Retirement Forecasting:

Technical Descriptions of Cost, Decision, and Income Models

PEMD-87-6B: Published: Dec 31, 1986. Publicly Released: Dec 31, 1986.

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GAO provided individual descriptions and reviews of 71 federal retirement models that forecast: (1) the costs of federal retirement programs; (2) the retirement behavior of civilian workers; and (3) the levels and distribution of retirement income.

GAO noted that the model descriptions included: (1) model name, sponsor's name, and sponsor's address; (2) the primary objective of the model; (3) prior, current, or planned use of the model; (4) outcomes predicted by the model; (5) methods of calculation or simulation; (6) data sources; (7) predictors of outcomes or specific predictor values; (8) availability of documentation; (9) frequency of updating or model maintenance; and (10) available information on model validity.

Sep 14, 2016

Sep 8, 2016

May 5, 2016

Apr 13, 2016

Apr 4, 2016

Mar 1, 2016

Oct 29, 2015

Oct 27, 2015

  • retirement icon, source: PhotoDisc

    Social Security's Future:

    Answers to Key Questions
    GAO-16-75SP: Published: Oct 27, 2015. Publicly Released: Oct 27, 2015.

Sep 30, 2015

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