers of affordable multifamily housing under its section 515 
program.[Footnote 1] The properties often receive project-based rental 
assistance in addition to the interest subsidies.[Footnote 2] As of 
March 1, 2002, about 16,400 section 515 properties had an outstanding 
principal balance of $11.8 billion. 

When the section 515 program began in the early 1960s, loans were 
generally made for 40 years, but borrowers were encouraged to 
refinance their properties as soon as they could obtain private 
credit. Refinancing the properties released the owners from the 
requirements in their loan contracts on admission and rents, allowing 
some to raise rents to market levels when they prepaid their section 
515 loans. But prepayment of these loans also removed units that were 
affordable to low-income tenants from RHS's portfolio. Concerns about 
the loss of affordable units led Congress to enact legislation 
designed to keep section 515 properties in the portfolio for a longer 
time and to protect low-income tenants from being displaced. 

Congress ultimately enacted legislation that precluded prepayment for 
loans made on or after December 15, 1989. For loans made before that 
date, prepayment is restricted. 

As agreed with your office, this report covers (1) the number of 
properties whose section 515 loans have been prepaid and the effect of 
prepayment on the section 515 portfolio; (2) the estimated impact on 
the number of properties in the portfolio by changing the legislation 
that restricted prepayment for loans made before December 15, 1989, 
and; (3) the longterm rehabilitation needs of the properties in the 
section 515 portfolio. 

Our work is based on reviews of agency and published data; analyses of 
data from three RHS accounting systems; and discussions with industry 
representatives, Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) 
officials, and RHS headquarters and state officials. We were unable to
survey property owners about their prepayment intentions because the 
RHS database is not designed to readily match owner and property 
location data. However, we were able to measure factors that RHS and 
industry representatives believe limit the potential for prepaying. We 
were also able to identify additional factors that are likely to 
impact prepayment, but we could not measure them without performing in-
depth financial analyses of individual properties. We performed our 
work from June 2001 through March 2002 in accordance with generally 
accepted government auditing standards. Additional details on our 
scope and methodology are discussed in appendix I. 

Results in Brief: 

Prepayment activity has been minimal and has removed a small 
percentage of properties from the section 515 portfolio. RHS has 
funded many more new properties than the portfolio has lost through 
prepayment. Since the program began, the number of new properties 
added to the portfolio exceeded the number that left the program after 
prepayment in every year except 2001. In that year, the balance 
changed because of a continued decline in funding rather than a 
significant increase in prepayment activity. 

If the statutory requirement restricting prepayment for loans made 
before December 15, 1989, were changed to allow prepayment without 
restrictions after 20 years from the date of the loan, we estimate 
that prepayment could be an option for the owners of about 3,900, or 
about 24 percent, of all section 515 properties over the next 8 years. 
Owners of about 950 of these properties would immediately become 
eligible to prepay. This estimate is based on our analysis of economic 
factors that we could measure and that RHS and industry 
representatives agree would limit the potential for prepayment and 
conversion to market-rate rents. However, several factors that we 
could not readily measure would likely reduce the potential for 
prepayment even further. To this end, individual properties must be 
able to operate without federal assistance, be in areas where high 
rental demand has raised market rents above RHS rents, have the funds 
or financing to meet future capital needs, and meet any tax 
requirements. Yet, despite these potential constraints on prepayment, 
RHS officials are concerned that owners who are dissatisfied with 
RHS's procedures and statutory restrictions could apply to leave the 
program if the opportunity to do so arose, even when economic factors 
would not make them likely to depart. RHS officials believe that 
planned enhancements to their management systems by the summer of 2002 
will allow them to better measure some of these variables and more 
accurately predict prepayment potential. 

While RHS is concerned with the capital replacement needs of a rapidly 
aging portfolio, routine inspections do not produce a cost estimate of 
the long-term rehabilitation needs of the properties in its portfolio. 
RHS field staff routinely inspect properties, complete and retain 
detailed descriptions of noted deficiencies, and transmit the 
summaries of the deficiencies identified to a centralized database. 
However, only current deficiencies are identified; therefore, the data 
are of limited value for determining the cost of long-term 
rehabilitation needs of the individual properties. Without a mechanism 
to prioritize the portfolio's long-term rehabilitation needs, RHS 
cannot be sure it is spending limited rehabilitation funds as 
effectively as possible and cannot tell Congress how much funding it 
will need in the future. RHS has been only able to provide a wide 
range of estimates on the amount of funding needed, ranging from $800 
million to $3.2 billion. We are recommending that RHS undertake a 
comprehensive assessment of the section 515 portfolio's capital and 
rehabilitation needs, use the results to set priorities for the 
portfolio's immediate rehabilitation requirements, and provide 
Congress with an estimate of the portfolio's long-term rehabilitation 
needs. RHS officials agreed with the recommendation, acknowledging the 
need to focus on developing strategies to address the portfolio's 
rehabilitation needs. While noting that RHS knows the physical 
condition of individual properties, this information has not been 
consolidated into a national database that can be used to develop 
credible cost estimates of the portfolio's long-term needs. 

Background: 

As shown in figure 1, expenditures for the section 515 program 
increased throughout the 1970s, peaked in 1979, and fell sharply after 
that. In recent years, the program has received about $115 million 
annually and has allocated $55 million for new construction, $55 
million for rehabilitation, and $5 million for equity loans. The 
president's budget for fiscal year 2003 proposes to eliminate the new 
construction funding. 

Figure 1: Section 515 Expenditures, 1963-2001: 

[Refer to PDF for image: combination vertical bar and line graph] 

The graph depicts the following: 

Nominal dollars; 
2000 constant dollars; 

plotted for the years 1963 through 2001. 

Source: GAO analysis of RHS data. 

[End of figure] 

The number of units added to the portfolio each year has followed the 
funding curve. During the peak funding years, over 20,000 new units 
were added to the portfolio annually. Fewer than 5,000 new units have 
been produced annually since 1995. 

In 1998, RHS created the Office of Rental Housing Preservation to 
administer the prepayment program. Mandated in the Housing and 
Community Development Act of 1992, the office's tasks include 
improving the effectiveness and integrity of the agency's prepayment 
and preservation processes. 

As of fiscal year 2001, the average size of an RHS property was 27 
units. About 8 percent of the properties, comprising about 5 percent 
of the units, were owned by small operators, often families, while 
most of the other properties had a more complex ownership structure—
typically a managing partner, who owned 5 percent of the property, and 
many limited partners with smaller shares. 

About half of the section 515 units receive RHS rental assistance, 
which makes up the difference between 30 percent of the assisted 
household's income and the unit's rent. About 14 percent of section 
515 units have HUD project or tenant-based section 8 rental subsidies, 
which cover the difference between tenants' payments and fair-market 
rents, as determined by HUD on the basis of an annual survey of rents 
in over 2,700 market areas. Therefore, in those areas where fair-
market rents are typically higher than the rents approved by RHS, 
section 515 properties with section 8 assistance usually generate more 
income for the owners. Both RHS and HUD provide project-based rental 
assistance, meaning that the assistance stays with the unit. HUD's 
section 8 voucher program provides tenant-based vouchers, meaning that 
the assistance stays with the tenant and is portable—households can 
use vouchers to rent any affordable units that meet HUD's housing 
quality standards. 

In the program's early years, it was expected that the original loans, 
which are amortized over 40 or 50 years, would be refinanced before 
major rehabilitation was needed. However, with prepayment restrictions 
and limited rental assistance and rehabilitation funds, this original 
expectation has not been realized. To maintain the properties in good 
condition, RHS relies on owners to put aside funds in a reserve 
account. RHS requires borrowers to place 1 percent of the original 
cost of the properties into the reserve account each year for the 
first 10 years until 10 percent is held in reserve. The borrower must 
continue to make contributions to the reserve account to maintain it 
as withdrawals are made against the account to fund rehabilitation 
work. RHS is concerned about the adequacy of funding reserves at only 
1 percent per year for 10 years and how to determine exactly what must 
be done on an ongoing basis to preserve each property. While owners 
are required to set aside a portion of their rent revenue in a reserve 
account to provide for modernization needs, these reserve accounts 
have often not been large enough to adequately provide for major 
rehabilitation. 

Concerns about the loss of affordable units led Congress to enact 
legislation designed to keep section 515 properties in the portfolio 
and to protect low-income tenants from being displaced. Figure 2 
details the key legislation. 

Figure 2: Key Prepayment Program Legislation: 

[Refer to PDF for image: timeline] 

December 1979: 
Congress enacts P.L. 96-153, which required properties developed with 
section 515 loans made on or after December 21, 1979, where RHS was 
providing interest subsidies or rental assistance, to serve low-income 
households for 20 years. For loans without interest subsidies or 
rental assistance, the term is 15 years. 

February 1988: 
Congress enacts P.L. 100-242, which established incentives, such as 
equity loans and an increased return on investment, to discourage 
owners from prepaying their loans. Legislation also restricted 
prepayment for loans made before December 21, 1979, if it would 
adversely affect tenants, the local supply of affordable housing, or 
minority housing opportunities. 

December 1989: 
Congress enacts P.L. 101-235, which precluded prepayment for all 
section 515 loans closed on or after December 15, 1989. 

December 1992: 
Congress enacts P.L. 102-550, which extended the incentives and 
restrictions on prepayment that the 1988 legislation had placed on 
loans made before December 21, 1979, to loans made between this date 
and December 14, 1989. RHS may offer incentives to owners of these 
properties only after the 20-year restrictive use period has expired. 

Source: GAO Analysis. 

[End of figure] 

The legislation restricting prepayment of section 515 loans has 
resulted in litigation.[Footnote 3] Owners of section 515 properties 
who wished to prepay the loan pursuant to their original loan 
agreements and remove their properties from the section 515 program 
have sued the federal government. The owners claim that the federal 
government, with the enactment of the legislation and the subsequent 
refusal by RHS to accept unfettered prepayment, committed a breach of 
contract and an unconstitutional taking of their properties. The 
federal government maintains that no such breach occurred. 

Prepayment Activity Has Not Adversely Affected the Section 515 
Portfolio: 

To date, prepayment activity has been minimal. Over 4,550 new 
properties entered the portfolio since the 1988 prepayment 
restrictions went into effect. This number far exceeded the number of 
properties that left the portfolio after prepayment. For example, RHS 
data for fiscal years 1998 through 2001 show that fewer than 100 
properties, on average have left the portfolio each year. Fiscal year 
2001 is the only year when the number of prepayments exceeded the 
number of properties added to the portfolio. However, this exception 
reflects a decline in funding rather than an increase in prepayments. 
RHS officials noted that prepayment requests were particularly limited 
in 1995 after an RHS administrative notice, citing an application 
processing backlog and limited funding, resulted in discouraging 
owners from applying for prepayment. 

Since 1988, the impact of prepayment has been minimized by a statutory 
restriction on owners who prepay by stipulating that, under certain 
circumstances, the rents for tenants not be increased for as long as 
they remain in the units. During fiscal years 1999 through 2001, the 
owners of 283 properties prepaid their loans. Following prepayment, 
86, or about 30 percent, of these properties left the program without 
restrictions because RHS determined that these properties were not 
needed in the market area and their departure would not adversely 
affect housing opportunities for minority households. The loans for 
197, or about 70 percent, of the properties were prepaid with 
restrictions on the rents of RHS-assisted households that would remain 
in effect as long as these households continued to reside in the 
properties. The owners of 88 other properties applied for prepayment 
but decided, instead, to accept RHS incentives to stay in the program 
for 20 more years. Table 1 shows the prepayments by fiscal year. 

Table 1: Recent Section 515 Program Prepayment Activity: 

Fiscal year: 1999; 
Owners accepted	incentives in lieu of prepayment: 43; 
Owners prepaid without restrictions: 34; 
Owners prepaid with restrictions: 43; 
Owners prepaid: Total prepaid: 77. 

Fiscal year: 2000; 
Owners accepted	incentives in lieu of prepayment: 21; 
Owners prepaid without restrictions: 21; 
Owners prepaid with restrictions: 90; 
Owners prepaid: Total prepaid: 111. 

Fiscal year: 2001; 
Owners accepted	incentives in lieu of prepayment: 24; 
Owners prepaid without restrictions: 31; 
Owners prepaid with restrictions: 64; 
Owners prepaid: Total prepaid: 95. 

Fiscal year: Total; 
Owners accepted	incentives in lieu of prepayment: 88; 
Owners prepaid without restrictions: 86; 
Owners prepaid with restrictions: 197; 
Owners prepaid: Total prepaid: 283. 

Source: RHS. 

[End of table] 

Prepayment Potential Limited by Series of Factors: 

If the statutory requirement covering loans made before December 15, 
1989, were changed to allow prepayment without restriction after 20 
years from the date of the loan, we estimate that prepayment could be 
an option for the owners of 3,872, or about 24 percent, of the 16,366 
section 515 properties. This estimate is based on our analysis of 
three factors that we could measure and that RHS and industry 
representatives agree would limit the potential for prepayment and 
conversion to market-rate rents. However, a number of economic 
constraints on individual properties, which we could not readily 
measure, would be likely to limit the number of actual prepayments 
even further. Nevertheless, despite these potential constraints, RHS 
officials are concerned that owners who are dissatisfied with RHS's 
procedures and statutory requirements could apply to leave the program 
if the opportunity arose even if prepayment were not economically 
advantageous. 

As shown in Figure 3, as of January 1, 2002, there were 3,772 section 
515 properties that had served low-income households for 20 years or 
were financed before 1979 and were never subject to a 20-year low-
income use restriction. In our analysis, we found that owners of 946 
of these properties could consider applying for prepayment. The loans 
on another 6,457 properties were eligible for prepayment; however, the 
properties were still subject to a 20-year use restriction expiring 
between January 1, 2002, and December 15, 2009. We also found that 
over the next 8 years owners of 2,926 of these properties would be 
able to consider prepayment after they meet the 20-year restriction. 
The loans made on 6,137 properties on or after December 15, 1989, were 
not eligible for prepayment because the statute in effect when the 
loans were made precluded prepayment. 

Figure 3: Prepayment Potential: Section 515 Properties by Restrictive 
Use Category As of January 2002: 

[Refer to PDF for image: pie-chart] 

20-year restrictive use not required or met: 3,772; 
20-year restrictive use to expire before 12/15/2009: 6,457; 
Not eligible to prepay: 6,137; 
Total: 16,366. 

Source: GAO analysis of RHS data. 

Note: We isolated 16,507 properties from RHS's databases but dropped 
141 from our analysis because of inaccurate county code information, 
leaving a universe of 16,366 properties. 

[End of figure] 

Our estimate of the number of properties whose owners could consider 
prepaying is based on three factors that RHS and industry 
representatives believe limit the potential for prepaying. These 
factors are as follows: 

* Ownership by a nonprofit organization or public entity. Prepaying 
mortgages in an attempt to gain financially through converting to 
market-rate rents could conflict with these organizations' basic 
mission of providing high-quality, affordable housing for low-income 
families. 

* Heavy dependence on RHS rental assistance that would cease upon 
prepayment. Industry experts and RHS officials in headquarters and the 
states we visited emphasized that, except in areas where growth has 
brought unexpected prosperity, high dependence on RHS rental 
assistance is a strong indicator that a property would have a 
difficult time maintaining adequate cash flow without such assistance. 

* Location in a county where the population declined in the 1990s. 
Such properties most likely would not be able to obtain significantly 
higher rents in the private market than they are receiving under 
federal subsidies because the relative lack of population growth 
reduces demand for housing and keeps rents from rising. 

After adjusting for these factors, we determined that the owners of 
3,872 properties, or 24 percent of the total properties, could 
consider prepaying their loans. The number of loans that actually 
would be prepaid depends on several property-specific factors that we 
could not readily measure. Factors affecting prepayment potential 
include whether individual property owners (1) could operate without 
the subsidized direct loans, (2) had property located in areas where 
high rental demand has raised market rents above RHS rents, (3) had 
the funds or financing to meet future capital needs, and (4) could 
meet any tax requirements they would incur. 

For example, in 1986, tax laws were changed to eliminate accelerated 
depreciation.[Footnote 4] Owners who entered the program before the 
1986 tax law change enjoyed the benefits of accelerated depreciation 
by annually writing off a larger portion of the original value of the 
property on their tax return than was permissible after the tax law 
change. In some cases, owners have fully depreciated their property, 
leaving them a zero cost basis, instead of the original value of the 
property, when determining their capital gains liability. While these 
owners enjoyed the write-off benefits associated with the tax savings, 
their current tax burden can significantly reduce the remaining 
proceeds. As a result, some owners are staying in the program to avoid 
the tax consequences. 

On the other hand, RHS officials are concerned that owners who are 
dissatisfied with RHS's procedures and statutory requirements could 
apply to leave the program if prepayment were allowed, even if the 
costs exceeded the expected financial benefits. For example, the 
acting assistant deputy administrator for multifamily housing said he 
interprets the ongoing lawsuits and discussions he has had with owners 
who believe they were mistreated by the government as a strong 
indicator that psychological factors might override economic 
considerations if the law were changed covering loans made prior to 
December 15, 1989. Also, some owners want to get out of the program 
because of dissatisfaction with RHS's oversight or because they had 
planned to use the proceeds from the sale of their properties to fund 
their retirements. RHS officials were unable to quantify the extent to 
which these views prevail or could affect the portfolio. RHS 
officials, however, believe that planned enhancements to its 
management systems, scheduled to be completed during the summer of 
2002, will allow them to better identify property owners and determine 
the number of properties in the portfolio that are at risk. It should 
also help them better monitor replacement reserves and other property 
specific financial matters, which, in turn, could allow them to better 
predict prepayment potential. 

Our estimate would also change if HUD tenant-based vouchers were made 
available or RHS were able to offer tenant-based vouchers. Owners with 
tenant-based vouchers could then prepay and exit the program but 
continue to receive federal subsidies for the units where RHS tenants 
chose to remain. 

Cost of Long-Term Rehabilitation Needs of Section 515 Properties 
Unknown: 

In the program's early years, it was expected that the original loans 
would be refinanced before major rehabilitation was needed. However, 
with prepayment and funding restricted, this original expectation has 
not been realized, and RHS does not know the full cost of the long-
term rehabilitation needs of the properties in its portfolio. RHS 
field staffs perform annual and triennial property inspections. 
However, the inspections identify current deficiencies rather than the 
long-term rehabilitation needs of the individual properties, and RHS 
does not know the extent to which reserve accounts will be able to 
cover long-term rehabilitation needs. Without a mechanism to 
prioritize the portfolio's rehabilitation needs, including a process 
for ensuring the adequacy of individual property reserve accounts, RHS 
cannot be sure it is spending limited rehabilitation funds as 
effectively as possible and cannot tell Congress how much funding it 
will need to deal with the portfolio's longterm rehabilitation needs. 

RHS state personnel inspect the exterior condition of each section 515 
property annually and conduct more detailed inspections of each 
property every 3 years. However, according to RHS inspection 
guidelines, the inspections are intended to identify current 
deficiencies, such as cracks in exterior walls or plumbing problems. 
Our review of selected inspection documents in state offices we 
visited confirmed that the inspections are limited to current 
deficiencies and RHS headquarters and state officials confirmed that 
the inspection process is not designed to determine and quantify the 
long-term rehabilitation needs of the individual properties. 

RHS has not determined to what extent properties' reserve accounts 
will be adequate to meet long-term needs. According to RHS 
representatives, privately owned multifamily rental properties often 
turn over after just 7 to 12 years, and such a change in ownership 
usually results in rehabilitation by the new owner. However, with 
limited turnover and limited funding, RHS properties primarily rely on 
reserve accounts for their capital and rehabilitation needs, and RHS 
officials are concerned that the section 515 reserve accounts often 
are not adequate to fund the rehabilitation of the properties. 

Without comprehensive information on the physical condition of all the 
properties in the portfolio, including the adequacy of the reserve 
accounts, RHS has only been able to provide a wide range of estimates 
on the amount of funding needed. An August 2000 RHS internal study 
estimates that without increased funding or policy changes, in 5 
years, 25 percent of the section 515 properties will no longer be safe 
and sanitary. Further, a 1999 internal study estimated that it would 
take between $800 million and $3.2 billion to meet the properties' 
long-term rehabilitation needs. 

A background paper by the Millennial Housing Commission on preserving 
affordable housing notes that a reserve account system, such as the 
one designed by RHS, would be adequate in the private market where 
greater turnover with higher cash flow is the norm.[Footnote 5] 
However, the paper continues that such a system is not reasonable in 
the public housing market that, by design, does not have the 
equivalent ability to refinance and generate cash flow. In this 
regard, the paper noted that reserve systems like RHS's, are generally 
adequate to cover only between one-third and one-half of longterm 
capital needs. 

RHS and industry representatives agree that the overriding issue for 
section 515 properties is how to deal with the long-term needs of an 
aging portfolio. Since 1999, RHS has allocated about $55 million in 
rehabilitation funds annually, but owners' requests for funds to meet 
safety and sanitary standards alone have totaled $130 million or more 
for each of the past few years. 

Over the past several years, RHS headquarters has encouraged its state 
offices to allow individual property owners to undertake capital needs 
assessments and has amended loan agreements to increase their rental 
assistance payments as necessary to cover the future capital and 
rehabilitation needs identified in the assessments. However, with 
varying emphasis by RHS state offices and limited funding for 
increased rental assistance, the assessments have proceeded on an ad 
hoc basis. As a result, RHS cannot be sure that it is spending these 
funds as cost-effectively as possible. 

The August 2000 RHS study highlighting the scope of the long-term 
rehabilitation problem also recommended that the agency seek funding 
for a physical-needs-assessment study of the existing portfolio, but 
no funding was requested. USDA's fiscal year 2003 budget proposal 
requests funds for RHS to study its multifamily housing portfolio to 
determine how future construction could be provided at less cost to 
taxpayers. The proposal does not, however, request funds to obtain a 
comprehensive baseline of the existing portfolio's long-term capital 
needs. 

Conclusion: 

With little new construction and limited prepayment, maintaining the 
longterm quality of aging portfolio has become the overriding issue. 
While RHS's practice of allocating its limited funds to properties 
with documented capital needs has helped properties on an ad hoc 
basis, RHS does not have a process to determine and quantify the 
portfolio's long-term rehabilitation needs. As a result, RHS cannot 
ensure that it is spending its limited funds as cost-effectively as 
possible and cannot provide Congress with a reliable or well supported 
estimate of the funding needed to deal with the portfolio's long-term 
rehabilitation needs. 

Recommendation for Executive Action: 

To better ensure that limited funds are being spent as cost-
effectively as possible, we recommend that the Secretary of 
Agriculture direct the RHS Administrator to undertake a comprehensive 
assessment of the section 515 portfolio's long-term capital and 
rehabilitation needs. Further, the results of the assessment should be 
used to set priorities for the portfolio's immediate rehabilitation 
needs and to develop an estimate for Congress on the amount and types 
of funding needed to deal with the portfolio's long-term 
rehabilitation needs. 

Agency Comments: 

We provided USDA with a draft of this report for their review and 
comment. RHS's acting deputy administrator for multifamily housing 
said that our report was thorough and balanced, and he supported the 
report's recommendation. He said that the agency is focusing on 
developing strategies to address the long-term needs of the portfolio, 
including building a national database. He said that, given the 
rapidly aging portfolio, the time is ripe to conduct a comprehensive 
effort to establish credible cost estimates for long-term capital 
needs. 

The acting deputy administrator took issue with two points. First, he 
said that our draft gave the impression that RHS does not know the 
rehabilitation needs of the properties. He stated that RHS knows the 
physical condition of each property in the portfolio from its annual 
field staff reviews, but agrees that the data from the routine 
inspections are not compiled into a national database that would 
define long-term portfolio needs. We agree and have revised the report 
to clarify this point. Second, the acting deputy administrator said 
that he agrees that heavy dependence on rental assistance would limit 
prepayments from occurring. However, he said that the factor would be 
less of a deterrent to prepayment if vouchers were made available to 
prepaying properties. We added language in the report to clarify this 
point. 

Unless you publicly announce its contents earlier, we plan no further 
distribution of this report until 30 days after the date of this 
letter. At that time, we will send copies of the report to interested 
congressional committees and members of Congress; the secretary of 
agriculture; the director, Office of Management and Budget; and other 
interested parties. We will also make copies available to others on 
request. 

If you or your staff have any questions about this report, please 
contact me at (202) 512-7631. Key contributors to this report are 
Angela Davis, Bess Eisenstadt, Andy Finkel, Curtis Groves, Rich 
LaMore, John McDonough, and Tom Taydus. 

Signed by: 

Stanley J. Czerwinski: 
Director, Physical Infrastructure Issues: 

[End of section] 

Appendix I: Scope and Methodology: 

Our work was based on a review of published data; discussions with 
officials from the Rural Housing Service (RHS), the Department of 
Housing and Urban Development, the housing industry, and RHS property 
owners; and an in-depth analysis of RHS's prepayment and section 515 
files. We also reviewed background papers prepared by the Millennial 
Housing Commission and attended a roundtable discussion on housing 
preservation issues sponsored by the Housing Assistance Council. 
Furthermore, we judgmentally selected and visited RHS offices in 
Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont, where we identified factors 
that could influence prepayment decisions by property owners. 

As part of determining how many section 515 properties have been 
prepaid in recent years and the impact of their prepayment on the 
section 515 portfolio, we identified key laws and regulations 
affecting the implementation and operation of the prepayment program. 
Through discussions with agency officials and reviews of independent 
publications and legal documents, we identified key changes in the 
section 515 program, including legislative changes affecting 
prepayment. Where data was available, we determined the number of 
properties whose loans were prepaid. We also collected detailed 
funding and unit production information to document changes in the 
section 515 portfolio since the program began. 

To estimate the impact of changing the legislation to allow prepayment 
without restrictions after 20 years, we planned to survey property 
owners about their prepayment intentions and obtain specific 
information from RHS on each property in the section 515 portfolio. 
However, RHS officials informed us that the information needed to 
survey the owners was not readily available because RHS's database did 
not identify specific owners. In addition, many of the properties are 
owned by large partnerships whose individual owners are not easily 
identifiable. While we interviewed a number of section 515 property 
owners on prepayment issues, we were unable to survey all property 
owners because the RHS database did not identify specific owners. 
Therefore we do not know the extent that the views of the owners we 
interviewed are representative of all section 515 owners. 

RHS also informed us that specific information about individual 
properties was not readily available because the agency's accounting 
systems track loans rather than properties and most properties had 
more than one loan. However, RHS combined information from three 
separate accounting systems that helped us determine the likelihood of 
prepayment for each property. We were able to isolate 16,507 
properties from RHS's database by identifying loans with the same 
street addresses and county codes, but we had to drop 141 properties 
from our analysis because of inaccurate county code information. 

We reviewed the case files for individual properties at the three RHS 
state offices we visited. From these reviews and discussions about the 
properties with the state RHS officials, we identified factors that 
could help determine the likelihood of prepayment. We also compared 
information from state office case files with information in RHS's 
database. 

To determine the capital and rehabilitation requirements of the 
section 515 properties, we evaluated RHS reviews that identified the 
conditions of the properties and the estimated costs to meet the 
requirements. We obtained the views of RHS and industry 
representatives concerning the extent of the rehabilitation needs. We 
also documented RHS's inspection processes for identifying 
rehabilitation requirements at the properties. 

[End of section] 

Footnotes: 

[1] The program was authorized by a 1962 amendment to the Housing Act 
of 1949 (42 U.S.C. 1485). 

[2] Under project-based assistance the subsidy is tied to the unit and 
the household can benefit from the subsidy only while living in the 
subsidized unit. 

[3] As of March 1, 2002, over 30 section 515 property owners were 
plaintiffs in lawsuits involving RHS prepayment issues. 

[4] Accelerated depreciation encourages investment by letting entities 
recover the cost of assets more quickly with relatively greater 
depreciation deductions early in an asset's life. 

[5] See "Background Paper: Preservation of Existing Affordable 
Housing," prepared for the Millennial Housing Commission Preservation 
Task Force, draft, revised September 2, 2001. Established as part of 
Public Law 106-74, the bipartisan Millennial Housing Commission's 
mission is to develop proposals to improve housing opportunities. 

[End of section] 

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