Alternative Social Security Medicare (net) Medicaid Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Mediare & Medicaid Percent of GDP 2009 4.8 2.9 1.8 1.3 15.4 14.9 26.1 -11.2 53.8 4.6 2010 4.8 3 2 1.4 13.8 15.3 25 -9.7 61.6 5 2011 4.8 3.2 1.8 1.6 12.8 15.9 24.2 -8.3 67.6 5 2012 4.8 3.1 1.7 1.9 12 16.4 23.6 -7.2 71.6 4.8 2013 4.7 3.3 1.7 2.4 11.6 16.6 23.8 -7.2 74.8 5 2014 4.8 3.5 1.7 3.1 11.3 16.8 24.4 -7.6 79.4 5.2 2015 4.8 3.4 1.8 3.6 11.2 17.1 24.9 -7.8 84.1 5.2 2016 4.9 3.6 1.8 4 11.2 17.1 25.5 -8.4 89 5.5 2017 5 3.5 1.9 4.3 11.2 17.2 25.9 -8.7 94 5.4 2018 5.1 3.5 2 4.6 11.1 17.3 26.3 -9 98.4 5.4 2019 5.2 3.7 2 5 11.1 17.4 27.1 -9.7 104.3 5.8 2020 5.3 3.9 2 5.3 11 17.5 27.6 -10.1 110.5 6 2021 5.4 4.1 2.1 5.6 11 17.7 28.1 -10.5 116.4 6.2 2022 5.4 4.2 2.1 5.9 10.9 17.8 28.6 -10.8 122.6 6.4 2023 5.5 4.4 2.1 6.3 10.8 18 29.1 -11.2 128.9 6.6 2024 5.5 4.6 2.2 6.6 10.8 18.1 29.7 -11.6 135.6 6.9 2025 5.6 4.8 2.2 6.9 10.7 18.3 30.3 -12 142.4 7.1 2026 5.7 5 2.3 7.3 10.7 18.3 31 -12.7 149.7 7.4 2027 5.7 5.2 2.3 7.7 10.7 18.3 31.7 -13.4 157.5 7.6 2028 5.8 5.4 2.4 8.1 10.7 18.3 32.4 -14.1 165.8 7.9 2029 5.8 5.7 2.4 8.5 10.7 18.3 33.2 -14.9 174.7 8.2 2030 5.9 5.9 2.4 8.9 10.7 18.3 33.9 -15.6 184 8.4 2031 6 6.1 2.5 9.4 10.7 18.3 34.7 -16.4 193.8 8.7 2032 6 6.3 2.5 9.9 10.7 18.3 35.5 -17.2 204 8.9 2033 6 6.5 2.6 10.4 10.7 18.3 36.3 -18 214.6 9.2 2034 6 6.7 2.6 11 10.7 18.3 37.1 -18.8 225.7 9.4 2035 6 6.9 2.7 11.5 10.7 18.3 37.9 -19.6 237.1 9.6 2036 6 7 2.7 12.1 10.7 18.3 38.6 -20.3 249 9.8 2037 6 7.2 2.7 12.7 10.7 18.3 39.4 -21.1 261.2 10 2038 6 7.4 2.8 13.4 10.7 18.3 40.3 -22 274 10.3 2039 6 7.6 2.8 14 10.7 18.3 41.1 -22.8 287.1 10.4 2040 5.9 7.7 2.9 14.7 10.7 18.3 42 -23.7 300.6 10.7 2041 5.9 7.9 2.9 15.4 10.7 18.3 42.8 -24.5 314.5 10.8 2042 5.9 8 2.9 16.1 10.7 18.3 43.7 -25.4 328.7 11 2043 5.8 8.2 3 16.8 10.7 18.3 44.6 -26.3 343.4 11.2 2044 5.8 8.3 3 17.6 10.7 18.3 45.5 -27.2 358.5 11.4 2045 5.8 8.5 3 18.3 10.7 18.3 46.3 -28 373.9 11.5 2046 5.8 8.6 3 19.1 10.7 18.3 47.2 -28.9 389.7 11.6 2047 5.8 8.7 3.1 19.9 10.7 18.3 48.3 -30 405.9 11.9 2048 5.7 8.9 3.1 20.8 10.7 18.3 49.2 -30.9 422.8 12 2049 5.7 9 3.1 21.7 10.7 18.3 50.2 -31.9 440.1 12.1 2050 5.7 9.1 3.1 22.5 10.7 18.3 51.2 -32.9 457.9 12.3 2051 5.7 9.3 3.2 23.5 10.7 18.3 52.3 -34 476.2 12.5 2052 5.7 9.4 3.2 24.4 10.7 18.3 53.4 -35.1 494.9 12.6 2053 5.7 9.5 3.2 25.4 10.7 18.3 54.5 -36.2 514.1 12.8 2054 5.7 9.7 3.2 26.3 10.7 18.3 55.7 -37.4 533.8 12.9 2055 5.7 9.8 3.2 27.3 10.7 18.3 56.8 -38.5 553.9 13 2056 5.7 9.9 3.3 28.4 10.7 18.3 58.1 -39.8 574.7 13.3 2057 5.7 10.1 3.3 29.4 10.7 18.3 59.3 -41 595.9 13.4 2058 5.8 10.2 3.3 30.5 10.7 18.3 60.6 -42.3 617.6 13.6 2059 5.8 10.4 3.3 31.6 10.7 18.3 61.8 -43.5 639.9 13.7 2060 5.8 10.5 3.3 32.8 10.7 18.3 63.2 -44.9 662.7 13.9 2061 5.8 10.7 3.3 33.9 10.7 18.3 64.5 -46.2 686.1 14 2062 5.8 10.8 3.3 35.1 10.7 18.3 65.9 -47.6 710 14.2 2063 5.9 11 3.4 36.4 10.7 18.3 67.4 -49.1 734.6 14.5 2064 5.9 11.2 3.4 37.6 10.7 18.3 68.8 -50.5 759.7 14.6 2065 5.9 11.3 3.4 38.9 10.7 18.3 70.2 -51.9 785.4 14.8 2066 5.9 11.5 3.4 40.2 10.7 18.3 71.8 -53.5 811.7 15 2067 5.9 11.7 3.4 41.6 10.7 18.3 73.3 -55 838.6 15.1 2068 5.9 11.8 3.4 42.9 10.7 18.3 74.8 -56.5 866.1 15.3 2069 5.9 12 3.5 44.3 10.7 18.3 76.5 -58.2 894.3 15.6 2070 5.9 12.2 3.5 45.8 10.7 18.3 78.1 -59.8 923.1 15.7 2071 6 12.3 3.5 47.3 10.7 18.3 79.8 -61.5 952.5 15.9 2072 6 12.5 3.5 48.8 10.7 18.3 81.5 -63.2 982.6 16.1 2073 6 12.7 3.5 50.3 10.7 18.3 83.3 -65 1013.4 16.3 2074 6 12.9 3.5 51.9 10.7 18.3 85 -66.7 1044.8 16.4 2075 6 13 3.6 53.5 10.7 18.3 86.9 -68.6 1077 16.7 2076 6.1 13.2 3.6 55.1 10.7 18.3 88.8 -70.5 1109.9 16.9 2077 6.1 13.4 3.6 56.8 10.7 18.3 90.7 -72.4 1143.4 17.1 2078 6.1 13.6 3.6 58.5 10.7 18.3 92.5 -74.2 1177.7 17.2 2079 6.1 13.7 3.6 60.3 10.7 18.3 94.5 -76.2 1212.6 17.4 2080 6.1 13.9 3.6 62.1 10.7 18.3 96.5 -78.2 1248.3 17.6 2081 6.1 14.1 3.7 63.9 10.7 18.3 98.5 -80.2 1284.7 17.8 2082 6.2 14.2 3.7 65.8 10.7 18.3 100.6 -82.3 1321.9 18 2083 6.2 14.4 3.7 67.7 10.7 18.3 102.7 -84.4 1359.9 18.2 Source: GAO's Fall 2009 analysis using CBO's projections for Social Security and Medicare.