Baseline Extended Social Security Medicare (net) Medicaid Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Percent of GDP 2008 4.3 2.7 1.4 1.8 10.8 17.7 21.0 -3.2 40.8 2009 4.8 3.0 1.8 1.2 16.6 15.6 27.4 -11.9 54.8 2010 4.9 3.0 2.0 1.2 13.1 16.2 24.1 -7.9 60.1 2011 4.8 3.2 1.8 1.3 11.9 18.5 23.1 -4.6 62.0 2012 4.8 3.1 1.7 1.6 10.5 19.6 21.7 -2.1 61.6 2013 4.8 3.2 1.7 1.9 10.0 19.9 21.7 -1.8 60.7 2014 4.8 3.4 1.8 2.2 9.5 19.9 21.7 -1.8 60.2 2015 4.8 3.4 1.8 2.4 9.2 20.1 21.7 -1.6 59.5 2016 4.9 3.6 1.9 2.5 9.0 20.1 21.9 -1.7 59.0 2017 5.0 3.6 1.9 2.5 8.8 20.2 21.8 -1.6 58.5 2018 5.1 3.6 2.0 2.6 8.6 20.2 21.8 -1.6 56.1 2019 5.2 3.8 2.0 2.7 8.5 20.3 22.3 -2.0 56.1 2020 5.3 3.9 2.0 2.7 8.5 20.3 22.5 -2.2 56.2 2021 5.4 4.1 2.1 2.7 8.5 20.3 22.8 -2.5 56.5 2022 5.4 4.2 2.1 2.7 8.5 20.3 23.0 -2.7 57.1 2023 5.5 4.3 2.2 2.7 8.5 20.3 23.3 -3.1 58.1 2024 5.6 4.5 2.2 2.8 8.5 20.3 23.6 -3.3 59.3 2025 5.7 4.6 2.3 2.9 8.5 20.3 23.9 -3.7 60.8 2026 5.7 4.7 2.3 2.9 8.5 20.3 24.2 -4.0 62.6 2027 5.8 4.9 2.4 3.0 8.5 20.3 24.7 -4.4 64.8 2028 5.9 5.1 2.4 3.1 8.5 20.3 25.0 -4.7 67.2 2029 5.9 5.2 2.5 3.2 8.5 20.3 25.4 -5.2 70.1 2030 6.0 5.4 2.5 3.4 8.5 20.3 25.8 -5.5 73.1 2031 6.1 5.5 2.6 3.5 8.5 20.3 26.2 -6.0 76.6 2032 6.1 5.6 2.7 3.7 8.5 20.3 26.7 -6.4 80.4 2033 6.1 5.8 2.7 3.9 8.5 20.3 27.0 -6.8 84.4 2034 6.2 5.9 2.8 4.1 8.5 20.3 27.5 -7.2 88.7 2035 6.2 6.0 2.8 4.3 8.5 20.3 27.8 -7.6 93.2 2036 6.2 6.1 2.9 4.5 8.5 20.3 28.3 -8.0 98.0 2037 6.2 6.3 3.0 4.7 8.5 20.3 28.8 -8.5 103.2 2038 6.2 6.4 3.0 5.0 8.5 20.3 29.1 -8.9 108.5 2039 6.2 6.5 3.1 5.2 8.5 20.3 29.6 -9.3 114.1 2040 6.2 6.5 3.1 5.5 8.5 20.3 29.9 -9.7 119.9 2041 6.2 6.6 3.2 5.8 8.5 20.3 30.4 -10.1 125.9 2042 6.2 6.7 3.2 6.1 8.5 20.3 30.8 -10.5 132.2 2043 6.2 6.8 3.3 6.4 8.5 20.3 31.2 -11.0 138.6 2044 6.2 6.9 3.3 6.7 8.5 20.3 31.6 -11.3 145.3 2045 6.2 6.9 3.4 7.0 8.5 20.3 32.1 -11.8 152.2 2046 6.2 7.0 3.4 7.3 8.5 20.3 32.5 -12.2 159.3 2047 6.2 7.1 3.5 7.7 8.5 20.3 33.0 -12.7 166.6 2048 6.2 7.1 3.5 8.0 8.5 20.3 33.4 -13.2 174.2 2049 6.2 7.2 3.6 8.4 8.5 20.3 33.9 -13.7 182.1 2050 6.2 7.3 3.6 8.8 8.5 20.3 34.4 -14.1 190.2 2051 6.2 7.3 3.7 9.2 8.5 20.3 34.9 -14.7 198.6 2052 6.2 7.4 3.7 9.6 8.5 20.3 35.4 -15.2 207.2 2053 6.2 7.5 3.8 10.0 8.5 20.3 36.0 -15.7 216.1 2054 6.2 7.5 3.8 10.4 8.5 20.3 36.5 -16.2 225.2 2055 6.2 7.6 3.9 10.9 8.5 20.3 37.1 -16.9 234.6 2056 6.2 7.7 3.9 11.3 8.5 20.3 37.6 -17.4 244.2 2057 6.2 7.7 4.0 11.8 8.5 20.3 38.3 -18.0 254.2 2058 6.2 7.8 4.0 12.3 8.5 20.3 38.8 -18.6 264.3 2059 6.2 7.9 4.0 12.8 8.5 20.3 39.4 -19.2 274.7 2060 6.2 8.0 4.1 13.3 8.5 20.3 40.1 -19.8 285.5 2061 6.2 8.0 4.1 13.8 8.5 20.3 40.7 -20.4 296.4 2062 6.2 8.1 4.2 14.3 8.5 20.3 41.4 -21.1 307.7 2063 6.2 8.2 4.2 14.9 8.5 20.3 42.0 -21.7 319.2 2064 6.2 8.3 4.3 15.4 8.5 20.3 42.7 -22.5 331.1 2065 6.2 8.3 4.3 16.0 8.5 20.3 43.4 -23.1 343.2 2066 6.2 8.4 4.4 16.6 8.5 20.3 44.1 -23.9 355.7 2067 6.2 8.5 4.4 17.2 8.5 20.3 44.8 -24.6 368.4 2068 6.2 8.5 4.4 17.8 8.5 20.3 45.5 -25.2 381.4 2069 6.2 8.6 4.5 18.4 8.5 20.3 46.3 -26.0 394.7 2070 6.2 8.7 4.5 19.1 8.5 20.3 47.0 -26.8 408.2 2071 6.2 8.7 4.6 19.7 8.5 20.3 47.8 -27.6 422.2 2072 6.2 8.8 4.6 20.4 8.5 20.3 48.6 -28.3 436.3 2073 6.2 8.9 4.7 21.1 8.5 20.3 49.4 -29.2 450.9 2074 6.2 8.9 4.7 21.8 8.5 20.3 50.2 -29.9 465.7 2075 6.2 9.0 4.8 22.5 8.5 20.3 51.0 -30.8 480.8 2076 6.2 9.0 4.8 23.2 8.5 20.3 51.8 -31.6 496.2 2077 6.3 9.1 4.8 23.9 8.5 20.3 52.6 -32.4 511.9 2078 6.3 9.2 4.9 24.7 8.5 20.3 53.5 -33.3 527.9 2079 6.3 9.2 4.9 25.5 8.5 20.3 54.4 -34.1 544.3 2080 6.3 9.3 5.0 26.3 8.5 20.3 55.3 -35.1 560.9 2081 6.3 9.3 5.0 27.1 8.5 20.3 56.2 -35.9 577.9 2082 6.3 9.4 5.1 27.9 8.5 20.3 57.1 -36.9 595.2 2083 6.3 9.4 5.2 28.7 8.5 20.3 58.1 -37.9 612.9 Source: GAO's March 2009 analysis based on the Trustees' assumptions