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Testimony:

Before the Subcommittee on Strategic Forces, Committee on Armed 
Services, U.S. Senate:

United States General Accounting Office:

GAO:

For Release on Delivery Expected at 2:00 p.m. EST:

Tuesday, November 18, 2003:

DEFENSE ACQUISITIONS:

Improvements Needed in Space Systems Acquisition Policy to Optimize 
Growing Investment in Space:

Statement of Robert E. Levin, Director Acquisition and Sourcing 
Management:

GAO-04-253T:

GAO Highlights:

Highlights of GAO-04-253T, a report to Subcommittee on Strategic 
Forces, Committee on Armed Services, U.S. Senate 

Why GAO Did This Study:

The Department of Defense is spending nearly $18 billion annually to 
develop, acquire, and operate satellites and other space-related 
systems. The majority of satellite programs that GAO has reviewed over 
the past 2 decades experienced problems that increased costs, delayed 
schedules, and increased performance risk. In some cases, capabilities 
have not been delivered to the warfighter after decades of 
development.

DOD has recently implemented a new acquisition policy, which sets the 
stage for decision making on individual space programs. GAO was asked 
to testify on its assessment of the new policy.

What GAO Found:

Similar to all weapon system programs, we have found that the problems 
being experienced on space programs are largely rooted in a failure to 
match the customer’s needs with the developer’s resources—technical 
knowledge, timing, and funding—when starting product development. In 
other words, commitments were made to satellite launch dates, cost 
estimates, and delivering certain capabilities without knowing whether 
technologies being pursued could really work as intended. Time and 
costs were consistently underestimated. DOD has recognized this 
problem and recently revised its acquisition policy for non-space 
systems to ensure that requirements can be matched to resources at the 
time a product development starts.  The space community, however, in 
its newly issued policy for space systems, has taken another 
approach.

As currently written, and from our discussions with DOD officials 
about how it will be implemented, the policy will not result in the 
most important decision, to separate technology development from 
product development to ensure that a match is made between needs and 
resources.  Instead, it allows major investment commitments to be made 
with unknowns about technology readiness, requirements, and funding. 
By not changing its current practice, DOD will likely perpetuate 
problems within individual programs that require more time and money 
to address than anticipated. More important, over the long run, the 
extra investment required to address these problems will likely 
prevent DOD from pursuing more advanced capabilities and from making 
effective tradeoff decisions between space and other weapon system 
programs.

What GAO Recommends:

GAO did not make recommendations in its testimony. However, it 
reiterated a previous recommendation that DOD modify its policy to 
separate technology development from product development. DOD 
disagreed with our earlier recommendation because it believes that the 
modification would slow down acquisitions, increase risks, and keep 
DOD from taking advantage of cutting edge technology. Our past work, 
however, has consistently shown that time and risk are reduced and 
capability is increased when programs begin with knowledge that 
technologies can work as intended.

www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-04-253T.

To view the full product, including the scope and methodology, click 
on the link above. For more information, contact Katherine Schinasi or 
Bob Levin at (202) 512-4841 or schinasik@gao.gov or levinr@gao.gov.

[End of section]

Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee:

I am pleased to be here today to discuss the Department of Defense's 
(DOD) new space acquisition policy. This policy will be critical as DOD 
strives to optimize its investment in space--which currently stands at 
more than $18 billion[Footnote 1] annually, and is expected to grow 
considerably over the next decade. DOD's space acquisitions have 
experienced problems over the past several decades that have driven up 
costs by hundreds of millions, even billions of dollars, stretched 
schedules by years, and increased performance risks. In some cases, 
capabilities have not been delivered to the war fighter after decades 
of development.

Similar to all weapon system programs, we have found that the problems 
being experienced on space programs are largely rooted in a failure to 
match the customer's needs with the developer's resources--technical 
knowledge, timing, and funding--when starting product development. 
While DOD's new policy for space acquisitions may help to illuminate 
gaps between needs and resources, it will not help DOD to close this 
gap. More specifically, the policy allows programs to continue to 
develop technologies after starting product development, which not only 
means that costs and schedule will be more difficult to estimate, but 
that there will be more risk that DOD will encounter technical problems 
that could disrupt design and production and require more time and 
money to address than anticipated. More important, over the long run, 
the extra investment required to address these problems may likely 
prevent DOD from pursuing more advanced technologies and from making 
effective tradeoff decisions between space and other weapon system 
programs.

By contrast, DOD is taking steps to better position its other 
acquisition programs for success. Its revised acquisition policy for 
non-space systems separates technology development and product 
development.

The Importance of DOD's Space Systems is Growing:

DOD's current space network is comprised of constellations of 
satellites, ground-based systems, and associated terminals and 
receivers. Among other things, these assets are used to perform 
intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance functions; perform 
missile warning; provide communication services to DOD and other 
government users; provide weather and environmental data; and provide 
positioning and precise timing data to U.S. forces as well as national 
security, civil, and commercial users.

All of these systems are playing an increasingly important role in 
military operations. According to DOD officials, for example, in 
Operation Iraqi Freedom, approximately 70 percent of weapons were 
precision-guided, most of those using Global Positioning System (GPS) 
capabilities. Weather satellites enabled war fighters to not only 
prepare for, but also take advantage of blinding sandstorms. 
Communication and intelligence satellites were also heavily used to 
plan and carry out attacks and to assess post-strike damage. Some of 
DOD's satellite systems--such as GPS--have also grown into 
international use for civil and military applications and commercial 
and personal uses. Moreover, the demand for space-based capabilities is 
outpacing DOD's current capacity. For example, even though DOD has 
augmented its own satellite communications capacity with commercial 
satellites, in each major conflict of this past decade, senior military 
commanders reported shortfalls in capacity, particularly for rapid 
transmission of large data files, such as those created by imagery 
sensors.

DOD is looking to space to play an even more pivotal role in future 
military operations. As such, it is developing several families of new, 
expensive, and technically challenging satellites, which are expected 
to require dramatically increased investments over the next decade. For 
example, DOD is building new satellites that will use laser optics to 
transport information over long distances in much larger quantities 
than radio waves. The system, known as the Transformational Satellite, 
or TSAT, is to be the cornerstone of DOD's future communications 
architecture. Many space, air, land, and sea-based systems will depend 
on TSAT to receive and transmit large amounts of data to each other as 
DOD moves toward a more "network centric" war-fighting approach. DOD is 
also building a new space-based radar (SBR) system, which is to employ 
synthetic aperture radar[Footnote 2] and other advanced technologies to 
enable DOD to have 24-hour coverage over a large portion of the Earth 
on a continuous basis and allow military forces a "deep-look" into 
denied areas of interest, on a non-intrusive basis without risk to 
personnel or resources. SBR itself is expected to generate large 
amounts of imagery data, and it will rely on TSAT to deliver this data 
to war fighters.

As figure 1 shows, the costs of these and other new efforts will 
increase DOD's annual space investment significantly. For example, 
based on the 2003 President's budget, acquisition costs for new 
satellite programs and launch services in the next 4 years are expected 
to grow by 115 percent--from $3.5 billion to about $7.5 billion. Costs 
beyond that period are as yet unknown. While DOD's budget documents 
show a decrease in 2009 for these systems to $6.4 billion--they do not 
include procurement costs for some of the largest programs, including 
TSAT, GPS III, SBR, Space Tracking and Surveillance System (STSS), and 
Space-Based Surveillance System (SBSS), which DOD will begin fielding 
beginning 2011. Nor do these numbers reflect the totality of DOD's 
investment in space. For example, ground stations and user equipment 
all require significant investment and that investment will likely 
increase as the new programs mature.

Figure 1: DOD's Investment in New Programs through 2009:

[See PDF for image]

[End of figure]

Table 1 identifies specific programs factored into our analysis of 
upcoming investments. It also shows that DOD will be fielding many of 
the new programs within just a few years of each other.

Table 1: Satellites and Launch Services Currently Being Developed and 
Planned:

Program: Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV); Description: 
Acquisition of commercial launch services from two competitive families 
of launch vehicles; Status: Development; Year DOD plans to start 
launching satellites or services: 2002.

Program: Wideband Gapfiller Satellite (WGS); Description: Satellites 
based almost exclusively on commercial parts being developed by the Air 
Force to provide interim communications support; Status: Production; 
Year DOD plans to start launching satellites or services: 2004.

Program: Space Based Infrared System (SBIRS)-High; Description: 
Ballistic missile detection system being developed by the Air Force to 
replace its legacy detection system; Status: Development; Year DOD 
plans to start launching satellites or services: 2006.

Program: Advanced Extremely High Frequency (AEHF) Communications 
Satellite; Description: Communications satellite system being 
developed by the Air Force to replace legacy protected communications 
satellites; Status: Development; Year DOD plans to start launching 
satellites or services: 2006.

Program: Space Tracking and Surveillance System (STSS) Block 2006; 
Description: Two satellites that were developed under the SBIRS-Low 
program that are going to be used as technology demonstrators in 2006-
2007 missile defense tests to assess whether missiles can be 
effectively tracked from space; Status: Development; Year DOD plans to 
start launching satellites or services: 2007.

Program: National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite 
System (NPOESS); Description: Weather satellites being developed by the 
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the National 
Aeronautics and Space Administration, and DOD to replace those in use 
by the agencies; Status: Development; Year DOD plans to start launching 
satellites or services: 2009.

Program: Mobile User Objective System (MUOS); Description: Navy effort 
to develop a family of unprotected, narrow-band satellites that can 
support mobile and fixed-site users worldwide; Status: Concept; Year 
DOD plans to start launching satellites or services: 2009.

Program: Space Tracking and Surveillance System (STSS) Block 2010; 
Description: A new constellation of ballistic missile detection and 
tracking satellites being developed by the Missile Defense Agency; 
Status: Pre Concept; Year DOD plans to start launching satellites or 
services: 2011.

Program: Transformational Satellite (TSAT); Description: 
Communications satellites being developed by the Air Force to employ 
advanced technologies in support of DOD's future communications 
architecture; Status: Concept. Expected to enter development late 
2003.; Year DOD plans to start launching satellites or services: 2011.

Program: Space Based Surveillance System (SBSS); Description: A 
constellation of satellites to be developed that can detect, track, and 
characterize man-made objects in space; Status: Pre Concept; Year DOD 
plans to start launching satellites or services: 2011.

Program: Space Based Radar System (SBR); Description: Reconnaissance 
satellites being developed by the Air Force to provide 24-hour global 
coverage; Status: Concept; Year DOD plans to start launching satellites 
or services: 2012.

Program: Global Positioning System (GPS) III; Description: New version 
of GPS being developed to add advanced jam resistant capabilities and 
provide higher quality and more secure navigational capabilities.; 
Status: Concept; Year DOD plans to start launching satellites or 
services: 2012.

[End of table]

Grounding Decisions in Knowledge is Vital for DOD's Space Investment:

For the past 6 years, we have been examining ways DOD can get better 
outcomes from its investment in weapon systems, drawing on lessons 
learned from the best, mostly commercial, product development 
efforts.[Footnote 3] Our work has shown that leading commercial firms 
expect that their managers will deliver high quality products on time 
and within budgets. Doing otherwise could result in losing a customer 
in the short term and losing the company in the long term. Thus, these 
firms have adopted practices that put their individual programs in a 
good position to succeed in meeting these expectations on individual 
products. Collectively, these practices ensure that a high level of 
knowledge exists about critical facets of the product at key junctures 
and is used to make decisions to deliver capability as promised. We 
have assessed DOD's space acquisition policy as well as its revised 
acquisition policy for other weapon systems against these practices.

Our reviews have shown that there are three critical junctures at which 
firms must have knowledge to make large investment decisions. First, 
before a product development is started, a match must be made between 
the customers' needs and the available resources--technical and 
engineering knowledge, time, and funding. Second, a product's design 
must demonstrate its ability to meet performance requirements and be 
stable about midway through development. Third, the developer must show 
that the product can be manufactured within cost, schedule, and quality 
targets and is demonstrated to be reliable before production begins. If 
the knowledge attained at each juncture does not confirm the business 
case on which the acquisition was originally justified, the program 
does not go forward. These precepts hold for technically complex, high 
volume programs as well as low volume programs such as satellites.

In applying the knowledge-based approach, the most-leveraged investment 
point is the first: matching the customer's needs with the developer's 
resources. The timing of this match sets the stage for the eventual 
outcome--desirable or problematic. The match is ultimately achieved in 
every development program, but in successful development programs, it 
occurs before product development begins. When the needs and resources 
match is not made before product development, realistic cost and 
schedule projections become extremely difficult to make. Moreover, 
technical problems can disrupt design and production efforts. Thus, 
leading firms make an important distinction between technology 
development and product development. Technologies that are not ready 
continue to be developed in the technology base--they are not included 
in a product development.

With technologically achievable requirements and commitment of 
sufficient resources to complete the development, programs are better 
able to deliver products at cost and on schedule. When knowledge lags, 
risks are introduced into the acquisition process that can result in 
cost overruns, schedule delays, and inconsistent product performance. 
As we recently testified,[Footnote 4] such problems, in turn, can 
reduce the buying power of the defense dollar, delay capabilities for 
the war fighter, and force unplanned--and possibly unnecessary--trade-
offs in desired acquisition quantities and an adverse ripple effort 
among other weapon programs or defense needs. Moreover, as DOD moves 
more toward a system-of-systems approach--where systems are being 
designed to be highly interdependent and interoperable--it is 
exceedingly important that each individual program stay on track.

Decisions on Space Programs Have Not Been Sufficiently Grounded in 
Knowledge:

Our past work[Footnote 5] has shown that space programs have not 
typically achieved a match between needs and resources before starting 
product development. Instead, product development was often started 
based on a rigid set of requirements and a hope that technology would 
develop on a schedule. At times, even more requirements were added 
after the program began. When technology did not perform as planned, 
adding resources in terms of time and money became the primary option 
for solving problems, since customer expectations about the products' 
performance already became hardened.

For example, after starting its Advanced Extremely High Frequency 
(AEHF) communications satellite program, DOD substantially and 
frequently changed requirements. In addition, after the launch failure 
of one of DOD's legacy communications satellites, DOD decided to 
accelerate its plans to build AEHF satellites. The contractors 
proposed, and DOD accepted, a high risk schedule that turned out to be 
overly optimistic and highly compressed, leaving little room for error 
and depending on a precise chain of events taking place at certain 
times. Moreover, at the time DOD decided to accelerate the program, it 
did not have funding needed to support the activities and manpower 
needed to design and build the satellites quicker. The effects of DOD's 
inability to match needs to resources were significant. Total program 
cost estimates produced by the Air Force reflected an increase from 
$4.4 billion in January 1999 to $5.6 billion in June 2001--a difference 
of 26 percent. Although considered necessary, many changes to 
requirements were substantial, leading to cost increases of hundreds of 
millions of dollars because they required major design modifications. 
Also, schedule delays occurred when some events did not occur on time, 
and additional delays occurred when the program faced funding gaps. 
Scheduling delays eventually culminated into a 2-year delay in the 
launch of the first satellite. We also reported that there were still 
technical and production risks that need to be overcome in the AEHF 
program, such as a less-than-mature satellite antenna system and 
complications associated with the production of the system's 
information security system.

Another example can be found with DOD's Space-Based Infrared System 
(SBIRS)-High program, which is focused on building high-orbiting 
satellites that can detect ballistic missile launches. Over time, costs 
have more than doubled for this program. Originally, total development 
costs for SBIRS-High were estimated at $1.8 billion. In the fall of 
2001, DOD identified potential cost growth of $2 billion or more, 
triggering a mandatory review and recertification under 10 U.S.C. 
section 2433.[Footnote 6] Currently, the Air Force estimates research 
and development costs for SBIRS-High to be $4.4 billion. We reported 
that when DOD's SBIRS-High satellite program began in 1994, none of its 
critical technologies were mature. Moreover, according to a DOD-
chartered independent review team, the complexity, schedule, and 
resources needed to develop SBIRS-High, in hindsight, were 
misunderstood when the program began. This led to an immature 
understanding of how requirements translated into detailed engineering 
solutions. We recently reported[Footnote 7] to this subcommittee that 
while the SBIRS restructuring implemented a number of needed management 
changes, the program continues to experience problems and risks related 
to changing requirements, design instability, and software development 
concerns. We concluded that if the Air Force continues to add new 
requirements and program content while prolonging efforts to resolve 
requirements that cannot be met, the program will remain at risk of not 
achieving, within schedule, its intended purposes--to provide an early 
warning and tracking system superior to that of its current ballistic 
missile detection system.

DOD has also initiated several programs and spent several billion 
dollars over the past 2 decades to develop low-orbiting satellites that 
can track ballistic missiles throughout their flight. However, it has 
not launched a single satellite to perform this capability. We have 
reported[Footnote 8] that a primary problem affecting these particular 
programs was that DOD and the Air Force did not relax rigid 
requirements to more closely match technical capabilities that were 
achievable. Program baselines were based on artificial time and/or 
money constraints. Over time, it became apparent that the lack of 
knowledge of program challenges had led to overly optimistic schedules 
and budgets that were funded at less than what was needed. Attempts to 
stay on schedule by approving critical milestones without meeting 
program criteria resulted in higher costs and more slips in technology 
development efforts. For example, our 1997 and 2001 reviews of DOD's 
$1.7 billion SBIRS-Low program (which was originally a part of the 
SBIRS-High program) showed that the program would enter into the 
product development phase with critical technologies that were immature 
and with optimistic deployment schedules. Some of these technologies 
were so critical that SBIRS-Low would not be able to perform its 
mission if they were not available when needed. DOD eventually 
restructured the SBIRS-Low program because of the cost and scheduling 
problems, and it put the equipment it had partially built into storage. 
In view of the program's mismatch between expectations and what it 
could achieve, the Congress directed DOD to restructure the program 
(now under the responsibility of the Missile Defense Agency) as a 
research and development effort.

New Space Policy Allows Programs to Go Forward with Key Unknowns:

DOD's new space acquisition policy may help increase insight into gaps 
between needs and resources, but it does not require programs to close 
this gap before starting product development. In other words, the new 
policy does not alter DOD's practice of committing major investments 
before knowing what resources will be required to deliver promised 
capability.

There are tools being adopted under the new policy that can enable DOD 
to better predict risks and estimate costs. Similar tools are also 
being adopted by other weapon system programs. For example:

* DOD is requiring that all space programs conduct technology maturity 
assessments before key oversight decisions to assess the maturity level 
of technology.

* DOD is requiring space programs to more rigorously assess 
alternatives, consider how their systems will operate in the context of 
larger families of systems, and think through operational, technical, 
and system requirements before programs are started.

* The new policy seeks to improve the accuracy of cost estimates by 
establishing an independent cost estimating process in partnership with 
DOD's Cost Analysis Improvement Group (CAIG) and by adopting 
methodologies and tools used by the National Reconnaissance Office. To 
ensure timely cost analyses, the CAIG will augment its own staff with 
cost estimating personnel drawn from across the entire national 
security space cost estimating community.

Moreover, to facilitate faster decision-making on programs, the policy 
also calls for independent program assessments to be performed on space 
programs nearing key decision points. The teams performing these 
assessments are to be drawn from experts who are not directly 
affiliated with the program, and they are to spend about 8 weeks 
studying the program, particularly the acquisition strategy, 
contracting information, cost analyses, system engineering, and 
requirements. After this study, the team is to conclude its work with 
recommendations to the Under Secretary of the Air Force, as DOD's 
milestone decision authority for all DOD major defense acquisition 
programs for space, on whether or not to allow the program to proceed, 
typically using the traditional "red," "yellow", and "green" assessment 
colors to indicate whether the program has satisfied key criteria in 
areas such as requirements setting, cost estimates, and risk reduction.

The benefits that can be derived from tools called for by the space 
acquisition policy, however, will be limited since the policy allows 
programs to continue to develop technologies while they are designing 
the system and undertaking other product development activities. As 
illustrated below, this is a very different and important departure 
from DOD's acquisition policy for other weapon systems.

Figure 2: Key Decision Points for DOD's Acquisition Policies for Weapon 
Systems and Space Systems:

[See PDF for image]

Note: According to DOD officials, while technology development is 
expected to ramp down during phase B, in some instances technology 
development could even continue after key decision point C or critical 
design review. Thus, technology development is depicted in a lighter 
shade after decision point C.

[End of figure]

As we reported[Footnote 9] last week, the revised acquisition policy 
for non-space systems establishes mature technologies--that is, 
technologies demonstrated in a relevant environment--as critical before 
entering product development. By encouraging programs to do so, the 
policy puts programs in a better position to deliver capability to the 
war fighter in a timely fashion and within funding estimates because 
program managers can focus on the design, system integration, and 
manufacturing tasks needed to produce a product. By contrast, the space 
acquisition policy increases the risk that significant problems will be 
discovered late in development because programs are expected to go into 
development with many unknowns about technology. In fact, DOD officials 
stated that technologies may well enter product development at a stage 
where basic components have only been tested in a laboratory, or an 
even lower level of maturity. This means that programs will still be 
grappling with the shapes and sizes of individual components while they 
are also trying to design the overall system and conduct other program 
activities. In essence, DOD will be concurrently building knowledge 
about technology and design--an approach with a problematic history 
that results in a cycle of changes, defects, and delays. Further, the 
consequences of problems experienced during development will be much 
greater for space programs since, under the new space acquisition 
policy, critical design review occurs at the same time as the 
commitment to build and deliver the first product to a customer. It is 
thus possible that the design review will signify a greater commitment 
on a satellite program at the same time less knowledge will be 
available to make that commitment.

An upcoming decision by DOD on the new TSAT program represents the 
potential risks posed by the new space acquisition policy. The $12 
billion program is scheduled to start product development in December 
2003, meaning that the Air Force will formally commit to this 
investment and, as required by law,[Footnote 10] set goals on cost, 
schedule and performance. However, at present, TSAT's critical 
technologies are underdeveloped, leaving the Air Force without the 
knowledge needed to build an effective business case for going forward 
with this massive investment. In fact, most of the technologies for 
TSAT are at a stage where most of the work performed so far has been 
based on analytical studies and a few laboratory tests or, at best, 
some key components have been wired and integrated and have been 
demonstrated to work together in a laboratory environment. The program 
does not know yet whether TSAT's key technologies can effectively work, 
let alone work together in the harsh space environment for which they 
are intended. Yet the space acquisition policy allows the Air Force to 
move the program forward and to set cost, schedule, and performance 
goals in the face of these unknowns. Moreover, the Air Force has scaled 
back its AEHF program, whose technologies are more mature, to help pay 
for TSAT's development. Making tradeoff decisions between alternative 
investments is difficult at best. Yet doing so without a solid 
knowledge basis only compounds the risk of failures. Our work on 
program after program has demonstrated that DOD's optimism has rarely 
been justified.

Changes Needed to Optimize DOD's Investment in Space:

The growing importance of space systems to military and civil 
operations requires DOD to achieve timely delivery of high quality 
capability. New space systems not only need to support important 
missions such as missile defense and reconnaissance, they need to help 
DOD move toward a more "network centric" warfighting approach. At the 
same time, given its desire to transform how military operations are 
conducted, DOD must find ways to optimize its overall investment on 
weapon systems since the transformation will require DOD to develop new 
cutting edge systems while concurrently maintaining and operating 
legacy systems--a costly proposition. Recognizing the need to optimize 
its investment, DOD has expressed a desire to move toward an "effects-
based" investment approach, where decisions to acquire new systems are 
made based on needs and joint interests versus annual budgets and 
parochial interests.

Changing the new space acquisition policy to clearly separate 
technology development from product development is an essential first 
step toward optimizing DOD's space investment and assuring more timely 
delivery of capability since it enables a program to align customer 
expectations with resources, and therefore minimize problems that could 
hurt a program in its design and production phase. Thus, we recommended 
that DOD make this change in our recent report on the new space 
acquisition policy.[Footnote 11] DOD did not agree with our 
recommendation because it believed that it needs to keep up with the 
fast-paced development of advanced technologies for space systems, and 
that its policy provides the best avenue for doing so. In fact, it is 
DOD's long-standing and continuous inability to bring the benefits of 
technology to the war fighter in a timely manner that underlies our 
concerns about the policy for space acquisitions. In our reviews of 
numerous DOD programs, including many satellite developments, it has 
been clear that committing to major investments in design, engineering, 
and manufacturing capacity without knowing a technology is mature and 
what resources are needed to ensure that the technology can be 
incorporated into a weapon system has consistently resulted in more 
money, time, and talent spent than either was promised, planned for, or 
necessary. The impact of such high risk decisions has also had a 
damaging effect on military capability as other programs are taxed to 
meet unplanned cost increases and product units are often cut because 
unit costs increase and funds run out. Moreover, as it moves toward a 
more interdependent environment, DOD can simply no longer afford to 
misestimate the cost and time to field capabilities--such as TSAT--
since they are needed to support other applications.

Further, policy changes are just a first step toward optimizing DOD's 
investment in space and other weapon systems. There are also some 
changes that need to be made at a corporate level to foster a 
knowledge-based acquisition approach. As we have reported in the past, 
DOD needs to remove incentives that drive premature product development 
decisions. This means embracing a willingness to invest in technology 
development outside a program as well as alleviating pressures to get 
new acquisition programs approved and funded on the basis of 
requirements that must beat out all other alternatives. Other changes-
-some of which have been recognized by recent DOD studies on space 
acquisitions--include:

* Keeping key people in place long enough so that they can affect 
decisions and be held accountable. Part of the solution would be to 
shorten product development times.

* Providing program offices with the capability needed to craft 
acquisition approaches that implement policy and to effectively oversee 
the execution of programs by contractors.

* Realigning responsibilities and funding between science and 
technology organizations and acquisition organizations to enable the 
separation of technology development from product development.

* Bringing discipline to the requirements-setting process by demanding 
a match between requirements and resources.

* Designing and implementing test programs that deliver knowledge when 
needed, including reliability testing early in design.

Lastly, DOD leadership can use this knowledge-based approach to 
effectively rebalance its investment portfolio. For programs whose 
original justification was based on assumptions of cost, schedule and 
performance that have not been realized, having a consistent set of 
standards allows DOD and the Congress to reevaluate alternatives and 
make investment decisions across programs that increase the likelihood 
that the war fighter will have the best possible mix of capabilities in 
a timely fashion.

In conclusion, using an approach for managing weapon system investments 
based on knowledge instead of promises can help DOD fully leverage the 
value of its investment dollars. At a time when the nation is facing a 
large and growing fiscal gap, DOD's $150 billion annual investment in 
the acquisition of new weapons is the single largest area of 
discretionary spending. While there are differing views on what weapons 
DOD should or should not invest in and how much should be invested, 
there cannot be any disagreement that within this fiscal environment, 
once a consensus has been reached on the level of investment and the 
specific weapons to be acquired, we should get those weapons for what 
was estimated in the budget. While DOD's revised acquisition policy for 
non-space systems puts DOD on a better footing toward this end, DOD's 
acquisition policy for space systems does not because it allows 
programs to proceed into product development before knowing what their 
true costs will be. Therefore, we continue to recommend that DOD modify 
its policy to separate technology development from product development 
so that needs can be matched with available technology, time, and money 
at the start of a new development program.

Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee, this concludes my 
statement. I would be happy to respond to any questions that you or 
other members of the Subcommittee may have.

Scope and Methodology:

In preparing for this testimony, we relied on previously issued GAO 
reports on DOD's space acquisition policy, common problems affecting 
space acquisitions, SBIRS-High and other individual programs, as well 
as our reports on best practices for weapon systems development. We 
also analyzed DOD's Future Years Defense Program to assess investment 
trends. In addition, we reviewed DOD reports on satellite acquisition 
problems. We conducted our review between October 29 and November 14, 
2003 in accordance with generally accepted government auditing 
standards.

Contacts and Acknowledgements:

For future information, please contact Katherine Schinasi or Bob Levin 
at (202) 512-4841 or by email at schinasik@gao.gov or levinr@gao.gov 
Individuals making key contributions to this testimony include Cristina 
Chaplain, Jean Harker, and Art Gallegos.

FOOTNOTES

[1] This includes research, development and testing; procurement; and 
operations and maintenance accounts. 

[2] Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) "synthesizes" an antenna --a very 
long antenna --by taking radar samples looking sideways along a flight 
path of an aircraft or satellite, taking advantage of the fact that the 
ground and objects on the ground are essentially stationary during the 
fly-by time. The synthesized radar signals can be used to generate 
quality resolution ground imagery. 

[3] For example, see U.S. General Accounting Office, Best Practices: 
Better Matching of Needs and Resources Will Lead to Better Weapon 
System Outcomes, GAO-01-288 (Washington, D.C.: March 8, 2001). Best 
Practices: Better Management of Technology Development Can Improve 
Weapon System Outcomes, GAO/NSIAD-99-162 (Washington, D.C.: July 30, 
1999). Best Practices: Capturing Design and Manufacturing Knowledge 
Early Improves Acquisition Outcomes, GAO-02-701 (Washington, D.C.: July 
15, 2002).

[4] U.S. General Accounting Office. Best Practices: Better Acquisition 
Outcomes Are Possible If DOD Can Apply Lessons from F/A-22 Program, 
GAO-03-645T (Washington, D.C.: April 11, 2003).

[5] U.S. General Accounting Office. Military Space Operations: Common 
Problems and Their Effects on Satellite and Related Acquisitions, 
GAO-03-825R (Washington, D.C.: June 2, 2003).

[6] This unit cost reporting mechanism, which also applies to 
procurement unit cost for procurement programs, originated with the 
Nunn-McCurdy Amendment to the Department of Defense Authorization Act, 
1982. The amendment, as revised, was made permanent law in the 
following year's authorization act. Known as Nunn-McCurdy "breaches," 
program unit cost increases of 15 percent or more trigger a requirement 
for detailed reporting to Congress about the program. Increases of 25 
percent or more also trigger the requirement for Secretary of Defense 
certification.

[7] U.S. General Accounting Office. Defense Acquisitions: Despite 
Restructuring, SBIRS High Program Remains at Risk of Cost and Schedule 
Overruns, GAO-04-48 (Washington, D.C.: October 31, 2003).

[8] U.S. General Accounting Office, Missile Defense: Alternate 
Approaches to Space Tracking and Surveillance System Need to Be 
Considered, GAO-03-597 (Washington, D.C.: May 23, 2003) and Defense 
Acquisitions: Space-Based Infrared System-Low At Risk of Missing 
Initial Deployment Date, GAO-01-6 (Washington, D.C.: February 28, 
2001).

[9] U.S. General Accounting Office. Defense Acquisitions: DOD's Revised 
Policy Emphasizes Best Practices But More Controls Are Needed, 
GAO-04-53 (Washington, D.C.: November 10, 2003).

[10] 10 U.S.C. Sections 2220 and 2435.

[11] U.S. General Accounting Office. Defense Acquisitions: Improvements 
Needed in Space Systems Acquisition Management Policy, GAO-03-1073 
(Washington, D.C.: September 15, 2003).