Sensitivity to Changes in Excess Health Care Cost Growth "Fiscal year" "Baseline, with -1% excess growth" "Baseline" "Baseline, with +1% excess growth" "Alternative, with -1% excess growth" "Alternative" "Alternative, with +1% excess growth" 2019 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 2020 100.1% 100.1% 100.1% 99.8% 99.8% 99.8% 2021 102.3% 102.3% 102.3% 102.4% 102.4% 102.4% 2022 102.0% 102.0% 102.0% 102.4% 102.4% 102.4% 2023 102.0% 102.0% 102.0% 102.6% 102.6% 102.6% 2024 101.4% 101.4% 101.4% 102.3% 102.3% 102.3% 2025 101.2% 101.2% 101.2% 102.4% 102.4% 102.4% 2026 100.9% 100.9% 100.9% 102.8% 102.8% 102.8% 2027 101.0% 101.0% 101.0% 104.2% 104.2% 104.2% 2028 102.2% 102.2% 102.2% 106.7% 106.7% 106.7% 2029 103.2% 103.2% 103.2% 108.8% 108.8% 108.8% 2030 105.0% 105.0% 105.0% 111.9% 111.9% 111.9% 2031 107.2% 107.2% 107.2% 114.2% 114.2% 114.2% 2032 109.3% 109.4% 109.4% 116.6% 116.7% 116.8% 2033 111.7% 112.1% 112.1% 119.6% 119.7% 120.0% 2034 114.2% 115.0% 115.1% 122.9% 123.2% 123.8% 2035 117.0% 118.2% 118.5% 126.5% 127.1% 128.0% 2036 120.1% 121.8% 122.2% 130.7% 131.5% 132.9% 2037 123.2% 125.6% 126.3% 135.1% 136.3% 138.2% 2038 126.5% 129.5% 130.6% 139.8% 141.3% 144.0% 2039 129.8% 133.6% 135.1% 144.7% 146.7% 150.1% 2040 133.2% 137.8% 139.9% 149.9% 152.4% 156.7% 2041 136.6% 142.1% 144.8% 155.2% 158.2% 163.6% 2042 140.1% 146.5% 149.9% 160.7% 164.4% 170.9% 2043 143.5% 150.9% 155.1% 166.3% 170.6% 178.4% 2044 146.9% 155.4% 160.5% 171.8% 176.8% 186.0% 2045 150.3% 160.0% 166.1% 177.4% 183.2% 194.0% 2046 153.7% 164.7% 171.8% 183.0% 189.5% 202.0% 2047 157.2% 169.4% 177.7% 188.8% 196.1% 210.4% 2048 160.7% 174.4% 184.0% 194.7% 202.8% 219.2% 2049 164.4% 179.6% 190.5% 200.7% 209.8% 228.3% 2050 168.0% 184.8% 197.2% 206.7% 216.8% 237.6% 2051 171.6% 190.0% 204.0% 212.7% 223.8% 247.1% 2052 175.1% 195.2% 210.9% 218.7% 230.9% 256.8% 2053 178.6% 200.5% 218.0% 224.7% 238.0% 266.6% 2054 182.1% 205.8% 225.2% 230.7% 245.1% 276.7% 2055 185.5% 211.2% 232.5% 236.6% 252.3% 287.0% 2056 188.9% 216.6% 240.1% 242.6% 259.6% 297.5% 2057 192.3% 222.1% 247.7% 248.5% 266.8% 308.2% 2058 195.6% 227.6% 255.6% 254.5% 274.1% 319.1% 2059 199.0% 233.1% 263.6% 260.4% 281.5% 330.2% 2060 202.3% 238.7% 271.8% 266.3% 288.9% 341.6% 2061 205.7% 244.5% 280.3% 272.5% 296.6% 353.4% 2062 209.2% 250.5% 289.1% 278.7% 304.4% 365.6% 2063 212.6% 256.5% 298.1% 284.9% 312.3% 378.0% 2064 216.1% 262.5% 307.3% 291.1% 320.2% 390.8% 2065 219.5% 268.7% 316.7% 297.4% 328.2% 403.8% 2066 222.9% 274.9% 326.3% 303.6% 336.3% 417.0% 2067 226.3% 281.1% 336.1% 309.9% 344.4% 430.6% 2068 229.7% 287.5% 346.1% 316.2% 352.6% 444.4% 2069 233.1% 293.9% 356.3% 322.5% 360.9% 458.5% 2070 236.5% 300.3% 366.8% 328.9% 369.3% 472.9% 2071 239.8% 306.8% 377.4% 335.2% 377.7% 487.6% 2072 243.2% 313.4% 388.3% 341.6% 386.2% 502.7% 2073 246.5% 320.1% 399.4% 347.9% 394.7% 518.0% 2074 249.8% 326.8% 410.7% 354.3% 403.3% 533.7% 2075 253.0% 333.3% 421.9% 360.4% 411.7% 549.2% 2076 256.0% 339.8% 433.2% 366.4% 420.0% 564.9% 2077 259.0% 346.4% 444.7% 372.5% 428.3% 580.9% 2078 261.9% 352.9% 456.4% 378.4% 436.7% 597.2% 2079 264.9% 359.5% 468.3% 384.4% 445.1% 613.7% 2080 267.7% 366.1% 480.3% 390.4% 453.5% 630.6% 2081 270.5% 372.8% 492.6% 396.3% 462.0% 647.7% 2082 273.3% 379.4% 505.0% 402.1% 470.4% 665.1% 2083 276.0% 386.1% 517.6% 408.0% 478.9% 682.7% 2084 278.7% 392.8% 530.4% 413.8% 487.4% 700.6% 2085 281.2% 399.4% 543.4% 419.5% 495.9% 718.8% 2086 283.8% 406.1% 556.5% 425.2% 504.4% 737.3% 2087 286.3% 412.8% 569.8% 430.9% 512.9% 756.0% 2088 288.7% 419.5% 583.3% 436.5% 521.4% 775.1% 2089 291.1% 426.2% 597.0% 442.1% 529.9% 794.4% 2090 293.4% 432.9% 610.9% 447.7% 538.4% 814.0% 2091 295.6% 439.7% 624.9% 453.2% 547.0% 833.9% 2092 297.9% 446.4% 639.2% 458.7% 555.6% 854.1% 2093 300.1% 453.2% 653.7% 464.2% 564.2% 874.7% 2094 302.5% 460.4% 668.9% 470.0% 573.2% 896.2% URL: https://www.gao.gov/americas-fiscal-future/fiscal-outlook | Last updated: 03/19/2021