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United States Government Accountability Office: 
GAO: 

Report to the Subcommittee on Readiness, Committee on Armed Services, 
House of Representatives: 

February 2012: 

Defense Logistics: 

Improvements Needed to Enhance Oversight of Estimated Long-term Costs 
for Operating and Supporting Major Weapon Systems: 

GAO-12-340: 

GAO Highlights: 

Highlights of GAO-12-340, a report to the Subcommittee on Readiness, 
Committee on Armed Services, House of Representatives. 

Why GAO Did This Study: 

With the nation facing fiscal challenges and the potential for tighter 
defense budgets, Congress and the Department of Defense (DOD) have 
placed more attention on controlling the billions of dollars spent 
annually on weapon system operating and support (O&S) costs. These 
costs include, costs for repair parts, maintenance, and personnel, and 
account for about 70 percent of the total costs of a weapon system 
over its life cycle. The selected acquisition report (SAR) is DOD’s 
key recurring status report on the cost, schedule, and performance of 
major defense acquisition programs and is intended to provide 
authoritative information for congressional oversight of these 
programs. Oversight of O&S costs is important because many of the key 
decisions affecting these life-cycle costs are made during the 
acquisition process. GAO reviewed weapon system O&S cost estimates 
that DOD submits in the SAR. Specifically, GAO determined the extent 
to which the SARs provide consistent and reliable O&S cost estimate 
information that enables effective oversight of these weapon system 
costs. To conduct its review, GAO analyzed SAR data for 84 major 
systems that submitted O&S cost estimates in the 2010 SAR and selected 
a nonprobability sample of 15 systems for more in-depth review. 

What GAO Found: 

DOD’s reports to Congress on estimated weapon system O&S costs are 
often inconsistent and sometimes unreliable, limiting visibility 
needed for effective oversight of these costs. The SAR statute 
requires that life-cycle cost reporting for major weapon systems be 
uniform, to the extent practicable, across the department, but GAO 
found a number of inconsistent practices in how program offices were 
reporting life-cycle O&S cost estimates in the SAR. Program offices 
were inconsistent in (1) the explanatory information they included 
with the cost estimates; (2) the source of the cost estimate they 
cited as the basis for the reported costs; (3) the unit of measure 
they used to portray average costs; (4) the frequency with which they 
updated reported costs; and (5) the reporting of costs for an 
antecedent system being replaced by the new weapon system. For 
example, 35 (42 percent) of the 84 programs that reported O&S costs in 
the 2010 SAR did not cite a source of these data, contrary to DOD’s 
guidance, and 57 (68 percent) of the programs did not report O&S costs 
for an antecedent system. Also, O&S cost submissions in the SAR did 
not always incorporate best practices for presenting cost estimates, 
such as tracking cost changes over time and identifying cost drivers. 
In addition, 11 systems did not provide O&S cost estimates in the 2010 
SAR. 

Although SARs are intended to provide Congress with authoritative 
program information on major weapon systems, 7 of the 15 sample 
programs GAO reviewed submitted unreliable O&S cost estimate data in 
the 2007, 2009, or 2010 SARs. For example, an Air Force program 
underreported O&S costs by $2.1 billion (fiscal year 2002 dollars), or 
18 percent. While some of the program offices did not provide an 
explanation for the errors in the submitted data, others cited 
specific reasons. For example, one Navy program office underreported 
O&S costs in the SAR and explained that it excluded certain costs that 
were not under its control, such as externally funded spare parts and 
military personnel. However, excluding such costs is contrary to the 
SAR statute. An Air Force program reported current and projected 
funding for the program rather than estimated life-cycle O&S costs. 
This practice also had the effect of underreporting these costs. 

DOD’s reports to Congress on estimated weapon system O&S costs were 
often inconsistent and sometimes unreliable due to a lack of (1) 
detailed implementation guidance for reporting these costs and (2) an 
effective process for reviewing the O&S cost sections of the SAR 
before final submission to Congress. DOD’s guidance collectively 
provides minimal instructions for O&S cost reporting. The guidance 
also does not incorporate some of the best practices GAO has 
identified for presenting cost estimates. Further, although the SAR 
data submitted by program offices are subject to multiple reviews 
within the military services and by the Office of the Secretary of 
Defense, this review process has not provided assurance that O&S costs 
are reported consistently and reliably. In the absence of improvements 
to the SAR guidance and to the review process, deficiencies in 
reporting O&S costs are likely to continue. Improved reporting of O&S 
costs in the SAR could help to place more emphasis on assessing, 
managing, and controlling long-term weapon system O&S costs. 

What GAO Recommends: 

To enhance visibility of weapon system O&S costs during acquisition, 
GAO recommends that DOD improve its guidance to program offices on 
cost reporting and also improve its process for reviewing these costs 
prior to final submission of the SAR to Congress. DOD concurred with 
GAO’s recommendations. 

View [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-12-340]. For more 
information, contact Cary B. Russell at (404) 679-1808 or 
russellc@gao.gov. 

[End of section] 

Contents: 

Letter: 

Background: 

DOD's Reports to Congress on Estimated Weapon System O&S Costs Were 
Inconsistent and Sometimes Unreliable: 

Conclusions: 

Recommendations for Executive Action: 

Agency Comments and Our Evaluation: 

Appendix I: Scope and Methodology: 

Appendix II: DOD's Guidance for Implementing the Statutory SAR 
Requirements: 

Appendix III: Comments from the Department of Defense: 

Appendix IV: GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments: 

Tables: 

Table 1: Source of Cost Estimate Cited for 84 Programs Reporting O&S 
Costs in the 2010 SAR: 

Table 2: Major Weapon System Programs That Did Not Identify O&S Costs 
in Their 2010 SARs: 

Table 3: Major Weapon Systems in GAO's Nonprobability Sample: 

Abbreviations: 

CAPE: Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation: 

DOD: Department of Defense: 

FBCB2: Force XXI Battle Command Brigade and Below: 

GPS: Global Positioning System: 

JTRS: Joint Tactical Radio System: 

MRAP: Mine Resistant Ambush Protected: 

O&S: operating and support: 

OSD: Office of the Secretary of Defense: 

SAR: Selected Acquisition Report: 

United States Government Accountability Office: 
Washington, DC 20548: 

February 2, 2012: 

The Honorable J. Randy Forbes:
Chairman:
The Honorable Madeleine Bordallo:
Ranking Member:
Subcommittee on Readiness:
Committee on Armed Services:
House of Representatives: 

With the nation facing fiscal challenges and the potential for tighter 
defense budgets, both Congress and the Department of Defense (DOD) in 
recent years have placed more attention on controlling the billions of 
dollars spent annually on weapon system operating and support (O&S) 
costs. These costs include, among other things, costs for repair 
parts, maintenance, and personnel, and historically have accounted for 
about 70 percent of a weapon system's total costs.[Footnote 1] In 
short, the acquisition of a weapon system today involves a significant 
financial commitment to that system over its entire life cycle, a 
period that may last several decades from the system's development to 
the time it is removed from DOD's inventory. For example, the program 
office for the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, the newest aircraft being 
acquired for the Air Force, Navy, and Marines, estimated in 2010 that 
life-cycle O&S costs were about $1.0 trillion, in addition to an 
estimated $379.4 billion in total acquisition costs.[Footnote 2] 

Since 1969, the selected acquisition report (SAR) has been the key 
recurring summary status report to Congress on the cost, schedule, and 
performance of DOD's major defense acquisition programs.[Footnote 3] 
(We also use the term major weapon systems to refer to these programs, 
although some programs involve other types of defense systems.) The 
SAR is intended to provide authoritative information needed for 
congressional oversight of these programs. Although much of the data 
reported within the SAR is acquisition related, in 1985 Congress 
amended the SAR statute to require that a full life-cycle cost 
analysis also be included in the SAR,[Footnote 4] and subsequently 
specified that this life-cycle cost analysis include estimated O&S 
costs.[Footnote 5] This information is important for effective 
oversight because many of the key decisions affecting a weapon 
system's O&S costs over its life cycle are made while the system is 
still in the acquisition process. Acquisition-related decisions about 
the design, materials, and technology for the system affect the 
logistics support that is eventually needed to keep the system 
available and ready after it enters into DOD's inventory. Further, 
investments to improve reliability, availability, and maintainability 
during acquisition can reduce the future O&S costs of DOD's weapon 
systems. For example, higher reliability can be designed into the 
weapon system during its development by reducing technical 
requirements, using highly reliable and proven components, or 
investing more in early testing, thus improving prospects for 
readiness and reducing O&S costs across the life cycle. As the 
visibility and management of O&S costs have become more of a focus in 
the department, the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) has 
recognized the SAR as a source of O&S cost information for oversight 
of weapon system acquisitions. Therefore, the O&S costs reported in 
the SARs are not only reported to Congress, but they are also included 
in internal OSD management reports as well. 

In response to the Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act of 2009, 
[Footnote 6] we previously reviewed the growth in O&S costs of major 
weapon systems and reported that DOD lacked key information needed to 
effectively manage and reduce O&S costs--including life-cycle O&S cost 
estimates and complete historical data on actual O&S costs.[Footnote 
7] DOD generally concurred with the recommendations in that report and 
stated that it was taking corrective actions. More recently, the 
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 directs DOD to 
take a number of actions consistent with our recommendations, with the 
aim of better assessing, managing, and controlling weapon system O&S 
costs.[Footnote 8] In light of the findings from our prior work, you 
requested that we review the O&S cost estimate information for major 
weapon systems that DOD submits to Congress within the annual SARs. 
Specifically, our objective was to determine the extent to which the 
SARs provide consistent and reliable O&S cost estimate information to 
enable effective oversight of these weapon system costs. 

To meet our objective, we reviewed statutory requirements and DOD 
guidance for reporting weapon system O&S cost estimates in the SARs. 
We also reviewed DOD cost-estimating guidance, which identifies the 
specific categories of O&S costs for weapon systems, and GAO-
identified cost-estimating best practices to identify the scope and 
nature of cost estimate information needed for effective program 
management and oversight. We interviewed DOD and military service 
officials responsible for weapon system acquisition, logistics, and 
cost analysis to understand DOD's approach and process for reporting 
O&S cost estimates in the SARs. 

We obtained SARs from the Defense Acquisition Management Information 
Retrieval system, which is a web-based system used within DOD to 
collect and maintain SAR information submitted by the program offices. 
We determined that the data in this system accurately reflected 
information submitted by weapon system program offices and therefore 
were sufficiently reliable for the purposes of our analysis. We 
obtained and analyzed annual SAR data for all 84 major weapon systems 
that reported O&S costs in their annual SAR for 2010. This analysis 
covered the time period from 2005 through 2010 with the exception of 
2008.[Footnote 9] In addition, from these 84 weapon systems, we 
selected a sample of 15 programs for further analysis.[Footnote 10] 
Through a data collection instrument, interviews, and other contacts, 
we obtained information from the program offices on the O&S cost 
reports they had submitted in the SAR, including cost estimates, where 
available, that formed the basis for their cost reports. We designed 
the sample to ensure that a range of weapon systems were represented 
based on commodity type[Footnote 11] and the military service under 
which the system acquisition was being managed. The results from this 
nonprobability sample cannot be used to make inferences about all 
major weapon systems because the sample may not reflect all 
characteristics of the population. We also obtained SARs for 11 weapon 
systems that reported an annual SAR for 2010 but did not identify O&S 
costs in the SAR. We obtained information from the program offices 
about the reasons these costs were not reported. Our scope and 
methodology is discussed further in appendix I. 

We conducted this performance audit from February 2011 to February 
2012 in accordance with generally accepted government auditing 
standards. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit 
to obtain sufficient, appropriate evidence to provide a reasonable 
basis for our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. 
We believe that the evidence obtained provides a reasonable basis for 
our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. 

Background: 

Statutory Requirements for Submitting SARs to Congress: 

Requirements for submitting SARs to Congress, including the timing of 
these reports and the types of information to be included, are 
established in statute. Under 10 U.S.C. § 2432, the Secretary of 
Defense shall submit to Congress at the end of each fiscal-year 
quarter a report on current major defense acquisition programs. 
[Footnote 12] Each SAR for the first quarter of a fiscal year (also 
known as the comprehensive annual SAR) shall be designed to provide to 
the Committee on Armed Services of the Senate and the Committee on 
Armed Services of the House of Representatives the information these 
committees need to perform their oversight functions. The 
comprehensive annual SAR shall be submitted within 60 days after the 
date on which the President's Budget is sent to Congress for the 
following fiscal year. 

The statute also requires that the annual SAR include a full life-
cycle cost analysis for each major defense acquisition program and 
each designated major subprogram included in the report that is in the 
system development and demonstration stage or has completed that 
stage.[Footnote 13] Further, the Secretary of Defense must ensure that 
this requirement is implemented in a uniform manner, to the extent 
practicable, throughout DOD. The term full life-cycle cost, with 
respect to a major weapon system, means all costs of development, 
procurement, military construction, and operations and support, 
without regard to funding source or management control. If the major 
weapon system has an antecedent system, a full life-cycle cost 
analysis for that system must also be reported. The SAR reporting 
requirement ceases after 90 percent of the items are delivered or 90 
percent of planned expenditures under the program are made. 

DOD's Guidance for Implementing the Statutory SAR Requirements: 

DOD has issued various guidance documents that implement the statutory 
SAR requirements. This guidance is contained in an acquisition 
instruction,[Footnote 14] a guidebook on defense acquisition best 
practices,[Footnote 15] a draft SAR policy,[Footnote 16] and an annual 
memorandum on preparing SARs.[Footnote 17] DOD also has developed 
instructions[Footnote 18] and training for entering SAR data into the 
Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval system.[Footnote 
19] According to officials, program offices rely on DOD's 
implementation guidance because the services do not have their own 
formal SAR reporting guidance. DOD's guidance is summarized below and 
discussed more fully in appendix II. 

DOD's implementation guidance states that SARs should be submitted at 
program initiation or at the time that the program is designated as a 
major defense acquisition program, and then at least annually 
thereafter. The guidance requires the submission of a quarterly SAR 
after a program is rebaselined based on a major milestone decision. 
[Footnote 20] With respect to reporting O&S costs in the SAR, DOD's 
implementation guidance states that program offices should provide 
explanatory information such as the source and date of the cost 
estimate, assumptions underlying the estimate, the antecedent system 
used for comparison purposes, and an explanation of how average annual 
costs were calculated. DOD officials stated that programs should 
report the cost estimate that was developed for the latest acquisition 
milestone decision.[Footnote 21] According to the guidance, programs 
should report total estimated O&S costs and should also report average 
O&S costs by a unit of measure (e.g., average annual cost per 
squadron, average annual cost per system).[Footnote 22] DOD's guidance 
states that if a program has an antecedent system,[Footnote 23] then 
O&S costs and assumptions should be submitted for the antecedent 
system. 

In addition to its SAR implementation guidance, DOD has issued 
guidance for developing weapon system O&S cost estimates, which 
provide the basis for the O&S cost section of each SAR. Specifically, 
the OSD Cost Analysis Improvement Group, now known as the Cost 
Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) office, has established 
guidance for preparing and presenting life-cycle O&S cost estimates at 
acquisition milestone reviews.[Footnote 24] O&S cost elements, for 
example, are to be grouped into six major areas--unit-level personnel, 
unit operations, maintenance, sustaining support, continuing system 
improvements, and indirect support--which are further broken down into 
23 subelements. In addition, we have identified federal government 
best practices for preparing and presenting cost estimates. These 
practices include tracking cost estimates over time; identifying the 
major cost drivers; identifying the method and process for estimating 
each cost element; and comparing the program-developed cost estimate 
to an independent cost estimate.[Footnote 25] 

DOD's Process and Schedule for Preparing SARs: 

When required, a comprehensive annual SAR is prepared for each major 
weapon system by the program office that is managing its acquisition. 
Program offices are responsible for weapon systems throughout the life 
cycle, to include implementing, managing, and/or overseeing their 
development, production, fielding, sustainment, and disposal. The 
reporting time frame for the annual SAR is linked to the issuance of 
the President's Budget, which occurs early in the calendar year, and 
the cost, schedule, and performance data reported in the annual SAR 
should reflect this budget request.[Footnote 26] 

The Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, 
Technology and Logistics begins the process by sending out its annual 
memorandum guidance in mid-January. Program offices then enter data 
into the Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval system 
and submit the SARs to OSD acquisition officials, generally after some 
level of internal review by the program office, the Program Executive 
Officer,[Footnote 27] and the military service under which the program 
is organized. OSD officials review the SAR submissions, and officials 
within the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense (Logistics and 
Materiel Readiness) focus on the O&S section of the reports. OSD 
officials then hold a series of meetings with the services and program 
office representatives to discuss the SAR submissions and any 
recommended changes. Consistent with the statutory requirement, the 
final annual SAR is typically submitted to Congress in April, 60 days 
after the President's Budget has been submitted in February. 

DOD's Reports to Congress on Estimated Weapon System O&S Costs Were 
Inconsistent and Sometimes Unreliable: 

Program offices reporting life-cycle O&S cost estimates in the SAR 
were often inconsistent in their cost reporting and also did not 
follow best practices for presenting cost estimates. In addition, some 
programs did not provide any O&S cost estimates in the 2010 SAR. 
Further, several of the programs we reviewed in more depth reported 
unreliable O&S cost data. The main cause for these deficiencies was a 
lack of detailed SAR implementation guidance for reporting O&S costs. 
In addition, DOD's process for reviewing the O&S cost sections of the 
SAR prior to their final submission did not provide assurance that the 
program offices reported costs uniformly, to the extent practicable, 
and that these reported costs were reliable. In the absence of 
improvements to the SAR guidance and to DOD's review process, 
deficiencies in reporting estimated life-cycle O&S costs are likely to 
continue. Such deficiencies may limit visibility needed for effective 
oversight of long-term weapon system O&S costs during the acquisition 
process. 

Program Offices Were Inconsistent in Reporting Estimated Life-Cycle 
O&S Costs and Did Not Incorporate Best Practices for Presenting These 
Cost Estimates: 

The SAR statute requires that life-cycle cost reporting for major 
weapon systems be uniform, to the extent practicable, across the 
department, but we found a number of inconsistent practices in how 
program offices were reporting life-cycle O&S cost estimates in the 
SAR. Based on the SAR submissions we reviewed, program offices were 
inconsistent in (1) the explanatory information they included with the 
cost estimates, (2) the source of the cost estimate they cited as the 
basis for the reported costs, (3) the unit of measure they used to 
portray average costs, (4) the frequency with which they updated 
reported costs, and (5) the reporting of antecedent system costs. In 
addition to these inconsistencies, we found that SAR submissions also 
did not incorporate best practices for presenting cost estimates, such 
as tracking cost changes over time and identifying cost drivers. In 
addition, 11 systems did not provide O&S cost estimates in the 2010 
SAR. 

Submitting more consistent cost reports and incorporating best 
practices for presenting cost estimates would improve visibility of 
estimated life-cycle O&S costs in the SAR, as decision makers will 
have more information with which to evaluate the reported data. For 
example, the inclusion of the date and the source of the reported 
estimate provides context about the currency of the reported costs and 
the level of review (that is, whether the cost estimate was prepared 
by the program office, by the military service, or by CAPE). Likewise, 
the inclusion of significant assumptions underlying the cost estimate, 
an explanation of changes in the cost estimate from the prior year, 
and information on major cost drivers provides insight into the cost 
challenges facing the program. In addition, showing average costs 
using a common unit of measure allows for easier comparison of program 
costs to the costs of similar commodities (such as other aircraft 
programs). 

Explanatory Information Was Often Minimal: 

DOD's implementation guidance for the SAR directs programs to include 
explanatory information in the narrative accompanying the O&S cost 
estimates, such as the source and date of the cost estimate, 
assumptions underlying the estimate (such as operating tempo, expected 
reliability and maintainability of the system, maintenance concept, 
and manning and logistics policies), the antecedent program used for 
comparison purposes, and an explanation of how average costs were 
calculated. Although explanatory information can provide context and 
background for understanding reported costs, we found that the 
explanatory information included in the O&S narrative was often 
minimal. 

Of the 84 programs that reported O&S costs in the 2010 SAR, we found 
that 35 (42 percent) did not include the source of the estimate and 12 
(14 percent) did not include the date of the estimate in the O&S 
narrative. Additionally, for the 15 programs in our sample, we found 
that beyond providing a few basic details such as the number of units 
that were to be acquired, their expected service life, and operating 
tempo, where applicable, the O&S narrative contained minimal 
explanation of reported cost estimates and the assumptions underlying 
these estimates, as the following examples illustrate: 

* The program office for the Army's High Mobility Artillery Rocket 
System included several assumptions, such as the number of launchers 
and the service life. However, instead of reporting additional O&S 
cost estimate assumptions (such as operating tempo and expected 
reliability/maintainability) in the SAR narrative, the program stated 
that this information was available in the service cost estimate. 

* The Joint Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicle program 
office noted a few specific assumptions, such as the expected service 
life of the fleet and the cost per mile for replenishing spare parts. 
However, the remaining O&S narrative for the program generically 
explained that the estimate included personnel, training, facilities, 
vehicle and component repair, and sustainment overhauls, but provided 
no other specifics on these areas. 

* Only three programs--the Army's High Mobility Artillery Rocket 
System, the Air Force Joint Primary Aircraft Training System, and the 
Army's Force XXI Battle Command Brigade and Below (FBCB2)--included 
the maintenance concept planned for that system in their O&S 
narratives. However, even in these cases, the explanatory information 
for O&S costs was very limited. 

* None of the 15 programs included assumptions on the reliability and 
maintainability of the weapon system in their O&S narrative. 

While not required by DOD's implementation guidance, 1 of the 15 
programs in our sample included explanatory information on cost 
drivers in the SAR O&S narrative. The V-22's SAR submission for 2009 
provided an explanation of the significant O&S cost increase from the 
prior SAR in 2007. In the 2007 SAR, the total O&S costs reported were 
$48.8 billion (fiscal year 2005 dollars). In the 2009 SAR, the program 
reported that this amount had grown to $75 billion (fiscal year 2005 
dollars), and that the O&S cost category showing the greatest increase 
was unit-level consumption.[Footnote 28] In the O&S narrative, the 
program office attributed the majority of the cost increase to changes 
in the methodology used to estimate unit-level consumption costs. 
Specifically, the estimate was updated with the actual costs of parts 
from fiscal year 2009 and with projected future cost growth for parts 
higher than OSD's inflation indices.[Footnote 29] The program office 
also noted actions being taken to reduce unit-level consumption costs, 
such as changes to contracting strategy and accelerated timelines for 
repair capabilities. 

GAO-identified best practices for presenting cost estimates include 
identifying the largest cost elements and cost drivers, and providing 
enough information for informed decision making. In addition, we have 
previously reported that leading companies identify major drivers of 
O&S costs and work with manufacturers to reduce these costs.[Footnote 
30] During our current review, we found that programs typically use 
CAPE's O&S cost element structure in reporting O&S costs, but their 
presentation is limited to the six major elements (e.g., unit-level 
personnel, maintenance, indirect support). Since each major O&S cost 
element includes various costs, this information is not sufficient to 
identify specific cost drivers. Using lower-level cost elements, as 
provided for in CAPE's cost element structure, could provide greater 
visibility of O&S costs for oversight by decision makers. For example, 
as noted in the case of the V-22 discussed above, the unit-level 
consumption cost element consists of a number of subelements that can 
provide additional insight into the discrete factors driving a change 
in the estimated life-cycle O&S costs for that system. 

Sources of Reported Cost Estimates Varied among Programs: 

Various cost estimates may be developed over the life cycle of a 
weapon system, and DOD officials stated that programs should report 
the cost estimate developed for the latest acquisition milestone 
decision. We found that program offices--when a source was cited--
cited several different sources as the basis for their reported O&S 
cost information in the 2010 SAR, and they did not provide an 
explanation for selecting the source that was used rather than another 
source that may have been available. As shown in table 1, for the 84 
programs that included O&S costs in the 2010 SAR, 42 (50 percent) of 
the programs cited a specific cost estimate as the source of reported 
O&S costs. These sources were either a program office cost estimate, 
service cost estimate, or CAPE independent cost estimate. Another 35 
programs (42 percent) did not cite a source, as previously noted. The 
remaining 7 programs (8 percent) cited a source other than a specific 
cost estimate. 

Table 1: Source of Cost Estimate Cited for 84 Programs Reporting O&S 
Costs in the 2010 SAR: 

Source cited in SAR: No source cited; 
Number of programs: 35. 

Source cited in SAR: Program office cost estimate; 
Number of programs: 23. 

Source cited in SAR: Service cost estimate; 
Number of programs: 15. 

Source cited in SAR: Other; 
Number of programs: 7. 

Source cited in SAR: CAPE independent cost estimate; 
Number of programs: 4. 

Source cited in SAR: Total; 
Number of programs: 84. 

Source: GAO analysis of 2010 SAR data. 

[End of table] 

Five programs in the "other" category in table 1 referred to cost 
estimates but did not provide enough detail to determine what type of 
cost estimate was used. For example, one program cited a "validated 
cost estimate" without additional specificity about this estimate. 
Similarly, four programs stated only that the source of their SAR O&S 
costs was a cost estimate prepared for an acquisition decision, but 
they did not provide additional information to identify a specific 
cost estimate. The remaining two programs in the "other" category in 
table 1, both of which were included in our sample, cited a source 
other than a cost estimate. One of these programs, the Navy Multiband 
Terminal, reported total costs from the milestone C acquisition 
program baseline,[Footnote 31] despite the existence of a service cost 
estimate prepared for the acquisition decision in July 2010. The other 
program, the Air Force's Navstar Global Positioning System (GPS), 
reported using current and future funding data instead of a cost 
estimate. 

Overall, six programs in our sample were among those that did not cite 
the source of the estimate used to report O&S costs. When we asked 
these six programs what source was used, five stated that the O&S cost 
estimate data in the 2010 SAR were derived from program office cost 
estimates, and the remaining program office stated that the source was 
a CAPE independent cost estimate. The other nine programs in our 
sample had cited a source, with five citing a program office cost 
estimate; two citing a service cost estimate; and two, as noted above, 
citing either an acquisition program baseline or funding data as the 
source of their O&S costs. 

As shown in table 1, some programs cited a CAPE independent cost 
estimate as the source of the O&S costs reported in the 2010 SAR. 
However, we found that one program in our sample, the LHA 6 America 
Class, cited a program office cost estimate even though CAPE had 
developed an independent cost estimate. Further, while not required, 
the program did not mention in the SAR that an independent cost 
estimate had been developed. Since 2005 the LHA 6 America Class 
program has reported total O&S costs of $4.45 billion (fiscal year 
2006 dollars) in its SAR submissions, reflecting a 2005 program office 
cost estimate. However, CAPE's 2006 independent cost estimate of the 
program's O&S costs was about $300 million (7 percent) higher. 
According to a CAPE memorandum, this higher estimate was also not 
adjusted for cost growth above inflation. CAPE noted that O&S costs 
for the LHA 1, an antecedent system, had increased 4 percent annually 
since 1990 due to increased mission personnel and overhaul costs. 
According to CAPE, adjusting for this same rate of cost growth above 
inflation in its LHA 6 estimate would result in an additional $530 
million throughout the system's life cycle, or total O&S costs of 
$5.29 billion. Additionally, F-35 officials told us that they plan to 
continue using the program office's cost estimate to report O&S costs 
in the SAR although CAPE is preparing an independent cost estimate for 
the program's next acquisition milestone. 

GAO-identified best practices for presenting cost estimates include 
providing a comparison of the program estimate to an independent cost 
estimate, with an explanation of results and differences. Such a 
comparison is beneficial because an independent cost estimate should 
provide an objective and unbiased assessment of expected program costs 
that tests the program's estimate for reasonableness. History has 
shown a pattern of higher, more accurate cost estimates the further 
away from the program office the independent cost estimate is 
prepared. In the 2009 Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act, Congress 
placed greater emphasis on independent review of program cost 
estimates[Footnote 32] by requiring that CAPE review cost estimates 
prepared in connection with all major weapon systems, and conduct 
independent cost estimates for certain systems prior to the milestone 
A, milestone B, low-rate initial production, and full-rate production 
acquisition decisions. Prior to the Act, CAPE was required to conduct 
independent cost estimates for some programs, but was not required to 
review cost estimates prepared for all major weapon systems. 

Units of Measure for Reporting Average Costs Were Not Consistent: 

DOD's implementation guidance for the SAR states that programs should 
report average O&S costs in a unit of measure determined by the 
military service under which the system's acquisition is being 
managed. Programs are to report these average costs using CAPE's major 
cost elements. We found that several program offices had changed the 
unit of measure they reported in the SAR from that used in previous 
SARs. In addition, we found that the units of measure that were being 
reported varied, particularly among aircraft programs. These 
inconsistencies make it difficult to compare a program's current and 
prior-year costs, or to compare costs of similar programs. 

Of the 84 programs that reported O&S costs in the 2010 SAR, 5 (6 
percent) changed the average unit of measure reported from that used 
the prior year. Specifically, two aircraft programs went from 
reporting costs per squadron in the 2009 SAR to reporting costs per 
aircraft in their 2010 SAR, a missile program went from reporting 
costs per unit in the 2009 SAR to reporting total program costs in the 
2010 SAR, and two programs for communications systems went from 
reporting total program costs in the 2009 SAR to reporting costs per 
radio in the 2010 SAR. These last two programs--Joint Tactical Radio 
System (JTRS) Ground Mobile Radios and JTRS Handheld, Manpack, and 
Small Form Fit--were included in our sample. When we asked why they 
changed the unit of measure, program officials responded that the 
decision was made based on feedback they received from OSD when their 
2010 SAR submissions were undergoing review. Of the 5 programs, only 
the two aircraft programs disclosed in the SAR that the unit of 
measure for that system had changed from the prior year. These two 
programs reported that they changed the unit of measure in order to 
standardize the calculation and increase the comparability of programs 
within the same major command. 

Also, based on analysis of the 84 systems, we found the most variation 
in the unit of measure among aircraft systems. Different programs 
reported the average cost per flying hour[Footnote 33] or the average 
annual cost per aircraft, per squadron of aircraft, or per the entire 
fleet. This issue was also evident among the programs in our sample 
that we analyzed in more depth. For example, the F-35 program reported 
average cost per flying hour, the V-22 program reported average cost 
per aircraft, the F-22 program reported average cost per squadron, and 
the Joint Primary Aircraft Training System (a training aircraft) 
reported average cost for the whole fleet. Ship costs, in contrast, 
were generally reported as average cost per ship or hull, although one 
ship program reported average annual cost per fleet. O&S costs for 
ground and other types of weapon systems were usually reported as 
either cost per weapon system unit or total cost for all weapon system 
units. However, a few other metrics were reported by these programs, 
such as average annual cost per battalion or per brigade combat team. 

Although portraying average costs with a unit of measure could be 
useful for tracking cost changes over time, we found that it was 
generally not possible to identify changes in estimated O&S costs 
based on the information reported in a single, annual SAR, since 
programs do not report costs from the prior SAR. Although major weapon 
system programs are required to identify and reconcile changes to 
estimated acquisition costs from the prior SAR, and to provide an 
explanation for each change, this is not required for O&S costs. Even 
though two of our sample programs, the V-22 and the Navstar GPS, 
included a statement in the SAR narrative that their O&S costs had 
changed, it was not possible to tell how much without the prior year's 
cost data. Our year-to-year comparisons of reported costs in the SARs 
showed that cost changes were occurring. For example, we found that 
the total estimated O&S costs for the JTRS Handheld, Manpack, and 
Small Form Fit program decreased from $25.5 billion (fiscal year 2004 
dollars) in 2009 to $10.2 billion in 2010 (fiscal year 2004 dollars). 
This $15.3 billion decrease occurred despite an increase in 
acquisition quantity of about 5,000 radios, from around 216,000 to 
around 221,000. This change, as well as the reasons for the change, 
was not identified in the SAR narrative. Similarly, we found that the 
total estimated O&S costs for the F-35 program increased $50 billion 
(fiscal year 2002 dollars) from 2009 to 2010. The reason for this 
increase was not explained in the O&S narrative in the SAR. 

According to GAO-identified best practices for presenting cost 
estimates, cost estimates should be tracked over time. Specifically, 
after an estimate is updated, a comparison of the current and prior 
estimate should be routinely performed and documented, and the results 
reported to decision makers. A documented comparison allows cost 
estimators to see how well they are estimating and how the program is 
changing over time. It also allows others to track the estimates and 
to identify when, by how much, and why the program cost more or less 
than planned. 

Cost Estimates Were Updated at Different Intervals: 

Updated cost estimates can help to ensure that decision makers have 
the most current data available on a program. The SAR statute requires 
major defense acquisition programs to begin reporting when the program 
is approved to begin the development phase of the acquisition process 
at milestone B, and DOD's implementation guidance similarly states 
that a SAR should first be submitted when a program is initiated, 
normally at milestone B, or designated as a major defense acquisition 
program, and also when the program is rebaselined after a major 
milestone decision. DOD officials stated that programs should report 
the cost estimate developed for the latest acquisition milestone 
decision. [Footnote 34] Our analysis for the 84 major weapon system 
programs that included O&S costs in the 2010 SAR showed that program 
offices were inconsistent in the frequency of their O&S cost updates 
between 2005 and 2010.[Footnote 35] In many cases, programs provided 
more frequent updates than required by DOD's guidance, sometimes 
annually. However, 8 (13 percent) of the 61 programs that were 
included in the SAR every year during the 2005 to 2010 period did not 
update their O&S costs at any time during that period. In contrast, 47 
programs (56 percent) of the 84 programs in the 2010 SAR reported 
using a cost estimate that was prepared in 2010 or 2011 as the source 
of their O&S costs.[Footnote 36] These included 7 programs that began 
reporting SARs in 2009 or 2010. 

Of the 15 programs in our sample, 3 did not update their SAR O&S costs 
during the period between 2005 and 2010, 5 updated their costs once, 5 
updated their costs 2 or 3 times, and 2 updated their O&S costs 4 
times during the period.[Footnote 37] For example, the Navy's LHA 6 
America Class program office has consistently reported the O&S costs 
estimated for milestone B, the program's only acquisition milestone 
while under SAR reporting requirements, in the annual SARs since 2005. 
Program officials told us that they were in the process of developing 
a new cost estimate for the LHA 7, the next ship in the America Class, 
and planned to use the new estimate as the source to report O&S costs 
in the program's 2011 SAR submission, if complete. Also, the Army's 
FBCB2 program has not updated its O&S SAR costs and is reporting costs 
estimated in 2004, even though the program's production quantity has 
quadrupled since then.[Footnote 38] FBCB2 program officials told us 
that since its full-rate production decision in 2004, the program has 
experienced nearly continuous changes to its production quantity 
requirement, resulting in a significant effort to maintain and update 
the acquisition portion of the cost estimates and little time to 
research and update the O&S portion of the cost estimates. 

In contrast, several of our sample programs updated their O&S costs 
annually. The F-35 program has updated the reported SAR O&S costs 
annually since 2006, the beginning of the period we reviewed. 
According to F-35 program officials, they chose to do this because the 
F-35 is a high-visibility, high-interest program. Further, estimating 
O&S costs annually helps inform DOD leadership and keeps partner 
countries updated, program officials noted. Additionally, the Joint 
MRAP program office has updated its SAR O&S costs annually since the 
program began reporting these costs in 2009 and plans to do so until 
the services assume responsibility for the system around 2013. Program 
officials said they are incorporating actual cost data from the field 
as it becomes available and updating O&S costs annually in order to 
give the services the best data once the transfer takes place. 
Finally, the Army's MQ-1C program has updated its SAR O&S costs 
annually since 2009. Although these costs were updated in 2010 for 
several reasons, including an increase in the number of systems to be 
acquired, program officials said they do not plan to update the 
program's O&S costs annually. 

Officials for the remaining programs in our sample, which updated 
their O&S costs intermittently, gave various reasons for updating 
their program's SAR O&S costs when they did. While one program updated 
the SAR as required to reflect the O&S costs estimated for an 
acquisition decision, other programs in our sample chose to update the 
costs after they developed estimates to reflect changes to the 
acquisition program (e.g., changes in production quantity or 
schedule), to incorporate actual O&S costs that are considerably 
different than previously estimated, or to comply with guidance not 
related to the SAR. For example, the Navy's: 

V-22 program office updated the O&S costs in the 2009 SAR because 
actual O&S costs incurred after the program's initial operational 
capability in 2007 for the Marine Corps and 2009 for the Air Force 
were significantly higher than had been anticipated in the program's 
most recent cost estimate. Prior to the 2009 update, the V-22 was 
reporting costs based on the estimate completed for an acquisition 
decision in 2005. The V-22 program office, in conjunction with U.S. 
Naval Air Systems Command, plans to review the program's O&S costs 
annually and update the SAR as necessary until the program stops 
reporting SARs. According to officials, the final deliveries of the V-
22 are scheduled for 2020. As another example, the Joint Primary 
Aircraft Training System program updated O&S costs in the 2010 SAR 
after reporting the same costs since 2001. According to officials, an 
updated program office cost estimate was developed to comply with a 
policy from the program's major command that cost estimates be updated 
annually. 

DOD acquisition best practices and GAO-identified cost-estimating best 
practices call for maintaining updated estimates of program costs. 
According to the Defense Acquisition Guidebook, although a DOD or 
service cost estimate is required at milestone reviews, it is a good 
practice for this estimate, or at least its underlying program office 
cost estimate, to be updated more frequently, usually annually. 
Updated estimates should be useful in program management and financial 
management throughout the life of the program. GAO-identified best 
practices call for continual updates of cost estimates to keep them 
relevant and current, as most programs do not remain static, 
especially those in development. Routine updates that incorporate 
actual data result in higher-quality estimates as the program matures. 
Further, updating the cost estimate provides an accuracy check, 
defense of the estimate over time, shorter estimate preparation times, 
and archived cost and technical data for use in future estimates. 

Antecedent Program Costs Were Often Not Reported: 

In accordance with the SAR statute, DOD's implementation guidance 
states that if a program has an antecedent system, then O&S costs and 
assumptions should be submitted for the antecedent system. We found 
that program offices, however, were inconsistent in reporting on 
antecedent system costs, with many not reporting any O&S cost data. 
Specifically, 57 (68 percent) of the 84 programs reporting O&S costs 
in the 2010 SAR did not report O&S costs for an antecedent system. It 
was unclear from the SARs how program offices had identified an 
antecedent system or whether, in cases where no antecedent system 
costs were included, the program offices had determined that an 
antecedent system did not exist. 

Nine of the 15 programs in our sample did not report O&S costs for an 
antecedent system in the 2010 SAR. Officials from these program 
offices provided various reasons for not reporting antecedent system 
costs, including that the system was the first of its type or not 
intended to replace any other system, that the system had advanced 
capabilities or no other system was similar enough for comparison, and 
that the system was replacing several legacy systems. As an example, 
Joint MRAP program officials said other systems, such as the High 
Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicle, were too different for cost 
comparisons. As another example, the Navy Multiband Terminal program 
began reporting in the 2006 SAR and has never reported antecedent O&S 
costs. According to program officials, an antecedent system was not 
identified because the system was replacing several legacy weapon 
systems. However, during a joint OSD/Navy SAR review meeting in March 
2011, the program office was instructed to list two systems as 
antecedent systems in the 2010 SAR. While the program identified the 
Super High Frequency and Navy Extremely High Frequency Satellite 
programs as antecedent systems in the O&S section of its SAR, it also 
stated that program costs for these systems were not readily available. 

Some Programs Did Not Report Any O&S Costs: 

The SAR statute requires that all program costs be reported, 
regardless of funding source or management control. However, we found 
that of the 95 major weapon systems that had passed milestone B and 
reported costs in the 2010 SAR,[Footnote 39] 11 (12 percent) did not 
identify any O&S costs in their SARs. The 11 programs, as of December 
2010, accounted for a total estimated investment of $56.7 billion 
(fiscal year 2011 dollars) for research and development, procurement, 
military construction, and acquisition-related operation and 
maintenance (see table 2). Most of the programs that did not report 
O&S costs were modifications to other weapon systems but qualify as 
major defense acquisition programs based on their procurement or 
research and development costs. 

Table 2: Major Weapon System Programs That Did Not Identify O&S Costs 
in Their 2010 SARs: 

Major weapon system: C-5 Avionics Modernization Program; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $1.3 billion. 

Major weapon system: C-5 Reliability Enhancement and Reengineering 
Program; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $7.3 billion. 

Major weapon system: GPS III; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $4.3 billion. 

Major weapon system: Multi-Platform Radar Technology Insertion Program; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $1.4 billion. 

Major weapon system: Airborne Signals Intelligence Payload; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $0.5 billion. 

Major weapon system: Large Aircraft Infrared Countermeasures; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $0.5 billion. 

Major weapon system: B-2 Radar Modernization Program; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $1.3 billion. 

Major weapon system: B-2 Extremely High Frequency Satellite 
Communications; 
Service: Air Force; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $0.6 billion. 

Major weapon system: Apache Block IIIB; 
Service: Army; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $2.2 billion. 

Major weapon system: Chemical Demilitarization--Assembled Chemical 
Weapons Alternatives; 
Service: DOD; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $10.0 billion. 

Major weapon system: Chemical Demilitarization--U.S. Army Chemical 
Materials Agency; 
Service: Army; 
Estimated investment costs[A]: $27.4 billion. 

Source: GAO analysis of 2010 SAR data. 

[A] Costs are in fiscal year 2011 dollars and include costs associated 
with research and development, procurement, military construction, and 
acquisition-related operation and maintenance. 

[End of table] 

Eight of the programs that did not report O&S costs are major 
modifications to, or subsystems of, Air Force weapon systems.[Footnote 
40] When we asked why O&S costs were not reported, officials from six 
Air Force programs said they did not report O&S costs in the 2010 SAR 
because they do not fund or track these costs. For example, officials 
for two programs associated with the C-5 aircraft explained that all 
O&S fleet costs are the responsibility of another entity, the System 
Program Manager at Warner Robins Air Logistics Center in Georgia. 
Program officials for the other two Air Force programs, the B-2 Radar 
Modernization Program and B-2 Extremely High Frequency Satellite 
Communications program, told us that these modification programs were 
expected to reduce O&S costs and they could not input cost reductions 
into DOD's Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval 
system, the database that maintains SAR data. In contrast to these 
modification programs, the Air Force's C-130 Avionics Modernization 
Program did report total estimated O&S costs in the 2010 SAR. 

According to officials, one of the remaining three programs--the 
Army's Apache Block IIIB--was not required to report O&S costs in the 
SAR, as approved by the Defense Acquisition Executive.[Footnote 41] 
The other two programs are the Chemical Demilitarization-Assembled 
Chemical Weapons Alternatives, and the Chemical Demilitarization-U.S. 
Army Chemical Materials Agency. According to the SAR for each program, 
O&S costs are reported in other sections of the reports. For example, 
program officials told us that O&S costs for the Assembled Chemical 
Weapons Alternatives program are captured in research, development, 
test, and evaluation costs. According to program officials, the 
Chemical Demilitarization program is a one-of-a-kind national 
environmental and safety program that is unlike weapon systems that 
report SARs. Further, officials said that the two programs have not 
separately reported any O&S costs since they were designated major 
defense acquisition programs in 1994. 

Program Offices Sometimes Provided Unreliable Life-Cycle O&S Cost 
Estimates in Their SARs: 

SARs are intended to provide Congress with authoritative program 
information on the cost, schedule, and performance of major weapon 
systems, but we found that some programs submitted unreliable O&S cost 
data. More specifically, our review of SAR reports for the 15 programs 
in our sample identified inaccurate cost estimates and other errors in 
SARs submitted in 2007, 2009, and 2010. (As noted earlier, DOD did not 
submit SARs in 2008.) While some of the program offices told us 
specific reasons for the errors, others did not provide an explanation. 

Based on our analysis of O&S cost data reported in the SAR compared 
with the underlying cost estimates and other information provided by 
the program offices, we found that 7 of the 15 programs reported 
inaccurate O&S costs in one or more of the three annual SARs. 

* The F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program office underreported the 
average cost per flying hour for the aircraft in the 2010 SAR. The 
average, steady-state O&S cost per flying hour was reported as $16,425 
(fiscal year 2002 dollars). Program officials told us that the number 
of aircraft used in the estimate for the Air Force's inventory was not 
accurate and the estimate also did not project for future cost growth 
above inflation. The estimate included approximately 528 extra 
aircraft that when calculating the average cost per flying hour, 
resulted in higher flight hours and lower average costs per hour. 
Further, according to the SAR, some of the F-35's O&S costs were 
intentionally excluded from the estimate to enable comparison with the 
antecedent system, the F-16 C/D. Costs for support equipment 
replacement, modifications, and indirect costs were removed from the F-
35's cost per flying hour since they were not available for the F-16 
C/D. Officials calculated that the revised cost per flying hour for 
the F-35 was $23,557 (fiscal year 2002 dollars), or 43 percent higher, 
after including the excluded costs, projecting for future cost growth 
above inflation, and correcting the number of aircraft. However, they 
noted that the total O&S life-cycle cost reported in the SAR for the F-
35 was accurate because it was calculated separately from the average 
cost per flying hour. 

* The Navy Multiband Terminal program office underreported estimated 
life-cycle O&S costs in the 2010 SAR. The program reported $219.1 
million in total O&S costs but excluded an additional $591.3 million 
for externally funded depot-level repairables ($148.4 million) and 
military personnel ($442.9 million), which were included in a 2010 
service cost estimate.[Footnote 42] Therefore, only 27 percent of the 
program's estimated total O&S costs were reported in the 2010 SAR. 
Program officials stated that these costs are not under the control of 
the program office and should not be reported in the SARs. However, 
the SAR statute states that full life-cycle costs, including O&S 
costs, should be reported without regard to funding source or 
management control. 

* The Air Force Joint Primary Aircraft Training System program office 
underreported O&S costs in the 2007 and 2009 SARs, both of which were 
based on a 2001 service cost estimate. The program, which includes the 
T-6 aircraft and a ground-based training system, reported total O&S 
costs of $9.4 billion (fiscal year 2002 dollars) in both SARs but 
excluded $2.1 billion (fiscal year 2002 dollars)--or about 18 percent-
-of O&S costs for the program's ground-based training system. Program 
officials have reported the same O&S costs since the annual 2002 SAR. 
The program, which updated its O&S estimate in 2011, included these 
costs in the total O&S costs reported in the 2010 SAR. 

* The Army's High Mobility Artillery Rocket System program office 
overstated O&S costs in the program's 2007, 2009, and 2010 SARs. 
Although program office estimates were provided to us for the 3 years, 
the estimates did not match the costs reported in the SARs. The O&S 
costs reported in 2007 were higher than the estimate by $11.1 million 
(fiscal year 2003 dollars), and the $988 million (fiscal year 2003 
dollars), reported in both 2009 and 2010, was higher than the 
estimates by about $300 million (fiscal year 2003 dollars), or about 
43 percent. Program officials told us that the costs had been reported 
incorrectly in each year. 

* The JTRS Handheld, Manpack, and Small Form Fit program underreported 
total O&S costs in the annual 2007 SAR. The SAR stated that the O&S 
costs had been updated, but the O&S costs were unchanged from prior 
annual SARs. Program officials also provided us with an estimate that 
matched the numbers reported in the 2007 SAR. When asked why the costs 
had not changed, program officials stated that while the costs for 
procurement and research, development, test, and evaluation were 
correctly updated in 2007, the O&S costs were not. They explained that 
the reported costs of $4.9 billion (fiscal year 2004 dollars) should 
have been higher by $120 million (fiscal year 2004 dollars), but they 
did not provide us the estimate on which that higher amount was based. 

* The Air Force's Navstar GPS program, as noted earlier, did not 
report a life-cycle cost estimate in the annual SARs from 2007 through 
2010. For example, according to the 2010 SAR, the O&S costs reported 
were based on funding for fiscal years 2008 through 2016. Program 
officials confirmed that the O&S amounts reported included actual 
funding for the current year and funding from the Air Force's budget 
system for the remaining years. However, even this amount--about $469 
million (fiscal year 2000 dollars) in 2010, for example--was 
significantly understated. According to program officials, the amount 
reported in the SAR is only 60 percent of the program's actual 
requirements of approximately $782 million--a difference of $313 
million--and the program has historically been funded to 90 percent of 
requirements with supplemental funds. However, this was not noted in 
the SARs. 

* The FBCB2 program underreported total O&S costs in the annual 2007 
through 2010 SARs. As explained earlier, reported O&S costs were 
estimated for the program's final acquisition milestone, full-rate 
production, in 2004. In subsequent years, however, the program's 
procurement quantities increased and were about 305 percent higher in 
the 2010 SAR than the amount used to develop the estimate. Further, 
total O&S costs of $468 million (fiscal year 2005 dollars) reported in 
the SARs were $129 million less than the $596.2 million estimated in 
2004. Officials initially indicated that some of the estimated O&S 
costs were likely included with the program's acquisition costs in the 
SAR, but they were unable to reconcile the costs in the two documents. 

We also found examples of inaccuracies in other data reported in the 
O&S cost section of the SARs. For example, the 2010 SAR for the Joint 
MRAP states that the program's O&S costs were reviewed by CAPE in 
2010, but program officials and prior-year SARs stated that the review 
actually occurred in 2008. Further, neither CAPE nor the program 
office was able to provide any record of the 2008 review. As another 
example, the 2010 SAR for the F-22 indicates that the reported O&S 
costs were based on a 2004 acquisition decision estimate that was 
updated with analyses from 2010 to bring the estimate in line with the 
current approved F-22 production program and operational concepts. 
However, the O&S costs reported are identical to those reported in the 
2009 SAR, which states it was updated based on analyses from 2009. 

Implementation of the GAO-identified best practices already discussed 
could improve the reliability of O&S costs reported in the SARs. 
Together, the best practices work to provide more assurance that the 
correct information is reported. For example, routinely updating O&S 
cost estimates--and related SAR data--will likely require more 
frequent changes to the reported cost data. Therefore, it is less 
probable that an error or omission will be regularly reported. In 
addition, as noted earlier, comparing a program's cost estimate with 
an independent cost estimate, and explaining any significant 
differences, could help decision makers monitor the reasonableness of 
the reported data. Finally, tracking O&S costs over time, by 
presenting the current year and prior-year program cost estimates and 
explaining significant differences, would also help to test the 
reasonableness of reported costs. 

DOD Could Improve O&S Cost Reporting with Detailed Implementation 
Guidance and a More Effective SAR Review Process: 

DOD's reports to Congress on estimated weapon system O&S costs were 
often inconsistent and sometimes unreliable due to a lack of detailed 
implementation guidance for reporting these costs. In addition, DOD's 
process for reviewing the O&S cost sections of the SAR prior to final 
submission did not provide assurance that the program offices reported 
costs uniformly, to the extent practicable, and that these reported 
costs were reliable. In the absence of improvements to the SAR 
guidance and to DOD's review process, deficiencies in reporting 
estimated life-cycle O&S costs are likely to continue. 

DOD's existing implementation guidance collectively provides minimal, 
and in some areas conflicting, instructions for O&S cost reporting. 
For example, the guidance does not identify which cost estimate or 
estimates should be used to report O&S costs when more than one 
estimate is available. Often multiple cost estimates are prepared by 
the program office, the service, and CAPE to support acquisition 
decisions. Further, DOD officials stated that O&S costs reported in 
the SAR should be updated only at acquisition milestones. Because many 
years may pass between these milestones, however, reported O&S costs 
may become outdated, no longer reflecting the status of the current 
acquisition program. 

DOD's guidance also provides very little detail on how program offices 
should discuss assumptions underlying the cost estimate. DOD's draft 
SAR policy, for example, only mentions several assumptions for 
consideration, such as operating tempo, expected reliability and 
maintainability of the system, the maintenance concept, and manning 
and logistics policies, and does not provide specific examples. In 
addition, the statutory SAR requirement to report all program costs, 
regardless of funding source or management control, is reflected in 
none of DOD's SAR implementation guidance; it is reflected in training 
course materials on using the Defense Acquisition Management 
Information Retrieval system. Finally, DOD's draft SAR policy provides 
conflicting instructions on cost reporting for antecedent systems. The 
draft policy states that antecedent costs should be reported "whenever 
those costs have previously been developed." However, in the appendix, 
the draft guidance states that O&S costs will be reported for 
antecedent systems "when the replacement system is required to report 
O&S costs." DOD officials could not explain the reason for this 
variance in the guidance. 

While some program offices we contacted indicated that DOD's 
implementation guidance on reporting O&S costs in the SAR was 
sufficient, officials from several program offices in our sample 
indicated that more detailed guidance would be helpful when they 
prepare their annual SAR submissions. These officials stated that 
there was minimal guidance provided on what should be included in the 
O&S narrative and that there needed to be more consistency in SAR O&S 
reporting. Additionally, they explained that the current guidance is 
vague, unclear, open to interpretation, and does not provide useful 
information or examples for how programs should be reporting these 
costs. Officials from one program also stated that there is no 
direction on the comparison of program costs to the antecedent 
system's costs, so the approach to making this comparison is open to 
interpretation. They noted that the guidance does not specify whether 
the program office should alter the weapon system's O&S costs to 
enable a true comparison with the costs for the antecedent system, or 
whether the weapon system's O&S costs should be reported without 
modification. Finally, while several program offices told us that the 
Defense Acquisition University provides useful training on acquisition 
reporting in general, they said that the materials should be more 
readily available as program representatives could not always attend 
the class and that the O&S section of the SAR was not covered 
sufficiently. 

The SAR data submitted by program offices are subject to multiple 
reviews within the military services and by OSD, but this review 
process has not provided assurance that O&S costs are reported 
consistently and reliably. Although our review did not include a full 
evaluation of DOD's SAR review process, OSD officials explained that 
once they receive the SAR submissions, there is a relatively short 
amount of time to review the SAR O&S data. For example, according to 
the SAR review schedule, the Office of the Assistant Secretary of 
Defense (Logistics and Materiel Readiness) usually has about a week to 
review the O&S cost submissions. We also noted that "SAR review 
guidance" that is included with the annual memorandum on preparing 
SARs does not provide additional direction to the program offices on 
what to include in their O&S cost submissions. In some cases, the 
annual memorandum is less specific than the draft SAR policy. The 
deficiencies in DOD's implementation guidance likely hinder the 
effective review of SAR O&S cost information at all levels. 

The department's emphasis on weapon system O&S costs has been 
increasing in recent years,[Footnote 43] but the primary focus 
continues to be on acquisition costs. According to OSD acquisition 
officials, the SAR started as--and is still often viewed as--primarily 
an acquisition report. This perspective was reflected in comments from 
some program officials. For example, officials at one program office 
told us that, due to a constantly changing acquisition program, their 
time was largely spent on estimating acquisition costs. Another 
program office noted that the focus of the SAR statute was acquisition 
costs and that O&S costs will vary based on emerging needs. Several 
other programs indicated that O&S cost estimating was not particularly 
useful, as their systems had not yet entered into production or 
sustainment, and actual cost data were either not yet available or 
could not be obtained by the program office. Finally, other program 
offices stated that since they do not fund the support of the weapon 
system, the O&S cost estimates should be done by the organizations 
responsible for providing this funding. 

Conclusions: 

Without more consistent and reliable reporting of estimated weapon 
system O&S costs, Congress and senior DOD officials may have limited 
visibility of information needed to effectively oversee the full life-
cycle costs associated with weapon system acquisitions. Improvements 
in the reporting of these data could provide a more complete picture 
of the potential total financial commitment being made to these 
systems over a period lasting many decades. SAR cost estimates are 
reported early during acquisition, when there is the greatest chance 
for managing or reducing future O&S costs. By facilitating inquiries 
on changes from prior cost estimates and cost drivers, such 
information could affect acquisition investment decisions and result 
in tradeoffs that otherwise might not be considered. Furthermore, 
improvements to SAR reporting would be consistent with a provision in 
the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012 directing 
DOD to take actions aimed at better assessing, managing, and 
controlling weapon system O&S costs. 

Recommendations for Executive Action: 

To improve visibility over estimated life-cycle O&S costs during 
weapon system acquisition, we recommend that the Secretary of Defense 
take the following two actions. 

First, we recommend that the Secretary of Defense direct the Under 
Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics to 
revise DOD's guidance for implementing statutory SAR requirements. The 
revisions, at a minimum, should provide additional detail on the 
following areas: 

* the explanatory information that should be included in the O&S 
narrative, including the specific assumptions underlying the cost 
estimate; 

* the source to be used as the basis for reported O&S cost estimate 
information, especially when more than one source is available (such 
as a program office cost estimate, service cost estimate, and CAPE 
independent cost estimate); 

* a consistent unit of measure for reporting average costs over time 
by commodity type--or other designated weapon system group--as agreed 
to by OSD and the services; 

* criteria for identifying an antecedent system and reporting on the 
results of the cost comparison in the SAR; and: 

* reporting O&S costs for major modifications to existing weapon 
systems. 

In revising the guidance, the Under Secretary of Defense should 
incorporate best practices for preparing and presenting cost 
estimates, including: 

* a comparison of current-year to prior-year O&S cost estimates; the 
identification of cost drivers that resulted in changes in these 
estimates, if significant; and the level of detail that should be 
reported; 

* a comparison of the reported cost estimate with the most recent 
independent cost estimate, along with an explanation of any 
significant differences between the two estimates; and: 

* The frequency with which O&S costs reported in the SAR should be 
updated, including guidance on what changes in the program's status 
should trigger an update. 

Second, we also recommend that the Secretary of Defense direct that 
the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and 
Logistics, in conjunction with the Secretaries of the Army, the Air 
Force, and the Navy, evaluate the current review process, identify any 
weaknesses, and institute corrective actions as needed to provide 
greater assurance that estimated life-cycle O&S costs included in the 
SAR reports submitted by program offices consistently follow the 
implementation guidance, including any revisions to the guidance as 
described above, and report reliable cost data. As part of this 
evaluation, DOD should consider whether additional steps are necessary 
for the department to enhance the emphasis placed on reporting 
estimated life-cycle O&S costs in the SAR. 

Agency Comments and Our Evaluation: 

DOD provided comments on a draft of this report. In its comments, DOD 
agreed with both of our recommendations. The department's written 
comments are reprinted in appendix III. DOD also provided technical 
comments that we have incorporated into this report where appropriate. 

In concurring with our first recommendation to revise DOD's guidance 
for implementing statutory SAR requirements, DOD noted that the focus 
of the SAR has always been primarily on acquisition rather than 
sustainment. DOD further stated that Congress, in requiring DOD to add 
O&S costs to the SAR report, did not intend for DOD to develop O&S 
costs for each submission but to report the latest available estimate 
for the program. Our report recognizes that the development of new O&S 
cost estimates is not required for each annual SAR submission. 
However, these costs represent a significant proportion of a system's 
total costs over its life cycle. Moreover, we found that the timing of 
updates to the O&S costs reported in the SAR varied widely, as DOD has 
not identified what changes in a program's status--other than 
established acquisition milestones, which can be many years apart--
should trigger such updates. We also continue to believe that DOD 
needs to clearly identify the source and date of the O&S cost estimate 
data reported in the SAR. Our recommendations reflect these and other 
weaknesses in the current reporting of O&S costs. 

DOD's comments identified actions it plans to take to implement our 
recommendations. DOD stated that it will expand and update its current 
guidance for the O&S cost section of the SAR, as contained in the 
Defense Acquisition Guidebook. DOD plans to make revisions 
specifically with regard to assumptions and ground rules (e.g., the 
source and date of the estimate reported); a consistent unit of 
measure for reporting O&S costs for each type of commodity; 
identifying, and reporting on, antecedent systems; and reporting O&S 
costs for major modifications. These planned revisions to the guidance 
are positive steps. We plan to monitor DOD's actions as part of our 
recommendation follow-up process. 

Regarding other revisions to the guidance that we recommend to 
incorporate best practices for O&S cost reporting, DOD stated that the 
department is not yet in a position to add a credible O&S cost 
variance analysis. Although DOD does not define what it means by "cost 
variance analysis," it is reasonable to expect that such analysis 
would involve comparing changes from a previous cost estimate and 
identifying any significant cost drivers. DOD noted that it is 
implementing new O&S-related requirements from the National Defense 
Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012, as well as previous 
requirements from the Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act of 2009, 
including requirements that deal with cost variance analysis. DOD 
stated that it is premature to determine to what extent DOD's 
implementation of these requirements will affect the reporting of O&S 
costs in the SAR. With these and other ongoing activities related to 
the management and control of O&S costs, DOD would prefer to defer 
these additional reporting requirements for the SAR for now. 

We are aware that DOD has a number of ongoing activities to improve 
the management and control of O&S costs and must respond to several 
new requirements, as stated in DOD's comments. For example, the O&S-
related guidance required by the National Defense Authorization Act 
for Fiscal Year 2012 must be issued within 180 days from the date the 
Act was enacted, which was December 31, 2011. If such activities 
result in improved visibility of O&S costs within the department, and 
DOD coordinates these activities with efforts to improve O&S cost 
reporting in the SAR, then we agree that it may be preferable to delay 
implementation of the best practices we recommend in our report. 
However, we continue to believe that these best practices, when 
implemented, will provide better information on the current status and 
direction of long-term O&S costs and thus can improve congressional 
oversight of weapon system costs. Therefore, these elements of our 
recommendation remain valid. 

DOD also concurred with our second recommendation to evaluate and make 
any changes needed to strengthen its current process for reviewing O&S 
cost reporting prior to submission of SARs to Congress. In its 
comments, DOD cited actions it would take in the short term to improve 
the review of O&S costs prior to submission of SAR reports at the end 
of March 2012. DOD stated that the O&S cost section will be given 
additional emphasis during this reporting period. Subsequently, DOD 
will convene a joint OSD/DOD component working group that will 
evaluate the current SAR review process, identify any weaknesses, and 
institute corrective actions as needed to improve the data quality for 
the estimated life-cycle O&S costs reported in the SAR. We believe 
these actions, when implemented, will meet the intent of our 
recommendation. 

We are sending copies of this report to interested congressional 
committees; the Secretary of Defense; the Secretaries of the Army, the 
Navy, and the Air Force; the Acting Under Secretary of Defense for 
Acquisition, Technology and Logistics; and the Director, Office of 
Management and Budget. In addition, the report will be available at no 
charge on the GAO website at [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov]. 

If you or your staff have any questions concerning this report, please 
contact me at (404) 679-1808 or russellc@gao.gov. Contact points for 
our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found 
on the last page of this report. Key contributors are listed in 
appendix IV. 

Signed by: 

Cary B. Russell: 
Acting Director, Defense Capabilities and Management: 

[End of section] 

Appendix I: Scope and Methodology: 

To determine the extent to which the selected acquisition reports 
(SAR) provide consistent and reliable operating and support (O&S) cost 
estimate information that enables effective oversight of major weapon 
system costs, we reviewed statutory requirements in 10 U.S.C. § 2432 
for reporting weapon system life-cycle costs in the SARs, as well as 
Department of Defense (DOD) implementation guidance for the SAR. We 
also reviewed DOD guidance for preparing weapon system O&S costs and 
GAO-identified cost-estimating best practices to identify the scope 
and nature of cost estimate information needed for effective program 
management and oversight. 

We interviewed and obtained documentation from DOD and military 
service officials responsible for weapon system acquisition, 
logistics, and cost analysis to understand DOD's approach and process 
for reporting O&S cost estimates in the SARs. Offices we contacted 
included the following: 

* Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology 
and Logistics: 

- Office of the Director, Acquisition Resources and Analysis: 

- Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Materiel 
Readiness: 

* Office of the Director, Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation: 

* Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Army, Cost and 
Economics: 

* Naval Center for Cost Analysis: 

* Air Force Cost Analysis Agency: 

We obtained SARs for all 95 weapon systems that reported a December 
2010 SAR.[Footnote 44] These reports were contained in the Defense 
Acquisition Management Information Retrieval system, which is a web-
based system used within DOD to collect and maintain SAR information 
submitted by program offices. We determined that the data in this 
system accurately reflected information submitted by weapon system 
program offices and therefore were sufficiently reliable for the 
purposes of our analysis. After determining that a total of 84 of the 
95 weapon systems included O&S costs in their December 2010 SARs, we 
analyzed the annual SARs that were submitted for these systems between 
2005 through 2010.[Footnote 45] Specifically, we analyzed the SARs to 
determine the types and scope of explanatory information included in 
the O&S narrative accompanying the cost estimate data; the source of 
the O&S cost estimate cited as the basis for the reported costs; the 
units of measure used to present O&S costs; the frequency that O&S 
costs were updated from year to year; and the extent to which O&S 
costs for antecedent systems were reported. We compared the SARs 
across each of these categories to determine the extent to which 
information was reported consistently across all 84 weapon systems. 

From the population of 84 weapon systems that included O&S cost 
estimates in the 2010 SARs, we selected a sample of 15 weapon systems 
for further analysis.[Footnote 46] We designed the sample to ensure 
that a range of weapon systems were represented based on commodity 
type and service responsible for managing the program. We selected 
three or four weapon systems per service and at least one commodity 
type within each service for a total sample size of 15.[Footnote 47] 
We also examined the distribution of weapon systems' total costs 
across our sample selection in terms of both dollars and the upper and 
lower 50 percent of weapon systems that reported O&S costs in the 2010 
SAR. We determined that the sample contained an adequate mix of high-
and low-dollar weapon systems for our purposes. The results from this 
nonprobability sample cannot be used to make inferences about all 
major weapon systems because the sample may not reflect all 
characteristics of the population. The 15 programs in our sample are 
shown in table 3. 

Table 3: Major Weapon Systems in GAO's Nonprobability Sample: 

Service: Army; 
Major weapon system: 1. Force XXI Battle Command Brigade and Below; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Service: Army; 
Major weapon system: 2. High Mobility Artillery Rocket System; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Service: Army; 
Major weapon system: 3. MQ-1C Unmanned Aircraft System Gray Eagle; 
Commodity type: Aircraft. 

Service: Navy; 
Major weapon system: 4. Joint Mine Resistant Ambush Protected; 
Commodity type: Land. 

Service: Navy; 
Major weapon system: 5. LHA 6 America Class; 
Commodity type: Ship. 

Service: Navy; 
Major weapon system: 6. Navy Multiband Terminal; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Service: Navy; 
Major weapon system: 7. V-22 Joint Services Advanced Vertical Lift 
Aircraft (Osprey); 
Commodity type: Aircraft. 

Service: Air Force; 
Major weapon system: 8. F-22 Raptor; 
Commodity type: Aircraft. 

Service: Air Force; 
Major weapon system: 9. Joint Primary Aircraft Training System; 
Commodity type: Aircraft. 

Service: Air Force; 
Major weapon system: 10. Navstar Global Positioning System; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Service: Air Force; 
Major weapon system: 11. National Polar-orbiting Operational 
Environmental Satellite System; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Service: DOD; 
Major weapon system: 12. Airborne and Maritime/Fixed Station Joint 
Tactical Radio System; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Service: DOD; 
Major weapon system: 13. F-35 Joint Strike Fighter; 
Commodity type: Aircraft. 

Service: DOD; 
Major weapon system: 14. Joint Tactical Radio System Ground Mobile 
Radios; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Service: DOD; 
Major weapon system: 15. Joint Tactical Radio System Handheld, 
Manpack, and Small Form Fit; 
Commodity type: Other. 

Source: GAO analysis of 2010 SAR data. 

[End of table] 

Through a data collection instrument, interviews, and other contacts, 
we obtained information from the 15 program offices on the O&S costs 
they had reported in the SAR, including the cost estimates, where 
available, that formed the basis for their reported costs. We compared 
the cost estimates used to develop SAR O&S costs, as well as any 
additional cost estimates that had been developed for the weapon 
systems, to the O&S costs reported in the SARs. We interviewed program 
officials about the reasons for any discrepancies we identified 
between the SAR O&S costs and the cost estimates. For those weapon 
systems that did not include O&S cost estimates in the 2010 SARs, we 
contacted the individual program offices to obtain information about 
the reasons why these costs were not included. These programs are 
listed in table 2 of the report. 

We conducted this performance audit from February 2011 to February 
2012 in accordance with generally accepted government auditing 
standards. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit 
to obtain sufficient, appropriate evidence to provide a reasonable 
basis for our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. 
We believe that the evidence obtained provides a reasonable basis for 
our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. 

[End of section] 

Appendix II: DOD's Guidance Implementing the Statutory SAR 
Requirements: 

This appendix provides additional information on DOD's guidance that 
implements the statutory SAR requirements in 10 U.S.C. § 2432. 

DOD has issued various guidance documents that implement the statutory 
SAR requirements. DOD Instruction 5000.02,[Footnote 48] which 
addresses the operation of the defense acquisition system, includes 
guidance on SARs that is similar to the basic statutory requirements 
in 10 U.S.C. § 2432. The guidance, for example, states that SARs 
should be submitted at program initiation (normally milestone B except 
for some ship programs) or at the time that the program is designated 
as a major defense acquisition program. It reiterates that programs 
shall report annually, with the exception of quarterly reports that 
are required when acquisition costs increase or schedules slip. 
Further, the instruction requires the submission of quarterly SARs 
after the program rebaselining that occurs after a major milestone 
decision (i.e., milestone C or milestones B and C for some ship 
programs). 

Another source of guidance on SAR reporting is the Defense Acquisition 
Guidebook,[Footnote 49] which describes discretionary best practices 
for acquisition professionals to consider while meeting various 
reporting requirements throughout the acquisition process. The 
guidebook contains a section summarizing the statutory requirements 
for SAR content and submission and reiterates that a full life-cycle 
analysis of costs should be reported for programs, including each 
evolutionary increment, as available, and for antecedent programs, if 
applicable. 

DOD's SAR policy,[Footnote 50] issued in draft in 2006 and never 
finalized, further identifies information that should be included in 
the O&S cost section of the SAR. According to the draft policy, 
programs that have reached milestone B should report the most recent 
estimate of O&S costs, such as those developed for service cost 
reviews and acquisition milestone decisions, and should include both 
the source and date of this estimate in the SAR. Average annual O&S 
costs should be reported in constant, base-year dollars in a unit of 
measure (for example, cost per aircraft, squadron, or wing) determined 
by the service. The draft policy further states that assumptions 
underlying the estimate should be included. Operating tempo, expected 
reliability and maintainability of the system, maintenance concept, 
and manning and logistics policies are provided as examples of the 
estimate assumptions that should be included in the SAR. Finally, the 
draft policy states that programs should report the total estimated 
O&S costs, and estimate assumptions, for an antecedent system if one 
has been identified and these costs were previously developed for that 
system. 

Each year the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology 
and Logistics issues a memorandum to the military services that 
provides guidance for preparing the annual SARs, including 
instructions for programs that have reached milestone B and are 
required to report O&S costs.[Footnote 51] For fiscal years 2007, 
2009, and 2010, this annual guidance states that programs should 
report total estimated O&S costs in both constant and then-year 
dollars, and that the assumptions that formed the basis of the 
estimate and the date of the estimate should be included. Further, 
programs should report an average unit of measure (e.g., average 
annual cost per squadron, average annual cost per system) for the O&S 
costs of both the current weapon system and the antecedent system in 
constant dollars. If there is no antecedent system, this should be 
stated in the narrative of the O&S cost section. If there is an 
antecedent system but the data are not currently available, the 
antecedent system should be identified in the narrative, along with a 
statement that the required data are not available (e.g., "the O&S 
costs for the antecedent system are not currently available, but will 
be provided in the next SAR"). Finally, programs should explain in the 
narrative how the average annual costs were calculated using the 
estimated O&S cost total. 

Finally, DOD has developed instructions[Footnote 52] and training for 
entering SAR data into the Defense Acquisition Management Information 
Retrieval system. DOD instructions for entering SAR data into the 
system generally align with the 2006 draft policy. The Defense 
Acquisition University offers SAR training on using this system. 
According to Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) officials, the 
primary class, Acquisition Reporting for Major Defense Acquisition 
Programs and Major Automated Information Systems, is usually offered 
in January and October. During the 4-day class, participants receive 
step-by-step instruction on report preparation using the system's web 
application. The training materials include basic SAR O&S cost 
reporting information. For example, estimate assumptions should be 
reported, calculation of average costs from total O&S costs should be 
provided, and costs should always be updated at major acquisition 
milestones. The training materials reiterate that costs should include 
both direct and indirect costs, regardless of funding source or 
management control. 

[End of section] 

Appendix III: Comments from the Department of Defense: 

Assistant Secretary Of Defense: 
Logistics and Materiel Readiness: 
3500 Defense Pentagon: 
Washington, DC 20301-3500: 

January 27, 2012: 

Mr. Cary B. Russell: 
Director, Defense Capabilities and Management: 
U.S. Government Accountability Office: 
441 G Street, N.W. 
Washington, DC 20548: 

Dear Mr. Russell: 

This is the Department of Defense (DoD) response to the GAO draft report
GAO-12-340, "Defense Logistics: Improvements Needed to Enhance
Oversight of Estimated Long-Term Costs for Operating and Supporting 
Major Weapon Systems," dated December 21, 2011 (GAO Code 351582). 
Detailed comments on the report recommendations are enclosed. 

Sincerely, 

Signed by: 

Alan Estevez: 

Enclosure: As stated. 

[End of letter] 

GAO Draft Report Dated December 21, 2011: 
GAO-12-340 (GAO Code 351582): 

"Defense Logistics: Improvements Needed To Enhance Oversight Of 
Estimated Long-Term Costs For Operating And Supporting Major Weapon 
Systems" 

Department Of Defense Comments To The GAO Recommendations: 

Recommendation 1: To improve visibility over estimated life-cycle O&S 
costs during weapon system acquisition, GAO recommends that the 
Secretary of Defense direct the Under Secretary of Defense for 
Acquisition, Technology and Logistics to revise DoD's guidance for 
implementing statutory SAR requirements. The revisions, at minimum, 
should provide additional detail regarding the following areas: 

* The explanatory information that should be included in the O&S 
narrative, including the specific assumptions underlying the cost 
estimate. 

* The source to be used as the basis for reported O&S cost estimate 
information, especially when more than one source is available (such 
as a program office cost estimate, service cost estimate, and CAPE 
independent cost estimate). 

* A consistent unit of measure for reporting average costs over time 
by commodity type — or other designated weapon system group — as 
agreed to by OSD and the services. 

* Criteria for identifying an antecedent system and reporting on the 
results of the cost comparison in the SAR. 

* Reporting O&S costs for major modifications to existing weapon 
systems. 

In revising the guidance, the Under Secretary of Defense should 
incorporate best practices for preparing and presenting cost 
estimates, including: 

* A comparison of current year to prior year O&S cost estimates; the 
identification of cost drivers that resulted in changes in these 
estimates, if significant; and the level of detail that should be 
reported. 

* A comparison of the reported cost estimate with the most recent 
independent cost estimate, along with an explanation of any 
significant differences between the two estimates. 

* The frequency with which O&S costs reported in the SAR should be 
updated, including guidance on what changes in the program's status 
should trigger an update. 

DoD Response: Concur with comment. Since 1969, when the Department 
first began submitting Selected Acquisition Reports to Congress, the 
report has always been primarily an acquisition, not a sustainment, 
report. When Congress added O&S costs to the SAR in 1985, it was made 
clear in the legislative history that the Department should not 
develop O&S cost estimates for each submission but report the latest 
available estimate for the program. Unlike the acquisition portion of 
the SAR that is updated with each submission to reflect actual costs 
expended, funds budgeted, and current projections of costs to go, the 
O&S section of the SAR reports only estimates of O&S costs. Therefore, 
since inception, the O&S costs in the SAR represent the latest 
available estimate from the DoD cost community. 

The Department concurs with the GAO recommendation to expand and 
update the current guidance for the O&S cost section of the SAR, which 
is contained in the Defense Acquisition Guidebook (DAG). DoD will 
revise this guidance for the DAG to include the following: 

* More specific direction as to what to include in Assumptions and 
Ground Rules (e.g., source and date of estimate reported). 

* A consistent unit of measure for unitizing O&S costs for each 
commodity. [The December 2011 SAR guidance has already directed that 
DoD Components transition to uniform units of measure for each 
commodity.] 

* Additional criteria for identifying and reporting antecedent 
systems. [DoD will retain the longstanding definition of an antecedent 
being one that is replaced by the weapon system.] 

* Reporting O&S costs for major modifications. [The guidance will 
reflect our current practice of only reporting significant 
differential O&S costs for modification programs.] 

However, the Department is not in a position to add a credible O&S 
cost variance analysis to the SAR at this time. DoD is currently 
implementing detailed O&S — related legislation contained in
Section 832 of the FY 2012 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) 
and previously from the Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act of 2009. 
A portion of this legislation deals with recording the reasons for O&S 
cost variances, as well as the requirement for establishing periodic 
updates of O&S cost estimates throughout the life cycle of a weapon 
system. It is premature to determine to what extent DoD's 
implementation of this new legislation will involve the preexisting 
requirement for reporting O&S costs in the SAR. There is a wide range 
of ongoing activities related to the management and control of O&S 
costs that exist within or internal to the Department. In order to 
reduce any duplicative efforts, we would prefer to defer these 
additional reporting requirements for the SAR for now. 

Recommendation 2: GAO also recommends that the Secretary of Defense 
direct that the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, 
Technology, and Logistics, in conjunction with the Secretaries of the 
Army, the Air Force, and the Navy, evaluate the current review 
process, identify any weaknesses, and institute corrective actions as 
needed to provide greater assurance that estimated life-cycle O&S 
costs included in the SAR reports submitted by program offices 
consistently follow the implementation guidance, including any 
revisions to the guidance as described above, and report reliable cost 
data. As part of this evaluation, DoD should consider whether 
additional steps are necessary for the department to enhance the 
emphasis placed on reporting estimated life-cycle O&S costs in the SAR. 

Don Response: Concur. The Department is continually seeking to improve 
the review processes for the SAR. For the December 2011 SAR reporting 
period, we plan to have an O&S subject matter expert from the Office 
of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Logistics and Materiel 
Readiness attend each of the joint Office of the Secretary of Defense 
(OSD)/DoD Component program reviews. These detailed reviews will be 
conducted in early March 2012 to incorporate all OSD comments into the 
SARs prior to their submission to Congress on March 29, 2012. The O&S 
cost section will be given additional emphasis during this reporting 
period. 

Subsequent to the issuance of updated SAR guidance and the lessons 
learned from the increased focus on O&S costs reported in the December 
2011 SARs, the Department will convene a Joint OSD/DoD Component 
working group that will evaluate the current SAR review process, 
identify any weaknesses, and institute corrective actions, as needed, 
to improve data quality for the estimated life cycle O&S costs 
reported in the SAR. 

[End of section] 

Appendix IV: GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments: 

GAO Contact: 

Cary B. Russell, (404) 679-1808 or russellc@gao.gov: 

Staff Acknowledgments: 

In addition to the contact name above, the following staff members 
made key contributions to this report: Tom Gosling, Assistant 
Director; Kristine Hassinger; Susannah Hawthorne; Charles Perdue; 
Janine Prybyla; William M. Solis; and Erik Wilkins-McKee. 

[End of section] 

Footnotes: 

[1] According to DOD officials, O&S costs generally range from 60 to 
80 percent of a weapon system's total costs, depending on the weapon 
system type. DOD previously estimated that weapon system product 
support costs in fiscal year 2008 were at least $132 billion. 
According to DOD, product support encompasses materiel management, 
distribution, technical data management, maintenance, training, 
cataloging, configuration management, engineering support, repair 
parts management, failure reporting and analysis, and reliability 
growth. Under this definition, product support does not include all 
the costs categorized as O&S costs. 

[2] These costs are expressed in then-year dollars. Estimated O&S 
costs in fiscal year 2002 dollars were about $420.3 billion. 

[3] Major defense acquisition programs are those estimated by the 
Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics 
to require an eventual total expenditure, including all planned 
increments, of more than $365 million for research, development, test, 
and evaluation, based on fiscal year 2000 constant dollars 
(approximately $509 million in fiscal year 2010 dollars), $2.190 
billion for procurement, based on fiscal year 2000 constant dollars 
(approximately $3.054 billion in fiscal year 2010 dollars), or are 
designated as a major defense acquisition program by the Milestone 
Decision Authority. 10 U.S.C. § 2430; Under Secretary of Defense for 
Acquisition, Technology and Logistics Directive-Type Memorandum (DTM) 
09-027-Implementation of the Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act of 
2009, attachment 1, para. 13 (Dec. 4, 2009). 

[4] Department of Defense Authorization Act, 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-145, 
§ 1201 (1985). 

[5] See National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1991, Pub. 
L. No. 101-510, § 1407(b) (1990); Federal Acquisition Streamlining Act 
of 1994, Pub. L. No. 103-355, § 3002(c) (1994). 

[6] Pub. L. No. 111-23 (2009). 

[7] GAO, Defense Management: DOD Needs Better Information and Guidance 
to More Effectively Manage and Reduce Operating and Support Costs of 
Major Weapon Systems, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-717] (Washington, D.C.: July 20, 
2010). 

[8] Pub. L. No. 112-81, § 832 (2011). 

[9] DOD did not report annual SARs for 2008. In addition, because some 
of the weapon systems began reporting SARs at some point during this 
time period, our analysis for such systems only dates back to their 
initial SAR report. 

[10] Our original sample included 16 weapon systems. However, one 
system, the Army's Increment 1 Early-Infantry Brigade Combat Team, was 
subsequently canceled. 

[11] We categorized systems as aircraft, ship, ground, or "other" 
(e.g., missile programs and command and control systems). 

[12] SARs for the second, third, and fourth quarters of a fiscal year, 
known as quarterly SARs, are not required for a program if a report on 
the program was included in a previous SAR for that fiscal year and 
during the period since that report the program has not experienced 
cost increases or schedule delays beyond certain thresholds. 

[13] This stage of acquisition is now called engineering and 
manufacturing development. 

[14] DOD Instruction 5000.02, Operation of the Defense Acquisition 
System (Dec. 8, 2008). 

[15] DOD, Defense Acquisition Guidebook (2011). 

[16] OSD, Selected Acquisition Report (draft) (2006). Although issued 
in draft, the policy was never issued in final form. 

[17] At the time we conducted our review, the most recent annual 
guidance was issued in January 2011. Under Secretary of Defense for 
Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, Memorandum for Assistant 
Secretaries of the Military Services, December 2010 Selected 
Acquisition Reports (SARs) Guidance (Jan. 14, 2011). 

[18] Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and 
Logistics, SAR Data Entry Instructions (draft) (Nov. 5, 2010). 

[19] Throughout the report, we collectively refer to all of DOD's SAR 
guidance as DOD's implementation guidance, including the draft SAR 
policy. 

[20] DOD's acquisition process includes a series of decision 
milestones as the systems enter different stages of development and 
production. As part of the process, the DOD component or joint program 
office responsible for the acquisition program is required to prepare 
life-cycle cost estimates, which include O&S costs, to support these 
decision milestones and other reviews. Key decision milestones include 
milestone B, which approves entry into the engineering and 
manufacturing development phase, and milestone C, which approves entry 
into the production and deployment phase, including low-rate initial 
production. Continuation into full-rate production occurs after the 
full-rate production decision review is held. In conjunction with a 
milestone decision, a program may be rebaselined, which means that the 
cost, quantity, schedule, and performance goals are changed to reflect 
the current status. 

[21] Training materials from the Defense Acquisition University 
similarly reflect that the estimate developed for the latest 
acquisition milestone should be reported in the SAR. However, the 
draft SAR policy differs in that it calls for reporting the "most 
recent" estimate of life-cycle O&S costs. 

[22] The guidance directs program offices to report total estimated 
O&S costs in constant dollars as well as then-year dollars, and to 
report average costs in constant dollars. Constant dollars measure the 
value of purchased goods and services at price levels which are the 
same as the base year and, unlike then-year dollars, do not contain 
any adjustments for inflationary changes that have occurred or are 
forecasted to occur outside the base year. 

[23] An "antecedent system" is defined by DOD as one that has been 
replaced by another due to obsolescence (technical or otherwise). 

[24] OSD, Operating and Support Cost Estimating Guide (October 2007). 

[25] GAO, GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide: Best Practices for 
Developing and Managing Capital Program Costs, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-3SP] (Washington, D.C.: March 2009). 

[26] The annual SAR is dated at the end of the calendar year that just 
ended because it is the first quarterly SAR of the fiscal year. For 
example, the annual SAR prepared and reported in early calendar year 
2011 is dated December 2010. 

[27] A Program Executive Officer is the military or civilian official 
who has responsibility for directing the acquisition of several major 
weapon systems, as well as other acquisition programs. This individual 
reports to and receives guidance and direction from the service 
acquisition executive. 

[28] Unit-level consumption is an O&S cost category that includes a 
number of subelements such as the cost of fuel and energy resources; 
operations, maintenance, and support materials consumed at the unit 
level; depot-level reparable spares (individual parts, subassemblies, 
or assemblies) required for recurring repair; operational munitions 
expended in training; transportation in support of deployed unit 
training; temporary additional duty/temporary duty pay; and other unit-
level consumption costs, such as purchased services (e.g., equipment 
leases and service contracts). 

[29] OSD's inflation indices are published annually and are used to 
develop cost estimates. 

[30] GAO, Best Practices: Setting Requirements Differently Could 
Reduce Weapon Systems' Total Ownership Costs, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-03-57] (Washington, D.C.: Feb. 11, 
2003). 

[31] An acquisition program baseline quantifies key parameters for the 
performance, cost, and schedule of a program throughout the 
acquisition phase. 

[32] According to our Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide, an 
independent cost estimate is the most rigorous form of independent 
review; however, other independent reviews are also useful for 
decision making. 

[33] With regard to cost per flying hour, DOD officials explained that 
there are numerous formulas used throughout DOD. Thus, while several 
aircraft system program offices reported average cost per flying hour, 
they may not have used comparable data and calculation methodologies. 

[34] Training materials from the Defense Acquisition University 
similarly reflect that the estimate developed for the latest 
acquisition milestone should be reported in the SAR. However, as noted 
earlier, the draft SAR policy differs in that it calls for reporting 
the "most recent" estimate of program O&S costs. 

[35] As noted earlier, a number of programs did not include the date 
of the cost estimate used in the December 2010 SAR. 

[36] Because the annual SAR reporting process occurs in the calendar 
year after the date of the SAR, a cost estimate that was completed in 
early 2011 could be used to report costs in the 2010 SAR. 

[37] One of the programs that did not update O&S costs between 2005 
and 2010 only started reporting annual SARs in 2009 and did not update 
the costs in 2010. Also, one of the programs that updated annually--
the Navstar GPS--reported the program's current funding and projected 
requirements for an 8-year period instead of a life-cycle O&S cost 
estimate. 

[38] The O&S costs reported in the FBCB2's 2006 SAR are different than 
those reported in the 2005 SAR. However, program officials told us 
that this was a mistake and the costs had not actually been updated. 
This case is discussed further later in our report. 

[39] One program submitted a 2010 SAR but had not yet passed 
acquisition milestone B. 

[40] These modifications are considered major defense acquisition 
programs in development and are therefore required to report submit 
SARs. 

[41] The O&S costs of the Apache Block IIIB are captured in the SAR 
for the Apache Block IIIA Remanufacture program. According to program 
officials, the programs were originally a single program but at 
milestone C the decision was made to split them into two separate 
programs. The Defense Acquisition Executive approved the reporting of 
O&S costs in the Apache Block IIIA Remanufacture SAR only. SARs for 
both programs note that the O&S costs are reported in the Apache Block 
IIIA Remanufacture SAR, but the costs are not broken out between the 
two programs. 

[42] The excluded costs in the service cost estimate were expressed 
only in then-year dollars, rather than constant dollars. Therefore, 
all cost figures in this example are presented in then-year dollars. 

[43] This increased emphasis is discussed in [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-717]. 

[44] Although a total of 96 programs submitted a SAR in 2010, the 
Ballistic Missile Defense Program had not yet reached milestone B and 
thus was not required to report O&S costs. For this reason, we did not 
include this program in our analyses. 

[45] Annual SARs are submitted to Congress within 60 days after the 
date on which the President's Budget is submitted to Congress for the 
following fiscal year. We analyzed the December SARs for the years 
2005, 2006, 2007, 2009, and 2010. Annual SARs were not submitted in 
2008. 

[46] Our original sample included 16 weapon systems. However, one 
system, the Army's Increment 1 Early-Infantry Brigade Combat Team 
program, was subsequently canceled. 

[47] We categorized systems as aircraft, ship, ground, or "other" 
(e.g., missile programs and command and control systems). 

[48] DOD Instruction 5000.02, Operation of the Defense Acquisition 
System (Dec. 8, 2008). 

[49] DOD, Defense Acquisition Guidebook (2011). 

[50] OSD, Selected Acquisition Report (draft) (2006). Although issued 
in draft, the policy was never issued in final form 

[51] At the time we conducted our review, the most recent annual 
guidance was issued in January 2011. Under Secretary of Defense for 
Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, Memorandum for Assistant 
Secretaries of the Military Services, December 2010 Selected 
Acquisition Reports (SARs) Guidance (Jan. 14, 2011). 

[52] Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and 
Logistics, SAR Data Entry Instructions (draft) (Nov. 5, 2010). 

[End of section] 

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