Baseline Extended Social Security Medicare (net) Medicaid Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Mediare & Medicaid Percent of GDP 2009 4.8 3 1.8 1.3 12.5 14.9 23.3 -11.2 53.8 4.8 2010 4.8 3 2 1.4 14.1 15.7 25.2 -9.6 61.4 5 2011 4.8 3.2 1.8 1.6 12.9 18.1 24.3 -6.1 65.2 5 2012 4.8 3.1 1.7 1.9 11.4 19.1 22.9 -3.7 65.9 4.8 2013 4.7 3.2 1.7 2.3 10.7 19.4 22.6 -3.2 65.5 4.9 2014 4.8 3.4 1.7 2.7 10.2 19.6 22.9 -3.2 66 5.2 2015 4.8 3.4 1.8 3 9.9 19.9 22.9 -3.1 66.5 5.2 2016 4.9 3.6 1.8 3.2 9.7 19.9 23.2 -3.3 67.1 5.4 2017 5 3.6 1.9 3.3 9.5 20 23.2 -3.2 67.5 5.5 2018 5.1 3.6 2 3.3 9.2 20.1 23.2 -3.1 67 5.5 2019 5.2 3.8 2 3.4 9.2 20.2 23.6 -3.4 67.8 5.8 2020 5.3 3.9 2 3.5 9.2 20.2 23.9 -3.7 68.9 6 2021 5.3 4.1 2.1 3.5 9.2 20.2 24.2 -4 70.1 6.2 2022 5.4 4.2 2.1 3.6 9.2 20.2 24.5 -4.3 71.6 6.4 2023 5.5 4.4 2.2 3.7 9.2 20.2 24.8 -4.7 73.5 6.5 2024 5.6 4.5 2.2 3.7 9.2 20.2 25.2 -5 75.6 6.7 2025 5.6 4.7 2.2 3.9 9.2 20.2 25.6 -5.4 78.1 6.9 2026 5.7 4.8 2.3 4 9.2 20.2 26 -5.8 81 7.1 2027 5.8 5 2.3 4.1 9.2 20.2 26.4 -6.2 84.2 7.3 2028 5.9 5.2 2.4 4.3 9.2 20.2 26.9 -6.7 87.8 7.6 2029 5.9 5.3 2.4 4.5 9.2 20.2 27.3 -7.1 91.7 7.8 2030 6 5.5 2.5 4.7 9.2 20.2 27.8 -7.6 96 8 2031 6 5.6 2.5 4.9 9.2 20.2 28.3 -8.1 100.6 8.2 2032 6.1 5.8 2.6 5.1 9.2 20.2 28.7 -8.6 105.5 8.4 2033 6.1 5.9 2.7 5.4 9.2 20.2 29.2 -9.1 110.8 8.6 2034 6.1 6 2.7 5.7 9.2 20.2 29.7 -9.6 116.3 8.8 2035 6.1 6.2 2.8 6 9.2 20.2 30.2 -10.1 122.2 9 2036 6.1 6.3 2.9 6.3 9.2 20.2 30.7 -10.6 128.4 9.2 2037 6.1 6.4 2.9 6.6 9.2 20.2 31.2 -11.1 134.8 9.4 2038 6.1 6.5 3 6.9 9.2 20.2 31.7 -11.6 141.6 9.6 2039 6.1 6.6 3.1 7.2 9.2 20.2 32.2 -12.1 148.6 9.7 2040 6.1 6.7 3.1 7.6 9.2 20.2 32.7 -12.6 155.9 9.9 2041 6.1 6.8 3.2 8 9.2 20.2 33.2 -13.1 163.4 10 2042 6.1 6.9 3.2 8.4 9.2 20.2 33.8 -13.6 171.2 10.2 2043 6 7 3.3 8.8 9.2 20.2 34.3 -14.1 179.3 10.3 2044 6 7.1 3.4 9.2 9.2 20.2 34.8 -14.6 187.5 10.5 2045 6 7.2 3.4 9.6 9.2 20.2 35.3 -15.2 196.1 10.6 2046 6 7.2 3.5 10 9.2 20.2 35.9 -15.7 204.9 10.7 2047 6 7.3 3.5 10.5 9.2 20.2 36.5 -16.3 214 10.8 2048 5.9 7.4 3.6 11 9.2 20.2 37 -16.9 223.4 11 2049 5.9 7.5 3.6 11.4 9.2 20.2 37.6 -17.4 233.1 11.1 2050 5.9 7.5 3.7 11.9 9.2 20.2 38.2 -18 243.1 11.2 2051 5.9 7.6 3.7 12.5 9.2 20.2 38.8 -18.6 253.4 11.3 2052 5.9 7.7 3.8 13 9.2 20.2 39.5 -19.3 263.9 11.4 2053 5.9 7.7 3.8 13.5 9.2 20.2 40.1 -19.9 274.7 11.5 2054 5.9 7.8 3.8 14.1 9.2 20.2 40.7 -20.6 285.8 11.6 2055 5.9 7.9 3.9 14.6 9.2 20.2 41.4 -21.2 297.2 11.7 2056 5.9 7.9 3.9 15.2 9.2 20.2 42.1 -21.9 308.9 11.9 2057 5.9 8 3.9 15.8 9.2 20.2 42.8 -22.7 320.9 12 2058 5.9 8.1 4 16.4 9.2 20.2 43.6 -23.4 333.3 12.1 2059 5.9 8.2 4 17.1 9.2 20.2 44.3 -24.1 345.9 12.2 2060 5.9 8.3 4.1 17.7 9.2 20.2 45.1 -24.9 358.9 12.3 2061 5.9 8.3 4.1 18.4 9.2 20.2 45.8 -25.7 372.2 12.4 2062 5.9 8.4 4.1 19.1 9.2 20.2 46.6 -26.5 385.8 12.5 2063 5.9 8.5 4.2 19.8 9.2 20.2 47.4 -27.3 399.7 12.6 2064 5.9 8.6 4.2 20.5 9.2 20.2 48.3 -28.1 414 12.8 2065 5.9 8.6 4.3 21.2 9.2 20.2 49.1 -28.9 428.6 12.9 2066 5.9 8.7 4.3 22 9.2 20.2 50 -29.8 443.6 13 2067 5.9 8.8 4.3 22.7 9.2 20.2 50.9 -30.7 458.9 13.1 2068 5.9 8.9 4.4 23.5 9.2 20.2 51.8 -31.6 474.6 13.2 2069 5.9 8.9 4.4 24.3 9.2 20.2 52.7 -32.5 490.6 13.4 2070 5.9 9 4.5 25.1 9.2 20.2 53.6 -33.4 507 13.5 2071 5.9 9.1 4.5 26 9.2 20.2 54.6 -34.4 523.8 13.6 2072 5.9 9.2 4.5 26.8 9.2 20.2 55.5 -35.4 540.9 13.7 2073 5.9 9.2 4.6 27.7 9.2 20.2 56.5 -36.4 558.4 13.8 2074 5.9 9.3 4.6 28.6 9.2 20.2 57.5 -37.3 576.3 13.9 2075 5.9 9.3 4.7 29.5 9.2 20.2 58.5 -38.4 594.5 14 2076 5.9 9.4 4.7 30.4 9.2 20.2 59.6 -39.4 613.2 14.1 2077 5.9 9.5 4.7 31.4 9.2 20.2 60.6 -40.5 632.2 14.2 2078 5.9 9.5 4.8 32.4 9.2 20.2 61.7 -41.5 651.6 14.3 2079 5.9 9.6 4.8 33.4 9.2 20.2 62.8 -42.6 671.4 14.4 2080 5.9 9.6 4.8 34.4 9.2 20.2 63.9 -43.7 691.5 14.5 2081 5.9 9.7 4.9 35.4 9.2 20.2 65 -44.8 712.1 14.5 2082 5.9 9.7 4.9 36.4 9.2 20.2 66.1 -45.9 733 14.6 2083 5.9 9.8 4.9 37.5 9.2 20.2 67.3 -47.1 754.3 14.7 Source: GAO's Fall 2009 analysis using the Trustees' assumptions for Social Security and Medicare.