Alternative Social Security Medicare (net) "Medicaid, CHIP, and Exchange Subsidies" Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Real GDP Percentage of GDP Billions of 2005 dollars 2010 4.8 3.1 1.9 1.4 12.6 14.9 23.8 -8.9 62.1 "13,125" 2011 4.8 3.3 1.9 1.5 12.5 15.4 24.1 -8.7 67.7 "13,263" 2012 5.0 3.1 1.7 1.4 11.9 16.1 23.2 -7.1 72.6 "13,538" 2013 5.1 3.3 1.8 1.5 11.2 16.8 22.9 -6.0 77.6 "13,700" 2014 5.2 3.4 2.2 1.5 10.7 17.5 22.9 -5.4 80.5 "14,073" 2015 5.1 3.3 2.4 1.7 10.2 17.7 22.7 -5.0 81.4 "14,752" 2016 5.1 3.4 2.5 2.0 9.8 17.8 22.8 -5.1 82.3 "15,414" 2017 5.1 3.3 2.6 2.4 9.3 18.0 22.7 -4.7 83.3 "15,955" 2018 5.1 3.3 2.6 2.7 8.9 18.1 22.7 -4.6 84.5 "16,414" 2019 5.2 3.5 2.7 3.0 8.8 18.1 23.1 -5.0 86.2 "16,836" 2020 5.3 3.5 2.7 3.2 8.5 18.1 23.4 -5.2 88.0 "17,259" 2021 5.4 3.6 2.8 3.4 8.3 18.2 23.6 -5.4 90.0 "17,678" 2022 5.5 3.8 2.9 3.6 8.2 18.3 24.0 -5.7 92.2 "18,095" 2023 5.6 3.9 2.9 4.0 8.4 18.2 24.9 -6.7 95.6 "18,489" 2024 5.7 4.1 3.0 4.5 8.6 18.1 25.8 -7.8 99.8 "18,896" 2025 5.8 4.2 3.0 5.0 8.8 17.9 26.8 -8.9 104.9 "19,297" 2026 5.9 4.4 3.1 5.2 8.9 17.9 27.5 -9.6 110.7 "19,703" 2027 5.9 4.5 3.1 5.5 9.1 17.9 28.2 -10.3 116.8 "20,131" 2028 6.0 4.6 3.2 5.8 9.3 17.9 28.9 -11.0 123.3 "20,574" 2029 6.1 4.8 3.2 6.2 9.4 17.9 29.6 -11.7 130.4 "21,011" 2030 6.1 4.9 3.3 6.5 9.6 17.9 30.4 -12.4 137.8 "21,468" 2031 6.1 5.0 3.3 6.9 9.7 17.9 31.1 -13.1 145.7 "21,940" 2032 6.2 5.2 3.4 7.3 9.9 17.9 31.8 -13.9 154.0 "22,423" 2033 6.2 5.3 3.4 7.7 9.9 17.9 32.4 -14.5 162.5 "22,916" 2034 6.2 5.4 3.4 8.1 9.9 17.9 33.0 -15.1 171.3 "23,421" 2035 6.2 5.5 3.5 8.5 9.9 17.9 33.7 -15.7 180.4 "23,936" 2036 6.2 5.6 3.5 9.0 9.9 17.9 34.3 -16.3 189.7 "24,462" 2037 6.2 5.7 3.6 9.5 9.9 17.9 34.9 -16.9 199.2 "25,001" 2038 6.2 5.8 3.6 9.9 9.9 17.9 35.5 -17.5 208.8 "25,569" 2039 6.2 5.9 3.7 10.4 9.9 17.9 36.1 -18.1 218.6 "26,157" 2040 6.2 6.0 3.8 10.9 9.9 17.9 36.8 -18.8 228.8 "26,739" 2041 6.1 6.1 3.9 11.4 9.9 17.9 37.4 -19.4 239.3 "27,328" 2042 6.1 6.1 3.9 11.9 9.9 17.9 38.0 -20.1 249.9 "27,929" 2043 6.1 6.2 3.9 12.5 9.9 17.9 38.6 -20.7 260.7 "28,543" 2044 6.1 6.3 4.0 13.0 9.9 17.9 39.3 -21.3 271.7 "29,171" 2045 6.1 6.4 4.0 13.6 9.9 17.9 39.9 -21.9 282.9 "29,813" 2046 6.0 6.4 4.1 14.1 9.9 17.9 40.5 -22.6 294.3 "30,469" 2047 6.0 6.5 4.1 14.7 9.9 17.9 41.2 -23.2 305.9 "31,139" 2048 6.0 6.6 4.1 15.3 9.9 17.9 41.9 -23.9 317.7 "31,824" 2049 6.0 6.6 4.2 15.8 9.9 17.9 42.5 -24.6 329.6 "32,524" 2050 6.0 6.7 4.2 16.4 9.9 17.9 43.2 -25.2 341.8 "33,240" 2051 6.0 6.8 4.2 17.1 9.9 17.9 43.9 -25.9 354.4 "33,946" 2052 6.0 6.8 4.2 17.7 9.9 17.9 44.6 -26.7 367.3 "34,659" 2053 6.0 6.9 4.3 18.3 9.9 17.9 45.3 -27.4 380.4 "35,387" 2054 6.0 7.0 4.3 19.0 9.9 17.9 46.1 -28.1 393.7 "36,130" 2055 6.0 7.0 4.3 19.7 9.9 17.9 46.8 -28.9 407.2 "36,889" 2056 6.0 7.1 4.3 20.3 9.9 17.9 47.6 -29.6 421.0 "37,664" 2057 5.9 7.2 4.3 21.0 9.9 17.9 48.4 -30.4 435.0 "38,455" 2058 5.9 7.3 4.4 21.7 9.9 17.9 49.2 -31.2 449.3 "39,262" 2059 5.9 7.3 4.4 22.4 9.9 17.9 50.0 -32.0 463.8 "40,087" 2060 5.9 7.4 4.4 23.2 9.9 17.9 50.8 -32.8 478.5 "40,928" 2061 5.9 7.5 4.4 23.9 9.9 17.9 51.6 -33.6 493.4 "41,788" 2062 5.9 7.5 4.4 24.6 9.9 17.9 52.4 -34.5 508.6 "42,665" 2063 5.9 7.6 4.5 25.4 9.9 17.9 53.3 -35.3 523.6 "43,593" 2064 5.9 7.7 4.5 26.1 9.9 17.9 54.1 -36.2 539.2 "44,520" 2065 5.9 7.8 4.5 26.9 9.9 17.9 55.0 -37.0 555.1 "45,455" 2066 5.9 7.8 4.5 27.7 9.9 17.9 55.9 -37.9 571.2 "46,409" 2067 5.9 7.9 4.5 28.5 9.9 17.9 56.8 -38.8 587.7 "47,384" 2068 5.9 8.0 4.5 29.3 9.9 17.9 57.7 -39.7 604.3 "48,379" 2069 5.9 8.1 4.6 30.2 9.9 17.9 58.6 -40.6 621.3 "49,395" 2070 5.9 8.1 4.6 31.0 9.9 17.9 59.5 -41.6 638.5 "50,432" 2071 5.9 8.2 4.6 31.9 9.9 17.9 60.5 -42.5 655.9 "51,491" 2072 5.9 8.3 4.6 32.8 9.9 17.9 61.4 -43.5 673.6 "52,573" 2073 5.9 8.3 4.6 33.6 9.9 17.9 62.4 -44.4 691.6 "53,677" 2074 5.9 8.4 4.6 34.5 9.9 17.9 63.4 -45.4 709.8 "54,804" 2075 5.9 8.5 4.8 35.4 9.9 17.9 64.5 -46.5 728.4 "55,955" 2076 5.9 8.5 4.8 36.4 9.9 17.9 65.5 -47.5 747.3 "57,130" 2077 5.9 8.6 4.8 37.3 9.9 17.9 66.5 -48.6 766.5 "58,329" 2078 6.0 8.6 4.8 38.3 9.9 17.9 67.5 -49.6 785.9 "59,554" 2079 6.0 8.7 4.8 39.2 9.9 17.9 68.6 -50.6 805.6 "60,805" 2080 6.0 8.7 4.8 40.2 9.9 17.9 69.6 -51.7 825.6 "62,082" 2081 6.0 8.8 4.8 41.2 9.9 17.9 70.7 -52.7 845.8 "63,386" 2082 6.0 8.8 4.8 42.2 9.9 17.9 71.8 -53.8 866.3 "64,717" 2083 6.0 8.9 4.8 43.3 9.9 17.9 72.9 -54.9 887.1 "66,076" 2084 6.0 8.9 4.8 44.3 9.9 17.9 74.0 -56.0 908.1 "67,463" 2085 6.0 9.0 4.8 45.3 9.9 17.9 75.1 -57.1 929.4 "68,880" 2086 6.0 9.0 4.8 46.4 9.9 17.9 76.2 -58.2 951.0 "70,327" Source: GAO's Spring 2012 analysis based on the Trustees’ assumptions for Social Security and the CMS Office of the Actuary's alternative assumptions for Medicare.