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Report to the Subcommittee on Oversight of Government Management, the Federal Workforce, and the District of Columbia, Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, U.S. Senate: United States Government Accountability Office: GAO: January 2007: Human Capital: Retirements and Anticipated New Reactor Applications Will Challenge NRC's Workforce: Nuclear Regulatory Commission: GAO-07-105: GAO Highlights: Highlights of GAO-07-105, a report to the Subcommittee on Oversight of Government Management, the Federal Workforce, and the District of Columbia, Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, U.S. Senate Why GAO Did This Study: The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is responsible for licensing and inspecting the nation’s nuclear power plants to ensure their safety and security. By 2010, about one third of NRC’s workforce with mission- critical skills will be eligible to retire. At the same time, NRC’s workforce needs to expand because NRC expects to receive at least 20 applications for 29 new nuclear power reactors beginning in October 2007. GAO assessed NRC’s ability to meet its workforce needs by examining the extent to which NRC (1) has aligned its human capital planning framework with its strategic mission and programmatic goals; (2) is effectively recruiting, developing, and retaining critically skilled personnel; and (3) is addressing future uncertainties that could affect its overall workforce capacity. GAO examined strategic workforce planning and implementation documents, interviewed cognizant managers on NRC’s human capital framework and activities, and surveyed these managers about NRC’s human capital flexibilities and measures. What GAO Found: NRC’s human capital planning framework is generally aligned with its strategic goals and coherently identifies the activities needed to achieve the following strategic human capital outcomes: (1) continuous improvement in leadership and management effectiveness in delivering the mission and (2) a diverse, skilled workforce and an infrastructure that fully supports the agency’s mission and goals. To integrate its human capital planning with implementation activities, NRC has recently completed or drafted three key planning documents and created a Human Capital Council in July 2006. However, it is too soon to tell whether implementation of these initiatives will stimulate, for example, the rate of knowledge transfer necessary for new staff to gain the critical skills they need to perform their regulatory responsibilities. NRC has been effective in recruiting, developing, and retaining a critically skilled workforce to date, yet it is unclear whether this trend will continue in the next few years. For example, through improving such processes as how it implemented hiring for 60 different vacancy postings, NRC brought 371 employees on board during fiscal year 2006—a substantially higher number than in previous years. Similarly, NRC filled several critical skills gaps in 2006, yet it also identified many more new gaps in 2007 that require significant new hiring or training to fill. NRC has used various targets and measures to monitor its human capital progress, but could improve their application by gathering, analyzing, and sharing information about their usefulness among NRC’s offices and revising some of them. Similarly, NRC may miss opportunities to most effectively apply human capital funding to recruit, develop, and retain a critically skilled workforce because NRC evaluates only some of its human capital flexibilities, such as recruitment incentives, in terms of the frequency and cost of their use. NRC has acted to address two key uncertainties that affect its workforce needs: whether it can (1) maintain its workforce in the face of future competition for critically skilled workers and (2) accurately gauge its future workload. To better compete for workers, NRC tracks salaries in key disciplines to discern trends and is enhancing its university recruiting efforts. To handle the expected growth in reactor license applications, NRC has developed staffing and resource estimates, is reorganizing its affected workforce, and completed many elements of its review process for new reactors. Because of its workforce changes and anticipated increased workload, NRC needs flexibility, staff commitment, and sustained human capital management to adapt to any workforce climate shifts. Similarly, workload imbalances among employees and across offices could undermine employee satisfaction, making the recruiting and retention of a diverse, skilled workforce more difficult as expected industry competition intensifies. A failure to achieve these human capital goals could potentially hinder NRC’s ability to inspect existing reactors and license new ones, which might ultimately limit the availability of electricity in the U.S. market. What GAO Recommends: GAO is recommending that NRC better (1) integrate its strategic human capital planning with its operations and (2) evaluate the effectiveness of its human capital flexibilities and measures. In commenting on a draft of the report, NRC agreed with GAO’s recommendations. [Hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/cgi-bin/getrpt?GAO-07-105. To view the full product, including the scope and methodology, click on the link above. For more information, contact Jim Wells at (202) 512- 3841 or wellsj@gao.gov. [End of Section] Contents: Letter: Results in Brief: Background: NRC's Human Capital Planning Framework Is Aligned with Its Strategic Mission and Programmatic Goals, but Some Further Actions Are Required: NRC Has Generally Been Effective in Recruiting, Developing, and Retaining Critically Skilled Employees, yet Many Activities Were Only Recently Initiated: NRC Is Taking Steps to Address Future Uncertainties That Could Adversely Affect Its Overall Workforce Capacity: Conclusions: Recommendations for Executive Action: Agency Comments: Appendix I: NRC's Changing Workforce Demographics: Appendix II: Scope and Methodology: Appendix III: New Reactor Licensing: Design Certifications: Combined Licenses: Appendix IV: Time Line of NRC's Workforce Reorganizations: Appendix V: NRC's Use of Human Capital Flexibilities, Authorities, Tools, and Programs: Appendix VI: Comments from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission: Appendix VII: GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments: Related GAO Reports: Tables: Table 1: GAO's Strategic Workforce Planning Principles and Descriptions: Table 2: Comparison of Selected NRC Workforce Demographics, Fiscal Years 2002 through 2006: Table 3: Percentage of the NRC Workforce that Is Eligible to Retire, Fiscal Years 2002 through 2011: Table 4: Employees Who Left NRC, Fiscal Years 2002 through 2006: Table 5: Status of Reactor Design Certification, December 2006: Table 6: NRC Managers' Assessment of the Use of Human Capital Flexibilities, Authorities, Tools, and Programs: Figures: Figure 1: NRC's Strategic Human Capital Planning and Implementation Framework: Figure 2: Twenty Potential COL Applications, as of December 2006: Abbreviations: ABWR: Advanced Boiling Water Reactor: CDMP: Comprehensive Diversity Management Plan: COL: combined license: DCRA: design-centered review approach: DOE: Department of Energy: EPR: Evolutionary Pressurized Water Reactor: ESBWR: Economic Simplified, Boiling Water Reactor: FTE: full-time equivalent: IG: Inspector General: NEI: Nuclear Energy Institute: NRC: Nuclear Regulatory Commission: NRR: Nuclear Reactor Regulation: NSIR: Nuclear Security and Incident Response: NTEU: National Treasury Employees Union: OHR: Office of Human Resources: OPM: Office of Personnel Management: SES: Senior Executive Service: SWP: strategic workforce planning: United States Government Accountability Office: Washington, DC 20548: January 17, 2007: The Honorable Daniel K. Akaka: Chairman: The Honorable George V. Voinovich: Ranking Minority Member: Subcommittee on Oversight of Government Management, the Federal Workforce, and the District of Columbia: Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs: United States Senate: The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) licenses and regulates civilian uses of nuclear materials to protect public health, safety, and the environment and promote the common defense and security. In particular, NRC is responsible for overseeing the electric power industry's 103 operating nuclear reactors that generate about 20 percent of the nation's electricity by inspecting their operations and reviewing license applications to, for example, extend reactors' operating lives. Since October 2005, many electric power companies have announced their intent to apply to NRC for licenses to build and operate at least 29 new nuclear power reactors, with project costs estimated to range from $1.5 billion to $4 billion. NRC expects to receive 8 applications by December 2007, 10 more applications by October 2008, and 2 additional applications by the end of September 2009--the first applications for construction licenses since the 1979 accident at the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant near Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. In addition, NRC is responsible for regulating the Department of Energy's (DOE) nuclear waste repository at Yucca Mountain near Las Vegas, Nevada, as well as medical, educational, and other uses of nuclear materials. Congress appropriated about $735 million for NRC's activities in fiscal year 2006. By law, NRC is required to recover about 90 percent of its budget authority each fiscal year, less certain specified amounts, through the fees it charges licensees and applicants. For fiscal year 2007, the Continuing Appropriations Resolution, 2007, would limit NRC's appropriation to the fiscal year 2006 level, and Congressional leaders have announced their intent to extend the Continuing Resolution for the full fiscal year, with few exceptions. In its comments on a draft of this report, NRC states that the funding in the Continuing Resolution would result in a $95 million reduction in funding compared with the amount that the full House of Representatives and the Senate Committee on Appropriations had approved for fiscal year 2007. According to NRC, the agency has begun to feel the impact of the Continuing Resolution's restrictions on funding and full-time equivalent positions. NRC believes that these restrictions, if extended for a protracted period, will seriously imperil its ability to meet its human capital goals and will significantly delay its preparedness to review applications for new nuclear power reactors. NRC cites as an example that the agency would significantly curtail, and possibly cease, its fiscal year 2007 new hiring, except for those already given offers and those necessary for the most critical of skills. NRC also believes that the effects will cascade into future years. To fulfill its regulatory mission and help sustain public confidence in the safety of nuclear power, NRC needs a critically skilled workforce of scientists, engineers, and other employees with specialized knowledge, skills, and technical expertise. However, NRC expects that the demographics of its workforce will significantly change in the next few years, primarily because of two factors. NRC estimates that the percentage of employees eligible to retire will grow from the current level of about 16 percent to about 33 percent of the workforce in fiscal year 2010. (See app. I for demographics data on NRC's workforce.) Nuclear power plant owners and NRC have expressed concerns about their ability to even maintain their workforces at current levels to ensure the safety of existing plant operations and the rigor of inspections as workers retire and reactors age. Furthermore, at the same time, NRC projects that its workforce size will need to grow from about 3,100 employees in early fiscal year 2006 to nearly 4,000 employees by 2010 to meet the significant anticipated upsurge in workload demands as NRC begins to review power company applications for permits to construct and operate new nuclear reactors. To replace retiring employees and expand its workforce, NRC must hire from 300 to 400 employees per year through at least 2010. In August 2004, NRC issued its Strategic Plan, Fiscal Year 2004-Fiscal Year 2009, which identifies the agency's vision; mission; values; and five goals--safety, security, openness, effectiveness, and excellence in agency management--shaping its activities through 2009. The strategic plan states that one of NRC's greatest management challenges will be to acquire, develop, and sustain a highly skilled and diverse technical workforce. Similarly, during the past 6 years, NRC's Inspector General (IG) has identified human capital management as a key challenge. To address these concerns, NRC developed the 2004-2009 Strategic Human Capital and Workforce Restructuring Plan (2004 strategic human capital plan), which presents strategies to ensure that the agency can recruit, develop, and retain the critically skilled workforce it needs.[Footnote 1] In recent years, NRC was identified as the federal government's third-best organization to work through an analysis of the Office of Personnel Management's (OPM) 2004 Federal Human Capital Survey data,[Footnote 2] and NRC improved its performance in 16 of 18 categories measured by its own 2005 Safety Culture and Climate Survey (NRC's 2005 employee survey) categories. Our December 2003 report on effective strategic workforce planning identified two critical elements: (1) aligning an organization's human capital program with its current and emerging mission and programmatic goals and (2) developing long-term strategies for acquiring, developing, and retaining staff to achieve program goals.[Footnote 3] The first element involves linking human capital management strategies with agency mission, goals, and organizational objectives and integrating these strategies into its strategic plans, performance and accountability plans, and budget requests. The second element involves undertaking workforce planning activities to implement acquisition, development, and retention programs. Strategic workforce planning involves systematic assessments of current and future human capital needs and the development of long-term strategies to fill any gaps. Our previous work suggests that, regardless of an agency's mission, needs, and approach, strategic workforce planning should incorporate the five key principles shown in table 1. Table 1: GAO's Strategic Workforce Planning Principles and Descriptions: Principle: Involve top management, employees, and other stakeholders in developing, communicating, and implementing the strategic workforce plan; Description: Agencies' top program and human capital leaders set the overall direction, pace, tone, and goals and involve employees and stakeholders in establishing a communication strategy that creates shared expectations for the outcomes of the process. Principle: Determine the critical skills and competencies that will be needed to achieve future programmatic results; Description: Agencies determine how many personnel have the skills and competencies needed to meet program goals and how many are likely to remain with the agency over time, given retirement and other attrition. Such analysis allows agencies to identify the resources needed to achieve current and future goals. Principle: Develop strategies that are tailored to address gaps and human capital conditions in critical skills and competencies that need attention; Description: Agencies use strategies, including programs, policies, and practices, to address how the workforce is acquired, developed and trained, compensated; deployed; motivated; and retained. Such strategies help an agency move from the current to the future workforce. Principle: Build the capability needed to address administrative, educational, and other requirements important to support workforce strategies; Description: Agencies educate managers and employees about available human capital flexibilities so that the flexibilities are implemented openly, fairly, and effectively. Principle: Monitor and evaluate the agency's progress toward its human capital goals and the contribution that human capital results have made toward achieving programmatic goals; Description: Agencies use periodic measurement and evaluation to obtain data for identifying shortfalls and revising future workforce planning efforts. Gathering this information helps ensure that human capital strategies work as intended. Source: GAO. [End of table] Given the anticipated increase in NRC's future workload, we assessed NRC's ability to sufficiently recruit, develop, and retain the staff it needs to inspect the operations of existing nuclear power plants, review the license applications for constructing new reactors, and perform other regulatory functions. Specifically, we examined the extent to which NRC (1) has aligned its human capital planning framework with its strategic mission and programmatic goals; (2) is effectively recruiting, developing, and retaining critically skilled personnel; and (3) is taking steps to address future uncertainties that could affect its overall workforce capacity. To assess the alignment of NRC's human capital framework with its strategic mission and programmatic goals, we analyzed a broad range of NRC's policy, planning, and implementation documents; reviewed budget documents and performance and accountability reports; and interviewed cognizant managers in NRC's Office of Human Resources (OHR), program offices--including Nuclear Reactor Regulation (NRR), and four regional offices. To assess NRC's efforts to recruit, develop, and retain critically skilled personnel, we applied our five strategic workforce planning principles. In doing so, we analyzed NRC's (1) demographics data; (2) critical skills information; (3) implementation of its recruiting, hiring, training and development, and retention strategies; (4) implementation of new systems, programs, and processes that support human capital management and planning; and (5) measures of its progress and results. We also surveyed 45 NRC managers in OHR, NRR and other program offices, and four regional offices about the use of existing human capital flexibilities, authorities, tools, and programs; our response rate was 71 percent. To assess the extent to which NRC has addressed future uncertainties that could adversely affect its overall workforce capacity, we examined the engineering, science, and technology labor pool and NRC's efforts to prepare for a surge in new reactor license applications. Specifically, we interviewed NRC managers and Nuclear Energy Institute (NEI) executives about the supply and demand for critically skilled workers, examined NRC's efforts to develop a "pipeline" for recruiting these personnel, and assessed its need for any new flexibilities and authorities. (See app. II for additional information about our scope and methodology.) We conducted our work from March through December 2006 in accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards. Results in Brief: NRC's human capital planning framework is generally aligned with its strategic outcomes and goals. NRC's strategic plan and associated plans coherently outline its human capital goals, strategies, performance measures, and activities, and these elements are linked to NRC's strategic outcomes: (1) continuous improvement in NRC's leadership and management effectiveness in delivering the mission and (2) a diverse, skilled workforce and an infrastructure that fully supports the agency's mission and goals. Although its framework is generally sound, NRC has not fully implemented three key plans that would facilitate the recruitment and development of employees who its offices need to maintain agency expertise and to respond to anticipated growth in applications for reactor licenses in the next few years. For example, NRC's 2004 strategic human capital plan called for annual agencywide human capital implementation plans beginning in October 2005 that would link NRC strategies to its offices' tactical planning for accomplishing yearly goals. However, NRC has drafted but has not completed its first annual implementation plan, in part because of competing human capital demands particularly the need to achieve its sharply increased hiring targets. Without the plan, NRC managers face increased complexity and difficulty in managing activities to recruit and develop the critically skilled employees they will need. Similarly, although NRC recently completed two agencywide strategic documents for knowledge management and training and development, it remains to be seen whether NRC managers' implementation of these initiatives will stimulate, for example, the rate of knowledge transfer necessary for new staff to gain the critical skills they need to perform their regulatory responsibilities. In addition, although NRC created a Human Capital Council in July 2006 to formulate and integrate strategies for NRC's offices to address human capital challenges, it is too early to determine whether the council can balance its responsibility both to develop solutions and to provide strategic direction for effectively addressing these key challenges. Accordingly, we are recommending that NRC take actions to better integrate its strategic human capital planning into its implementation activities. NRC agreed with our recommendation. NRC has been effective in recruiting, developing, and retaining a critically skilled workforce to date, and has taken several actions in 2006 to increase its overall workforce capacity, but because NRC has not fully implemented some of its planned efforts to enhance its hiring and training, it is unclear whether this performance will be sustained. NRC has addressed our five key principles for strategic workforce planning and has used its human capital tools, authorities, and flexibilities to recruit, develop, and retain the critically skilled workers it needs; however, the agency has not evaluated the effectiveness of some of these flexibilities. For example, its leadership and management have been extensively involved in establishing, communicating, and implementing workforce planning strategies. NRC also has developed a process that inventories existing critical skills and compares them with needs to identify gaps. Furthermore, NRC uses many targets and measures to monitor the status of its efforts, such as the composition of its hires and separations. As a result, during fiscal year 2006, NRC exceeded its initial goal of hiring 300 new staff by bringing 371 employees on board, which was substantially higher than in previous years. Of these new workers, 54 percent were midlevel hires--many with nuclear industry experience--who typically require less training before performing their jobs than entry- level hires from universities. Although NRC has strengthened its efforts to identify and fill critical skills gaps, it is too early to assess the effectiveness of some strategies that were put into practice during fiscal year 2006. For example, NRC closed about 55 critical skills gaps but identified 115 additional critical skills gaps, many of which will require 1 year or more of classroom and on-the-job technical training to fill. NRC also does not systematically evaluate its use of human capital authorities and flexibilities--such as recruitment incentives or early replacement hiring--for recruiting, developing, and retaining a critically skilled workforce, although it tracks the frequency of use and associated costs for some of these authorities and flexibilities. Without this information, NRC may either under-or over-use certain authorities and flexibilities and inefficiently use its annual human capital funding. In addition, NRC managers told us that while some human capital measures and targets are reliable and useful, others do not provide sufficiently meaningful information to assess progress. NRC planned in 2004 to develop a human capital accountability system plan that, in part, would describe the measures, metrics, and associated targets needed to assess its achievement of human capital outcomes; this plan has not yet been drafted. Without this framework, it is difficult for offices to identify useful practices and improve agencywide understanding of how human capital activities directly support the achievement of agency goals and strategic outcomes. Furthermore, although NRC has previously surveyed employees about their satisfaction with its human capital program, the agency does not plan to conduct a survey during fiscal year 2007 even though doing so could provide a useful, updated perspective in assessing initiatives as NRC continues to expand its workforce. Accordingly, we are recommending that NRC take actions to evaluate (1) the effectiveness of its use of human capital tools, authorities, and flexibilities and (2) the usefulness of its human capital measures; intended outputs; and targets for recruiting, developing, and retaining a critically skilled workforce. We are also recommending that NRC survey its employees during fiscal year 2007 about their satisfaction with its human capital program, including new initiatives and offices' use of flexibilities to maintain a quality work environment. NRC agreed with our recommendations. NRC has acted to address two key uncertainties that affect its workforce needs--that is, whether it can (1) maintain its workforce in the face of future competition with the nuclear power industry for critically skilled workers and (2) accurately gauge its workload, particularly for reviewing license applications for new nuclear reactors, during the next 3 years so it can meet its commitments for timely reviews while ensuring nuclear power plant safety and security. Regarding its ability to continue to attract and retain key personnel, NRC annually tracks the number and salaries of U.S. scientists and engineers in a few key disciplines to discern shifting trends. NRC also has initiated additional activities, authorized by the Energy Policy Act of 2005, to support key university programs to attract greater numbers of students into mission-critical skills areas, and to offer scholarships to those studying in these fields. Such activities have the potential to enhance the quality of NRC's entry-level candidate pool with a pipeline of critically skilled candidates. Nevertheless, NRC will face greater competition in attracting and retaining experienced scientists and engineers, and, further complicating matters, NRC generally employs only U.S. citizens in these positions. Regarding the anticipated growth of license applications for new reactors, NRC expects to complete its review of applications within 42 months, including holding required public hearings. Although NRC's process is intended to allow for a more efficient review of combined license applications and is generally supported by the nuclear power industry, it is as yet untested. In addition, in anticipation of receiving an initial wave of applications in October 2007, NRC has periodically met with power company representatives to discuss and resolve matters related to how the process is to move forward. Background: The Energy Reorganization Act of 1974 established NRC as an independent agency, headed by a five-member Commission, to regulate the nation's civilian use--commercial, industrial, academic, and medical--of nuclear energy and materials, including nuclear power reactors and research and test reactors.[Footnote 4] NRC's mission is to ensure that civilian users of nuclear materials adequately (1) protect public health and safety; (2) promote the common defense and security, including securing special nuclear materials against radiological sabotage and theft or diversion; and (3) protect the environment. NRC's total operating budget, excluding the IG's office, grew from about $618 million in fiscal year 2004 to about $735 million in fiscal year 2006.[Footnote 5] While NRC requested about $808 million for fiscal year 2007, the Continuing Appropriations Resolution, 2007, limits its appropriations to the fiscal year 2006 funding level. Similarly, NRC's funding allocations for recruiting, training, and other human capital activities have grown from a total of $35 million, or 6 percent of its total operating budget, in fiscal year 2004 to about $61 million, or 8 percent of its planned allocations, in fiscal year 2007.[Footnote 6] About 70 percent of NRC's workforce in fiscal year 2006 was dedicated to ensuring the safe and secure operation of civilian nuclear power reactor facilities and research and test reactors. NRC estimates that at least 500 new critically skilled positions will be added through fiscal year 2009, primarily to license and inspect the construction of new reactors. (See app. III for more information on NRC's new reactor licensing process.) NRC's reactor safety activities and their related percentages of NRC's workforce include the following: * reactor licensing: power upgrades (approving increases in the allowable level of generated power) and license transfers, operator licensing, regulation development, operating experience evaluation, and financial assurance (25 percent of NRC's workforce); * reactor license renewal (3 percent); * new reactor licensing (6 percent); * reactor inspection and performance assessment: emergency preparedness and incident response, reactor technical and regulatory training, imposition of enforcement sanctions for violations of NRC requirements, and investigation of alleged wrongdoing by licensees, applicants, contractors, or vendors (30 percent); * homeland security activities: threat assessment, safeguards and security reviews and inspections, force-on-force exercises, and regulatory infrastructure (5 percent); and: * international efforts to enhance domestic and global nuclear safety (1 percent). In fiscal year 2006, about 28 percent of NRC's workforce was devoted to the following nuclear materials and nuclear waste safety activities to secure the use and management of radioactive materials: * nuclear fuel cycle facilities (6 percent of NRC's workforce); * nuclear materials activities (10 percent); * repository or disposal of high-level waste--specifically, licensing decisions and regulatory oversight (4 percent); * decommissioning of nuclear reactors and other facilities, and low- level waste management (almost 4 percent); and: * storage and transportation of spent nuclear fuel both at and away from reactor sites (almost 4 percent). NRC estimates little growth in the number of personnel committed to these activities, with some slight increases related to fuel cycle production facilities and possibly high-level waste storage, depending upon DOE's submission of its license application for the Yucca Mountain repository.[Footnote 7] In fiscal year 2007, NRC expects to oversee more than 4,400 licenses for nuclear materials and nuclear waste safety, while 34 Agreement States will regulate and oversee over 18,000 licenses.[Footnote 8] NRC's Human Capital Planning Framework Is Aligned with Its Strategic Mission and Programmatic Goals, but Some Further Actions Are Required: NRC's human capital planning framework is generally aligned with its strategic mission, outcomes, and programmatic goals; however, some key plans and activities are still being developed or implemented. NRC's Strategic Human Capital Planning Framework Is Coherently Aligned: NRC's human capital planning framework has generally aligned human capital activities with NRC's management goal and the goal's strategic outcomes. NRC also has taken significant steps, particularly during fiscal year 2006, to ensure that human capital plans and strategies are demonstrated through its human capital activities by achievement of agencywide and office-specific goals and outcomes. In addition, NRC's strategic and existing operational planning documents link human capital goals and strategies to several agencywide performance measures. A critical success factor for high-performing organizations is the alignment of their human capital initiatives with mission and goal accomplishment. Alignment is demonstrated by linking human capital management strategies with agency mission, goals, and organizational objectives and integrating these strategies into its strategic plans, performance and accountability plans, and budget requests. This linkage allows agencies to assess and understand the extent to which their workforce contributes to achieving the overarching mission. As shown in figure 1, NRC's strategic human capital approach demonstrably supports the agency's organizational performance objectives. Together, NRC's plans and strategies, programs, and activities provide a coherent structure designed to support NRC's safety and security mission. Specifically, NRC's strategic plan outlines six human capital strategies that delineate how the agency will achieve its strategic outcomes of (1) continuous improvement in NRC's leadership and management effectiveness in delivering the mission and (2) a diverse, skilled workforce and an infrastructure that fully support the agency's mission and goals. Figure 1: NRC's Strategic Human Capital Planning and Implementation Framework: [See PDF for image] Source: GAO analysis of NRC documents. [End of figure] NRC has also taken significant steps to ensure that human capital plans and strategies are implemented to achieve agencywide and office- specific goals and outcomes. For example, NRC's 2004 strategic human capital plan delineates tools, authorities, flexibilities, and programs for hiring, developing, and retaining personnel, most of which NRC currently uses. The strategic human capital plan also directs the development of several additional plans, strategies, and activities-- many of which have been put into place--to achieve the workforce needed to accomplish NRC's goals. NRC's strategic and existing operational planning documents also link human capital goals and strategies to several agencywide performance measures, in part illustrated in its annual performance budget and accountability reporting. Some Key Human Capital Planning and Implementation Efforts Are Still in Process: While NRC's planning framework delineates the relationship between human capital activities and strategic outcomes, some key plans are still being developed, completed, or put into practice. Although most of NRC's agencywide and office specific plans provide human capital management strategies, the linkage is not fully delineated between generally identifying strategies and selecting and deploying particular strategies. An agency that is successful in aligning and integrating human capital approaches and goals considers further initiatives and refinements when organizational needs change or when successes or shortcomings of its human capital efforts are demonstrated.[Footnote 9] NRC is currently undergoing such a transition because the agency, both in terms of demographics and workload, will have increasing and diverse human capital needs in coming years. In response, during fiscal year 2006, NRC initiated a range of activities, in various stages of completion, intended to provide a more robust framework through which to operate during the next few years. For example: * Since late 2005, NRC's four regional offices have developed or are further implementing human capital management plans that reflect their human capital activities. The general framework of these plans mirror NRC's 2004 strategic human capital plan. * In August 2006, NRC adopted a more comprehensive approach to its knowledge management and knowledge transfer. NRC's prior approach to knowledge management did not fully support the agency's need for a faster rate of knowledge transfer to accommodate increasing retirements, midcareer turnover, agency growth, and the broader scope of knowledge needed, for example, to support new technologies and new reactor designs. NRC's new framework provides significant direction and detail regarding how knowledge management can be accomplished. However, it remains to be seen whether implementation of these initiatives will stimulate the rate of knowledge transfer necessary for new staff to gain the critical skills they need to perform their regulatory responsibilities. * In fiscal years 2006 and 2007, NRC has been developing common measures for offices to monitor and evaluate performance in support of the goals in its 2004 Comprehensive Diversity Management Plan (CDMP) to (1) recruit diverse employees at all levels, (2) develop and retain diverse employees by promoting an environment that values differences, and (3) increase the diversity of employees in senior and managerial positions. CDMP was designed to promote strategies that increase NRC's organizational capacity, guide decisions and practices that impact equal opportunity, and promote the principles of diversity management. * In early 2006, NRC developed a more detailed agencywide list of best practices strategies and actions for achieving equal employment opportunity goals through recruiting, staff development, merit process, inclusion and workforce culture, awards and recognition, communication, action tracking, and organization assessment. These best practices strategies and actions complement CDMP strategies.[Footnote 10] * In September 2006, NRC finalized a strategic training and development plan to more specifically identify how existing efforts to ensure the effectiveness and efficiency of training will be augmented and integrated. The plan's goals are to enhance individual performance, meet agency needs, ensure resources are optimized, and confirm the extent to which NRC is realizing training benefits. * During fiscal year 2006, NRC identified inefficiencies in coordinating and integrating planning and operations, stretching its human capital resources to hire and meet the need for nearly double the number of new employees than in previous years. In part, NRC's intensified activity demonstrated that coordination among human resources and program offices, although considerable, was not yet optimized. In response, in July 2006, NRC created a Human Capital Council composed of office deputy directors and a deputy regional administrator to provide a senior leadership and programmatic perspective.[Footnote 11] OHR chairs and supports the council, whose purpose is to provide an agency-level forum to formulate strategies to address human capital challenges, share best practices, and develop an integrated approach to address human capital issues. The council is expected to make recommendations for action to the Executive Director for Operations and Chief Human Capital Officer to improve the agency's management of human capital. The council also intends to identify ways by which OHR personnel can more proactively support program offices and solve problems. However, it is too early to determine whether the council can balance its responsibility to provide both strategic direction and develop an integrated approach for effectively addressing these key challenges. * NRC has drafted but has not completed its first annual human capital implementation plan, in part because of the need to support competing human capital demands, particularly NRC's sharply increased hiring targets.[Footnote 12] Similar to the aims of the Human Capital Council, the implementation plan would serve to link strategic planning to operational planning and implementation efforts. At least one program office, NRR, has developed such a plan, which both demonstrates alignment to NRC's 2004 strategic human capital plan and provides much more specificity on the means to achieve and implement human capital strategies. Without the plan, NRC managers face increased complexity and uncertainty in managing recruitment and development activities for the critically skilled employees they will need. It is too soon to determine the extent to which these recent efforts, taken together or separately, will help NRC to more effectively respond both to continuing and new workforce demands during 2007 through 2010, and beyond. The urgency to incorporate strategic human capital management principles more explicitly into operations may vary across program offices, in part because of somewhat different program needs or requirements. Because key internal stakeholder commitment and involvement will dictate their success, the further development and use of these plans and activities are likely contingent on whether stakeholders consider them necessary and effective for integrating NRC's human capital activities and enable them to achieve the desired results. NRC Has Generally Been Effective in Recruiting, Developing, and Retaining Critically Skilled Employees, yet Many Activities Were Only Recently Initiated: To date, NRC's approach for recruiting, developing, and retaining a critically skilled workforce has generally been effective and addresses our five key principles for effective strategic workforce planning. NRC's implementation of its workforce planning strategies demonstrates significant agency focus on achieving a diverse, skilled workforce to meet anticipated workload demands that it foresees in the next few years. For example, NRC has estimated the skills and personnel it needs for new reactor licensing and exceeded its fiscal year hiring target by bringing on 371 new employees. However, because of substantial challenges facing NRC and because several efforts have not yet been fully put into practice, the framework's overall effectiveness in collectively enhancing NRC's overall workforce capacity is not fully clear. As a result, while NRC determined that it closed about 55 critical skills gaps in fiscal year 2006, it also identified 115 new gaps and 76 continuing or long-term gaps, many of which will take a significant amount of training and development to be considered filled. NRC has proposed to increase funding for leadership, training and development, and knowledge management by 37 percent in its fiscal year 2007 budget request in an effort to further close these gaps. In addition, NRC's use of its flexibilities could be further improved by systematically evaluating how they contribute to desired outcomes. Similarly, NRC could revise some of its measures, metrics, and targets to better target and gauge agency progress. NRC's Management Is Significantly Engaged in Establishing, Communicating, and Implementing Strategic Workforce Planning Efforts and Strategies: Our prior work found that top leadership and management, when clearly and personally involved in workforce planning, can provide the organizational vision that is important in times of change, and can generate stability and cooperation within the agency to ensure that planning strategies are thoroughly implemented and sustained. With respect to our first principle, we found that over the past several years, NRC's top leadership has provided direction, and together with senior management, has become increasingly engaged in human capital management and strategic workforce planning.[Footnote 13] NRC's 2004- 2009 Strategic Plan, which introduced a management goal and objectives specifically for strategic human capital management, was developed through high-level collaboration among the Deputy Executive Directors for Operations, the Chief Financial Officer, the four regional administrators, and the directors of program offices and OHR. Top leadership's involvement in strategic workforce planning and human capital activities is further evidenced through annual briefings to the Commissioners on human capital management; biannual briefings to the Commissioners on comprehensive diversity management; and the Commission's hosting of annual all-staff meetings, during which Commissioners communicate agency progress, discuss challenges the agency faces, and respond to employees' questions. During the past year, the Commissioners also solicited more information on, and provided more direction for, implementing such human capital activities as recruiting, hiring, and knowledge management. NRC managers generally told us that the agency's human capital approach plays a significant role in enabling NRC to attract, hire, and retain a diverse and skilled workforce. Overall, NRC's 2005 employee survey results showed that employee perceptions of management had improved since 2002; nevertheless, results also indicated that NRC management could further improve upon how it encourages employees to give their best. In emphasizing the importance of succession planning, senior NRC managers also said the agency is active in identifying and developing its midlevel and upper-level managers and leaders. Our prior work has found that such activities can positively affect an agency's ability to increase the retention of high-potential employees, maintain sufficient leadership capacity as senior executives retire, and achieve a more diverse workforce. NRC continued and intensified its succession planning activities in 2006 in light of agency growth and reorganization with managers conducting efforts to determine the appropriate skills and leadership "fit" for Senior Executive Service (SES) positions and anticipating replacement needs in 2-, 4-, and 6- year time frames.[Footnote 14] Our prior human capital work also found that an organization's effective use of communications strategies promotes transparency, creates shared expectations, and enables improved progress reporting. Although from 2001 to 2005, NRC's IG identified intra-agency communications as one of the most serious challenges facing the agency, it removed this challenge in its 2006 report because of various actions NRC has taken to improve internal communications. In addition, NRC's 2005 employee survey results demonstrated a significant improvement over the 2002 survey results. The steps that NRC has taken include the following: * In response to a 2002 IG recommendation, NRC created a Communications Council in 2003. The council, which meets monthly, coordinates and launches internal communications initiatives, shares best practices, provides a forum for offices to advise and recommend further improvements, and posts meeting summaries to NRC's internal Web page. * Management has promoted transparency by developing and disseminating key information on its human capital policies, procedures, and processes through management directives and "yellow announcements."[Footnote 15] * To create shared expectations and buy-in, OHR conducts periodic video teleconferences with regional offices' management, supervisors, and staff to explain new policies and procedures. OHR also provides other face-to-face training as needed, typically on new developments or major changes in human capital policies and procedures. For example, in 2006, OHR and the General Counsel partnered to conduct focused training on such topics as merit staffing, performance and conduct issues, and equal employment opportunity, which NRC plans to incorporate into its formal supervisory curriculum. * The NRC Reporter, a weekly newsletter instituted in early 2005, provides employees with information on various agency initiatives, and an Executive Director for Operations Update, introduced in 2002, discusses operational activities on a weekly to biweekly basis. * NRC's Web site and Agencywide Document and Access Management System also provide easy access to human capital materials, including transcripts of annual briefings, planning documents, and its "human capital management tool box." * NRC routinely solicits feedback or comments from offices, employees, and the National Treasury Employees Union (NTEU) on the introduction of new or major changes to flexibilities, policies, and procedures.[Footnote 16] * NRC's 2005 employee survey results on NRC's Differing Professional Opinions Program, through which employees can provide alternative professional theories or opinions, demonstrated no statistically significant increase in this category's results since 2002, and NRC identified it as an area for improvement. A key senior manager also noted that concern still existed about this program yet encouraged its use, saying that such opinions and resulting discussions make NRC's organizational safety and security mind-set sounder. Although NRC has demonstrated efforts in the above areas, opportunities exist to further enhance its capability to monitor and measure its human capital success and progress. We have found that leading organizations have periodically sought their employees' input and explicitly addressed that input to adjust their human capital approaches[Footnote 17]. One way agencies assess employee satisfaction and leadership and management practices that contribute to agency performance is through employee surveys. NRC's IG conducts its Safety Culture and Climate Survey every few years, the last being in 2005; NRC also participates in OPM's biannual Federal Human Capital Survey, most recently conducted in 2006. Even though (1) at least one third of its workforce will be directly affected by office reorganizations or expansions, (2) several key human capital efforts are to be further implemented, and (3) over 200 retirements or resignations are anticipated, NRC does not plan to conduct an employee survey during fiscal year 2007. Employee survey results could provide NRC managers with employees' feedback that could be used to adjust the human capital approaches as appropriate during this particularly critical year. Without such data as a key basis for understanding the workforce climate, it will be more difficult for NRC to gauge any shifting trends, determine strategies to address any problems, and report on actions it has taken to move forward. NRC managers and a key NTEU official we interviewed said that their relationship, characterized as somewhat tenuous, could also be improved. NTEU officials told us that NTEU's influence had diminished somewhat in recent years because (1) since 2001, federal agencies are no longer required to establish partnerships with their labor organizations;[Footnote 18] (2) the union's own leadership style was not always conducive to effecting change; and (3) the union provided limited resources and incentives to stimulate active participation of its members. NTEU officials and NRC managers also had differing views on how to facilitate Agency Labor-Management Partnership Committee meetings between senior union officials and NRC managers, yet they agreed on the need to raise issues appropriate for committee consideration. NRC managers and NTEU officials told us that they plan to defer renegotiation of the NTEU contract until 2008, although they recognize NRC's work environment is rapidly changing. NRC Analyzes Its Mission Priorities and Workforce Capacity to Identify Ongoing and Future Critical Skills Needs: Our prior work found that maintaining information on the critical skills and competencies that an organization's personnel possess is especially important for federal agencies operating in a changing environment.[Footnote 19] Shifts in national priorities, advances in technology, budget constraints, and other factors affect the critical skills an agency needs to fulfill its mission. NRC annually analyzes its workforce's skills by gathering data on employee skills and competencies, identifying the existing and future critical skills needed, and determining if and where gaps exist. As a result of this process, which has become increasingly institutionalized since 2002, NRC reviews its existing workforce characteristics, identifies ongoing and future critical skills needs, and tracks critical skills gaps. Engineers and scientists, who represent about half of the overall workforce, are the more evident of NRC's critically skilled population; however, NRC has identified the fields of contracting, law, security, and risk assessment, among others, as mission-critical skills. In addition, because of increased homeland security requirements, NRC's critical skill set has broadened in recent years to include more expertise in materials and reactor security, emergency preparedness, and incident response. For NRC's annual critical skills assessment, (1) employees inventory their skills, competencies, and levels of expertise; (2) office and branch managers assess the supply of and demand for general and particular skills; and (3) OHR personnel further analyze this information to determine agencywide critical skills needs. The primary tool NRC uses to gather detailed data on an employee's critical skills and competencies is its strategic workforce planning (SWP) system database, which was developed in 2002. The SWP system identifies the critical skills and competencies each employee possesses, his or her career stage, and his or her retirement eligibility dates. Supervisors, managers, or human resources personnel can then generate summary reports with a range of parameters. The SWP system's staff and critical skill matrix lists all staff in a given branch or office, and indicates each employee's skill level, title, retirement eligibility date, and years until retirement. OHR and program office managers told us that the SWP system's accessibility and utility have improved in the last 2 years. Some program managers noted that they have used SWP data to identify potential skills needs and gaps, to inform decisions when assigning work, and for succession planning. These managers noted that the SWP system requires recurring employee input and managerial and supervisory inputs and analysis to be effective. In 2006, over 80 percent of employees and supervisors updated their skills and anticipated needs, respectively. In addition to gathering skills information, NRC has conducted an annual agencywide needs and gaps assessment since 2003. More specifically, program office managers assess the supply of and demand for general and particular skills in their offices and branches, given their existing and anticipated workload. The offices each identify their "most critical" needs.[Footnote 20] They then categorize these needs as either near term (0 to 2 years) or long term (3 to 5 years), and their importance as either top tier or second tier. Then, OHR compiles these assessments, conducts further analyses, and reports the results to senior NRC managers and program offices. NRC's fiscal year 2006 analyses identified over 300 critical skills needs, over 100 of which were categorized as top tier. In preparation for reviewing combined license (COL) applications for constructing and conditionally operating new nuclear reactors and plants, NRC has assessed the range and magnitude of critical skills needs. Specifically, NRC conducted a job-task analysis in early 2006 to better define anticipated critical skills needs by identifying detailed tasks, competencies, and skills associated with prior reactor license application reviews. NRC managers determined that a large majority of skills associated with current licensing, regulatory, and technical expertise related to existing reactors are "portable" to the new reactor licensing reviews. These managers also identified a small number of new critical skills that are specific to new reactor licensing, such as hydrology and reactor physics. NRR then developed an initial resource estimate model that, in part, estimated critical skills needs by functional areas.[Footnote 21] Five skill sets--project management, civil engineering, instrumentation and controls, legal, and operator licensing--make up over 50 percent of the estimated effort, while about 17 other skill sets make up the remainder. In the summer of 2006, NRR retained a contractor to develop a master project management plan for project planning and scheduling that would (1) support NRC's review of COL applications for constructing and conditionally operating a new reactor and (2) link critical skills needs to actual personnel, positions, and time frames. The plan, which will be completed in early 2007, will estimate how to phase, project manage, and staff each aspect of the reviews, on the basis of validation of initial estimates. NRR is also developing a transitional staffing plan to identify the employees who will work in NRR and in NRC's newly established Office of New Reactors. (See app. IV for information about NRC's recent workforce reorganization and expansion.) In doing so, these managers said that the combined use of the SWP system, the resource estimate model, and the project management plan will inform how NRR will reorganize its personnel into the two offices and allocate its resources. NRC Primarily Uses Recruiting, Hiring, Training, and Development Strategies to Close Existing and Future Critical Skills Gaps: Our prior work has found that, to fill skills gaps, agencies need to develop human capital strategies and tools with the resources that are reasonably expected to be available. These strategies and tools encompass recruiting and hiring, training and developing staff and leadership, succession planning, knowledge management, and use of flexibilities. Agencies also need to align these strategies to eliminate gaps and optimize the contribution of current and future critical skills and competencies for mission success. NRC annually identifies critical skills gaps and develops strategies to address the gaps to achieve and maintain the level of expertise required to meet existing and anticipated workload demands. During the last 2 years, program office managers have relied on (1) recruiting and hiring and (2) training and development as their key gap closure strategies, among others. These also represent the majority of the tools, programs, authorities, and flexibilities NRC regularly employs as human capital strategies. NRC Significantly Increased Its Recruiting and Hiring Efforts and Its Use of Certain Flexibilities in Fiscal Year 2006: NRC's recruiting and hiring approach enabled the agency to exceed both its initial 2006 hiring target of 300 and its subsequent target of 350, by hiring 371 new employees who had reported as of September 30, 2006. NRC uses both general and specific vacancy announcements at the entry, mid, and upper levels that typically represent few to several critical skills areas in related disciplines and specialty areas.[Footnote 22] Fiscal year 2006 was the first year in over a decade that NRC's recruiting and hiring efforts were targeted at both replacing personnel leaving the agency and expanding its workforce--about half of the new hires replaced employees who left NRC through retirement or resignation and half increased NRC's total workforce to 3,347 employees.[Footnote 23] In particular, NRR lost 75 employees--39 employees retired or resigned and 36 transferred to other NRC offices--but hired nearly 200 employees, to staff both existing and new reactor licensing work. NRC's fiscal year 2007 hiring needs represent over 25 critical skills areas, and represent general and specific engineering and science fields as well as security, intelligence, information technology, contract management, human resources, and project management fields. NRC's approach is driven by the identification of critical skills needs and efforts to fill gaps, and includes the following activities: * NRC's annual recruiting call projects the agency's needs to hire entry-level and experienced employees with critical skills in particular disciplines. The fiscal year 2006 recruiting included general and specific engineering and science fields, security, information technology, and contract management fields. NRC's recruiting program includes visits to universities and professional society organizations to identify highly qualified candidates. * While the percentages vary somewhat from year to year, NRC generally brings on 60 to 70 percent of its new professional hires at the midlevel or upper level--frequently with several years of relevant professional experience--and the remainder of its hires at the entry level. About 200 of these hires--predominantly engineers, scientists, lawyers, human resource specialists, and contract specialists--came on at the midlevel or upper level in 2006, including over 50 hired from other federal agencies. Midlevel or upper level hires generally require less training than entry-level hires from universities to perform their jobs. More broadly, although the agency exceeded its hiring goals in fiscal year 2006, it is unclear whether NRC can effectively close critical skills gaps in the near and longer term. While the agency determined that it closed about 55 gaps in fiscal year 2006, it also identified 115 new gaps and 76 continuing or long-term gaps.[Footnote 24] Most new NRC employees typically need from 1 to several years of targeted technical training, on-the-job experience, and/or development opportunities to fully learn and perform agency job functions, according to NRC managers. In addition, making determinations about whether gaps are sufficiently filled is an involved process and often depends on managers' understanding of each employee's knowledge and skills. However, maintaining that understanding will likely become more difficult as workforce demographics shift and NRC reorganizes and grows. In addition, gaps are determined at the branch level, reported at the office and regional levels, and compiled into an agencywide assessment. While some knowledge and skills are easily shared within branches, divisions, or offices, managers told us that the transferability of employees across these areas can be limited. NRC also uses various flexibilities in recruiting and hiring new employees, and it tracks the frequency and cost associated with the use of some flexibilities. (See app. V for NRC's use of human capital flexibilities, authorities, tools, and programs.) For example, we found that OHR, program, and regional managers identified recruitment incentives as among the most valuable of NRC's tools. Comparisons of recruitment incentive awards in fiscal years 2004 and 2006 show that (1) the number of awards increased from 6 to over 140, (2) total monetary awards increased from $77,000 to $979,000, and (3) the maximum value of an award increased from about $5,400 to over $20,000. NRC requested $1.25 million to make about 160 incentive awards in fiscal year 2007. In addition, NRC awards standardized recruitment incentives to many entry-level engineers and scientists and, on a case-by-case basis, to midlevel personnel who are typically in more specific critical skills areas. NRC tracks midlevel hires who received recruitment incentives--about 60 in fiscal year 2006--and at least 90 percent worked in the private sector, including many for nuclear power plants or reactor vendors. NRC managers we interviewed and surveyed were generally satisfied with recruitment incentive awards and other available recruiting and hiring flexibilities, but they also said that direct hire authority would be a particularly useful recruiting and hiring tool.[Footnote 25] In March 2006, OPM did not approve NRC's request to obtain this authority because it determined that the law does not apply to NRC's excepted- service positions. OHR managers told us that direct hire authority is among NRC's most wanted legislative authorities and that NRC is exploring avenues for obtaining it by, for example, requesting legislation. Although NRC tracks the frequency and cost associated with some recruiting and hiring flexibilities, it does not fully use some of these data to inform management decisions and further target recruiting and hiring efforts. Similarly, NRC does not systematically evaluate the extent to which the flexibilities positively affect its ability to realize a diverse, highly skilled workforce. For example, NRC does not assess the effectiveness of alternative recruitment incentives in attracting highly skilled employees or early replacement hiring that enables a new employee to work with a long-term employee who plans to transfer locations or retire. Without evaluating the effectiveness of its flexibilities, NRC may either under-or over-use certain authorities and flexibilities and inefficiently use its annual human capital funding. The Human Capital Council could provide a forum for evaluating the office-and agency-level implementation of human capital flexibilities and their effectiveness. Opportunities may also exist to improve some of NRC's recruiting processes. For example, it is unclear to what extent NRC managers systematically prioritize the positions that need to be filled, including the extent to which incentives should be offered to prospective employees. Similarly, a cognizant NRC manager told us that the agency appeared to dedicate a disproportionate amount of resources to recruiting and hiring at the entry level, for which the pool of applicants is very robust, as opposed to midlevel and upper-level positions, for which candidates generally have had work experience in the nuclear power industry--mainly either at nuclear power plants or reactor vendors. In addition, most NRC managers expressed concern about NRC's future ability to recruit for midlevel and upper-level positions when faced with more aggressive industry competition. NRC Has Many Training and Development Programs in Place and Is Using Flexibilities to Enhance Existing Capacity: NRC's training and development activities also represent a key gap closure strategy the agency uses. In general, the agency's training and development efforts include (1) agencywide, formal technical or leadership training and certification programs; (2) external training such as enrollment in specialized programs; and (3) on-the-job training involving knowledge and skills transfer on particular subjects. NRC recently finalized both a knowledge management program and a strategic training and development plan to support and sustain its critically skilled workforce. In fiscal year 2006, NRC allocated about $9.7 million for leadership development, training and development, and knowledge management activities. Its fiscal year 2007 budget request proposed to increase training and development spending to about $15.4 million, including $4.2 million for new reactor training, $4 million for internal technical training, and over $3 million for office- specific training. Managers we interviewed and surveyed identified NRC's formal training and development--such as qualification programs for materials or reactor health physics inspectors--and its Nuclear Safety Professional Development Program, SES Candidate Development Program, and Leadership Potential Program as among the most valuable for training and developing personnel. While NRC's Nuclear Safety Professional Development Program has been in place and has grown over the past several years, the agency also has expanded development opportunities for its midlevel and upper-level supervisors and managers, particularly in fiscal year 2006. Specifically, NRC facilitated increased, more frequent enrollments in both the Leadership Potential Program and its counterpart Team Leader Development Program. Because the increase in the overall size of NRC's workforce corresponds with the need for trained supervisors, managers told us that providing sufficient training and development opportunities for new supervisors is vital. These managers expressed concern about any potential negative effect of excessive workloads on frontline supervisors, many of whom are also new to their positions. In addition to increasing participation in its development programs, NRC is increasing the frequency of key course offerings and focusing on particular critical skills areas. For example, in early 2006, OHR and NRR evaluated the extent to which training on new reactor designs would be required--anticipating future gaps on unique elements related to the regulatory process and design technologies--for which the agency has initiated specific training courses. Similarly, NRC plans to extend its Graduate Fellowship Program, which helps attract a small number of high- quality, highly educated employees in critical skills areas that the agency might not otherwise successfully hire. In July 2006, NRC instituted a knowledge management program to facilitate the transfer of knowledge and skills on specific subjects. The program is intended to systematize NRC's existing structure to better support the faster rate of collection, transfer, and use of a broader scope of knowledge needed to support, for example, new reactor technologies and new reactor designs. The program outlines initiatives that serve to avoid significant loss of mission-critical knowledge. NRC plans to (1) take over 15 implementing actions to facilitate the transfer of knowledge and skills during fiscal years 2006 through 2008 and (2) allocate over $1 million and several personnel to implement the program.[Footnote 26] In general, the managers we interviewed and surveyed said the program would be an increasingly valuable tool in the coming years. NRC also uses the following specific flexibilities to transfer skills and knowledge: * NRC has hired replacements for certain positions before the current occupants leave the agency. Known as early replacement hiring or double encumbering, this flexibility allows NRC to provide salary and benefits funding for up to 1 year for the purpose of transferring critical skills, competencies, and institutional memory from an employee who is planning to leave NRC to a replacement employee. To be effective, early replacement hiring requires that the departing employee inform NRC of such intentions well in advance of the actual departure date. Since 2004, NRC's annual funding for early replacement hiring has remained at $630,000, and an agency manager estimated that NRC had spent about $565,000 for 12 positions in fiscal year 2006. * As authorized by the Energy Policy Act of 2005, NRC has waived dual compensation limitations, known as the pension offset, for rehired retirees receiving pensions. This flexibility, known as the elimination of pension offset, allows NRC to rehire a retiree to fill a position at full pay if NRC has had difficulty in filling the position or if a temporary emergency exists.[Footnote 27] In fiscal year 2006, NRC granted waivers for 46 retirees in eight headquarters and regional offices and spent about $2.3 million to employ them. The elimination of the pension offset is expected to become increasingly valuable to NRC in the next few years to retain access to expertise for knowledge transfer purposes. Also in 2006, NRC completed its agencywide training and development strategic plan to support more systematization, definition, and integration of its overall training and development approach. The plan delineates four goals related to individual performance, training effectiveness, training efficiency, and organizational performance. It identifies the following actions that NRC plans to take to better anticipate staffing, skills, and expertise to improve planning and reduce reactive responses: * ensure that its intended benefits are realized by using a documented and integrated approach; * more comprehensively define competencies and training needs for major functions or groups of like positions; and: * better integrate its training and development programs with performance elements and standards, position descriptions, training needs surveys, and the SWP system. NRC managers generally believe that documenting and enhancing training, development, and qualification programs will be essential to enable NRC personnel to accomplish NRC's mission effectively and efficiently over the next several years. Because determining gap closure frequently requires tracking particular skills gaps over a multiyear period, and is not always easily demonstrated, NRC could benefit from this more systematic approach. NRC's Use of Tools, Authorities, and Flexibilities to Retain Critically Skilled Employees Varies: Nearly all of the managers we interviewed and surveyed said retention was not a problem, often citing NRC's 2005 attrition rate of about 6 percent. As a result, few managers identified retention tools as primary gap strategies that NRC most frequently uses to meet existing and future skills needs. However, the managers expressed general concern about impending retirements and potential future resignations if competition with the nuclear power industry intensifies for critically skilled employees. NRC employs some of the same tools, programs, and flexibilities to retain personnel that it uses to hire employees, but their purpose, audience, and application vary. For example: * NRC managers cited the relocation incentive as a valuable tool in retaining NRC personnel, especially inspectors, who move to new positions. Overall, 39 employees at the midlevel and upper level received a cumulative amount of $638,000 in fiscal year 2006. When change-of-station benefits and relocation services are added to this amount, relocation outlays totaled approximately $15 million and represented the majority of NRC's 2006 human capital budget's Talent subcategory. * NRC offers retention incentives, although somewhat infrequently. In fiscal year 2006, it awarded four, totaling less than $35,000. * NRC spent less than $1 million in total for student loan repayments for fiscal years 2004 through 2006. Its use of student loan repayments as a retention incentive has been relatively steady in recent years and has primarily targeted a handful of employees hired into the Honor Law Graduate Program. However, some NRC managers believe its use might be expanded in the next few years. * Most managers we interviewed and surveyed considered telework and flexible work schedule arrangements to be very to extremely valuable, and would be of the same or increasing value in recruiting, hiring, and retaining NRC personnel in the next few years. However, a cognizant NRC manager said that managerial and supervisory responsiveness to such arrangements varies. NRC does not routinely track or evaluate telework participation, such as the number and type of requests approved and denied, costs, benefits, and resource requirements associated with the program. However, NRC informally surveys offices about the number of employees who telework regularly, which is typically considered to be 1 day per workweek. As of November 2005, when NRC last gathered this information, about 250 of NRC's 3,000 employees regularly teleworked. In addition, many NRC employees telework on an irregular and infrequent basis. Although NRC uses and tracks these retention flexibilities to varying extents, it has not collected the information on each flexibility's costs and benefits needed to assess its effectiveness in retaining critically skilled employees while fulfilling management's objectives. Some Enhancements of NRC's Infrastructure to Support Administrative, Educational, and Other Requirements Are in Process: Agencies should build the capability needed to address administrative, educational, and other requirements--including information technology, security, and adequate space--that are essential to supporting infrastructure needs. Our prior work has found that agency officials should look for instances to improve process and procedure efficiencies and economies to reallocate resources and enable their human capital organizations to meet expanded roles in times of growth or change. We determined that NRC has taken steps to develop its internal capability to support the large number of new employees it expects to hire in upcoming years because of retirements and anticipated applications for licensing new nuclear reactors. In recent years, NRC has enhanced its administrative and information technology and communications support processes to improve its infrastructure. However, the agency still faces a few key limiting factors that, if left unaddressed or unresolved, may adversely affect its ability to meet current and future workforce needs. To improve its human capital administrative processes related to management, NRC has streamlined its recruiting and hiring processes by, for example, introducing an automated hiring system, identifying areas where it could standardize and streamline its processes, and eliminating unnecessary duplication of efforts. Implemented in 2002, NRCareers is an automated hiring system that hosts on-line vacancy announcements and an online application process. While this system has the ability to support an automated rating process and interface with such Web sites as USAJOBs, the development of these capacities is still in process. In addition, NRC has been (1) working with its personnel security branch to streamline the security clearance process for new hires and (2) granting clearances under reciprocity required by pertinent executive orders. NRC also has been creating support systems to improve its management of human capital data and reduce inefficiencies. For example, in July 2005, NRC created the Recruitment Activity Tracking System, a centralized Web-based system to monitor candidates' status, including when offers are received and for what position, start dates, and reasons candidates gave for declining offers. OHR and program office managers use this system to monitor vacancy announcements agencywide. Because the system records acceptance status, it can enhance coordination when NRC offices extend more than one offer to selected candidates; although calculating actual offers and acceptances is slightly more complex. NRC also uses the Recruitment Activity Tracking System to facilitate planning for space, security, resource allocation, and information technology by tracking employees' arrival dates. NRC plans to expand the system's capacity to track the security clearance process and notify OHR managers if candidates exceed a 30-day review period. NRC also has taken steps on e-Government initiatives to provide consolidated information on employment actions and history, integrating payroll and personnel action processing, and human resources line-of- business alignment.[Footnote 28] To improve its educational infrastructure and internal communication process, NRC has developed and is in the process of implementing the following three information management systems during fiscal year 2007: * NRC is developing an automated system to support its Lessons Learned Program--a set of processes, procedures, and oversight designed to collectively ensure that significant agency deficiencies are identified and corrected so they do not recur. This tool will link two existing agency systems to provide a Web-based, searchable and retrievable record of how each recommendation is addressed and will support program efforts to institutionalize the knowledge gained through the corrective action processes and develop solutions for long-term organizational retention. * NRC is improving the quality and capabilities of its Agencywide Document and Access Management System in terms of availability, performance, functionality, ease of use, and timeliness. Specifically, as a tool to capture knowledge, the Agencywide Document and Access Management System could help coordinate the timely review of license applications by serving as a complete and easily accessible repository of documentation for licensee information, according to NRR managers. * By mid-2007, NRC plans to launch the Learning Management System, which will replace the current training administration system. The Web- based system is designed to facilitate employees' and managers' abilities to view training options, plan coursework, and track and record progress in qualification programs. The system's original launch date, September 2005, was delayed because of compatibility problems related to the application and certification and accreditation requirements. NRC subsequently postponed its launch to implement an updated version of the application that had been developed. OHR managers want to link the Learning Management System to the SWP system because their efforts to efficiently use training resources have been complicated by incompatible information technology systems. While these initiatives are under way, NRC faces challenges in building the information technology and security infrastructure necessary for its increasing workforce. For the past 5 years, NRC's IG has cited the protection of information and the implementation of information resources as serious management challenges. NRC's Office of Information Services--which is responsible for information management, architecture, and policies--has taken steps to improve the infrastructure by acquiring new systems and integrating existing systems. The Office of Information Services also has (1) interfaced with NRR and other offices to determine the amount and type of services needed for new reactor licensing, (2) recruited and hired additional personnel to support the implementation of these new systems, and (3) begun to investigate contracting options to complement these new hires. However, it is unclear whether these steps will adequately meet the challenges associated with NRC's changing demographics and growing workforce. For example, NRC managers we interviewed and surveyed said telework would be one of the most valuable flexibilities available to NRC personnel in future years. However, NRC's information technology infrastructure can support only a limited amount of telework and would need to be upgraded to provide teleworking employees with secure and reliable access to e-mail and agency applications. Providing sufficient physical space in which its growing workforce can interact is one of NRC's greatest human capital challenges, according to its top leadership. In April 2006, NRC requested congressional assistance in persuading the General Services Administration and the Office of Management and Budget to address its space needs because NRC had exhausted the space available in its headquarters building in Rockville, Maryland, despite its space optimization program. Among the negative effects of inadequate physical space cited by NRC's top leadership are the inability to (1) appropriately colocate its new personnel with their organizational units to integrate them into the organization and provide supervision and (2) provide sufficient training and meeting space in headquarters for knowledge transfer and training and development purposes. OHR managers told us that training classes, in recently acquired space, began in mid-October 2006 after a 6-month delay. However, it is unclear when NRC will be able resolve its long-term space needs because the Office of Management and Budget had not authorized the General Services Administration to send its proposal for more space to Congress for approval. NRC's top leadership is concerned that insufficient space will lead to overcrowding that will adversely affect NRC's ability to attract new workers and could lead current workers to leave NRC for organizations with a better working environment. Although NRC Uses Several Human Capital Measures, Some Do Not Provide Sufficiently Meaningful Information to Evaluate Progress: Our prior human capital work found that agencies need to develop appropriate performance measures to link human capital measures with strategic goals so they can be used to gauge success and evaluate the contribution of human capital activities toward achieving programmatic goals. We also found that developing meaningful outcome-oriented performance measures for both human capital and programmatic goals, and the collection of performance data to measure achievement of these goals, are major challenges for many agencies. NRC's annual performance planning process, through which its performance budget is developed, provides performance measures for each goal in its strategic plan.[Footnote 29] Through the performance budget process, NRC develops key planning assumptions, program drivers, and outputs and establishes output-and outcome-based measures to monitor and evaluate program execution. NRC maintains two overall performance outcome measures to determine progress toward achieving excellence in agency management. To monitor human capital performance, NRC assesses progress using six output measures and targets for the recruiting and staffing and the training and development categories. In assessing NRC's human capital measurement framework, we found the following: * NRC has collected, tracked, and reported important demographics and human capital data and monitored workforce size, shape, and other characteristics for at least the past 5 years. OHR maintains a series of agencywide strategic workforce planning demographics tables that track employees by office and, for example, by their (1) race, ethnicity, and gender characteristics; (2) occupations and degree levels; (3) years of NRC and federal service; (4) grade or pay level; and (5) retirement eligibility and attrition projections and rates. NRC uses these data to monitor progress in achieving such human capital targets as the number of professional entry-level hires as a percentage of total hires. * OHR uses around 30 intended outputs, targets, and measures to monitor progress in recruitment and staffing, training and development/ knowledge management, strategic workforce planning, leadership development and succession planning, employee and labor relations, and diversity management. OHR categorizes intended outputs in terms of effectiveness, timeliness, quality, efficiency, and customer satisfaction and compiles the agencywide results on these metrics. Program offices also are expected to monitor certain administrative metrics, such as the percentage of professional hires at higher grade levels, and to report their status to the Executive Director for Operations. * In fiscal year 2006, NRC met or exceeded most of its human capital targets associated with its measures and intended outputs. For example, NRC exceeded its target for overall hires of 300 new employees-- subsequently increased to 350 new hires--by bringing on 371 employees in fiscal year 2006. In addition to these new hires who started by September 30, 2006, approximately 145 employees were hired as a result of fiscal year 2006 efforts but reported for duty during the first quarter of fiscal year 2007. Of these 145 employees, at least 95 are in occupational series that are typically considered mission-critical. * NRC plans to develop, or is in the process of developing, several additional measures, outputs, or metrics to gauge its overall progress toward achieving human capital outcomes. These efforts include the following: - NRC is developing additional output measures for workforce diversity and work life services to include in its performance budget during fiscal year 2007. NRC also plans to develop measures to annually assess program results in knowledge management. - NRC continues to explore ways to improve its existing training and development performance measures and metrics. For example, NRC is refining its training output measures related to tracking the average number of training hours completed per person and the percentage of personnel who completed a minimum number of training hours. These data will provide a baseline to determine appropriate future targets and ensure consistency across offices, as appropriate, according to OHR managers. These two output measures are among others being or already developed to enhance how NRC monitors the extent to which it is addressing identified training needs, which is one of its broader performance plan measures. - NRC plans to refine preliminary employee and labor relations measures to improve both the monitoring and evaluation of employee and labor relations actions, services provided, or overall performance. In particular, a cognizant agency manager told us that measuring the timeliness of processing grievances and disciplinary actions, as well as services provided, would enhance performance measurement. Although NRC met many of its human capital-related targets for fiscal year 2006, the agency has not fully implemented an agreed-upon framework by, for example, integrating its measures through a human capital accountability system plan. According to its 2004 strategic human capital plan, NRC intended to develop such a plan to identify the measures and associated targets that NRC would use to assess its achievement of human capital outcomes. Program office and OHR managers we interviewed and surveyed cited the need for an agreed-upon framework to improve the effectiveness and appropriateness of specific measures and targets. In further commenting on NRC's measurement framework, some managers cited the importance of sufficient linkage between the successful use of human capital strategies and meeting safety, security, openness, and effectiveness goals. The managers believe reliability and validity improvements would help NRC evaluate progress as its workforce expands and changes. Specifically, they expressed concern that while existing agency measures, intended outputs, and targets may be used to monitor progress, they do not enable managers to fully evaluate associated progress or performance. Without effective measures and appropriate targets, it may be more difficult for NRC to gauge workforce trends and use them to inform decision making. In addition, the managers we interviewed and surveyed had varying opinions about specific measures or targets. For example: * While NRC exceeded a 75-percent target to retain personnel for a minimum of 3 years--reaching over 90 percent--some managers suggested that the target should be further examined to determine whether the 3- year target correlates with a long-term or career commitment because the new generation of workers appears to be less inclined than the previous generation to make a longer-term commitment to NRC. * NRC also exceeded a target of hiring at least 25 percent of staff at the entry level--reaching 34 percent, a target originally put in place to reduce the NRC employee's average age, according to officials. However, some suggested that NRC consider whether the target is an appropriate agencywide measure, or would be better set at the program office level, given offices' varied workforce needs. * NRC's overall attrition rate of 6.3 percent for fiscal year 2006 was higher than its expected 6 percent; the agency lost about 205 staff, predominantly to retirement. NRC's projected attrition rates are 6.25 percent for fiscal year 2008 and 6.5 percent for fiscal year 2009. Because NRC slightly underestimated its attrition for fiscal year 2006 and the attrition rate projection for fiscal year 2008 is lower than the actual fiscal year 2006 rate, maintaining these projections may underestimate the rate at which attrition may rise as nuclear industry competition for skilled employees increases and as older staff members retire. As a result, some managers believe that projections should incorporate a higher estimated attrition rate. * Some managers noted both the usefulness of having, and the difficulty in attaining, the OPM target of issuing offer letters within 45 days after a vacancy announcement closes. NRC reported it met this target 67 percent of the time; however, while over 190 offer letters took at most 45 days, about 65 offer letters took at least 100 days to issue. Additionally, one manager stated that the 45-day time frame is too long for the competitive environment in which NRC is hiring. NRC Is Taking Steps to Address Future Uncertainties That Could Adversely Affect Its Overall Workforce Capacity: NRC is addressing two key uncertainties affecting its emerging workforce needs--how to (1) maintain its workforce in the face of future competition with the nuclear power industry for critically skilled workers and (2) accurately gauge its workload during the next 3 years--particularly for reviewing COL applications to construct and conditionally operate new reactors. Regarding a likely increase in competition with the nuclear industry for critically skilled workers, NRC is monitoring the numbers and salaries of scientists and engineers in a few key disciplines and working more closely with key university programs with the goal of strengthening its candidate pipeline. Regarding COL applications, although electric power companies have sent letters of intent to NRC, stating that they plan to apply for 20 licenses to build and operate at least 29 new nuclear power reactors in fiscal years 2008 and 2009, it is unclear how many of these projects will proceed in the near future. Specifically, NRC expects to receive 8 applications by December 2007, 10 additional applications by the end of September 2008, and 2 more by the end of September 2009; for each COL application, almost half of the resources required would be used in its first year. To reduce uncertainties and encourage efficiencies related to its license review process, NRC has developed a design-centered approach to standardize its review of COL applications for new reactors. However, changes in the number and timing of application submissions will affect NRC's staffing and resource requirements. NRC Has Taken Steps to Address Broader Challenges It Faces in Sustaining Expertise: NRC and the nuclear power industry have raised concerns in recent years about a shrinking labor pool of critically skilled individuals in several workforce areas required for the research, design, construction, operations, and oversight of nuclear reactor and plant operations. The nuclear power industry estimated in 2001 that about 90,000 workers will be needed to support existing industry operations through 2011.[Footnote 30] In addition, thousands of employees will be needed for the design, licensing, construction, and start-up operations of the proposed new reactors. Specifically, the nuclear industry faces a potentially critical shortage of workers in several fields over the next 5 years.[Footnote 31] To keep apprised of industrywide trends and inform its workforce assumptions, NRC has contracted with DOE's Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education for over 20 years to gather and evaluate occupational, salary, and university enrollment data particularly for nuclear engineering and health physics--two mission-critical occupations. For example, although university bachelor's and master's enrollments and degrees granted in these disciplines have increased since 2004, fewer than 700 degrees are granted annually from about 60 academic programs nationwide,[Footnote 32] which is less than during the early to mid-1990s. For nuclear engineering, the institute also has reported: * Overall national trends have improved in terms of enrollment and degrees granted. For example, in 2005 total junior, senior, and graduate student enrollments surpassed the 2,000 level for the first time since the mid-1990s. However, only about 60 percent of new graduates directly enter the U.S. civilian labor force, while the other 40 percent continue their academic studies, enter active-duty military, or take jobs in foreign countries. Furthermore, NRC typically requires that applicants be U.S. citizens,[Footnote 33] which further reduces the number of graduating candidates eligible for employment, especially at advanced degree levels. While a large majority of B.S. degree recipients were U.S. citizens, non-U.S. citizens comprised 20 percent of master's recipients and 47 percent of Ph.D. recipients in 2005. * Because the demand for nuclear engineers is expected to grow faster than the supply, upward pressure on starting salaries--which increased by only 2 percent in 2004-2005 but by over 5 percent in 2005-2006--will continue and provide even more competition to employers in the nuclear engineering field. For health physicists, the institute has reported: * Overall trends have improved in terms of enrollments and degrees granted. For example, undergraduate and graduate enrollments were 15 percent higher than in 2004, and continuing increases are expected. The number of health physics-related B.S. degrees granted in 2005 increased by over 40 percent from 2004, and at 78 is the highest reported since 1996; degrees in master's programs increased by 20 percent to 77 granted, while Ph.D.s granted remained constant. Similar to nuclear physics, while a large majority of B.S. degree recipients were U.S. citizens, 30 percent of master's and 36 percent of Ph.D. degree recipients were non-U.S. citizens. * The number of job openings for new graduates will likely continue to exceed the number of new graduates available in the labor supply from 2006 to 2008 and even with increases in enrollments will likely be insufficient to substantially reduce projected relative shortages of new graduates between 2006 and 2008. The institute noted that more health physicists will be retiring over the next few years and many, if not most, will have to be replaced, as reflected in a higher number of projected job openings. NEI also reported that the general availability of health physicists is expected to decline over the next 5 years. Because the workforce will likely tighten in several areas before current graduation levels produce anywhere near the number of trained and educated personnel to meet the likely demand over the next decade, NRC has taken the following steps to increase its talent pool: * Has planned to spend nearly $5 million in fiscal year 2007 to implement its authority under the Energy Policy Act of 2005 to award, in grants to universities and colleges, support for educational programs that will benefit its safety, security, and environmental responsibilities. During fiscal year 2006, training and development program managers worked to develop criteria for identifying educational programs for which investments will most likely expand expertise in critical skills areas. Implementation of this grants-to-universities program is targeted for fiscal year 2007. * Budgeted $225,000 in fiscal year 2006 and proposed $375,000 in fiscal year 2007 to offer scholarships and fellowships in critical skills areas. * Budgeted $125,000 in fiscal year 2006 and proposed $140,000 in fiscal year 2007 for student transportation and lodging expenses while on temporary assignment to NRC, which managers told us was particularly useful in attracting candidates. * Integrated and enhanced existing programs to create a program for Minority Serving Institutions--historically black colleges and universities, Hispanic serving institutions, and tribal colleges and universities--that provides financial assistance to programs and such activities as mentoring, training, research and development, cooperative agreements, fellowships, internships, and scholarships. In August 2006, NRC announced plans to link this program with its recruiting program and develop relationships with recipients of its financial assistance to (1) encourage the development of skills and research critical to the agency, (2) provide access to educational and career development opportunities, and (3) increase the diversity of the job applicant pool. While NRC has taken these steps, and the nuclear power industry is similarly making or continuing efforts to partner with educational institutions to develop workers or augment their existing training programs, enhancing the talent pool may require additional approaches. Besides health physics and nuclear engineering, many of the over 300 vacancies--for which NRC posted over 60 position descriptions in several occupational series in fiscal year 2006--require specialized knowledge, skills, and experience that will likely continue to be hard to fill or in high demand. These include, but are not limited to, areas such as project management, reliability and risk analysis, and digital instrumentation and control. Quicker and more focused training options include intensifying the amount of course detail and/or increasing certification or specialization requirements, and further developing and executing strategies that capture and transfer the significant knowledge of aging workers. NRC Has Taken Several Steps to Prepare for New Reactor Licensing, but the Combined License Review Process Is Untested: A number of activities that NRC has undertaken to prepare to review COL license applications to construct and conditionally operate new reactors are in various stages of completion. These NRC activities include (1) initiating its Construction Inspection Program; (2) moving forward on design certifications and early site permit activities; (3) continuing and finalizing the development of regulatory guidance, rulemaking, and standard review plan materials addressing the contents of a COL application. NRC also has developed initial estimates of the resources needed to review new reactor license applications. As of August 2006, when the Commission approved the creation of the Office of New Reactors, fewer than 100 employees were working either part-or full- time on new reactor licensing and preparatory activities. NRC is in the process of staffing the Office of New Reactors with the targeted number of employees scheduled to more than double from 230 in late January 2007 to over 480 in October 2007.[Footnote 34] (See app. IV for information on NRC's recent reorganization efforts.) In addition, NRC has estimated the following regarding new reactor licensing work: * NRC employees will perform about two-thirds and contractors will perform about one-third of the COL review work. In August 2006, NRC reported that about $60 million for contracted expertise would be required in fiscal year 2008 to acquire the expertise of individuals who have (1) very specialized skills that NRC personnel do not possess and that is not cost-effective to add full time or (2) general engineering expertise that NRC personnel possess in insufficient numbers. * Given that nearly all applications are expected to be submitted in fiscal year 2008, licensing resource needs for new reactors would remain the same or increase slightly in fiscal year 2009, depending on whether NRC receives more applications, and on their timing and number. Industry has advised NRC of the possibility that higher than the planned number of applications--20 as of November 2006--may eventually be submitted. To integrate planned and ongoing activities, NRC is also developing a master schedule/project management plan that is to match activities to personnel with appropriate skills to scheduled completion dates; NRC estimated the plan's completion date is early 2007. In addition, in the event that the agency's recruiting goals are not met, NRC is developing a procurement contingency plan. This plan would enable NRC to acquire technical review support from a broad spectrum of organizations. NRC anticipates that the upcoming increase in contracting demand for a diverse range of skill sets needs may exceed the capabilities or supply of any given source. Also, NRC reported that DOE's Office of Science laboratories are establishing a team to assist NRC in identifying needed technical resources and management skills. NRC also has focused its new reactor licensing efforts on delineating its standardized design-centered review approach. NRC expects this approach will improve the efficiency of its review of COL applications by reducing the review time to at most 42 months, including holding required public hearings. NRC could not fully base its estimates on recent experience or historical data because its review process has yet to be tested. However, NRC did evaluate the resource requirements for the first three early site permit applications it received in 2003 to inform its COL application estimates.[Footnote 35] NRC's review of each early site permit took more time and effort than either NRC or the applicants expected. NRC managers told us that the agency learned from this initial experience and expects future early site permit reviews to go more smoothly. They expect a similar learning curve with the first group of COL reviews, noting that estimates of the personnel needed to review COL applications may thus be subject to some adjustment. In addition, because this first group could be large--10 applications are expected in the first 6 months of fiscal year 2008, and 8 are expected in the second 6 months--any challenges, if not fully resolved, could be exacerbated. The COL application process is new for the electric power companies as well. NRC's staffing and resource estimates are based on standardization and consistency and complete, high-quality applications. To this end, NRC has established reactor design-based working groups with industry to facilitate communication and interaction about all aspects of the application process, including lessons learned on most recent construction activities as well as financing, hardware, supply, and other infrastructure issues. Nevertheless, the agency will not know how effective these activities have been until applications are submitted--NRC expects the first COL applications to be submitted in October 2007. In addition, determining the sufficiency of additional information NRC requests from a licensee may require both significant analytical expertise and review by the agency, and timeliness on the part of the applicant. Furthermore, any delays in the completion of technical review plans or lack of clarity in regulatory guidance could make it more difficult for companies to ensure the adequacy of their submissions.[Footnote 36] The timing of COL application submissions could also adversely influence the intended effectiveness of NRC's design-centered review approach. Although NRC documents state that the optimal implementation of the approach is to first have a completed design certification, many activities will likely occur simultaneously or near-simultaneously. Standardization is key to NRC's approach, as applicants are expected to submit standard applications that use reactor designs that have been certified. This suggests that NRC would certify a reactor design before it reviews COL applications that refer to that design. That is not the case, however, for 8 of the 20 COL applications NRC expects to receive because (1) applicants plan to submit 3 COL applications about halfway through NRC's certification of the associated design and (2) NRC expects to review 5 other COL applications nearly simultaneously with its certification of the design.[Footnote 37] Similarly, an important component of NRC's approach is the use of a "reference application." According to NRC managers and NEI executives, around 70 percent of additional application contents are intended to be virtually identical to the reference application. NRC assumes it will realize FTE/resource savings of 50 percent on the safety reviews of applications consistent with the reference application. However, it is unclear whether the use of reference applications will actually save NRC review time when they are reviewed concurrently with others. In essence, NRC will conduct multiple, nearly simultaneous application reviews for all designs that companies currently intend to use. For example, NRC expects the reference application and three applications for the same design to arrive in the same fiscal quarter. Ultimately, because of these compressed time frames, the efficient and effective allocation of resources and adherence to schedules is paramount. Conclusions: In recent years, NRC's human capital management has been generally effective in comparison with its federal government counterparts. Nevertheless, NRC faces a considerable challenge in addressing workforce retirements and anticipated significant additional work beginning in October 2007, as electric power companies submit applications for licenses to construct and operate the next generation of nuclear power reactors. Through its strategic human capital planning and management framework, NRC has taken several important steps to enhance its overall workforce capacity; however, some new and in- progress efforts have not yet been tested. It is unclear how the confluence of increasing regulatory workload demands, maintaining existing focus on safety and security activities, rising numbers of retirement-eligible employees and other demographic shifts, and anticipated industry competition for critically skilled workers will ultimately influence NRC's generally positive workforce trends and successes. These challenges require a considerable level of flexibility, staff commitment, and successful strategic human capital management for NRC to be able to appropriately adapt to shifting human capital needs. If overall workforce and resource allocations are not balanced, NRC risks overextending its available workforce, undermining its employee satisfaction, and potentially increasing its attrition. If so, reviewing license applications and conducting other mission- critical activities within estimated time frames could become more difficult and could adversely affect NRC's ability to ensure a safe and secure nuclear power industry. Furthermore, substantial delays in the license application process could adversely affect investor confidence, decrease the likelihood of nuclear energy generation being cost beneficial, and possibly reduce the amount of electricity available to the U.S. market. Recommendations for Executive Action: To improve NRC's ability to meet its current and future needs for a critically skilled workforce, we are recommending that NRC take the following four actions: * Promote the coordination and integration of human capital planning and implementation activities by completing the agencywide human capital implementation plan; ensuring that the Human Capital Council provides strategic direction, advice, and recommendations on addressing human capital issues; and providing the appropriate level of resources to implement knowledge management program and strategic training and development plan. * Systematically assess the effectiveness of NRC's use of tools, authorities, and flexibilities for recruiting, developing, and retaining its workforce and adjust their use and targeting, as necessary, to meet workforce needs. * Periodically and comprehensively evaluate and share information among NRC's offices on the usefulness of human capital measures, intended outputs, and targets to enhance NRC's ability to monitor trends, reliably measure progress, and inform program office managers in achieving critical human capital tasks. * Survey employees during fiscal year 2007 on their satisfaction with NRC's human capital program, including new initiatives and offices' use of flexibilities to maintain a quality work environment. Agency Comments: We provided NRC with a draft of this report for its review and comment. In written comments, NRC generally agreed with the report's findings, conclusions, and recommendations, stating that they are very constructive. NRC also noted, however, that the circumstances underlying the report have changed because Congressional leaders have announced their intent to extend the Continuing Appropriations Resolution, 2007, for the full fiscal year, with few exceptions. According to NRC, the funding in the Continuing Resolution--which extends the fiscal year 2006 appropriation amount to fiscal year 2007- -would result in a $95 million reduction in the level of funding that NRC had expected compared with the level approved by the full House of Representatives and the Senate Committee on Appropriations for fiscal year 2007. NRC states that the funding and FTE restrictions under a full-year Continuing Resolution at the fiscal year 2006 level would have a crippling effect on its ability to manage human capital, citing as an example that NRC would significantly curtail--and possibly cease- -new hiring, except for those already given offers and those necessary for the most critical of skills. (See app. VI.) In addition, NRC provided comments to improve the report's technical accuracy, which we have incorporated as appropriate. We are sending copies of this report to interested congressional committees, the Chairman of NRC, the Director of the Office of Management and Budget, and other interested parties. We will also make copies available to others upon request. In addition, the report will be available at no charge on the GAO Web site at [Hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov]. If you or your staffs have questions about this report, please contact me at (202) 512-3841 or wellsj@gao.gov. Contact points for our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on the last page of this report. GAO staff who made major contributions to this report are listed in appendix VII. Signed by: Jim Wells: Director, Natural Resources and Environment: [End of section] Appendix I: NRC's Changing Workforce Demographics: The demographics of NRC's workforce will substantially change in the next few years for two reasons. First, the percentage of employees eligible to retire is expected to grow from the current level of about 16 percent to about 33 percent of the workforce in fiscal year 2010. Second, NRC projects that its workforce size will need to grow from about 3,100 employees in early fiscal year 2006 to nearly 4,000 employees by 2010 to meet the significant anticipated upsurge in workload demands as NRC begins to review power company applications for permits to construct and operate new nuclear reactors. The following tables present information on NRC's changing workforce demographics. Table 2: Comparison of Selected NRC Workforce Demographics, Fiscal Years 2002 through 2006: Demographic: Total employees; As of 9/30/2002: 2,928; As of 10/2/2004: 3,110; As of 9/30/2006: 3,347. Selected offices; Demographic: Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation; As of 9/30/2002: 591 (20%); As of 10/2/2004: 593 (19%); As of 9/30/2006: 739 (22%). Demographic: Office of Nuclear Security and Incident Response; As of 9/ 30/2002: 105 (4); As of 10/2/2004: 187 (6); As of 9/30/2006: 216 (6). Demographic: Office of Administration; As of 9/30/2002: 98 (3); As of 10/2/2004: 98 (3); As of 9/30/2006: 123 (4). Demographic: Office of Nuclear Materials Safety and Safeguards; As of 9/30/2002: 332 (11); As of 10/2/2004: 334 (11); As of 9/30/2006: 334 (10). Demographic: Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research; As of 9/30/2002: 208 (7); As of 10/2/2004: 217 (7); As of 9/30/2006: 225 (7). Employees by age. Demographic: Average age; As of 9/30/2002: 47.83; As of 10/2/2004: 47.91; As of 9/30/2006: 47.60. Demographic: Under 40; As of 9/30/2002: 576 (20%); As of 10/2/2004: 631 (20%); As of 9/30/2006: 745 (22%). Demographic: of which 29 and under; As of 9/30/2002: 164 (6); As of 10/ 2/2004: 225 (7); As of 9/30/2006: 313 (9). Demographic: 40 to 49; As of 9/30/2002: 982 (34); As of 10/2/2004: 1002 (32); As of 9/30/2006: 1,016 (30). Demographic: 50 to 60+; As of 9/30/2002: 1370 (47); As of 10/2/2004: 1477 (47); As of 9/30/2006: 1,586 (47). Employees by NRC service years. Demographic: Average years; As of 9/30/2002: 13.65; As of 10/2/2004: 13.16; As of 9/30/2006: 12.29. Demographic: 0 to 5 years; As of 9/30/2002: 747 (26%); As of 10/2/2004: 1,013 (33%); As of 9/30/2006: 1,311 (39%). Demographic: 6 to 10 years; As of 9/30/2002: 274 (9%); As of 10/2/2004: 265 (9%); As of 9/30/2006: 371 (11%). Demographic: 11 to 20 years; As of 9/30/2002: 1059 (36%); As of 10/2/ 2004: 983 (32%); As of 9/30/2006: 802 (24%). Demographic: 21 or more years; As of 9/30/2002: 848 (29%); As of 10/2/ 2004: 849 (27%); As of 9/30/2006: 863 (26%). Employees by federal service years. Demographic: Average years; As of 9/30/2002: 17.88; As of 10/2/2004: 17.27; As of 9/30/2006: 16.21. Demographic: 0 to 5 years; As of 9/30/2002: 438 (15%); As of 10/2/2004: 655 (21%); As of 9/30/2006: 895 (27%). Demographic: 6 to 10 years; As of 9/30/2002: 258 (9); As of 10/2/2004: 266 (9); As of 9/30/2006: 334 (10). Demographic: 11 to 20 years; As of 9/30/2002: 937 (32); As of 10/2/ 2004: 883 (28); As of 9/30/2006: 801 (24). Demographic: 21 or more years; As of 9/30/2002: 1,295 (44); As of 10/2/ 2004: 1,212 (39); As of 9/30/2006: 1,218 (36). Employees: Science and engineering occupational series (percentage of agency total). Demographic: Nuclear Engineering; As of 9/30/2002: 14%; As of 10/2/ 2004: 13%; As of 9/30/2006: 12%. Demographic: Other Engineering; As of 9/30/2002: 29; As of 10/2/2004: 31; As of 9/30/2006: 34. Demographic: Health Physics; As of 9/30/2002: 7; As of 10/2/2004: 6; As of 9/30/2006: 6. Demographic: Other Physical Science; As of 9/30/2002: 5; As of 10/2/ 2004: 6; As of 9/30/2006: 6. Employees: Engineers, scientists, technical managers, and supervisors (percentage of office total). Demographic: Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation; As of 9/30/2002: 80%; As of 10/2/2004: 81%; As of 9/30/2006: 82%. Demographic: Office of Nuclear Security and Incident Response; As of 9/ 30/2002: 54; As of 10/2/2004: 55; As of 9/30/2006: 48. Demographic: Office of Nuclear Materials Safety and Safeguards; As of 9/30/2002: 78; As of 10/2/2004: 77; As of 9/30/2006: 79. Demographic: Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research; As of 9/30/2002: 77; As of 10/2/2004: 78; As of 9/30/2006: 80. Demographic: Region I; As of 9/30/2002: 73; As of 10/2/2004: 76; As of 9/30/2006: 75. Demographic: Region II; As of 9/30/2002: 67; As of 10/2/2004: 67; As of 9/30/2006: 68. Demographic: Region III; As of 9/30/2002: 68; As of 10/2/2004: 71; As of 9/30/2006: 73. Demographic: Region IV; As of 9/30/2002: 69; As of 10/2/2004: 72; As of 9/30/2006: 73. Employees by pay level (percentage of agency total). Demographic: Senior level; As of 9/30/2002: 8%; As of 10/2/2004: 8%; As of 9/30/2006: 7%. Demographic: GG-15; As of 9/30/2002: 23; As of 10/2/2004: 25; As of 9/ 30/2006: 25. Demographic: GG-14; As of 9/30/2002: 25; As of 10/2/2004: 25; As of 9/ 30/2006: 24. Demographic: GG-13; As of 9/30/2002: 18; As of 10/2/2004: 18; As of 9/ 30/2006: 20. Demographic: GG-12 to 8; As of 9/30/2002: 16; As of 10/2/2004: 17; As of 9/30/2006: 16. Demographic: GG-7 to 2; As of 9/30/2002: 10; As of 10/2/2004: 8; As of 9/30/2006: 7. Entry-level hire ratio. Demographic: Agencywide; As of 9/30/2002: 41%; As of 10/2/2004: 25%; As of 9/30/2006: 34%. Demographic: Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation; As of 9/30/2002: 40; As of 10/2/2004: 41; As of 9/30/2006: 34. Demographic: Office of Nuclear Security and Incident Response; As of 9/ 30/2002: 18; As of 10/2/2004: 12; As of 9/30/2006: 13. Demographic: Office of Nuclear Materials Safety and Safeguards; As of 9/30/2002: 75; As of 10/2/2004: 29; As of 9/30/2006: 23. Demographic: Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research; As of 9/30/2002: 65; As of 10/2/2004: 27; As of 9/30/2006: 60. Demographic: Region I; As of 9/30/2002: 30; As of 10/2/2004: 19; As of 9/30/2006: 50. Demographic: Region II; As of 9/30/2002: 55; As of 10/2/2004: 42; As of 9/30/2006: 36. Demographic: Region III; As of 9/30/2002: 33; As of 10/2/2004: 13; As of 9/30/2006: 38. Demographic: Region IV; As of 9/30/2002: 20; As of 10/2/2004: 45; As of 9/30/2006: 45. Source: NRC. Note: Percentages may not add to 100 percent due to rounding. [End of table] Table 3: Percentage of the NRC Workforce that Is Eligible to Retire, Fiscal Years 2002 through 2011: Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2002; As of 9/30/2002: 15%; As of 10/2/2004: ; As of 9/30/2006: . Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2003; As of 9/30/2002: 19; As of 10/2/2004: ; As of 9/30/2006: . Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2004; As of 9/30/2002: 23; As of 10/2/2004: 16%; As of 9/30/2006: . Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2005; As of 9/30/2002: 27; As of 10/2/2004: 20; As of 9/30/2006: . Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2006; As of 9/30/2002: 31; As of 10/2/2004: 23; As of 9/30/2006: 16%. Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2007; As of 9/30/2002: 36; As of 10/2/2004: 28; As of 9/30/2006: 21. Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2008; As of 9/30/2002: ; As of 10/2/2004: 32; As of 9/30/2006: 24. Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2009; As of 9/30/2002: ; As of 10/2/2004: 37; As of 9/30/2006: 29. Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2010; As of 9/30/2002: ; As of 10/2/2004: ; As of 9/30/2006: 33. Optional retirement eligibility: Fiscal year 2011; As of 9/30/2002: ; As of 10/2/2004: ; As of 9/30/2006: 37. Source: NRC. Note: Actual percentages of NRC's workforce eligible to retire are shown for 2002 through 2006. Estimated percentages of NRC's workforce eligible to retire are shown for 2007 through 2011. [End of table] Table 4: Employees Who Left NRC, Fiscal Years 2002 through 2006: Permanent attrition: Fiscal year 2002; Number: 146; Percent[A]: 5.1. Permanent attrition: Fiscal year 2003; Number: 149; Percent[A]: 5.0. Permanent attrition: Fiscal year 2004; Number: 161; Percent[A]: 5.1. Permanent attrition: Fiscal year 2005; Number: 189; Percent[A]: 6.0. Permanent attrition: Fiscal year 2006; Number: 205; Percent[A]: 6.3. Source: NRC. [A] Attrition percentages are annualized. [End of table] [End of section] Appendix II: Scope and Methodology: To assess the extent to which the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has aligned its human capital planning framework with its strategic mission and programmatic goals, we analyzed a broad range of NRC policy, planning, and implementation documents and reviewed key performance budget and performance and accountability documents and reports. Specifically, we examined information on NRC's operations and strategic planning efforts, including agencywide strategic plans and program documents, operating and human capital management plans, management directives, select internal analyses and communications of human resources personnel, Human Capital Council and Communications Council meeting minutes, and the NRC Inspector General's Safety Culture and Climate Survey results for 1998, 2002, and 2005. We corroborated information provided in these documents in interviews with human resources managers in NRC's headquarters and regional offices. We also interviewed cognizant managers in NRC's Office of Human Resources (OHR); program offices including Nuclear Reactor Regulation (NRR), Nuclear Regulatory Research, Nuclear Materials Safety and Safeguards, and Nuclear Security and Incident Response; and NRC's four regional offices--region I in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania; region II in Atlanta, Georgia; region III in Lisle, Illinois; and region IV in Arlington, Texas. We visited regions I and II as well as NRC's Technical Training Center in Chattanooga, Tennessee. To assess the extent to which NRC is effectively recruiting, developing, and retaining critically skilled personnel, we applied the five strategic workforce planning principles presented in our March 2002 exposure draft on a model for strategic human capital management and in our December 2003 report on key principles for effective strategic workforce planning. (See the Related GAO Reports section at the end of this report for a list of previous reports that we have issued on NRC and strategic workforce planning and human capital management.) We also reviewed the Office of Personnel Management's (OPM) Human Capital Assessment and Accountability Framework and related guidance. In doing so, we analyzed NRC's (1) workforce and demographics data; (2) critical skills information, including needs and gap assessments; (3) implementation of its recruiting, hiring, training and development, and retention strategies and plans; (4) implementation of new systems, programs, and processes that support human capital management and planning; and (5) measures of its progress and results. In addition, we analyzed NRC's reorganization plans, program plans, and human capital budget and flexibilities data. Furthermore, OHR and technical training center personnel provided demonstrations on the Strategic Workforce Planning system database and Recruitment Activity Tracking System. We also examined data obtained from the Federal Personnel Payroll System, NRC's Human Resource Management System, and NRC's Recruitment Activity Tracking System. In addition, we obtained budget and outlay data from NRC's Chief Financial Officer and OHR. To assess the reliability of the data needed to answer the engagement objectives, we checked these data for obvious errors in accuracy and completeness, reviewed existing information about these data and the system that produced them, and interviewed agency officials knowledgeable about these data. We determined that these data were sufficiently reliable for the purposes of this report. To gain more insight into NRC's use of human capital flexibilities, authorities, tools, measures, and targets, we surveyed 45 Senior Executive Service and GG-15 level managers in 11 NRC offices, including OHR, technical program offices, and regional offices who represent strategic human management and leadership in offices with large components of critically skilled personnel. We obtained responses from 32 of 45 NRC managers, a response rate of 71 percent. The questionnaire asked respondents to rate the value of human capital flexibilities, authorities, tools, and programs that NRC uses in hiring, developing, and retaining personnel, and their value in the future. We also asked the managers to rate the effectiveness and appropriateness of measures and metrics in monitoring and evaluating progress in achieving programmatic goals at the agencywide and office levels. The practical difficulties of conducting any survey may introduce certain types of errors, commonly referred to as "nonsampling errors." For example, differences in how a particular question is interpreted, the sources of information available to respondents, or the types of people who do not respond can introduce unwanted variability into survey results. To reduce nonsampling errors, we conducted four pretests with respondents to ensure that questions and response categories were interpreted in a consistent manner and revised the instruments on the basis of the pretest results. To assess the extent to which NRC is taking steps to address future uncertainties that could adversely affect its overall workforce capacity, we examined (1) the existing and future engineering, science, and technology labor pool and (2)