Baseline Extended Social Security Medicare (net) Medicaid Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Mediare & Medicaid Percent of GDP 2009 4.8 3 1.8 1.3 12.5 14.9 23.3 -11.2 53.8 4.8 2010 4.8 3 2 1.4 14.1 15.7 25.2 -9.6 61.4 5 2011 4.8 3.2 1.8 1.6 12.9 18.1 24.3 -6.1 65.2 5 2012 4.8 3.1 1.7 1.9 11.4 19.1 22.9 -3.7 65.9 4.8 2013 4.7 3.2 1.7 2.3 10.7 19.4 22.6 -3.2 65.5 4.9 2014 4.8 3.4 1.7 2.7 10.2 19.6 22.9 -3.2 66 5.2 2015 4.8 3.4 1.8 3 9.9 19.9 22.9 -3.1 66.5 5.2 2016 4.9 3.6 1.8 3.2 9.7 19.9 23.2 -3.3 67.1 5.4 2017 5 3.6 1.9 3.3 9.5 20 23.2 -3.2 67.5 5.5 2018 5.1 3.6 2 3.3 9.2 20.1 23.2 -3.1 67 5.5 2019 5.2 3.8 2 3.4 9.2 20.2 23.6 -3.4 67.8 5.8 2020 5.3 3.9 2 3.5 9.2 20.2 23.9 -3.7 68.9 6 2021 5.4 4.1 2 3.5 9.2 20.2 24.2 -4 70.1 6.2 2022 5.4 4.3 2.1 3.6 9.2 20.2 24.6 -4.4 71.7 6.4 2023 5.5 4.5 2.1 3.7 9.2 20.2 24.9 -4.8 73.6 6.7 2024 5.5 4.7 2.2 3.8 9.2 20.2 25.4 -5.2 76 6.9 2025 5.6 4.9 2.2 3.9 9.2 20.2 25.8 -5.6 78.7 7.2 2026 5.7 5 2.3 4 9.2 20.2 26.2 -6 81.7 7.4 2027 5.7 5.2 2.3 4.2 9.2 20.2 26.6 -6.4 85.1 7.6 2028 5.8 5.4 2.4 4.3 9.2 20.2 27.1 -6.9 88.9 7.8 2029 5.8 5.6 2.4 4.5 9.2 20.2 27.6 -7.4 93 8.1 2030 5.9 5.8 2.4 4.8 9.2 20.2 28.1 -7.9 97.5 8.3 2031 6 6 2.5 5 9.2 20.2 28.6 -8.4 102.4 8.5 2032 6 6.2 2.5 5.2 9.2 20.2 29.1 -8.9 107.7 8.8 2033 6 6.4 2.6 5.5 9.2 20.2 29.7 -9.5 113.3 9 2034 6 6.6 2.6 5.8 9.2 20.2 30.2 -10 119.3 9.3 2035 6 6.8 2.7 6.1 9.2 20.2 30.8 -10.6 125.6 9.5 2036 6 7 2.7 6.4 9.2 20.2 31.4 -11.2 132.3 9.8 2037 6 7.1 2.7 6.8 9.2 20.2 31.8 -11.6 139.2 9.9 2038 6 7.3 2.8 7.1 9.2 20.2 32.4 -12.2 146.4 10.1 2039 6 7.4 2.8 7.5 9.2 20.2 32.9 -12.7 153.9 10.3 2040 5.9 7.6 2.8 7.9 9.2 20.2 33.4 -13.2 161.7 10.5 2041 5.9 7.7 2.9 8.3 9.2 20.2 34 -13.8 169.8 10.7 2042 5.9 7.9 2.9 8.7 9.2 20.2 34.6 -14.4 178.2 10.9 2043 5.8 8 3 9.1 9.2 20.2 35.2 -15 186.9 11.1 2044 5.8 8.1 3 9.6 9.2 20.2 35.7 -15.5 195.8 11.2 2045 5.8 8.3 3 10 9.2 20.2 36.3 -16.1 205.1 11.4 2046 5.8 8.4 3 10.5 9.2 20.2 36.9 -16.7 214.6 11.5 2047 5.8 8.5 3.1 11 9.2 20.2 37.5 -17.4 224.4 11.7 2048 5.7 8.6 3.1 11.5 9.2 20.2 38.2 -18 234.6 11.8 2049 5.7 8.8 3.1 12 9.2 20.2 38.8 -18.7 245.1 12 2050 5.7 8.9 3.1 12.6 9.2 20.2 39.5 -19.3 256 12.1 2051 5.7 9 3.2 13.1 9.2 20.2 40.2 -20 267.2 12.3 2052 5.7 9.1 3.2 13.7 9.2 20.2 40.9 -20.8 278.7 12.4 2053 5.7 9.3 3.2 14.3 9.2 20.2 41.7 -21.5 290.7 12.6 2054 5.7 9.4 3.2 14.9 9.2 20.2 42.4 -22.3 302.9 12.7 2055 5.7 9.5 3.2 15.5 9.2 20.2 43.2 -23 315.5 12.8 2056 5.7 9.7 3.2 16.2 9.2 20.2 44 -23.8 328.4 13 2057 5.7 9.8 3.3 16.8 9.2 20.2 44.9 -24.7 341.8 13.2 2058 5.8 9.9 3.3 17.5 9.2 20.2 45.7 -25.5 355.6 13.3 2059 5.8 10.1 3.3 18.2 9.2 20.2 46.6 -26.4 369.7 13.5 2060 5.8 10.2 3.3 18.9 9.2 20.2 47.5 -27.3 384.3 13.6 2061 5.8 10.4 3.3 19.7 9.2 20.2 48.4 -28.3 399.3 13.8 2062 5.8 10.5 3.3 20.5 9.2 20.2 49.3 -29.1 414.7 13.9 2063 5.9 10.7 3.3 21.2 9.2 20.2 50.3 -30.1 430.5 14.1 2064 5.9 10.8 3.4 22 9.2 20.2 51.3 -31.1 446.7 14.3 2065 5.9 11 3.4 22.9 9.2 20.2 52.3 -32.2 463.4 14.5 2066 5.9 11.2 3.4 23.7 9.2 20.2 53.4 -33.2 480.6 14.7 2067 5.9 11.3 3.4 24.6 9.2 20.2 54.4 -34.3 498.2 14.8 2068 5.9 11.5 3.4 25.5 9.2 20.2 55.5 -35.4 516.3 15 2069 5.9 11.6 3.4 26.4 9.2 20.2 56.6 -36.4 534.8 15.1 2070 5.9 11.8 3.5 27.4 9.2 20.2 57.8 -37.6 553.8 15.3 2071 6 12 3.5 28.4 9.2 20.2 59 -38.8 573.4 15.6 2072 6 12.1 3.5 29.4 9.2 20.2 60.2 -40 593.5 15.7 2073 6 12.3 3.5 30.4 9.2 20.2 61.4 -41.2 614 15.9 2074 6 12.5 3.5 31.4 9.2 20.2 62.7 -42.5 635.1 16.1 2075 6 12.6 3.5 32.5 9.2 20.2 63.9 -43.7 656.7 16.2 2076 6.1 12.8 3.6 33.6 9.2 20.2 65.3 -45.1 678.8 16.4 2077 6.1 13 3.6 34.8 9.2 20.2 66.6 -46.5 701.5 16.7 2078 6.1 13.1 3.6 35.9 9.2 20.2 67.9 -47.8 724.8 16.8 2079 6.1 13.3 3.6 37.1 9.2 20.2 69.3 -49.1 748.5 17 2080 6.1 13.4 3.6 38.3 9.2 20.2 70.7 -50.5 772.8 17.1 2081 6.1 13.6 3.6 39.6 9.2 20.2 72.1 -51.9 797.6 17.3 2082 6.2 13.8 3.7 40.8 9.2 20.2 73.7 -53.5 823 17.5 2083 6.2 13.9 3.7 42.1 9.2 20.2 75.1 -55 849 17.7 Source: GAO's Fall 2009 analysis using CBO's projections for Social Security and Medicare.