Alternative Social Security Medicare (net) Medicaid Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Mediare & Medicaid Percent of GDP 2009 4.8 2.9 1.8 1.3 15.4 14.9 26.1 -11.2 53.8 4.6 2010 4.8 3 2 1.4 13.8 15.3 25 -9.7 61.6 5 2011 4.8 3.2 1.8 1.6 12.8 15.9 24.2 -8.3 67.6 5 2012 4.8 3.1 1.7 1.9 12 16.4 23.6 -7.2 71.6 4.8 2013 4.7 3.3 1.7 2.4 11.6 16.6 23.8 -7.2 74.8 5 2014 4.8 3.5 1.7 3.1 11.3 16.8 24.4 -7.6 79.4 5.2 2015 4.8 3.4 1.8 3.6 11.2 17.1 24.9 -7.8 84.1 5.2 2016 4.9 3.6 1.8 4 11.2 17.1 25.5 -8.4 89 5.5 2017 5 3.5 1.9 4.3 11.2 17.2 25.9 -8.7 94 5.4 2018 5.1 3.5 2 4.6 11.1 17.3 26.3 -9 98.4 5.4 2019 5.2 3.7 2 5 11.1 17.4 27.1 -9.7 104.3 5.8 2020 5.3 3.9 2 5.3 11 17.5 27.6 -10.1 110.4 6 2021 5.3 4.1 2.1 5.6 11 17.7 28.1 -10.4 116.3 6.2 2022 5.4 4.2 2.1 5.9 10.9 17.8 28.6 -10.8 122.4 6.3 2023 5.5 4.4 2.2 6.2 10.8 18 29.1 -11.1 128.8 6.6 2024 5.6 4.6 2.2 6.6 10.8 18.1 29.7 -11.5 135.3 6.8 2025 5.6 4.7 2.2 6.9 10.7 18.3 30.2 -11.9 142.1 7 2026 5.7 4.8 2.3 7.3 10.7 18.3 30.8 -12.5 149.3 7.1 2027 5.8 5 2.3 7.6 10.7 18.3 31.4 -13.1 156.9 7.3 2028 5.9 5.2 2.4 8 10.7 18.3 32.1 -13.8 164.9 7.5 2029 5.9 5.3 2.4 8.4 10.7 18.3 32.8 -14.5 173.4 7.8 2030 6 5.5 2.5 8.9 10.7 18.3 33.5 -15.2 182.3 8 2031 6 5.6 2.5 9.3 10.7 18.3 34.2 -15.9 191.7 8.2 2032 6.1 5.8 2.6 9.8 10.7 18.3 34.9 -16.6 201.4 8.4 2033 6.1 5.9 2.7 10.3 10.7 18.3 35.7 -17.4 211.6 8.6 2034 6.1 6 2.7 10.8 10.7 18.3 36.4 -18.1 222.1 8.8 2035 6.1 6.2 2.8 11.4 10.7 18.3 37.2 -18.9 233 9 2036 6.1 6.3 2.9 11.9 10.7 18.3 37.9 -19.6 244.3 9.2 2037 6.1 6.4 2.9 12.5 10.7 18.3 38.7 -20.4 256 9.4 2038 6.1 6.5 3 13.1 10.7 18.3 39.5 -21.2 268 9.6 2039 6.1 6.6 3.1 13.7 10.7 18.3 40.2 -21.9 280.5 9.7 2040 6.1 6.7 3.1 14.4 10.7 18.3 41 -22.7 293.3 9.9 2041 6.1 6.8 3.2 15 10.7 18.3 41.8 -23.5 306.4 10 2042 6.1 6.9 3.2 15.7 10.7 18.3 42.6 -24.3 319.9 10.2 2043 6 7 3.3 16.4 10.7 18.3 43.4 -25.1 333.7 10.3 2044 6 7.1 3.4 17.1 10.7 18.3 44.2 -25.9 347.9 10.5 2045 6 7.2 3.4 17.8 10.7 18.3 45.1 -26.8 362.5 10.6 2046 6 7.2 3.5 18.6 10.7 18.3 45.9 -27.6 377.4 10.7 2047 6 7.3 3.5 19.3 10.7 18.3 46.8 -28.5 392.6 10.8 2048 5.9 7.4 3.6 20.1 10.7 18.3 47.7 -29.4 408.5 11 2049 5.9 7.4 3.6 20.9 10.7 18.3 48.6 -30.3 424.7 11.1 2050 5.9 7.5 3.7 21.8 10.7 18.3 49.6 -31.3 441.3 11.2 2051 5.9 7.6 3.7 22.6 10.7 18.3 50.5 -32.2 458.4 11.3 2052 5.9 7.7 3.8 23.5 10.7 18.3 51.5 -33.2 475.8 11.4 2053 5.9 7.7 3.8 24.4 10.7 18.3 52.5 -34.2 493.6 11.5 2054 5.9 7.8 3.8 25.3 10.7 18.3 53.5 -35.2 511.8 11.6 2055 5.9 7.9 3.9 26.2 10.7 18.3 54.5 -36.2 530.4 11.7 2056 5.9 7.9 3.9 27.2 10.7 18.3 55.6 -37.3 549.5 11.9 2057 5.9 8 3.9 28.1 10.7 18.3 56.7 -38.4 569 12 2058 5.9 8.1 4 29.1 10.7 18.3 57.8 -39.5 588.9 12.1 2059 5.9 8.2 4 30.2 10.7 18.3 58.9 -40.6 609.2 12.2 2060 5.9 8.2 4.1 31.2 10.7 18.3 60.1 -41.8 630.1 12.3 2061 5.9 8.3 4.1 32.3 10.7 18.3 61.3 -43 651.3 12.4 2062 5.9 8.4 4.1 33.4 10.7 18.3 62.5 -44.2 673 12.5 2063 5.9 8.5 4.2 34.5 10.7 18.3 63.7 -45.4 695.2 12.6 2064 5.9 8.6 4.2 35.6 10.7 18.3 64.9 -46.6 717.8 12.8 2065 5.9 8.6 4.3 36.8 10.7 18.3 66.2 -47.9 740.9 12.9 2066 5.9 8.7 4.3 37.9 10.7 18.3 67.5 -49.2 764.5 13 2067 5.9 8.8 4.3 39.2 10.7 18.3 68.8 -50.5 788.6 13.1 2068 5.9 8.9 4.4 40.4 10.7 18.3 70.2 -51.9 813.1 13.2 2069 5.9 8.9 4.4 41.6 10.7 18.3 71.6 -53.3 838.2 13.3 2070 5.9 9 4.5 42.9 10.7 18.3 72.9 -54.6 863.8 13.5 2071 5.9 9.1 4.5 44.2 10.7 18.3 74.4 -56.1 889.8 13.6 2072 5.9 9.1 4.5 45.6 10.7 18.3 75.8 -57.5 916.4 13.7 2073 5.9 9.2 4.6 46.9 10.7 18.3 77.3 -59 943.5 13.8 2074 5.9 9.3 4.6 48.3 10.7 18.3 78.8 -60.5 971.1 13.9 2075 5.9 9.3 4.7 49.7 10.7 18.3 80.3 -62 999.2 14 2076 5.9 9.4 4.7 51.2 10.7 18.3 81.8 -63.5 1027.8 14.1 2077 5.9 9.5 4.7 52.6 10.7 18.3 83.4 -65.1 1057 14.2 2078 5.9 9.5 4.8 54.1 10.7 18.3 85 -66.7 1086.7 14.3 2079 5.9 9.6 4.8 55.6 10.7 18.3 86.6 -68.3 1117 14.4 2080 5.9 9.6 4.8 57.2 10.7 18.3 88.2 -69.9 1147.7 14.5 2081 5.9 9.7 4.9 58.7 10.7 18.3 89.9 -71.6 1179 14.5 2082 5.9 9.7 4.9 60.3 10.7 18.3 91.6 -73.3 1210.9 14.6 2083 5.9 9.8 4.9 62 10.7 18.3 93.3 -75 1243.3 14.7 Source: GAO's Fall 2009 analysis using the Trustees' assumptions for Social Security and Medicare.