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Report to the Ranking Member, Committee on Financial Services, House of 
Representatives:

November 2007:

Natural Disasters:

Public Policy Options for Changing the Federal Role in Natural 
Catastrophe Insurance:

GAO-08-7: 

GAO Highlights:

Highlights of GAO-08-07, a report to the Ranking Member, Committee on 
Financial Services, House of Representatives. 

Why GAO Did This Study:

In recent years, much attention has been focused on the roles that the 
private sector and federal government play in providing insurance and 
financial aid before and after catastrophic events. In this context, 
GAO examined (1) the rationale for and resources of federal and state 
programs that provide natural catastrophe insurance; (2) the extent to 
which Americans living in catastrophe-prone areas of the United States 
are uninsured and underinsured, and the types and amounts of federal 
payments to such individuals since the 2005 hurricanes; and (3) public 
policy options for revising the federal role in natural catastrophe 
insurance markets. To address these questions, GAO analyzed state and 
federal programs, examined studies of uninsured and underinsured 
homeowners and federal payments to them, identified and analyzed policy 
options, and interviewed officials from private and public sectors in 
both high- and low-risk areas of the United States. GAO also developed 
a four-goal framework to help analyze the available options. 

What GAO Found:

The federal government and some states have developed natural 
catastrophe insurance programs that supplement or substitute for 
private natural catastrophe insurance. These programs were created 
because homeowner coverage for catastrophic events is often not 
available from private insurers at prices deemed affordable by 
insurance regulators. Large losses associated with natural catastrophes 
are some of the biggest exposures that insurers face. Particularly in 
catastrophe-prone locations, government insurance programs have tended 
not to charge premiums that reflect the actual risks that homeowners 
face, resulting in financial deficits. After a resource-depleting 
disaster, the programs have postfunded themselves through, among other 
sources, payments from insurance companies and policyholders and 
appropriations from state and federal taxpayers. 

Large numbers of Americans are not insured for natural catastrophes. 
Homeowners may not purchase natural catastrophe insurance because doing 
so is voluntary and they may not believe that the risk justifies the 
expenditure. In addition, some homes may be underinsured—that is, not 
insured for the full replacement value. GAO estimates that the federal 
government made about $26 billion available to homeowners who lacked 
adequate insurance in response to the 2005 Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, 
and Wilma. Given the unsustainable fiscal path of federal and state 
governments, they will be challenged to maintain their current fiscal 
role. 

As Congress reevaluates the role of the federal government in insuring 
for natural catastrophes, Congress is faced with balancing the often-
competing goals of ensuring that citizens are protected and limiting 
taxpayer exposure. This report examines seven public policy options for 
changing the federal government’s role, including establishing an all-
perils homeowner insurance policy, providing reinsurance for state 
catastrophe funds, and creating a mechanism to provide federal loans 
for state catastrophe funds. Each option has advantages and 
disadvantages, especially when weighed against competing public policy 
goals. For example, establishing an all-perils homeowner policy is a 
private sector approach that could help create broad participation. But 
low-income residents living in parts of the United States with high 
catastrophe risk could require subsidies, resulting in costs to the 
government. Similarly, federal reinsurance for state programs could 
lead to broader coverage, but could displace private reinsurance. GAO 
also identified several policy options for tax-based incentives for 
insurance companies, homeowners, investors, and state governments. But 
these options, which could help recipients better address catastrophe 
risk, could also result in ongoing costs to taxpayers. While some 
options would address the public policy goals of charging risk-based 
rates, encourage broad participation, or promote greater private sector 
participation, these policy goals need to be balanced with the desire 
to make rates affordable.

Selected Advantages and Disadvantages of Options for Changing the 
Federal Role in Natural Catastrophe Insurance: 

Option 1: All-Perils Homeowners Insurance Policy; 
This option would create a homeowner insurance policy that would provide 
coverage against all types of natural catastrophes. 
Advantages: 
* A mandatory all-perils policy could eliminate the problems of 
uninsured property owners and adverse selection; 
* A mandatory all-perils policy would end homeowners’ uncertainty about 
coverage for some perils. 
Disadvantages: 
* The all-perils option could require government subsidies for low- 
income property owners; 
* Premiums for an all-perils policy could be more expensive than 
current homeowner policy premiums, and these premium increases could be 
seen as unfair. 

Option 2: Federal Reinsurance for State Catastrophe Funds; 
This option would create federally backed reinsurance policies for state 
catastrophe funds. In one version of this option, states would create 
catastrophe funds that would be reinsured by the federal government. In 
another version, the Secretary of the Treasury would create an auction 
process for the sale of reinsurance contracts to private and state 
insurers and reinsurers. 
Advantages: 
* The federal reinsurance option could lead to greater participation 
from private insurers; 
* This option would not use tax dollars if premiums were risk-based. 
Disadvantages: 
* Federal reinsurance could compete with the private reinsurance 
sector; 
* Federal reinsurance could create inequities among states because of 
geographical differences in natural catastrophe risk. 

Option 3: Federal Lending to State Catastrophe Funds; 
This option would create a federal lending facility to provide temporary 
loans at market prices to state catastrophe funds. 
Advantages: 
* This option could help state catastrophe insurance funds with 
financing needs after a disaster; 
* The federal lending option would require states to demonstrate that 
they were doing all they could to attract private capital. 
Disadvantages: 
* The federal lending option imposes credit risk on taxpayer– the risk 
that the loans would not be repaid; 
* Political pressure could be exerted to keep the terms and conditions 
of federal loans more favorable than those in the private market. 

Option 4: Insurance Company Catastrophe Reserving; 
This option would permit private insurance companies to establish 
tax-deferred reserves for future natural catastrophes. 
Advantages: 
* With reserves, insurance companies could be more willing to 
underwrite policies; 
* Insurance regulators could be more willing to approve risk-based 
rates for consumers, because premium income could be set aside in a 
reserve fund. 
Disadvantages: 
* Allowing insurance companies to build reserves could involve tax 
benefits that favored one type of activity over another and could 
hamper economic efficiency; 
* Reserves could be costly for the federal government, because they 
would reduce federal tax revenue. 

Option 5: Homeowner Catastrophe Savings Accounts; 
This option would permit individuals to establish tax-deferred reserves 
to pay expenses related to disasters. 
Advantages: 
* Allowing homeowners to use tax-deferred dollars to pay for 
catastrophe insurance could induce more people to buy it; 
* This option might encourage more homeowner mitigation activities. 
Disadvantages: 
* Such accounts may not be enough to induce people to buy costly 
catastrophe insurance and, thus, may not broaden citizen participation 
in natural catastrophe insurance programs; 
* These accounts would reduce federal tax revenues but must be weighed 
against any reduction in post-disaster spending by the federal 
government. 

Option 6: Favorable Tax Treatment for Catastrophe Bonds; 
This option would facilitate the onshore creation of catastrophe bonds 
through tax exemptions for income from the underlying assets. 
Advantages: 
* Favorable tax treatment of catastrophe bonds would increase the 
ability of insurance markets to access capital markets; 
* Insurance companies could be more willing to underwrite catastrophe 
risk because the risk could be passed on to investors. 
Disadvantages: 
* This option creates a new class of reinsurer that would operate under 
regulatory and tax advantages not afforded U.S. reinsurance companies; 
* It is not clear how this option would encourage risk-based premiums 
or lead to more citizen participation in catastrophe insurance 
programs. 

Option 7: Property Tax Assessment for Private Insurance with Federal 
Deductible Payment; 
This option has property tax assessments paying a premium for an all-perils 
catastrophe insurance policy that would be provided by private insurance 
companies, with the federal government responsible for the deductible. 
Advantages: 
* This option would protect the tax base of a state’s economy; 
* The property tax assessment option would increase homeowner 
participation in catastrophe insurance programs. 
Disadvantages: 
* The property tax assessment option would reduce federal tax revenue; 
* This option could be expensive for taxpayers because the federal 
government would pay some portion of the homeowner deductible. 

Source: GAO. 

What GAO Recommends: 

This report does not contain recommendations. However, GAO evaluates 
seven public policy options that are discussed in the right-hand column 
and on the reverse side of this page. In written comments, the National 
Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) generally agreed with 
GAO’s report findings. 

To view the full product, including the scope and methodology, click on 
[hyperlink, http://www/GAO-08-07]. For more information, contact Orice 
Williams at (202) 512-8678 or williamso@gao.gov.

[End of section] 

Contents:

Letter:

Results in Brief:

Background:

Government Natural Catastrophe Insurance Aims to Provide Affordable 
Protection but Often Requires Postfunding after Large Natural 
Catastrophes:

Because Many Americans Are Inadequately Insured for Natural 
Catastrophes, Federal Programs Play a Significant Role in Recovery:

Options for Changing the Federal Role in Natural Catastrophe Insurance 
Attempt to Address Market Issues but May Not Limit Federal Exposure:

Agency Comments and Our Evaluation:

Appendixes:

Appendix I: Objectives, Scope, and Methodology:

Appendix II: Selected State Natural Catastrophe Insurance Programs:

Appendix III: Comments from the National Association of Insurance 
Commissioners:

Appendix IV: GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments:

Related GAO Products:

Figures:

Figure 1: Catastrophic Risk in the United States--Earthquake, 
Hurricane, Tornado, and Hail:

Figure 2: Insured Property Value, by County:

Figure 3: Estimated Federal Disaster Assistance Obligated for 
Homeowners and Renters Lacking Adequate Insurance in Five Gulf Coast 
States after the 2005 Hurricane Season:

Figure 4: Advantages and Disadvantages of Seven Public Policy Options 
for Changing the Federal Role in Natural Catastrophe Insurance:

Figure 5: Comparison of Selected State Natural Catastrophe Insurance 
Programs in 2005: 

Abbreviations: 

CDBG: Community Development Block Grant:

CEA: California Earthquake Authority:

DLP: Disaster Loan Program:

FAIR: Fair Access to Insurance Requirements:

FCIC: Federal Crop Insurance Corporation:

FEMA: Federal Emergency Management Agency:

FHCF: Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund:

FIRM: Flood Insurance Rate Map:

FWUA: Florida Windstorm Underwriting Association:

GUA: Georgia Underwriting Association:

HA: Housing Assistance:

HRA: High Risk Account:

HUD: Department of Housing and Urban Development:

IHP: Individuals and Households Program:

JUA: Florida Residential Property and Casualty Joint Underwriting 
Association:

MIUA: Mississippi Insurance Underwriting Association:

NAIC: National Association of Insurance Commissioners:

NFIP: National Flood Insurance Program:

NOAA: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration:

ONA: Other Needs Assistance:

PLA: Personal Lines Account:

SBA: Small Business Administration:

SFHA: Special Flood Hazard Areas:

[End of section] 

United States Government Accountability Office: 
Washington, D.C. 20548: 

November 26, 2007:

The Honorable Spencer Bachus: 
Ranking Member: 
Committee on Financial Services: 
House of Representatives: 

Dear Mr. Bachus:

Natural disasters not only devastate communities and individuals but 
also are costly to insurers, state governments, and the federal 
government. As the 2005 hurricane season showed, costs associated with 
a large natural disaster, such as a hurricane or major earthquake, can 
be enormous. Aside from the human toll, Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and 
Wilma caused insured losses of an estimated $56.5 billion and total 
economic losses--including both insured and uninsured losses--of more 
than $100 billion. The federal government alone has appropriated more 
than $88 billion for disaster relief and recovery from the 2005 
hurricanes. Future disasters could be even more expensive. One 
catastrophe modeling firm estimates that a large hurricane in southeast 
Florida could cause insured losses of more than $130 billion and a 
total economic loss of more than $260 billion.[Footnote 1] Similarly, 
if San Francisco's 1906 earthquake were to be repeated today, it is 
estimated that it would cause insured losses of more than $70 billion 
and a total economic loss of more than $280 billion. Also, a rupture of 
the Puente Hills fault in the Los Angeles basin could lead to estimated 
insured losses of more than $140 billion and a total economic loss of 
more than $500 billion.

As we reported earlier in 2007, large losses associated with natural 
catastrophes are some of the biggest exposures that property and 
casualty insurers face.[Footnote 2] To remain financially solvent, 
these companies must estimate and prepare for the potential impact of 
such events. Because of the increased risk of natural catastrophes and 
the challenges of predicting losses from them, insurance companies have 
started limiting both renewals of existing contracts and the writing of 
new contracts in catastrophe-prone regions of the United States, such 
as coastal areas (from Massachusetts to Texas), earthquake zones in 
California, and the Mississippi River area of the central United States 
along the New Madrid earthquake fault.

Such events place enormous stress on insurance markets and governments, 
carry huge costs, and have raised concerns about who ultimately bears 
the costs and receives the benefits of government disaster insurance 
programs. For these reasons, debate has arisen about the appropriate 
role for the federal government in insuring against and in recovering 
from natural catastrophes.[Footnote 3] While many public policy 
observers agree that the federal government does and should play an 
integral role in disaster relief and infrastructure recovery, some 
other public policy observers have asked whether the government's 
current role is the most appropriate and have suggested alternatives. 
Some have argued for more federal involvement, but others believe that 
the federal government may be doing too much, crowding out private 
insurance and reducing the private market's ability and willingness to 
provide insurance-based solutions.[Footnote 4] Public policy observers 
have raised moral hazard concerns, noting that generous federal 
disaster relief may discourage homeowners from purchasing natural 
catastrophe insurance.[Footnote 5] These observers have also pointed 
out that government catastrophe insurance programs are vulnerable to 
adverse selection, in that homeowners who are at the most risk are also 
the most likely to buy catastrophe insurance.[Footnote 6]

In the context of your concerns about finding ways to ensure that the 
federal government and the private sector each play an appropriate role 
in the provision of natural catastrophe insurance, we examined (1) the 
rationale for and resources of the federal and state programs that have 
supplemented or substituted for private natural catastrophe insurance 
and their funding; (2) the extent to which Americans living in 
catastrophe-prone areas of the United States are uninsured and 
underinsured and the federal payments that have been made to such 
individuals since the 2005 hurricanes; and (3) public policy options 
for revising the federal role in natural catastrophe insurance markets.

We reviewed or analyzed documents on federal and state catastrophe 
insurance programs, the numbers of uninsured and underinsured and 
federal payments that have been made, options to redefine the federal 
role in natural catastrophe insurance, and goals that could be used as 
a basis for designing and evaluating options for change. We interviewed 
officials from public interest groups, insurance companies, reinsurance 
companies, insurance agents, insurance brokers, insurance and 
reinsurance associations, insurance agent associations, state 
catastrophe insurance and reinsurance plans, state insurance 
departments, state economic development departments, the National 
Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), the Federal Emergency 
Management Agency (FEMA), the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), 
the Department of Agriculture's Risk Management Agency, the Department 
of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), the Small Business 
Administration (SBA), Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, rating agencies, risk 
modeling organizations, academia, law firms, a hedge fund, an insurance 
research organization, a private research organization, a consumer 
group, and others. To determine the mechanisms that governments use to 
supplement or substitute for private catastrophe insurance markets, we 
collected oral and documentary information from public and private 
officials in various states with high and low catastrophe risk and from 
Washington, D.C. To determine the number of uninsured and underinsured 
Americans and payments made to such individuals after the 2005 
hurricanes, we collected information from states, examined federal 
agency data, interviewed federal officials who prepared these data, 
sought information from the private sector, and interviewed state 
officials responsible for disbursing federal disaster funds. Data on 
the numbers and amounts of money going to the uninsured and 
underinsured were incomplete and had a number of limitations, which are 
described in appendix I. We determined that these data were sufficient 
for the purposes of this engagement.

We identified various options for altering the role of the federal 
government in catastrophe insurance by looking at bills before the 
current and previous Congresses as well as other options that were not 
included in current legislative proposals--for example, a proposal 
before a committee of NAIC. After fieldwork for this report concluded, 
we were informed that additional public policy options not considered 
in this report were being discussed before a committee of NAIC. We 
sought out both supporters and critics of each option, and our 
discussion of the third objective presents mainly advantages and 
disadvantages that they have identified. We developed a four-goal 
framework that was based on challenges faced by current government 
natural catastrophe insurance programs and used the framework to 
analyze current options for changing the federal role in natural 
catastrophe insurance. We developed these goals by drawing insights 
from the following: past GAO work, legislative histories of laws that 
changed the roles of state governments and the federal government after 
disasters, bills before the current and previous Congresses, interviews 
with public and private sector officials, and refereed articles written 
by academics in insurance economics. Although we identified numerous 
possible goals that could assist our analysis, we believe the four 
goals that we chose accurately capture the essential concerns of the 
federal government. The congressional policy choices ahead involve 
striking an appropriate balance among these goals.

The scope of our work covered hurricane and earthquake perils. We did 
not investigate tornado, hail, or other perils, such as wildfires. We 
focused on the property and casualty insurance line, especially 
homeowners insurance. In reporting on the amount of federal disaster 
assistance to individuals who lacked adequate insurance in the Gulf 
Coast states following the 2005 hurricanes, we attempted to identify 
payments to homeowners only. However, because in some instances we 
could not separate out payments to renters, we included payments to 
both homeowners and renters in some of our calculations. Judgments 
about whether market failure did or did not exist in any particular 
state's property and casualty insurance market--and whether the cost of 
doing something about it was or was not more expensive than the federal 
government's not acting--were outside the scope of this report. 
Appendix I contains additional details of our objectives, scope, and 
methodology. We did fieldwork in Alabama; California; Connecticut; 
Florida; Illinois; Indiana; Louisiana; Massachusetts; Mississippi; 
Missouri; New York; Ohio; Texas; and Washington, D.C. Our work was 
conducted between March 2006 and October 2007 in accordance with 
generally accepted government auditing standards.

Results in Brief:

The federal government and some states have developed natural 
catastrophe insurance programs that supplement or substitute for 
private natural catastrophe insurance. For example, the Federal Crop 
Insurance Corporation (FCIC) currently insures crops for losses from 
multiple perils, and NFIP insures against flood losses. Although these 
programs were created to provide affordable insurance coverage, by 
design they are not adequately funded--that is, the premium rates do 
not cover the government's exposure--and rely on postfunding mechanisms 
to cover catastrophic loss years. Unlike private insurers that base 
premium rates on the risk of loss associated with properties, these 
programs offer legislatively mandated premium subsidies to encourage 
participation, and Congress appropriates funds for emergency disaster 
relief as needed. Similarly, some state governments have intervened 
when private sector insurance became prohibitively expensive or was not 
widely available, offering state-sponsored catastrophe insurance 
programs. For example, California created an earthquake fund in 1996 
when private insurers significantly reduced the writing of homeowner 
earthquake coverage following the Northridge Earthquake. Likewise, 
Florida has created the Citizens Property Insurance Corporation 
(Florida Citizens)--the largest home insurer in Florida--to provide 
state-backed insurance coverage, including for wind damage, for 
homeowners who cannot get coverage in the private sector. The natural 
catastrophe insurance programs in Florida, Louisiana, Texas, and other 
states are funded through a combination of premium payments and 
postevent assessments and bonds. Like the federal programs, some state 
natural catastrophe insurance programs have been criticized for not 
charging premiums sufficient to cover risks. After the 2005 hurricanes, 
for example, some of these programs faced large accumulated deficits 
and required substantial public funding to continue operations.

The 2005 hurricanes made clear that, even with the federal and state 
natural catastrophe insurance programs, significant numbers of 
Americans lacked adequate insurance against natural catastrophes for 
their homes. These property owners were either uninsured or 
underinsured, for a variety of reasons. Perhaps most significantly, 
buying natural catastrophe insurance is in many cases voluntary, and 
homeowners may choose not to buy it because they do not understand 
their risk exposure, do not understand the protection catastrophe 
insurance offers, or cannot afford it. In some cases, homeowners have 
insurance, but it covers less than the full replacement value of their 
property or has other policy limitations. Underinsurance can be 
exacerbated following a natural catastrophe, when rebuilding costs can 
increase substantially. Uninsured and underinsured homeowners may 
compound the challenge of providing affordable natural catastrophe 
insurance by relying on the federal government for postdisaster 
assistance to rebuild their homes. These homeowners may seek federal 
disaster relief from several federal agencies, including grants from 
FEMA and HUD, and real property loans from SBA. As we found, a 
significant portion of post-Katrina payments to Americans have gone to 
homeowners who were inadequately insured. We estimated that a quarter 
to a third of all federal emergency appropriations after the 2005 
hurricanes, or around $26 billion in grants and loans, was obligated to 
homeowners and renters who lacked adequate natural catastrophe 
insurance.

As Congress and the industry continue to reevaluate the role of the 
federal government in insuring for natural catastrophes, Congress is 
faced with balancing the often-competing goals of limiting taxpayer 
exposure and ensuring that citizens are protected. We identified seven 
public policy options for changing the role of the federal government 
in natural catastrophe insurance, including a mandatory all-perils 
homeowners insurance policy, federal reinsurance for state catastrophe 
funds, a federal lending facility for state catastrophe funds, and 
several tax-based incentives to encourage greater participation by 
insurers and homeowners in managing natural catastrophe risks. As shown 
in figure 4, each of these options has advantages and disadvantages. As 
part of our evaluation, we weighed each of the options against four 
public policy goals that we identified for federal involvement in 
natural catastrophe insurance programs: (1) to have premium rates fully 
reflect actual risks, (2) to encourage private markets to provide 
natural catastrophe insurance, (3) to encourage broad participation in 
natural catastrophe insurance programs, and (4) to limit costs to 
taxpayers before and after a disaster. We found that a mandatory all- 
perils policy, for example, could help create broad participation and 
provide a private sector solution. But this option could also require 
subsidies for low-income residents and thus potentially create 
substantial costs for the federal government. Similarly, while federal 
reinsurance for state catastrophe funds could lead to greater 
participation by private insurers, it could also displace the private 
reinsurance market. Also, a federal lending facility could also help 
state catastrophe insurance funds with financing needs after a 
catastrophe but could also expose the federal government--and 
taxpayers--to the risk that a loan might not be repaid. Given the often-
competing purposes of many public policy options, some options may be 
more appealing than others, but all warrant discussion as part of the 
current debate. While some options would address the goals of charging 
rates that reflect the true risk of catastrophic loss, encourage broad 
participation, or promote greater private sector participation, these 
goals must be balanced with the desire to make rates affordable.

We provided a draft of this report to NAIC and provided excerpts from 
the draft to Alabama Insurance Underwriting Association (Alabama Beach 
Pool), California Earthquake Authority (CEA), Department of Housing and 
Urban Development (HUD), Federal Crop Insurance Corporation (FCIC), 
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), Florida Hurricane 
Catastrophe Fund (FHCF), Florida Citizens Property Insurance 
Corporation (Florida Citizens), Georgia Underwriting Association (GUA), 
Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (Louisiana Citizens), 
Mississippi Windstorm Underwriting Association (Mississippi Windpool), 
the North Carolina Insurance Underwriting Association (North Carolina 
Beach Plan), Small Business Administration (SBA), the South Carolina 
Wind and Hail Underwriting Association (South Carolina Windpool), and 
the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association (Texas Windpool). NAIC 
provided written comments that are reprinted in appendix III. In these 
comments, NAIC officials said that our approach was thorough and that 
we had done an admirable job of evaluating the public policy aspects of 
the seven proposals. The officials also mentioned two additional 
proposals that merit consideration, including a proposal that includes 
an allocation system for determining what portion of hurricane damages 
should be attributed to wind and what portion to flood, and another 
proposal for the creation of a federal entity to oversee property 
insurance rates in coastal zones. While these options were put forth 
too recently to be included in our review and analysis, we will collect 
additional information about them, to the extent possible, during the 
course of other ongoing work involving NFIP. NAIC also commented on 
allegations made by some critics of state regulation, who have 
suggested that regulators may be suppressing rates for some catastrophe 
insurers, and cautioned against assuming widespread rate suppression by 
state insurance regulators. As NAIC noted, our report does not allege 
any such activity on the part of state insurance regulators but notes 
that it is a concern raised by some critics. We recognize that 
determining the appropriate rates for natural catastrophe insurance is 
challenging and is often a negotiated process between the insurers and 
regulators. Alabama Beach Pool, the CEA, FCIC, Florida Citizens, FHCF, 
the GUA, Louisiana Citizens, MWUA, the North Carolina Beach Plan, SBA, 
the South Carolina Windpool, and the Texas Windpool provided technical 
comments that we incorporated in this report as appropriate.

Background:

The United States is exposed to several major hazards, in particular 
earthquakes and hurricanes, in coastal areas. As shown in figure 1, the 
Pacific, South Atlantic, and Gulf Coasts face the highest risk of 
earthquakes and hurricanes. According to the National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 53 percent of the nation's total 
population, or approximately 153 million people, lived in coastal 
counties in 2003.[Footnote 7] Moreover, the total coastal population 
increased by 33 million people, or 28 percent, between 1980 and 2003. 
California led in coastal population change, with the number of 
residents increasing by 9.9 million people. Florida showed the greatest 
percentage population change between 1980 and 2003, increasing nearly 
75 percent. The nation's coastal population is expected to increase by 
more than 7 million people by 2008 (over current levels) and by 12 
million people by 2015.

Figure 1: Catastrophic Risk in the United States--Earthquake, 
Hurricane, Tornado, and Hail:

[See PDF for image] 

This figure is a map of the United States with depictions of the paths 
and/or landfalls of earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes and hail. Shaded 
areas on the map indicate risk, from low risk to high risk. Twenty-one 
different shadings are indicated on a continuum from lowest risk (1) to 
highest risk (21), with the following cities depicted: Phoenix: 2; 
Las Vegas: 3; 
New York: 4; 
Philadelphia: 5; 
Portland: 6; 
Washington, DC, Boston, Chicago: 7; 
San Diego: 9; 
Salk Lake City: 10; 
Raleigh: 11; 
Atlanta, San Antonio: 12; 
St. Louis, Denver: 13; 
Seattle, Los Angeles: 14; 
Anchorage: 16; 
Tampa, Houston, Dallas: 17; 
New Orleans, Memphis, Oklahoma City: 18; 
Charleston, San Francisco: 19; 
Honolulu: 20; 
Miami: 21. 

Source: Risk Management Solutions. 

[End of figure] 

The housing supply in coastal areas also continues to grow, despite the 
high risk of earthquakes and hurricanes. NOAA reported that coastal 
counties contained 52 percent of the nation's total housing supply in 
2000.[Footnote 8] The leading states in terms of total housing units in 
coastal counties were California, Florida, and New York, which together 
have 41 percent of the total housing supply in these counties. One 
study put the estimated insured value of coastal property in states 
bordering the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico at $7.2 trillion as of 
December 2004.[Footnote 9] As shown in figure 2, properties along the 
Pacific and North-Atlantic Coasts and the Gulf of Mexico have some of 
the highest insured property values. The value of residential and 
commercial coastal property in Florida and New York was $1.94 trillion 
and $1.90 trillion, respectively, in 2004.

Figure 2: Insured Property Value, by County:

[See PDF for image] 

This figure is a map of the continental United States, depicting the 
insured property value, by county. Counties are shaded into the 
following five categories by insured property value, in billions: 

Less than 5; 
Five to ten; 
Eleven to fifty; 
Fifty-one to one hundred; 
More than 100. 

Source: Copywrite, 2007 AIR Worldwide Corporation. 

[End of figure] 

Private Natural Catastrophe Insurance:

Insurance coverage against natural catastrophes for a home may or may 
not be included in homeowners insurance contracts. For example, 
coverage against wind loss from an event such as a hurricane is 
typically included. However, in some areas of certain states--mostly 
coastal regions--wind coverage may be excluded from homeowners 
insurance contracts and may be available only through the surplus lines 
insurance market or a state-managed entity.[Footnote 10] Similarly, 
earthquake coverage is commonly excluded from homeowners insurance 
contracts and instead is sold separately by insurance companies or, in 
the case of California, through a state-managed program.

The price of property and casualty insurance is affected by both the 
annual expected loss and the cost of diversifying the risk of 
catastrophic losses.[Footnote 11] Insurers can diversify the risk of 
catastrophic losses by, among other things, purchasing reinsurance, 
which is insurance for insurance companies, or by selling financial 
instruments such as catastrophe bonds. Insurance companies do not know 
in advance what their actual costs are going to be, because they can 
determine these costs only after a policy has expired. The insurer's 
objectives are to calculate premiums that will make the business 
profitable, enable the company to compete effectively with other 
insurers, and allow the company to pay claims and expenses as they 
occur.

When insurers, reinsurers, and investors in catastrophe financial 
instruments perceive that the expected frequency or severity of natural 
catastrophes has increased, they may increase the price of insurance. 
If a company believes that the risk of loss--for example, from flooding 
or earthquake--is unacceptably high given the rate that can be charged, 
it declines to offer coverage.

State Regulation of Insurance Prices:

While the federal government retains the authority to regulate 
insurance, it has given primary responsibility for insurance regulation 
to the states, in accordance with the McCarran-Ferguson Act of 
1945.[Footnote 12] State insurance commissioners are responsible for 
regulating rates, monitoring the availability of insurance, and 
assessing insurance firms' solvency. The insurance regulators of the 50 
states, the District of Columbia, and the U.S. territories have created 
NAIC to coordinate regulation of multistate insurers. NAIC serves as a 
forum for the development of uniform policy, and its committees develop 
model laws and regulations that, when adopted by state legislatures or 
promulgated by state regulators, govern the U.S. insurance industry.

Critics of state insurance regulation argue that insurance prices and 
terms of coverage, particularly for homeowners insurance in areas prone 
to natural catastrophes, are highly regulated and that the insurance 
industry is generally not allowed to respond freely to changing risks 
or market conditions. In particular, these critics say that:

* insurance regulators do not allow private insurers in catastrophe- 
prone areas to charge rates sufficient to build surpluses or transfer 
risks to reinsurers,

* regulators may be subject to voter pressure and thus to legislative 
pressure to keep insurance premiums affordable and coverage readily 
available, and:

* regulatory and political restrictions prevent markets from giving 
consumers accurate price signals regarding the risks of living in 
catastrophe-prone areas.

NAIC officials told us that projected loss costs to cover the insurer's 
catastrophe exposure vary widely depending on which risk-modeling firm 
the insurer selects to produce its catastrophe loss costs. Only future 
results prove whether insurance company actuaries or insurance 
regulator actuaries are correct. The officials said that one should not 
assume that insurers and their actuaries have perfect information about 
what catastrophes will occur during the next year and about how the 
economy will behave. They added that one should also not assume that 
actuaries working for insurance companies are always correct in their 
projections of the needed price for the future experience period and 
that actuaries working for insurance regulators are always wrong.

In the aftermath of natural catastrophes, some insurers responded by 
limiting their exposure in catastrophe-prone areas with restrictions on 
underwriting, higher deductibles, and lower coverage limits.[Footnote 
13] In particular, there were property insurance affordability and 
availability crises in the Gulf Coast states or Florida after Hurricane 
Camille in 1969, Hurricane Celia in 1970, Hurricane Andrew in 1992, and 
the 2005 hurricanes; and in California following the Northridge 
Earthquake in 1994. Various proposals have been put forth over the past 
15 years seeking to have the federal government take a larger role--for 
example, as a reinsurer or by allowing insurance companies to 
accumulate tax-deferred reserves--in addressing the affordability and 
availability of natural catastrophe insurance.[Footnote 14]

Federal Natural Catastrophe Insurance and Disaster Aid:

The federal government engages in a wide variety of insurance 
activities, among them providing multiperil crop insurance to farmers 
and flood insurance to homeowners and businesses.[Footnote 15] In 
addition, the federal government provides disaster assistance to 
individuals and households.[Footnote 16] FEMA, SBA, and HUD are the 
primary agencies administering federal disaster relief and recovery 
programs.

FCIC provides insurance coverage for farmers who suffer financial 
losses when their crops are damaged by droughts, floods, or other 
natural disasters. By law, FCIC pays the premium for catastrophic 
coverage against losses of 50 percent of a farm's normal yield at 55 
percent of the market price.[Footnote 17] In addition, FCIC offers 
premium subsidies for "buy-up" coverage against crop, revenue, and 
prevented planting losses, with coverage for losses ranging from 50 to 
90 percent of a farm's normal yield.[Footnote 18] FCIC estimates that 
participation of eligible farmers is approximately 80 percent of acres 
planted.

FEMA, through NFIP, offers insurance to homeowners and businesses for 
losses due to flooding and currently has 5.3 million policyholders. By 
law, NFIP must offer reduced premium rates for homes built in 
floodplains prior to the creation of flood insurance rate maps (pre- 
Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) properties). About one quarter of NFIP 
policies are pre-FIRM and pay about 40 percent of the risk-based rate. 
According to NFIP, homes built in floodplains to an approved building 
code after the creation of flood maps pay actuarially sound premiums. 
Participation in the program is mandatory for homeowners with mortgages 
issued by federally regulated lenders on properties in special flood 
hazard areas (SFHA) where flood insurance is available.[Footnote 19] 
According to the RAND Corporation, about half of all homeowners who 
live in SFHAs purchase flood insurance.

In addition to providing crop, flood, and other insurance, the federal 
government provides disaster assistance to individuals. FEMA provides 
disaster relief and recovery assistance to individual citizens through 
its Individuals and Households Program (IHP), which is intended to 
provide money and services to people in a disaster area when losses are 
not generally covered by insurance and property has been damaged or 
destroyed. IHP includes Housing Assistance (HA) and Other Needs 
Assistance (ONA). FEMA may provide five types of HA: financial 
assistance to rent temporary housing, "direct" temporary housing 
assistance, repair assistance, replacement assistance, and permanent 
housing construction in certain areas outside of the continental United 
States and other remote areas. FEMA may provide ONA grant funding for 
transportation expenses, medical and dental expenses, and funeral and 
burial expenses. ONA grant funding may also be available to replace 
personal property, repair and replace vehicles, and reimburse moving 
and storage expenses under certain circumstances. IHP is not intended 
to restore damaged property to its predisaster condition.

SBA's Disaster Loan Program (DLP) is the primary federal program for 
funding long-range recovery for private sector, nonfarm disaster 
victims. Eligible losses include under or uninsured damages and can not 
duplicate benefits received from another source (i.e. insurance 
recovery, FEMA, etc.) The Small Business Act authorizes SBA to make 
available the following two types of disaster loans: (1) physical 
disaster home loans to homeowners, renters, and businesses of all 
sizes, and (2) economic injury disaster loans to small 
businesses.[Footnote 20] Homeowners and renters can borrow up to 
$40,000 for repair or replacement of household and personal effects. 
Homeowners can also borrow up to $200,000 to repair or replace a 
primary residence. Businesses of all sizes can borrow up to $1.5 
million to repair or replace disaster damaged real estate, machinery 
and equipment, inventory, etc. Small businesses can borrow up to $1.5 
million for disaster related economic injury resulting from the 
declared disaster. The combined loans to a business for physical loss 
and economic injury cannot exceed $1.5 million. Homeowners and 
businesses must provide reasonable assurance that they can repay the 
loan out of personal or business cash flow, and they must have 
satisfactory credit and character.

HUD also provides disaster recovery assistance through several 
programs. After the 2005 hurricanes, Congress appropriated $16.7 
billion to the Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) program for 
disaster recovery. The CDBG program generally provides funding to 
metropolitan cities and urban counties that have been designated as 
entitlement communities and to states for distribution to other 
communities.[Footnote 21] Grant recipients must give maximum feasible 
priority to activities, including emergency-related activities, that 
(1) benefit low-and moderate-income families or aid in the prevention 
or elimination of slums or blight, or (2) meet urgent community 
development needs. However, HUD can waive regulatory and statutory 
program requirements to increase the flexibility of the CDBG funds for 
disaster recovery. These grants afford states and local governments a 
great deal of discretion to help them recover from presidentially 
declared disasters.[Footnote 22]

Government Natural Catastrophe Insurance Aims to Provide Affordable 
Protection but Often Requires Postfunding after Large Natural 
Catastrophes:

Government natural catastrophe insurance programs were created because 
certain perils are difficult to insure privately and because, when 
private insurance is available, it may not be affordable. To keep 
natural catastrophe insurance available and affordable, government 
insurance programs operate differently than private insurance 
companies. Private insurance companies generally rely on premiums 
collected from those they insure to cover operating costs and losses 
and set premium rates at levels that are designed to reflect the risk 
that the company assumes in providing the insurance. These companies 
may also accumulate reserves to cover large losses. Federal and state 
government insurance programs also collect up-front premiums, but their 
rates do not always reflect the risks that the programs assume. Because 
premiums are inadequate to cover operating costs and losses, the 
government programs generally have limited resources and often face 
deficits after disasters. However, unlike private insurers, federal 
insurers may obtain funds after a catastrophic event through emergency 
appropriations. State programs may also access postevent funding 
through various means, including assessments on private insurers, 
bonds, and private reinsurance. State programs may also be postfunded 
through state general revenue funds and federal disaster relief 
payments. This structure has several implications. First, it may 
encourage homeowners in catastrophe-prone locations to seek coverage 
from government programs, crowding out the private market and 
increasing the government's financial exposure. Second, homeowners may 
not receive appropriate price signals about the risk of living in 
catastrophe-prone locations. Third, taxpayers who live in less risky 
locations may be subsidizing those living in catastrophe-prone 
locations. Finally, the added burden of private insurers' assessment 
obligations may provide another reason for them to leave already 
stressed markets.

Federal natural catastrophe insurance programs fill gaps in private 
insurance markets and help limit disaster relief payments. For example, 
FCIC and NFIP were created because private insurers had determined that 
multiperil crop and flood losses were uninsurable and declined to 
provide coverage. A 1937 study by the Executive Committee on Crop 
Insurance, which noted that commercial attempts to insure against crop 
losses had been unsuccessful, provided the impetus for creating FCIC in 
1938. Initially, the program was experimental and suffered heavy 
losses. The Federal Crop Insurance Act of 1980 expanded the program to 
replace free disaster coverage (in the form of compensation to farmers 
who were unable to plant crops and who suffer yield losses) with 
insurance. The flood insurance program was initiated because it had 
become clear by the 1950s that private insurance companies could not 
profitably provide affordable flood coverage because of the 
catastrophic nature of flooding and the impossibility of developing an 
actuarial rate structure that could adequately reflect the risk to 
flood-prone properties, among other reasons. One of the primary 
purposes of the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968, which created 
NFIP, was to reduce federal expenditures for disaster assistance and 
flood control.

State natural catastrophe insurance programs were created to avoid 
homeowners insurance crises that threatened the states' housing 
markets. For example, the California Earthquake Authority was formed in 
1996 in response to a crisis in the residential property insurance 
market following the Northridge earthquake in 1994. According to the 
Insurance Information Institute, California insurers had collected only 
$3.4 billion in earthquake premiums in the 25-year period prior to the 
Northridge earthquake but had paid out more than $15 billion on 
Northridge claims alone. Moreover, insurers representing about 95 
percent of the homeowners insurance market in California began to limit 
their exposure to earthquakes by writing fewer or no new homeowners 
insurance policies, triggering a crisis that threatened California's 
housing market and stalled the state's recovery from recession. See 
appendix II for a more detailed description of state natural 
catastrophe insurance programs.

Florida Citizens is a nonprofit tax-exempt entity that provides 
residential and commercial property insurance coverage when private 
insurance is not available. Florida Citizens was established in 2002 
after two separate insurance pools--the Florida Windstorm Underwriting 
Association (FWUA) and the Florida Residential Property and Casualty 
Joint Underwriting Association (JUA)--were combined.[Footnote 23] In 
addition, the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF) provides an 
alternative to traditional hurricane reinsurance, reducing the cost of 
coverage significantly below that of private reinsurance and lowering 
the cost of insurance to homeowners. The FHCF was established in 1993 
in response to Hurricane Andrew, which resulted in a severe shortage of 
catastrophe property reinsurance capacity, stricter policy terms and 
conditions, and sharp increases in property catastrophe reinsurance 
rates in the year following the storm.[Footnote 24] The post-Andrew 
reaction of a number of insurance companies was to attempt to reduce 
their underwriting exposure, and 39 insurers stated in early 1993 that 
they intended to either cancel or not renew approximately 844,000 
policies in Florida.[Footnote 25] Other states--including Alabama, 
Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas--have created state funds to make 
natural catastrophe insurance available and affordable.

Premium Rates for Government Natural Catastrophe Insurance Programs Are 
Often Determined by Factors Other Than Risk:

Because government natural catastrophe insurance programs are often 
created to ensure the availability and affordability of natural 
catastrophe insurance, homeowner premiums for these programs--although 
risk-related--are generally not based entirely on the homeowners level 
of risk. Federal natural catastrophe insurance program premium rates 
are often set by statute and involve government subsidies. For example, 
to encourage broad participation in the crop insurance program, federal 
law seeks to ensure that the premiums are affordable to all farmers by 
requiring FCIC to pay a portion of the premium cost.[Footnote 26] 
Specifically, FCIC offers farmers varying subsidy rates for crop 
insurance, depending on the level of protection they seek.[Footnote 27] 
Crop insurance subsidies totaled about $2.3 billion in crop years 2005 
and 2006. In addition, federal crop insurance legislation directs FCIC 
to operate at a loss ratio of no more than 1.075.[Footnote 28] A loss 
ratio greater than 1.00 indicates that the program paid more in claims 
than it collected in premiums.[Footnote 29] Furthermore, we have 
previously reported that NFIP is not designed to be actuarially 
sound.[Footnote 30] Annually, flood insurance subsidies total about 
$1.3 billion.[Footnote 31]

State natural catastrophe insurance program premium rates may also be 
set by statute. Florida Citizens historically has been required to 
maintain premium rates that were not competitive with the private 
insurance market. However, in January 2007, the Florida Legislature 
allowed Florida Citizens to charge competitive rates.[Footnote 32] Even 
by 2006, Florida Citizens was the largest property insurer in Florida. 
It receives much of its reinsurance coverage from the FHCF, which 
charges premium rates that are estimated to be about a quarter to a 
third the cost of private market reinsurance. The program can charge 
these rates because of its tax-exempt status and ability to postfund 
claims losses through bonds, among other advantages. These two state 
programs are able to charge lower premiums than private insurance 
companies, encouraging more people to seek coverage in the state 
programs and leaving the state more financially vulnerable in the event 
of a large hurricane.

State natural catastrophe insurance program premium rates are also 
subject to approval by state insurance regulators that have generally 
resisted rate increases. The Mississippi Windstorm Underwriting 
Association (Mississippi Windpool) provides coverage against windstorms 
and hail for people in the six coastal counties of Mississippi who 
might not be able to get wind coverage in the private insurance market. 
After Hurricane Katrina, the Mississippi Windpool sought a rate 
increase of almost 400 percent, primarily to cover the increased cost 
of reinsurance. The state insurance regulator granted a 90 percent 
increase. Furthermore, the state government will use $50 million in 
federal disaster recovery funds provided by HUD to offset the increased 
cost of reinsurance in 2007 and 2008. In addition, the state government 
created a reinsurance fund that uses state general revenue funds to 
offset the increased cost of reinsurance.

Similarly, the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association (Texas Windpool) 
offers wind and hail coverage in 14 coastal counties and other 
specified areas. By law, Texas Windpool residential and commercial 
premium rates may not increase more than 10 percent above the rates for 
noncommercial windstorm or hail insurance that are in effect at the 
time the request for an increase is filed. However, the insurance 
commissioner may suspend this rule to ensure rate adequacy in the 
catastrophe area.[Footnote 33] In May 2006, the Texas Windpool sought a 
19 percent residential and 24 percent commercial rate increase, but the 
insurance commissioner approved a 3.1 percent residential and 8 percent 
commercial rate increase. When the Texas Windpool sought a 20 percent 
residential and 22 percent commercial rate increase in November 2006, 
the insurance commissioner approved a 4.2 percent residential and 3.7 
percent commercial rate increase. In both instances, the insurance 
commissioner stated that he favored an incremental approach to 
strengthening the Texas Windpool that did not put an undue economic 
burden on coastal homeowners.

Federal and State Natural Catastrophe Insurance Programs Have Incurred 
Large Postdisaster Deficits Because of Inadequate Resources and 
Reliance on Postfunding:

Unlike private insurance companies, government natural catastrophe 
insurance programs often do not employ accrual accounting and are not 
always required to accumulate adequate resources to meet their 
obligations. Generally, insurance premiums are paid in advance, but the 
period of protection extends into the future. Private insurers are 
required by statutory accounting rules to establish reserves for 
incurred or known claims and for the cost of "incurred but not 
reported" claims to ensure that the premiums collected in advance will 
be available to pay future losses.[Footnote 34] Incurred but not 
reported claims are insured losses that have already happened but that 
for any of a variety of reasons have not yet been reported to the 
insurer. Most government natural catastrophe insurance programs are not 
required to have these resources, because they are structured to 
postfund losses. As we have previously mentioned, NFIP and the federal 
crop insurance program are postfunded by emergency appropriations from 
federal taxpayers. State programs are generally postfunded by several 
mechanisms, including assessments on private insurers, bonds, and 
proceeds from general revenues. In most property and casualty insurance 
lines, state assessments are often passed through to policyholders. As 
a result, homeowners living in less risky locations also contribute to 
cover the shortfall--a scenario known as cross-subsidization. In those 
states where assessments cannot be passed through in some manner, 
private insurers must pay the assessments, while at the same time 
paying large claims from their own policyholders. In such instances, 
some companies may be reluctant to continue offering coverage in the 
state or may become insolvent.

In the wake of recent natural catastrophes, some government natural 
catastrophe insurance programs suffered losses that eliminated their 
accumulated resources. For example, NFIP reported unexpended cash of 
approximately $1 billion following fiscal year 2004, but the program 
had suffered almost $16 billion in losses from Hurricane Katrina alone 
as of May 31, 2007.[Footnote 35] Similarly, Florida Citizens' high-risk 
account had a surplus of approximately $1.1 billion prior to the 2004 
hurricane season, but the program incurred over $2 billion in losses 
from the 2004 hurricanes and almost $2 billion in losses from the 2005 
hurricanes.[Footnote 36] The FHCF had accumulated net assets of $5.5 
billion at the end of the 2004 fiscal year but had an estimated 
shortfall of approximately $1.4 billion following reimbursements to 
participating insurers after the 2004 and 2005 hurricane 
seasons.[Footnote 37] Prior to 2007, the Mississippi Windpool did not 
have resources beyond premiums and reinsurance because year-end profits 
and losses were shared by member companies. By the end of 2005, 
following Hurricane Katrina, the Mississippi Windpool had incurred a 
net loss of $473 million.[Footnote 38] In Louisiana, Citizens Property 
Insurance Corporation (Louisiana Citizens), which has a structure 
similar to that of Florida Citizens, had $80 million in cash reserves 
prior to the 2005 hurricane season but suffered more than $1 billion in 
losses after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.[Footnote 39]

Emergency appropriations authorizing funding for federal natural 
catastrophe insurance programs after disasters have often been 
significant. In the case of FCIC, not only are premium rates subsidized 
by almost 59 percent for the most popular coverage, but farmers may 
receive additional emergency disaster relief--for example, farmers 
received $1.6 billion following Hurricane Katrina.[Footnote 40] In the 
case of NFIP, not only are premium rates for pre-FIRM homes subsidized 
up to 60 percent on average, but after Hurricane Katrina NFIP was 
authorized to borrow over $20 billion to pay claims.

State natural catastrophe insurance programs have also often required 
postfunding to satisfy their obligations in the wake of large natural 
catastrophes. For example, to fund its 2004 and 2005 deficits, Florida 
Citizens assessed insurance companies in most property and casualty 
lines $516 million and $205 million, respectively, and these amounts 
will be passed through to policyholders.[Footnote 41] In addition, the 
Florida Legislature appropriated $715 million from the general revenue 
fund to reduce the size of the 2005 deficit. Furthermore, to fund a 
bond issuance to cover the FHCF's shortfall, eligible Florida insurance 
policyholders incurred a 1 percent assessment that will be levied over 
at least 6 years beginning in January 2007. In June 2006, the FHCF 
issued a $1.35 billion postevent revenue bond to cover 2005 losses, and 
in July 2006 it issued a $2.8 billion preevent financing bond to 
provide liquidity for 2006 and future years.

Similarly, Louisiana Citizens assessed all property insurance companies 
in the state $193 million after the 2005 hurricanes. It has also issued 
a postevent bond for $978 million to cover 2005 losses that will be 
financed by emergency assessments on insurers in certain lines of 
property and casualty insurance. These assessments are levied directly 
on policyholders, who may claim a tax credit against state income tax. 
The assessments will continue for as many years as needed to cover the 
plan's deficit. Both Florida Citizens and Louisiana Citizens have been 
declared to be municipalities rather than insurance companies by their 
respective state legislatures, and as a result cannot declare 
bankruptcy until the bond obligations are satisfied. In addition, the 
Mississippi Windpool funded its deficit through $525 million in 
assessments on member companies in proportion to their share of 
business in the state.[Footnote 42] At the time, these assessments 
could not be directly passed through to policyholders. At least one 
private insurance company found that its assessment liability was more 
than the entire amount of premiums it collected in the state and was 
forced to liquidate. Finally, the Texas Windpool assessed private 
insurance companies in Texas for the first $100 million in program 
losses and expenses from Hurricane Rita beyond its ability to pay from 
premiums and other income.

Because Many Americans Are Inadequately Insured for Natural 
Catastrophes, Federal Programs Play a Significant Role in Recovery:

The 2005 hurricanes illustrated how many Americans are uninsured and 
underinsured for natural catastrophes and the federal government's role 
in recovery from natural catastrophes. An analysis by HUD found that of 
the 192,820 owner-occupied homes with major or severe damage from 
Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma, approximately 78,000, or about 41 
percent, did not have any insurance or did not have enough insurance to 
cover the damage incurred.[Footnote 43] Homeowners do not purchase 
natural catastrophe insurance for a variety of reasons, including 
financial reasons. Moreover, buying a natural catastrophe insurance 
policy does not guarantee complete coverage for a dwelling. For 
example, if the home's replacement value is calculated inaccurately, 
the homeowner will buy too little insurance to cover all of the damage. 
More and more frequently, responsibility for supporting the needs of 
individuals who lack adequate insurance against natural catastrophe 
risk is falling to the federal government. We estimate that the federal 
government made approximately $26 billion available for homeowners and 
renters who lacked adequate insurance in response to the 2005 
hurricanes.

Homeowners May Not Be Insured against Natural Catastrophes for Several 
Reasons:

Homeowners may not purchase natural catastrophe insurance because they 
face budget constraints, underestimate the risk they face, or fail to 
understand the protection such insurance affords.[Footnote 44] 
Information on the number of individuals who are uninsured against 
natural catastrophe risks is somewhat limited but helps demonstrate the 
extent to which homeowners do not purchase natural catastrophe 
insurance. About 41 percent of homes that sustained severe damage from 
any peril during the 2005 hurricanes were uninsured or underinsured. 
HUD reported that of the 60,196 owner-occupied homes with major or 
severe wind damage, almost 23,000, or 38 percent, lacked insurance 
against wind loss. Also, the Insurance Information Institute reported 
that about 86 percent of Californians did not have earthquake insurance 
on their homes in 2004. Furthermore, only about one half of eligible 
single-family homes in Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHA) nationwide 
have purchased flood insurance.[Footnote 45] In areas outside of SFHAs, 
where flood insurance is voluntary, only about 1 percent of owners of 
single-family homes have purchased flood insurance, even though 20 to 
25 percent of NFIP's claims come from outside of SFHAs.

Purchasing insurance to protect homes against natural catastrophes is 
mandatory for some homeowners, but often it is voluntary. For example, 
homeowners who do not have mortgages are generally not required to have 
property and casualty coverage, and in some areas certain types of 
hazards are routinely excluded from homeowners policies. As we have 
seen, wind coverage is often excluded in some coastal areas, and the 
surplus lines market or a state-managed entity may offer coverage 
separately. Although lenders may require homeowners to purchase this 
supplemental insurance, those who own their homes outright may choose 
not to buy it. A similar situation exists with earthquake coverage in 
certain areas of the country. In earthquake-prone areas, earthquake 
coverage is commonly excluded from the homeowners insurance contract 
and is sold separately by insurance companies or, as in the case of 
California, by a state-managed program. In general, lenders do not 
require earthquake insurance as a condition of extending a mortgage.

Consumers will purchase natural catastrophe insurance on the basis of 
their perception of risk. Studies have shown that consumers often 
consider the likelihood of a future catastrophe to be much lower than 
insurance companies' estimates. According to academic research, some 
homeowners may underestimate the risk of loss, have an overly 
optimistic view of expected losses, or be unaware that insurance is 
available. One insurance expert has concluded that if people believe 
that the chance of a serious event occurring is low, they often 
consider insurance unnecessary and will not seek out information on its 
benefits and costs. Reluctance to purchase insurance protection can be 
compounded by budget constraints. For some homeowners with relatively 
low incomes, disaster insurance is considered an expense that can be 
made only after taking care of necessities.

An insurance expert has noted that insurance trade associations, 
consumer advocacy groups, and governments can provide better 
information to consumers about risk probabilities, insurer 
profitability, and prices to motivate better insurance purchasing 
behavior.[Footnote 46] One study of those living in earthquake zones 
has identified a variety of reasons for declining to purchase 
earthquake insurance.[Footnote 47] Some consumers are unwilling or 
reluctant to pay high premiums to insure against potentially large but 
rare disaster losses. Some consumers believe that the deductible for 
earthquake insurance--the standard deductible is 15 percent of the 
value of the home--is too high, given the premium rates and amount of 
coverage provided.[Footnote 48] A study of flood insurance market 
penetration rates cites several reasons why people do not purchase 
flood insurance.[Footnote 49] For property owners in SFHAs, the 
decision to purchase insurance is affected primarily by its price. 
Outside of SFHAs, property owners are not purchasing flood insurance 
because they may not be aware of flood risk, and because flood 
insurance agents have less interest in promoting flood insurance and in 
learning how to write flood policies. Also, certain limitations of the 
coverage, such as limits on basement flooding, make the policies less 
attractive in inland areas.

Inaccurate Home Valuations Can Result in Underinsurance:

Text box: 
Coinsurance Clause Formula: 
Homeowners who carry less than 80 percent of the full replacement cost 
of their homes receive an amount calculated by formulas. Generally, the 
amount will be the larger of the following two amounts: 
(1) Actual cash value of that part of the building damaged (minus 
depreciation cost) or; 

(2) Amount of insurance carried divided by 80 percent multiplied by 
replacement cost, then multiply that amount by Loss. 

To illustrate, assume that a dwelling has a replacement cost of 
$400,000, but it is insured for only $240,000. The roof of the house is 
10 years old and has a useful life of 20 years, so it is 50 percent 
depreciated. Assume the roof is severely damaged by a hurricane, and 
the replacement cost of a new roof is $40,000. Ignoring the deductible, 
the insured receives the larger of the following two amounts: 

(1) Actual cash value equals $40,000 minus $20,000, which equals 
$20,000; or: 

(2) $240,000 divided by 80 percent times $400,000; multiplied by 
$40,000, equals $30,000. 

The insured receives $30,000 for the loss. The entire loss of $40,000 
would have been paid if the insured had carried at least $320,000 of 
insurance. 

[End of text box] 

Homes may be underinsured because replacement costs are not calculated 
accurately. Replacement cost has been defined as the amount necessary 
to repair or replace the dwelling with material of like kind and 
quality at current prices. Replacement cost may not be calculated 
accurately for several reasons, including the effects of inflation, 
custom home building, remodeling, high demand for contractors, and 
changes in building codes following a natural catastrophe.

Generally, property insurance losses are partial losses rather than 
total losses. However, in catastrophe-prone areas, the prospect of a 
total loss of property is real. If a homeowner suffers a total loss of 
property as a result of a natural catastrophe and the replacement cost 
has not been properly calculated, the property will not be fully 
insured. An insurance industry consultant estimates that in 2006 
approximately 58 percent of the residential housing stock in the United 
States was undervalued for insurance purposes by an estimated 21 
percent.

Homeowners insurance coverage can vary by type of policy and from 
insurer to insurer, but there are fundamental similarities. The 
broadest coverage generally provides that a policyholder will receive 
full replacement cost with no deduction for depreciation (up to the 
policy limit) if a policyholder maintains coverage limits of 80 percent 
or more of the dwelling's full replacement cost.[Footnote 50] 
Otherwise, the homeowner receives a lesser amount according to the 
formula in the policy (see sidebar).

The reasons that replacement costs may not be calculated accurately, 
leaving homeowners underinsured, are complex. First, replacement costs 
must be periodically updated to account for inflation. Second, 
beginning in the early 1980s developers began building more custom 
homes, and a significant percentage of homes were remodeled, sometimes 
extensively. Historically, the methodologies that the insurance 
industry used to calculate replacement costs did not always capture 
custom features. The industry has improved its calculation 
methodologies, but an insurance industry consultant told us that a 
large number of policies had not been properly updated. Furthermore, 
homeowners whose properties were remodeled may not have understood the 
need to tell their insurers about the remodeling, possibly to avoid 
rate increases. The problem of underinsurance can be exacerbated in the 
wake of a natural catastrophe when demand for contractors and materials 
to repair homes is high and the supply is tight. This phenomenon is 
known as "demand surge." In these circumstances, the short-term costs 
of repairing and rebuilding homes can escalate substantially, and 
replacement costs become significantly higher. In addition, over time a 
community may implement improved building codes, so that rebuilding may 
have to conform to stricter standards than those that were in place 
when a dwelling was first built.[Footnote 51] This situation can also 
make replacement costs much higher, as it did in Florida in the 
aftermath of Hurricane Andrew in 1992.

Large Amounts of Federal Postdisaster Aid Have Been Distributed to 
Uninsured and Underinsured Homeowners:

As of May 2007, Congress approved approximately $88 billion in 
emergency appropriations to assist in relief and recovery efforts in 
the Gulf Coast states following the 2005 hurricanes.[Footnote 52] Three 
federal agencies--FEMA, SBA, and HUD--received over $60 billion, or 
about two-thirds, of this amount. As we have previously noted, these 
agencies play a significant role in distributing federal disaster 
relief funds to individual victims. We estimate that, as of June 2007, 
the agencies had obligated approximately $26 billion, or between a 
quarter and a third, of the emergency appropriations to homeowners and 
renters in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas who 
lacked adequate insurance (see fig. 3).

Figure 3: Estimated Federal Disaster Assistance Obligated for 
Homeowners and Renters Lacking Adequate Insurance in Five Gulf Coast 
States after the 2005 Hurricane Season: 

[See PDF for image] 

The following data is depicted in table format: 

Hurricane-related emergency supplemental funding, in billions: 
Total: 87.755; 
Total congressional funds to assist Gulf Coast States: 100%. 
FEMA IHP: 42.576; 
SBA DLP: 0.988; 
HUD CDBG: 17.099; 
Portion of congressional funds to FEMA, SBA, and HUD: 69%; 
Estimated amount obligated by FEMA, SBA, and HUD to homeowners and 
renters lacking adequate insurance: 
FEMA IHP: 15.115; 
SBA DLP: 0.794; 
HUD CDBG: 9.904; 
Portion of congressional funds used for homeowners and renters who did 
not have adequate insurance: 29%. 

Source: GAO analysis of FEMA, HUD, and SBA documents and interviews. 

Note: These five Gulf Coast states are Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, 
Mississippi, and Texas. The 2005 hurricane season included Hurricanes 
Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. The SBA-obligated amount represents the 
subsidy cost of disaster loans at 14.64 percent, as of January 31, 
2007. The FEMA-obligated amount includes HA, ONA, and manufactured 
housing funds as of June 18, 2007. The HUD-obligated amounts are as of 
May 16, 2007. The totals for each agency were calculated using 
different methodologies and data sources. For details, see appendix I 
of this report. 

[End of figure] 

Federal disaster assistance for homeowners and renters comes from FEMA, 
SBA, and HUD. For example:

* For disasters declared between October 1, 2004, and October 1, 2005, 
FEMA could provide a maximum of $26,200 for housing and other needs 
assistance to an individual or household in a disaster area if property 
was damaged or destroyed and the losses were not covered by 
insurance.[Footnote 53] In total, FEMA obligated over $15 billion to 
homeowners and renters through IHP grants and manufactured housing. We 
have reported extensively on the difficulties that FEMA experienced in 
distributing disaster assistance through IHP.[Footnote 54]

* Homeowners and renters can borrow up to $40,000 in personal property 
loans from SBA to repair or replace clothing, furniture, cars, and 
appliances damaged or destroyed in a disaster. SBA can also make real 
property loans up to a maximum of $200,000 to repair or restore a main 
residence to its predisaster condition. Any proceeds from insurance 
coverage on the personal property or home are deducted from the total 
loan amount. The interest rates on SBA disaster loans do not exceed 4 
percent for those who are unable to obtain credit elsewhere or 8 
percent for those who can get other credit. As of January 31, 2007, SBA 
approved over $5 billion in disaster loans for homeowners and renters 
after the 2005 hurricanes, at an interest subsidy cost of almost $800 
million to the federal government. We have reported on the difficulties 
that SBA experienced in distributing disaster loans.[Footnote 55]

* The largest recovery program for homeowners and renters after the 
2005 hurricanes was HUD's CDBG program, which received $16.7 billion in 
supplemental appropriations to help homeowners with long-term recovery 
(including providing funds for uninsured damages), restore 
infrastructure, and fund mitigation activities in the declared disaster 
areas of Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas.[Footnote 
56] To receive CDBG funds, HUD required that each state submit an 
action plan describing how the funds would be used, but the agency 
waived some program requirements for disaster recovery purposes. For 
example, HUD granted a waiver to Mississippi so that a portion of the 
CDBG funds could be used to pay reinsurance costs for 2 years for wind 
pool insurance maintained by the Mississippi Windpool. Two of the 
states receiving the largest allocation from the emergency CDBG 
appropriations were Louisiana and Mississippi, both of which opted to 
direct the vast majority of their housing allocations to homeowners. 
Both states based the amount of compensation that homeowners received 
on the value of their homes before the storms and the amount of damage 
that was not covered by insurance or other forms of 
assistance.[Footnote 57] The grants provided up to $150,000 for 
eligible homeowners.[Footnote 58] Both programs also attached various 
conditions to the acceptance of grants, such as requiring homeowners to 
rebuild their homes above the latest available FEMA advisory base flood 
elevation levels and establishing covenants to the land requiring that 
homeowners maintain hazard and flood insurance.

It will be a challenge for federal, state, and local governments to 
sustain their current role in natural catastrophe insurance going 
forward. The Comptroller General of the Unites States has repeatedly 
warned that the current fiscal path of the federal government is 
"imprudent and unsustainable."[Footnote 59] In addition, we reported 
that, for state and local government sectors, large and growing fiscal 
challenges will begin to emerge within the next few years in the 
absence of policy changes.[Footnote 60] The fiscal challenges facing 
all levels of government are linked and should be considered in a 
strategic and integrated manner.

Options for Changing the Federal Role in Natural Catastrophe Insurance 
Attempt to Address Market Issues but May Not Limit Federal Exposure:

We identified seven public policy options for changing the role of the 
federal government in natural catastrophe insurance (see fig. 4). These 
policy options have many variants and are often contained in other 
proposals, including some bills that are before Congress.[Footnote 61] 
Some of these proposals are also being debated in venues such as the 
NAIC committees. We examined the advantages and disadvantages of these 
policy options and evaluated them against four broad public policy 
goals. These goals are:

* charging premium rates that fully reflect actual risks,

* encouraging private markets to provide natural catastrophe insurance,

* encouraging broad participation in natural catastrophe insurance 
programs, and:

* limiting costs to taxpayers before and after a disaster.

Our analysis showed that each of the seven options met at least one of 
the policy goals but failed to meet others. The first option--a 
mandatory all-perils homeowners insurance policy--would help create 
broad participation and could provide a private sector solution. But 
this option could also require subsidies for low-income residents and 
thus potentially create substantial costs for the federal government 
that would have to be balanced against money saved from reduced 
disaster relief. A second option would involve providing federal 
reinsurance for state catastrophe funds--a change that could lead to 
greater private insurance market participation but that could also 
displace the private reinsurance market. A third option, establishing a 
federal lending facility for state catastrophe funds, could help such 
funds with financing needs after a catastrophe. But this option exposes 
the federal government to the risk that a state fund might not repay a 
loan and thus might not limit taxpayer exposure. The remaining four 
options include tax-based incentives to encourage greater participation 
by insurers and homeowners in managing natural catastrophe risks. These 
incentives offer some advantages, but could also represent ongoing 
costs to the federal government and taxpayers.

Figure 4: Advantages and Disadvantages of Seven Public Policy Options 
for Changing the Federal Role in Natural Catastrophe Insurance:

[See PDF for image] 

Option 1: All-Perils Homeowners Insurance Policy: 
This option would create a homeowner insurance policy that would 
provide coverage against all types of natural catastrophes. 
Advantages: 
* A mandatory all-perils policy would encourage broad participation in 
natural catastrophe insurance programs.
* A mandatory all-perils policy could reduce the number of Americans 
needing postdisaster payments and possibly limit the federal 
government’s exposure.
* A mandatory all-perils policy could eliminate the problems of 
uninsured property owners and adverse selection.
* A mandatory all-perils policy would end homeowners’ uncertainty about 
coverage for some perils.
Disadvantages: 
* It is not clear how the private market would be encouraged to 
underwrite all risks.
* The all-perils option could require government subsidies for low-
income property owners.
* Premiums for an all-perils policy could be more expensive than 
current homeowner policy premiums, and these premium increases could be 
seen as unfair.
* Enforcement of an all-perils policy could be extremely challenging.
* Insurers traditionally oppose the all-perils option because of 
concern about large loss liabilities.

Option 2: Federal Reinsurance for State Catastrophe Funds: 
This option would create federally backed reinsurance policies for 
state catastrophe funds. In one version of this option, states would 
create catastrophe funds that would be reinsured by the federal 
government. In another version, the Secretary of the Treasury would 
create an auction process for the sale of reinsurance contracts to 
private and state insurers and reinsurers. 
Advantages: 
* The federal reinsurance option could lead to greater participation 
from private insurers.
* The federal reinsurance option would eliminate timing risk for 
insurance companies.
* Insurance companies may be less interested in canceling policies in 
coastal regions if they have a stable source of reinsurance, their 
costs are reduced, and their liability is limited.
* This option would not use tax dollars if the premium charged was risk-
based.
* The federal reinsurance option is preferable to federal disaster 
assistance.
* This option would add stability to reinsurance rates.
Disadvantages: 
* Federal reinsurance could compete with the private reinsurance sector.
* Rates for federal reinsurance could be subject to consumer and hence
political pressure to keep them below the private sector rates.
* Federal taxpayer subsidies could favor those living in catastrophe-
prone states.
* Federal reinsurance could create inequities among states because of
geographical differences in natural catastrophe risk.
* Federal reinsurance could encourage further development and 
population growth in high-risk areas.
* Government reinsurance that does not mimic what the private sector 
does could lead to government losses.

Option 3: Federal Lending to State Catastrophe Funds: 
This option would create a federal lending facility to provide 
temporary loans at market prices to state catastrophe funds. 
Advantages: 
* This option could help state catastrophe insurance funds with 
financing needs after a disaster.
* The federal lending option would eliminate timing risk for insurance 
companies.
* Supporters of this option maintain that taxpayers would bear little 
or no insurance risk.
* The federal lending option would require states to demonstrate that 
they were doing all they could to attract private capital, and this 
could lead to regulatory reform.
Disadvantages: 
* It is not clear how this option would encourage risk-based premiums, 
would broaden citizen participation, or would be a cost-effective 
solution from the perspective of the federal government.
* The federal lending option imposes credit risk on taxpayers—the risk 
that the loan would not be repaid.
* The federal lending option could require the creation of a new 
federal agency to manage the program.
* Political pressure could be exerted to keep the terms and conditions 
of federal loans more favorable than those in the private market.
* This option would decrease incentives for insurers and reinsurers to 
accurately assess, underwrite, and price risk.

Option 4: Insurance Company Catastrophe Reserving: 
This option would permit private insurance companies to establish tax-
deferred reserves for future natural catastrophes. 
Advantages: 
* Tax-deferred reserving could mean that state regulators would be more 
willing to approve risk-based rates.
* With reserves, insurance companies could be more willing to 
underwrite policies, thus encouraging a private sector solution.
* This option would encourage broader-based citizen participation in 
catastrophe insurance programs.
* Insurance regulators could be more willing to approve risk-based 
rates for consumers, because premium income could be set aside in a 
reserve fund.
* Allowing insurance companies to build reserves could reduce pressure 
to create state catastrophe insurance programs.
Disadvantages: 
* Allowing insurance companies to build reserves could involve tax 
benefits that favored one type of activity over another and could 
hamper economic efficiency.
* Reserves could be costly for the federal government, because they 
would reduce federal tax revenue.
* Tax-deferred reserves could be subject to manipulation, if they were 
used to smooth income flows across years and obscure current income.

Option 5: Homeowner Catastrophe Savings Accounts: 
This option would permit individuals to establish tax-deferred reserves 
to pay expenses related to disasters. 
Advantages: 
* Allowing homeowners to use tax-deferred dollars to pay for 
catastrophe insurance could induce more people to buy it.
* This option might encourage more homeowner mitigation activities.
Disadvantages: 
* Such accounts may not be enough to induce people to buy costly 
catastrophe insurance and, thus, may not broaden citizen participation 
in natural catastrophe insurance programs.
* These accounts would reduce federal tax revenues but must be weighed 
against any reduction of postdisaster spending by the federal 
government. 

Option 6: Favorable Tax Treatment for Catastrophe Bonds: 
This option would facilitate the onshore creation of catastrophe bonds 
through tax exemptions for income from the underlying assets. 
Advantages: 
* Favorable tax treatment of catastrophe bonds would increase the 
ability of insurance markets to access capital markets.
* Insurance companies could be more willing to underwrite catastrophe 
risk because the risk could be passed on to investors.
Disadvantages: 
* This option creates a new class of reinsurer that would operate under 
regulatory and tax advantages not afforded U.S. reinsurance companies.
* It is not clear how this option is the most cost-effective for the 
federal government.
* It is not clear how this option would encourage risk-based premiums 
or lead to more citizen participation in catastrophe insurance programs.
* This option would only benefit larger insurers.
* Given that catastrophe bonds were just issued by the two largest U.S. 
insurance companies, it is not clear why this tax treatment is needed.

Option 7: Property Tax Assessment for Private Insurance with Federal 
Deductible Payment; 
This option has property tax assessments paying a premium for an all-
perils catastrophe insurance policy that would be provided by private 
insurance companies, with the federal government responsible for the 
deductible.
Advantages: 
* This option is market-based and designed to involve the private 
sector.
• If risk-based premiums are required, the option is not a “government 
relief program.”
* This option would protect the tax base of a state’s economy.
* The property tax assessment option would increase homeowner 
participation in catastrophe insurance programs.
* With this option, the high deductible could result in a lower 
insurance premium.
Disadvantages: 
* The property tax assessment option would reduce federal tax revenue.
* This option could be expensive for taxpayers because the federal 
government would pay some portion of the homeowner deductible.
* It is not clear whether or not this option is a cost-effective 
solution for the federal government.
* Premiums paid by homeowners might not be an effective signal of the 
risk of living in a particular location.
* Homeowners could resist high property taxes implied by this option.

Source: GAO. 

[End of figure] 

An All-Perils Policy Would Broaden Participation but Could Require 
Government Subsidies:

A mandatory all-perils policy would require private insurers to provide 
coverage against all perils in a single standard homeowners policy that 
would be priced according to the risk of natural hazards each homeowner 
faced.[Footnote 62] For example, the policy would cover not only theft 
and fire but also wind, floods, and earthquakes. It would also be 
mandatory for all homeowners.[Footnote 63]

This type of option offers several potential advantages. First, a 
mandatory all-perils policy, by definition, would encourage broad 
participation in natural catastrophe insurance programs. Moreover, 
including all American homeowners in natural catastrophe coverage could 
help reduce the number of Americans needing postdisaster payments and 
possibly limit the federal government's exposure. An all-perils policy 
would also eliminate existing gaps in coverage and remove the 
uncertainty many homeowners face in determining whether certain perils 
are covered and by whom--an issue that was spotlighted after Hurricane 
Katrina, when disputes emerged between private insurers and homeowners 
over the extent of the insurers' obligations to cover certain damages. 
Finally, because it would be mandatory and broad-based, an all-perils 
policy could lessen the problem of adverse selection that is often 
identified as the reason that some types of catastrophes, such as 
flooding, are considered to be uninsurable. This type of policy would 
spread risks geographically and potentially would make the policy more 
affordable than other options.

However, this option is not without its disadvantages. First, it is 
unclear how private markets would be encouraged to underwrite all 
risks. Second, a mandatory all-perils policy might not be a cost- 
effective solution for the federal government, because it could create 
affordability concerns for low-income residents in certain areas and 
might require targeted government subsidies.[Footnote 64] If they did 
not sufficiently reduce postevent disaster relief, these subsidies 
could increase costs to taxpayers. Third, an all-perils policy would 
undoubtedly be more expensive than current homeowner policy premiums in 
some regions of the country. As a result, at least during the 
transition, it could lead to complaints about higher premium costs from 
residents of catastrophe-prone areas. Moreover, homeowners in 
relatively low-risk areas could wind up subsidizing the costs of 
insurance for those living in high-risk areas. Fourth, enforcement 
would be extremely challenging, as we have seen with mandatory flood 
insurance in communities in designated floodplains. Finally, this 
policy option faces opposition from the private insurance industry, in 
part because of concerns about state insurance regulators impeding 
private insurers' ability to charge premiums that reflect the actual 
risk of loss in catastrophe-prone areas. Private insurers have also 
traditionally opposed all-perils policies because of the difficulty of 
pricing flood and earthquake coverage. One insurance company has said 
that an all-perils policy would cause rates to skyrocket and could 
cause many insurers to abandon the homeowners insurance market. NAIC 
officials told us that the homeowners market was a $55 billion market-
-not counting flood and earthquake exposure--and that most insurers 
were unlikely to walk away from a market this large.

Federal Reinsurance Could Eliminate Timing Risk for Insurance Companies 
but Could Displace the Private Market:

A federal reinsurance mechanism would provide an additional layer of 
insurance coverage for very large catastrophes, or megacatastrophes, 
and could be implemented in two ways.[Footnote 65] The first version of 
this option would create a federal mechanism that would serve as a 
backstop for state catastrophe funds to increase the amount of 
insurance and reinsurance available to states, expand the availability 
of catastrophe coverage, and possibly improve its affordability. 
[Footnote 66] States would create catastrophe funds and enter into 
agreements with the federal government--possibly, but not necessarily, 
the U.S. Treasury--and pay premiums for the reinsurance that would be 
used to support the reinsurance fund. Each state's payments would be 
based on risk and determined using actuarial and catastrophe modeling, 
and the states would be responsible for collecting premiums from 
insured commercial and residential property owners. The federal fund 
would provide payments to state funds for storms of a certain magnitude 
up to some predetermined level of payments. If the federal reinsurance 
fund was not adequately financed at the time of a catastrophe, it would 
issue government-backed bonds.

A related but different version of this federal reinsurance option 
would authorize the Secretary of the Treasury to create an auction 
process for the sale of reinsurance contracts to private and state 
insurers and reinsurers.[Footnote 67] The secretary would make 
available reinsurance contracts covering both earthquakes and wind 
events. The auction process would be open to state and private insurers 
and reinsurers and would take place in at least six separate geographic 
regions, so that risks would be based on local factors and insurers in 
less risk-prone areas would not be subsidizing those in riskier areas. 
State programs would have to reach a minimum loss level before they 
would be eligible for federal funds. This version also establishes a 
disaster reinsurance fund within the U.S. Treasury to be credited with, 
among other sources of funds, amounts received from the sale of 
reinsurance contracts. The Treasury would be authorized to issue debt 
if the fund's resources were insufficient to pay claims--and 
reinsurance premiums paid to Treasury would be used to make interest 
payments to debt holders--but the fund would not receive federal 
appropriations. A national commission on catastrophe risks and 
insurance loss costs would advise the secretary.

Both versions of this option offer advantages and disadvantages. First, 
federal reinsurance is advantageous because it has the potential to 
help insurance companies by limiting timing risk--the possibility that 
events will occur before insurers have collected enough premiums to 
cover them--potentially making insurers more willing to underwrite 
natural catastrophe insurance policies.[Footnote 68] Second, primary 
insurance companies may be less interested in canceling catastrophe 
insurance policies in coastal regions after a disaster if stable 
sources of reinsurance are available from state catastrophe funds. This 
option could also encourage the provision of catastrophe insurance via 
private insurance markets by limiting private insurers' liability for 
very large events and thus increasing their willingness to offer 
insurance for less catastrophic events. And a greater supply of natural 
catastrophe insurance could reduce the cost of insurance as competition 
for business intensified. Third, this option may also be advantageous 
because, if it were appropriately structured--that is, if program 
losses were funded by upfront premium payments--federal reinsurance 
should not require the use of taxpayer dollars. Finally, to the extent 
that this option increased the availability and affordability of 
catastrophe insurance, it would be preferable to postdisaster 
assistance and could limit the need for some types of postevent 
government payouts.

While federal reinsurance has some appealing options, it is not without 
disadvantages. For example, neither version of the reinsurance option 
is intended to displace or compete with the private reinsurance market, 
because reinsurance contracts would not be sponsored in markets where 
private reinsurance markets offered coverage. However, federal 
reinsurance could compete with and possibly displace private 
reinsurance if the government offered coverage at levels that were well 
within private market capacity or set premium rates below what the 
private sector would charge for comparable risk. While the stated 
intent of this option is to charge a premium that fully reflects the 
risk assumed by the federal reinsurance fund, political and consumer 
pressures could be put on the federal fund to underprice premiums in 
terms of risk to keep premiums low for policyholders in high-risk 
areas. Charging a reinsurance premium that was not fully risk-based 
would expose the federal fund and the government to potentially 
significant unfunded contingent insurance risk. As a result, federal 
reinsurance could disproportionately benefit those living in high-risk 
areas. Should the fund experience losses that exceeded the premiums 
collected, the difference would have to be paid by the taxpayers, 
creating a cross-subsidy that favored those in catastrophe-prone areas. 
Also, the existence of federal reinsurance might affect market 
discipline, leading private insurers and state catastrophe insurance 
funds to loosen underwriting guidelines--that is, to insure properties 
that would not have been insurable without the availability of (low- 
cost) federal reinsurance. Such a change could be costly for the 
reinsuring federal facility. As a result, a federal reinsurance role 
could inadvertently encourage further development and population growth 
in areas with high natural catastrophe risk. Finally, government 
natural catastrophe insurance programs are not purely insurance 
programs and may have social goals. But if the government plans to 
intervene in the catastrophe insurance market, it may want to use 
mechanisms that mimic as closely as possible what operating private 
markets could have been expected to do. When federal insurance programs 
mimic private insurance, and base decisions on risk (as consistent with 
social goals), then government losses are more likely to be contained.

A Federal Lending Facility Would Eliminate Timing Risk for State 
Catastrophe Insurance Programs but Would Face the Risk That the Loan 
Might Not Be Repaid:

A federal lending facility would allow the federal government to use 
its borrowing power to extend temporary loans to state catastrophe 
funds. State catastrophe funds may not have the creditworthiness to 
borrow at acceptable interest rates. One proponent of this plan has 
suggested that the private insurance market could handle all or nearly 
all catastrophe exposure, but possibly not at the moment the 
catastrophe happened. Creating a lending facility in the federal 
government would allow the government to provide the capital to meet 
the temporary shortage and spread the repayment over time without 
assuming the underwriting risk held by the insurers. Under this option, 
state catastrophe funds would be required to secure private reinsurance 
and would have the ability to sell catastrophe bonds to repay the money 
loaned to them by the federal government. The loans would be made at 
market prices to guarantee that capital was efficiently allocated and-
-given that an insurance company that has just paid out a large claim 
does not have the same quantity or quality of assets as a solvent 
insurer or bank--would be secured both by the future income stream of 
premium payments from state residents through insurance companies to 
the state catastrophe funds and by bond proceeds. The loans would be of 
short duration, perhaps 2 to 3 years at maximum, and would provide 
state catastrophe funds with encouragement and time to access the 
private capital market. State catastrophe funds would be expected to 
demonstrate to the federal lending facility that the states were doing 
all that they could to attract private capital. A proposed trigger for 
the federal lending facility would be a megacatastrophe.

The creation of a federal lending facility would have several 
advantages. First, a federal lending facility would shift timing risk, 
which is significant in the catastrophe insurance business, from the 
insurance industry to the federal government. The federal government, 
because of its borrowing power, is uniquely able to deal with timing 
risk. Second, a federal lending facility could mean that taxpayers 
would assume little or possibly no insurance risk, because the insurers 
would be responsible for paying all of the losses from catastrophic 
events, although not necessarily in the year of the catastrophe. 
Finally, through the requirement that the states do all that they can 
to attract private capital, the option may lead to insurance regulatory 
reforms in areas such as rate regulation that have inhibited the influx 
of private capital.

A federal lending facility would also have a number of disadvantages. 
First, it is not clear how this federal lending facility would 
encourage premiums that reflected risks, would foster broad citizen 
participation, or would be a cost-effective solution. Second, it would 
expose the facility and ultimately taxpayers to credit risk if a state 
did not repay its debt. Third, a federal lending facility could also 
require the creation of a new federal entity or structure to administer 
the system. Fourth, like the federal reinsurance option, such a lending 
facility could have a competitive advantage over the private 
reinsurance sector, particularly if the terms were too easy or if 
borrowed funds did not have to be repaid. States in high-risk regions 
would have a financial incentive to seek nonmarket terms and conditions 
in loans. Finally, this option would decrease the incentives for 
insurers and reinsurers to accurately assess, underwrite, and price 
risk.

Tax-Deferred Reserves for Insurance Companies Could Encourage Greater 
Private Sector Coverage but Could Be Costly for the Federal Government 
and Have Other Disadvantages:

A fourth policy option would be to permit private insurers to establish 
tax-deferred reserves for future catastrophes.[Footnote 69] This option 
could encourage some insurers to maintain or expand their catastrophe 
insurance coverage in regions with significant or projected catastrophe 
exposures. This option is also intended to provide insurers with an 
incentive to write catastrophe coverage in hazard-prone areas while 
improving their own financial strength. It would require amending the 
U.S. Tax Code, because current tax laws and accounting principles 
discourage U.S. property and casualty insurers from accumulating long- 
term assets specifically for payment of future losses by taxing these 
assets.[Footnote 70] Because the size and timing of disasters that have 
not taken place is uncertain, assets set aside for catastrophe losses, 
together with any interest accrued, are taxed as corporate income in 
the year in which they are set aside. Although there is a federal 
income tax deduction for losses that have already occurred, reserves 
for uncertain future losses are not tax deductible.

Tax-deferred reserving has its advantages. Tax-deferred reserving could 
mean that state regulators would be more willing to approve risk-based 
rates, because premiums could now be set aside rather than flow into 
profits. Consistent with the intended purpose of this option, tax- 
deferred reserving could increase the willingness of insurance 
companies to increase capacity without risking insolvency, because the 
companies would be less dependent on the uncertain prices available in 
reinsurance markets. In this case, the option would encourage a 
solution by private insurance markets and more broad-based 
participation in catastrophe insurance programs. Finally, this approach 
could reduce the need for state catastrophe insurance mechanisms by 
increasing the willingness of private insurers to remain or enter 
certain catastrophe-prone markets, such as Florida and other Gulf Coast 
states.

However, tax-deferred reserving also raises a number of broader issues 
that must be considered. Tax-deferred reserving would reduce current 
federal tax revenue. However, as with other options, the net cost would 
have to be determined by weighing the tax cost against potential 
savings from federal postdisaster assistance programs. Deferring taxes 
on reserves for insurance companies could also be disadvantageous if 
this system created tax benefits that favored one type of activity over 
another. For example, to the extent that tax-deferred reserving became 
prevalent, it could displace the reinsurance market or other forms of 
hedging. Finally, such reserves could also be subject to manipulation 
or abuse if insurers used them to obscure current income by smoothing 
income flows across years.

Homeowner Catastrophe Savings Accounts Could Broaden Participation in 
Catastrophe Insurance Programs but Could Reduce Federal Tax Revenue:

Like tax-deferred reserves, the fifth policy option would also require 
amending the U.S. Tax Code to provide a tax incentive, but this one 
would be aimed at homeowners, who would be allowed to accumulate before-
tax funds to pay expenses related to disasters. The accounts would 
operate much like those currently in use for health care expenses, 
allowing homeowners to withdraw both savings and interest for qualified 
disaster expenses such as deductibles, uninsured losses, flood damage, 
and structural upgrades to mitigate damage from future storms. A bank 
or another designated organization would be the custodian for these 
accounts. Under one current option, homeowner contributions would be 
limited to (1) $2,000 for individuals with homeowners insurance and 
deductibles of not more than $1,000, and (2) the lesser of $15,000 or 
twice the insurance deductible for homeowner insurance deductibles of 
more than $1,000. In June 2007, the South Carolina Legislature passed 
legislation authorizing the creation of catastrophe savings accounts 
for use by state residents in paying natural catastrophe insurance 
deductibles.[Footnote 71]

This option could induce more homeowners to participate in natural 
catastrophe insurance programs. Moreover, allowing homeowners to use 
tax-deferred savings to cover mitigation expenses might encourage more 
mitigation activities to reduce natural catastrophe risk. However, 
implementation challenges pose disadvantages that would have to be 
addressed. For example, it is unclear to what extent such a mechanism 
would encourage those who are not insured to purchase insurance. Rather 
than increasing participation, it could result in a tax benefit for 
those who are already insured. Like the tax-free reserves option, these 
savings accounts would also cost the federal government in reduced tax 
revenues. But once again, the actual net cost to the government would 
depend on the potential offsetting savings from postcatastrophe funding 
mechanisms.

Favorable Tax Treatment for Catastrophe Bonds Could Increase Insurers' 
Access to Capital Markets, but Some Question the Need for Such Tax 
Treatment:

The sixth policy option would create certain tax advantages for 
catastrophe bonds.[Footnote 72] Historically, catastrophe bonds have 
been created in offshore jurisdictions where they are not subject to 
any income or any other tax (i.e., in tax havens). This option would 
facilitate the creation of onshore transactions, potentially reducing 
transactions costs and allowing for increased regulatory oversight. Tax 
treatment of catastrophe bonds would be similar to the treatment 
received by issuers of asset-backed or mortgage-backed securities that, 
for example, are generally not subject to tax on the income from 
underlying assets, which is passed on to investors.[Footnote 73] More 
favorable tax treatment of catastrophe bonds would increase the ability 
of insurance markets to access capital markets by making these products 
more attractive to investors. Making catastrophe bonds more attractive 
to issuers and investors could, in turn, make insurance and reinsurance 
companies more willing to underwrite catastrophe risk and increase the 
availability of coverage, because these companies could pass on more 
catastrophe risk to investors.

One disadvantage of this option is that it is not clear how its 
implementation would encourage premiums that fully reflect risk or how 
it would encourage broad-based participation in catastrophe insurance 
markets. It is also not clear how this option would be a cost-effective 
solution for the federal government when both predisaster and 
postdisaster costs are counted. Some reinsurers have pointed out that 
favorable tax treatment of catastrophe bonds could be disadvantageous 
because it could create a new class of reinsurer that would operate 
under regulatory and tax advantages not afforded U.S. reinsurance 
companies. Finally, recent catastrophe bond issuances by the two 
largest U.S. primary insurance companies may indicate that catastrophe 
bonds do not need a different tax treatment to make them economically 
viable.[Footnote 74] However, if market transparency and the 
development of uniform terms and conditions do not take place, only the 
largest insurers may be able to take advantage of catastrophe bonds.

Property-Tax Assessment for Federal Reinsurance May Broaden 
Participation but May Be Costly for the Federal Government:

The final policy option we examined was a state plan, funded by state 
property taxes, that would require mandatory all-perils natural 
catastrophe insurance coverage on residential property. All primary 
residential properties in a state would be required to have catastrophe 
insurance coverage. Participating insurers would assume the primary 
risk on the property and would have reinsurance from a qualifying 
reinsurance company. The state would pay an annual natural catastrophe 
insurance premium financed by an annual property tax assessment on all 
residential and commercial properties in the state, and homeowners 
could deduct the cost from their federal taxes.[Footnote 75] The 
insurance coverage would be provided by private insurance companies 
selected by a government administrator who would qualify them as 
providers of catastrophe insurance. To ensure that premiums were 
reasonable, the primary and reinsurance coverage would require large 
deductibles that would be paid in layers by the homeowner, the state, 
and the federal government. Homeowners would be responsible for the 
first 10 percent of the value of the home, with a state catastrophe 
fund paying the next layer of the deductible. The state would provide a 
fixed-dollar deductible--for example, $100 million--for all homeowners, 
with the federal government as the backstop provider, paying a 
deductible that was a multiple of the amount that the state put up.

Proponents of this plan point out that it is market-based, designed to 
involve the private sector, and if risk-based premiums are required is 
not a "government relief program." Plan supporters also point out that 
the option protects the tax base of a state's economy as well as the 
creditworthiness of a state's bond rating. One possible advantage of 
this policy option for the consumer is that the premiums paid from 
property taxes are intended to be tax deductible.[Footnote 76] 
Moreover, paying the premium from property taxes could increase 
participation at the state level and create a broad-based program that 
would limit adverse selection and moral hazard. Finally, maintaining 
higher deductibles could result in lower insurance premiums.

However, this plan also has its disadvantages. Paying the premium from 
homeowner property taxes collected by the state would reduce federal 
tax revenues, and, if a disaster occurred, the federal government would 
have to pay some portion of the deductible. Like the other tax-related 
options, this option could reduce federal tax revenue if the new 
deduction were not offset by savings from the elimination of preevent 
premium subsidies or postevent disaster relief. As a result, it is not 
clear whether this option may or may not be the most cost-effective for 
the federal government. Also, using property taxes to pay insurance 
premiums might diminish the effectiveness of using the price of 
insurance as a signal of the risk of living in a particular location. 
One critic has argued that allowing homeowners to deduct the premium 
portion of the property taxes combined with the federal deductible 
could result in a double federal subsidy. Finally, this policy option 
would raise homeowners property taxes, potentially creating homeowner 
resistance to the assessment.

Agency Comments and Our Evaluation:

We provided a draft of this report to NAIC for comment and provided 
excerpts from the draft to Alabama Beach Pool, the CEA, FCIC, FHCF, 
Florida Citizens, FHCF, the GUA, HUD, Louisiana Citizens, Mississippi 
Windpool, the North Carolina Beach Plan, SBA, the South Carolina 
Windpool, and the Texas Windpool. NAIC provided written comments that 
are reprinted in appendix III. In these comments, NAIC officials said 
that our draft report was thorough, and that they were pleased that we 
outlined the advantages and disadvantages of several proposals rather 
than favoring a single outcome. NAIC officials suggested that we also 
include in this report two recently proposed options, including one 
that includes an allocation system for determining what portion of 
hurricane damages should be attributed to wind and what portion to 
flooding and the creation of a federal entity to oversee property 
insurance rates in the coastal zone. While there are interesting 
features to both options, they were too recent to be included in our 
review and analysis. However, we will explore both options during the 
course of our ongoing work involving NFIP.

NAIC officials also commented on the language in the draft report 
discussing allegations made by some critics of state rate regulation 
who suggest that state regulators may be suppressing rates for some 
catastrophe insurers. As these officials pointed out, the allegations 
in this report are attributed to others and are not presented as our 
position. We recognize the challenges involved in ensuring that 
consumers are charged appropriate premiums that reflect their risk of 
exposure to natural catastrophes. Given that premium rates requested 
are based on a variety of factors that involve a certain amount of 
judgment--including anticipated losses on claims and related expenses; 
the need to build a surplus; and other factors, including profit--the 
rate-setting process is open to interpretation and some amount of 
negotiation. That is, reasonable but different assumptions about the 
probability of future losses can result in substantial disagreements 
about rates. However, if state regulators and the insurance markets 
consistently have divergent opinions about the cost of the risk 
exposures, the implications can be far-reaching. As we discuss in this 
report, for state natural catastrophe insurance programs, if premium 
rates determined by state insurance regulators consistently result in 
financial resources that are inadequate to pay policyholder claims 
after a disaster, postfunding mechanisms must be used to pay 
shortfalls. Postfunding can result in costs to the private insurance 
market and may mean that taxpayers in low-risk areas are subsidizing 
the costs of those living in high-risk areas. Similarly, a pattern of 
regulator-approved rates for private insurance companies that are 
consistently below what the market believes to be the true risk rate 
may result in the withdrawal of healthy, diversified insurance 
companies from the market. However, if premium rates are set at a level 
reflecting the market's perception of the true risk rate, more 
competitors are likely to enter.

Alabama Beach Pool, the CEA, FCIC, FEMA, Florida Citizens, FHCF, the 
GUA, Louisiana Citizens, Mississippi Windpool, the North Carolina Beach 
Plan, SBA, the South Carolina Windpool, and the Texas Windpool provided 
technical comments that we incorporated in this report as appropriate.

As agreed with your office, unless you publicly announce its contents 
earlier, we plan no further distribution of the report until 30 days 
from the date of this letter. At that time, we will provide copies to 
interested congressional committees; the Chairman and Ranking Member of 
the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs; and the 
Chairman of the House Committee on Financial Services. We will also 
make copies available to others upon request. In addition, this report 
will be available at no charge on the GAO Web site at [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov].

Please contact me at (202) 512-8678 or williamso@gao.gov if you or your 
staff have any questions concerning this report. Contact points for our 
Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on 
the last page of this report. Key contributors to this report are 
listed in appendix IV.

Sincerely yours, 

Signed by: 

Orice M. Williams: 
Director, Financial Markets and Community Investment:

[End of section]

Appendix I: Objectives, Scope, and Methodology:

Our objectives in this report were to examine (1) the rationale and 
funding of the federal and state programs that have supplemented, or 
substituted for, private natural catastrophe insurance; (2) the extent 
to which Americans living in areas of the United States that are at 
high risk for natural catastrophes are uninsured and underinsured, and 
the types and amounts of federal payments to such individuals since 
Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma; and (3) public policy options for 
revising the federal role in natural catastrophe insurance markets.

We reviewed or analyzed documents on federal and state natural 
catastrophe insurance programs, the numbers of uninsured and 
underinsured and federal payments to them, options to redefine the 
federal role in natural catastrophe insurance, and principles on which 
change options can be based and evaluated. We interviewed officials 
from public interest groups, insurance companies, reinsurance 
companies, insurance brokers, insurance and reinsurance associations, 
insurance agents and their associations, state catastrophe insurance 
plans, state insurance departments, federal catastrophe insurance 
agencies, the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), the 
Small Business Administration (SBA), Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, rating 
agencies, a risk modeling organization, academia, law firms, a hedge 
fund, a private research organization, consumer groups, and others. To 
determine the mechanisms governments use to supplement or substitute 
for private catastrophe insurance markets, we collected oral and 
documentary information from public and private officials in various 
states with high and low catastrophe risk and in Washington, D.C. We 
sourced financial data for government natural catastrophe insurance 
programs from financial statements, bond offering documents, and other 
similar financial documents.

To determine the number of uninsured and underinsured Americans and 
payments made to such individuals after the 2005 hurricanes, we 
collected information from states, examined federal agency data, 
interviewed federal officials who prepared these data, sought 
information from the private sector, and interviewed state officials 
responsible for disbursing federal disaster funds. We focused our 
analysis on the federal disaster assistance to homeowners and renters 
who lacked adequate insurance in the five Gulf Coast states directly 
impacted by Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. These five states are 
Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas. Data on the 
numbers and amounts of money disbursed to the uninsured and 
underinsured were incomplete and had a number of limitations. For 
instance, because we often could not separate payments to homeowners 
versus payments to renters, we generally included the entire amount in 
our analysis. Also, we generally excluded administrative and other 
expenses that federal disaster assistance programs incur in 
distributing assistance. Our analysis was limited to the major federal 
disaster assistance programs that we identified as providing relief to 
homeowners and renters. These programs are the Federal Emergency 
Management Agency's (FEMA) Individuals and Households Program (IHP), 
SBA's Disaster Loan Program (DLP), and HUD's Community Development 
Block Grant (CDBG) program. Our identification of relevant federal 
disaster assistance programs may be incomplete. Other federal agencies 
are involved in federal disaster assistance according to the mission 
assignment issued and approved by FEMA, as we reported separately in 
Disaster Relief: Governmentwide Framework Needed to Collect and 
Consolidate Information to Report on Billions in Federal Funding for 
the 2005 Gulf Coast Hurricanes, GAO-06-834 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 6, 
2006).

To determine the amount of federal disaster assistance appropriated by 
Congress to FEMA and the amount paid to homeowners and renters who 
lacked adequate insurance through FEMA IHP, we obtained and analyzed 
data provided by FEMA officials describing the funds obligated for the 
subcategories of Housing Assistance, Other Needs Assistance, and 
Manufactured Housing in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, and 
Texas following Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. In analyzing these 
data, we had to make certain judgments in deciding which specific 
subcategories of funds to include in our analysis. In particular, FEMA 
noted that the Other Needs Assistance data contained funds for services 
that would not be provided by personal property coverage in standard 
private homeowners insurance, such as medical and funeral expenses. 
However, we included Other Needs Assistance data in our analysis 
because these are expenses that may have been covered by other types of 
insurance, such as health and life, and, therefore, still provide a 
reasonable approximation of insurance coverage. Also, FEMA officials 
noted that the Manufactured Housing data included expenses that would 
not be included in additional living expenses coverage provided by 
standard private homeowners insurance. For example, other expenses 
included unit purchase, haul/install, utilities, site lease, 
maintenance, deactivation, and the transition out of service. We 
included these data in our analysis because they are designed to serve 
a similar purpose as the additional living expenses coverage provided 
by insurance companies. We assessed the reliability of the data 
provided by agency officials by interviewing agency officials 
knowledgeable about the data systems; obtaining oral responses from the 
agency; and reviewing agency reports regarding (1) the agency's methods 
of data collection and quality control reviews, (2) practices and 
controls over data entry accuracy, and (3) any limitations of the data. 
It is possible that FEMA's data analysis methodology is different from 
that employed by the other agencies we reviewed. Nevertheless, we 
determined that these data were sufficiently reliable for the purposes 
of our engagement. Finally, we interviewed officials from FEMA Disaster 
Assistance Directorate, which administers IHP, and reviewed the 
document entitled Oversight of Gulf Coast Hurricane Recovery, A 
Semiannual Report to Congress, October 1, 2006-March 31, 2007, by the 
President's Council on Integrity and Efficiency and the Executive 
Council on Integrity and Efficiency.

To determine the amount of federal disaster assistance appropriated by 
Congress to SBA and the amount paid to homeowners and renters who 
lacked adequate insurance through SBA DLP, we reviewed the previously 
mentioned document entitled Oversight of Gulf Coast Hurricane Recovery, 
and interviewed agency officials. We obtained and analyzed data 
provided by SBA that included, among other things, the amount of loan 
funds approved net of other federal disaster assistance and insurance 
proceeds to loan recipients. We multiplied this total by the subsidy 
rate of the loans--14.64 percent in 2006. That is, for every $100 that 
SBA lends, the cost to the federal government is $14.64. The subsidy 
rate is roughly the percentage of loan principal that is not repaid as 
well as the difference between the market interest rate and the rate 
charged by SBA. We believe that subsidy cost is the most accurate 
representation of the amounts made available and paid to homeowners and 
renters because the loans under DLP must be repaid by recipients at a 
subsidized interest rate. We assessed the reliability of the data 
provided by agency officials by interviewing agency officials 
knowledgeable about the data systems and obtaining from the agency 
written responses regarding (1) the agency's methods of data collection 
and quality control reviews, (2) practices and controls over data entry 
accuracy, and (3) any limitations of the data. It is possible that 
SBA's data analysis methodology is inconsistent with that employed by 
the other agencies we reviewed. Nevertheless, we determined that these 
data were sufficiently reliable for the purposes of our engagement.

To determine the amount of federal disaster assistance appropriated and 
paid to homeowners and renters who lacked adequate insurance through 
the HUD CDBG program, we interviewed agency officials and reviewed the 
previously mentioned document entitled Oversight of Gulf Coast 
Hurricane Recovery. We obtained publicly available data from HUD and 
each of the five Gulf Coast states that received emergency CDBG 
appropriations. We reviewed GAO testimony on Gulf Coast rebuilding that 
described the CDBG programs established in the Gulf Coast 
states.[Footnote 77] Congress approved emergency appropriations for HUD 
CDBG in two installments: $11.5 billion in December 2005 and $5.2 
billion in June 2006, for a total appropriation of $16.7 billion. Our 
goal was to determine what portion of the total appropriation was 
intended for homeowners in the five Gulf States. We made certain 
judgments in deciding whether particular subcategories of funds applied 
to our calculations for each state. It is possible that we did not 
identify all of the relevant funds.

For Florida, we used the Florida Department of Community Affairs, 2005 
Disaster Recovery Initiative Action Plan (Apr. 14, 2006) and 2006 
Disaster Program Action Plan (Dec. 19, 2006). HUD designated for 
Florida $82.9 million of the original $11.5 billion included in the 
December 2005 emergency appropriation. Florida's action plan calls for 
the funds to be distributed through entitlement communities, 
nonentitlement communities, and federally recognized Indian tribes. 
Grant recipients are required to use at least 70 percent of the funds 
for the provision of affordable housing. Therefore, approximately $58 
million of the Florida CDBG grants will be allocated to the provision 
of affordable housing. In addition, the June 2006 emergency 
appropriation included $5.2 billion to the CDBG program, and, on August 
18, 2006, HUD made $100,066,518 available to Florida for repair, 
rehabilitation, and reconstruction of affordable rental housing, and 
for the unmet needs of evacuees who were forced from their homes and 
are now living in other states. The entire amount has been made 
available for mitigation programs through the My Safe Florida Home 
Program and other programs.

For Alabama, we interviewed officials from the Alabama Department of 
Economic and Community Affairs (DECA). We obtained and analyzed 
information from DECA officials regarding the plan for distribution of 
HUD CDBG disaster recovery funds. We learned that DECA determined to 
make $14,460,588 available for unmet housing needs. In addition, on 
August 18, 2006, HUD made $21,225,574 available to Alabama for repair, 
rehabilitation, and reconstruction of affordable rental housing, and 
for the unmet needs of evacuees who were forced from their homes and 
are now living in other states. Of this amount, $16,964,296 has been 
made available for Disaster Relief, Recovery and Restoration of Housing 
and Infrastructure, and Affordable Rental Housing.

For Mississippi, we used the Mississippi Development Authority, 
Homeowner Assistance Program Partial Action Plan (Mar. 31, 2006). 
Mississippi's partial action plan made $3 billion available for the 
Homeowner Grant Assistance Program, which is for people who owned homes 
located outside of the fede